$VIX breaking a bit, showing Positive Divergence - Sold puts MayAs an FYI we're still cautious bull. We did initiate a CBOE:VIX position, by selling puts, as small hedge.
We've made clear what the targets on indices were, still think they can be hit.
TVC:DJI - 34250 - Major Resistance
NASDAQ:NDX - 13400 - Fib level
SP:SPX - Major resistance - 4181
But keep in mind;
IMF warning global debt levels = DANGEROUS
#Fed states > #recession coming
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NASDAQ Correction for few days then buy the dipNasdaq (NDX) has gone a long way since we called for a rebound on the 1D MA200:
The recent rally within this Channel Up pattern that started in December (its second Bullish Wave), came to an end after it broke the Inner Higher Lows trend-line in similar fashion as the first wave did on February 17. That pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding to a Higher High.
The current 0.5 Fib is on 12460, a little under the March 28 Low and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been basically supporting since mid-January. If the RSI bounces off its Higher Lows trend-line, then the bottom may come earlier. In any case, we will buy this pull-back and target 13400, a potential contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the August 16 High.
The best level to buy during this run is on the Higher Lows trend-line of the RSI. A similar Higher Lows trend-line during the January bullish leg (note that both sequences started on a Double Bottom), gave 5 clear buy entries.
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#yields - $TNX at important juncture1Yr is still holding better than 2yr & 10Yr
IMO Still look like they're fighting to bottom, HOWEVER, TVC:TNX has a history of breaking current support level.
Monthly RSI looks 2b weakening.
While in theory falling #yield is good for #TECH it historically has NOT been good for #stocks
S&P 500- Still targeting 4300+Hello traders!
Many times in previous post we talked about a primary wave (B) to the upside to conclude above 4300 for the S&P.
We believe that we are currently going for wave 5 of C, as also the inverse head and shoulder suggests.
clearer picture on Nasdaq, where W pattern and descending broadenign wedge are targeting at least 13600 for this upside correction (end of double zig zag).
There we will re consider the possibility of a short, tracking the possible Wolfe Wave in the making.
For now, we opened a small long at the recent dip at 12909.1. Will update below!
Bests!
GMR
12042023 - $NDX #NDXNDX levels gave the highs yesterday and as mentioned for yesterday, said we should see a dip but would be bought up; but overall NDX is still looking weak. Unlike SPX, NDX is going below the 2 zones, which is more bearish.
For now, before CPI, 13114 and 12870 are fadable IMO, especially if we see 12870, would be a good level to go long back to the zone.
Apple by EOYApple based on current 119D movement. I still believe Apple is heading below $100 this year. It took a tad longer to see a drop because of corporate buybacks but that wont change the overall outlook for Apple.
Apple's price move from 2018 downward coincides with the Feds tapering. The August 2019 rally also coincides directly with the Fed increasing QE in August 2019. You can see somewhat normal movement until the price breaks out of the channel, although QE was introduced in 2008.
No QE = no more rallying. More QE = hyperinflation. Simple as that. I think the Fed will let equities take a bath to save the dollar... but than again, who knows?
Data Points:
MACD Crossed
RSI has room to come down
Q1 Guidance was grim
NASDAQ This leg aims at the August High.Nasdaq is consolidaing around the MA50 (4h) as the market prepares for the U.S. CPI tomorrow.
The 1 month pattern is a Channel Up that is getting closer to Resistance (1) at 13730, which is the August 16th High.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy as long as the price remains above yesterday's Low.
2. Sell if it breaks.
Targets:
1. 13550 (+5.50% rise and near Resistance 1).
2. 12600 (MA200 4h and bottom of Channel Up).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is holding on a Rising Support. Buy on every contact it makes. As long as it holds, the Channel Up remains valid.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
This is a continuation of this trading plan:
Potential bull flag on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX)The Nasdaq is holding above the February high and forming a potential bull flag pattern, which projects an approximate target around 13,500. A larger flag pattern also remains in play with a target just below 14,000, although the October high and monthly R1 around 13700 provide a likely resistance area. The daily trend is respecting the 10 and 20-day EMA's and the structure favours a break of last week's high.
- Bulls could seek bullish setups around current levels in anticipation of a break higher, or around the monthly pivot point should we see a deeper pullback and invalidation of the smaller flag.
- The bias remains bullish above the monthly pivot
- Targets include the resistance clusters around 13,500 and 14,000
Nasdaq Breakdown Analysis 11/04/2023Dear traders Nasdaq was down and after ny session it’s came Back and closed bullish so as you see in my chart I expect price if he reject 12997 and closed bullish it will be chance to buy and if he breks below 12997 and closed bearish it will be Chance to sell wait always for price action trade safe
Good luck
Nasdaq -> Time To Go All InHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Nasdaq is approaching a quite obvious weekly previous structure area exactly at the HKEX:13 ,500 area from which we could see a short term rejection.
You can also see that we are currently quite overextended towards the upside on the weekly timeframe so I am now just waiting for a deeper retest of the weekly zone and then a short term correction towards the downside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that price action recently is very bullish so I am now just waiting for another push towards the upside and then I am waiting for some bearish rejection to short Nas100.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ to see a temporary move lower?NASDAQ - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12892 (stop at 12822)
Posted Mixed Daily results for the last 6 days.
Bespoke support is located at 12892.
A move to 13153 will form an intraday bearish Gartley pattern.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 13153 and 13235
Resistance: 13100 / 13153 / 13236
Support: 12892 / 12848 / 12650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
BITCOIN, NASDAQ, DXY all on Huge Pivot Zones! Tick tack..With the high degree of correlation among financial assets, it is not a coincidence that Bitcoin (BTCUUSD), Nasdaq (NDX) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) all are on Huge Pivot Zone, the behavior of which is more likely going to determine the trend for the next several months.
Bitcoin's Pivot Zone has been in effect since January 2021 and is just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Nasdaq's has been in effect since May 2021 and is also just above the 0.382 Fib. DXY's has been in effect since May 2022 and is right on the 0.5 Fib.
All are on the opposite side of their 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and their Cycle trend-line, indicating that it has been a while since the break-out hence the trend change from bearish to bullish (for Bitcoin and Nasdaq) and vice versa (for the DXY). The one with the biggest potential (downside) is the DXY as it is the only one having not touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) yet. This should have a sizeable bullish impact on both Bitcoin and Nasdaq.
So are all three assets on those Pivot Zone at the same time by coincidence? Will a DXY break lead the other two? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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NASDAQ DAILY UPDATE ( TECHNICAL )For more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial.
Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
Reversal?Potential reversal identified based on August price action.
We are at a tipping point for tech.
Weekly technicals are oversold.
MACD monthly remains negative.
Jobs report and further Fed hikes may amplify this technical analysis may tip the scales and send tech plummeting.
Good luck,
Opinion - not financial advice
dji h3 IHS bulls buy low after pullback target 36 000🔸Hello guys, today let's review 3 hour price chart for DJI . Speculative Inverse H*S setup in
progress. This pattern was recently covered in the reversal technical patterns overview,
details see below.
🔸Strong V-shape recovery in progress should complete later near neckline at 34 230.
Then we should get a decent pullback to form the RS of the IHS pattern structure.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: after re-test of the neckline of the structure and subsequent
pullback bulls should be ready to buy low near 32 700, which is also the RS of the pattern.
Normally, we should target at least 36 000 based on measured move price projection.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Nasdaq to find support at previous highs?NASDAQ - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12829 (stop at 12694)
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 13360.
Continued downward momentum from 13238 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
The move lower is mixed and volatile, common in corrective sequences.
Bespoke support is located at 12829.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 13159 and 13249
Resistance: 13238 / 13360 / 13734
Support: 12829 / 12649 / 12483
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NDX/NQ/MNQ Pre-Market and Week OutlookAs we sit right now it looks like the NDX might gap on the open.
I'll be live trading streaming this week so tune into that, also update idea as week unfolds.
If we start on the upside the zone what we're watching is the August 2022 4D key level at 13,639.
A reach for the market would be the 4D extreme zone between 13,900 and 14,100 or so.
On the downside we see the obvious day momentum checks and bias checks as well as key levels and gaps.
One key area is the significant high anchored vwap at 12,918, if that gets tested and holds anticipate the highs will be breached.
Below that around 12,500 to 12,000 is the four day reaction zone which aligns with key reaction zones on the daily.
Should be obvious how to trade this week with these key reaction zones identified. wait for confirmation and trade for the RD 4-chart patterns.
NASDAQ: Short term buy opportunity.Nasdaq turned the 4H timeframe neutral (RSI = 45.569, MACD = 13.770, ADX = 42.721) as it hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern, just under the 4H MA50. Given that the 4H RSI also hits its HL trendline, that becomes a strong buy opportunity on the short term.
There is also a HH trendline involved that has formed a Rising Wedge, so we set our Target on it and not based on the Channel Up (TP = 13,430).
Prior idea:
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Nasdaq Breakdown analysis 06/04/2023Dear traders Nasdaq was bearish today after news even though he respect previous setup so.. Nasdaq if he breaks above 12971 it may continue to pushing up it has a clean range in the left side and if he breaks below 12901 you should look for sell always under this support..trade safe !
Good luck
NASDAQ Is far from finished with this rallyNasdaq has gone a long way since we called for a rebound on the 1D MA200:
The current rally within this Channel Up pattern that started in December is on its second Bullish Wave, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is targeting at least the 13730 Resistance of the August 16 High.
The best level to buy during this run is on the Higher Lows trend-line of the RSI. A similar Higher Lows trend-line during the January bullish leg (note that both sequences started on a Double Bottom), gave 5 clear buy entries.
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