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NASDAQ 100 CFD

Key Drivers of the Market - A Deep DiveHello everyone! Today we will talk about five different important concepts. Many things are happening in markets, so I will create similar reports to help people understand why things are how they are. This will be my first report, so it might be a bit harder to go through, especially because on Tradingview, I can't easily share economic data or random non-Tradingview charts, so I will try to make each concept as simple as possible. Positioning 1) Positioning in markets appears to be quite extreme. Looking at the CoT long/short data for hedge fund positioning, we can get a pretty good sense of whether speculators are long or short. Overall, the market remains short on stocks and bonds. Regarding bond data, it is possible that the positioning is like this for other reasons, which doesn't mean they are bullish. As contrarians, we usually want to go against most speculators, but sometimes the speculators take one position for reasons other than making a directional bet (maybe they are hedged). Another significant market to look at is the energy market, and more specifically, oil, which in my opinion, is very close to transitioning back into a bull market. I am expecting one more shakeout here, with a dip toward 55-60$. I think one more shakeout for oil to take out all the lows (hunt stop loss), and speculators will fully turn short. Speculators have been cutting their longs for a year and are almost about to turn short for the first time in many years. Inflation 2) Expected inflation in the next CPI print is around 3% YoY and 0.3% MoM, potentially influenced by recent commodity spikes. These short-lived spikes could affect June's print, as some food-related commodities had a little rally. I believe inflation could come back with a vengeance, as there are too many potential issues with producing several materials and products. These issues could be exacerbated due to deglobalization and climate change (not the climate getting hotter, but colder). Truflation shows 2.3% YoY inflation, inflation expectations are at 2.3%, and interest rates are between 3.7% and 5.25% across the yield curve. My main view is that inflation will trend lower for a little longer, and its downtrend could end with a deflationary spike, as current real rates are substantially positive. It's even possible that we will get negative CPI MoM prints in Q3-Q4, but inflationary pressures will probably resume once we are done with that. Many argue that core inflation is sticky and too high, and I believe it might stay elevated for a while, but eventually, I think it will start falling. My view on inflation mainly has to do with outright shortages and not with money printing. The current disinflationary trend seen across most countries will probably continue for a little longer as we haven't seen substantial money printing for a while, while interest rate hikes are starting to affect consumers negatively. The biggest issue I see is that commodity producers are struggling and face severe problems due to green policies, deglobalization, and climate change. Another important point is that OPEC+ is about to cut 1-2m barrels/day of production, which means oil could spike as demand remains relatively strong. One of the reasons I think the biggest inflationary threat comes from the supply side (goods/services) is that Japan has had lower inflation than the US, despite keeping rates at 0. China didn't raise rates either and has been pumping liquidity into the system, as well as cutting rates, and yet inflation there is almost 0%. It shows that inflation has come down independently, with markets slowly shorting through various imbalances, not because interest rates increased. At this stage, higher rates might actually have the opposite effect than the one intended. Why? Because of the massive debts at the government level, which are being inflated even further as governments borrow at higher rates. Housing 3) The housing market remains strong, and a deficit exists. More supply will be coming online over time, but there are no signs of weakness or that the supply won't be able to be absorbed by the market. Many people are still waiting for rates and prices to drop in order to buy a house, while those with a mortgage are not selling their houses because they don't want to get a more expensive loan. Therefore we essentially have a balance in the market, with new houses and defaults being absorbed by those with cash and those willing to get an expensive mortgage. Rents have not gone up YoY but seem to be about to trend higher again. As there is still a lot of cash in the market and the US government keeps spending, it's reasonable to expect rents to stay flat or slowly tick higher, even if interest rate hikes are starting to affect the economy. Some countries are really suffering from higher interest rates, as most people have variable-rate mortgages; however, the US is in a better situation as most had their mortgages fixed at low rates. So far, it looks like banks and central banks are taking a loss on all the mortgages issued or refinanced during 2020 and 2021, and this effect won't be reverted any time soon. GDP 4) Q1 GDP growth was revised higher at 2% (from 1.4%), showing resilience in the US economy amidst recession fears. Despite growth in the US markets, concerns over a recession remain. As the US government keeps spending at a high pace, a recession will probably be delayed; without that meaning, it will never arrive. Interest rates have been rising, and the Fed wants to hike rates once or twice again. The Fed will likely intervene to support the economy in 1-2 years. As the deficit grows and rates increase, within the next few years, the government will have absorbed all excess liquidity trapped in the RRP or banks. That means that the Fed will then be forced to start buying bonds. The Fed is currently losing over 50B annually because it has to pay high rates to those that deposit at the Fed, which is effectively direct money printing. With so much government debt, the Fed can't raise rates much higher without adding this inflationary component. Although unemployment and bankruptcies are trending higher, the market is showing resilience. As stated above, the US economy is the most resilient, while many other countries are suffering heavily. What has been very helpful is that so far, we had strong oil production despite the war in Ukraine, while the US was releasing a lot of barrels from SPR. This strengthened consumption and boosted the economy. One important data point that proves that the US hasn't been in a recession is that the Travel Numbers of people flying in the US are at ATHs. How could someone call for a recession with these numbers? It's possible that interest rate hikes and all the printing in the US, along with a strong dollar, helped the US consumer to stay in relatively good shape. How bad do bankruptcies and unemployment get, and when? I don't know. I believe that the yield curve will eventually be right, and we will get a recession, but it's hard to call for one. Although lots of data points to the US being in a recession or close to getting into one, we haven't had proper confirmation for a downturn. Maybe we have been in a mild recession, and that's why the market is rallying so much, as people feared something awful, and this hasn't played out. Stocks 5) Stocks seem to remain in a bull market. After hitting the targets that I mentioned in some of my previous ideas, they had a mini-correction. I never turned fully bearish, but I thought at once, the SPX got at 4450 and the NDX at 15200, the market might have topped. This hasn't played out, and I must admit that the market looks bullish here. I can't say anything with certainty yet, but I'd avoid shorting or being all out. There are still many signals that point to higher stock prices. Apple just had a massive breakout and looks strong. Now at a 3T valuation, which seems too much, but when someone thinks that Apple is one of those companies that are essentially powering a 500T financial system, along with its growth potential with AI, then 3T doesn't seem that much. Although stocks seem expensive relative to the current GDP, let's not forget that AI will boost global GDP massively over the next few years. That means that tech companies like Microsoft and Google will keep expanding. Also, let's not forget that unprofitable tech deflated last year and hasn't recovered yet, so a lot of garbage got washed out and isn't a drag on the market. Finally, many people are missing something important: leverage didn't fuel this rally. The market deleveraged massively in 2022 and is now free from excess leverage. If this rally was driven by leverage, it would be fragile, and a reversal could occur at any moment. Summary To sum things up and add a few final touches... The main things leading the market are: NDX is a monopoly, AI, stock buybacks, passive investing, and government spending. It's improbable that these factors will cease to exist, and things will turn ugly immediately after the best first half the Nasdaq 100 has ever had. Sentiment might be changing and leaning toward bullish, but I am not seeing anything that's seriously worth paying attention to. Sure, maybe we get another little correction, but nothing more than that. The market looks very strong. Some leading indicators even show that liquidity and financial conditions will improve from here. I believe that too many people are stuck looking at interest rates but forget how bad the government deficits are and that the only way to keep moving forward is to print more money and accelerate growth and consumption. The NDX (Nasdaq 100) has broken above its double top in Q1 2022 and could easily sweep its Q4 2021 double top next. The index is just 11% away from new ATHs, which it could achieve in 2023.
FX:NAS100Long
by BitcoinMacro
NASDAQ Final pull back before a Higher High.Nasdaq hit Resistance A (15280) again and so far struggles to break it. In accordance to three similar such patterns inside this year's Channel Up, the price may now pull back to a new 2 week low near the 1day MA50. Buy this pull back and target 15500. The 4hour RSI holding its Rising Support, should favor this trade. If the price closes under the 4hour MA50, sell and target the bottom of the long term Channel Up at 13800. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheCryptagon
10
NDX- 3 Possible CountsHello traders! We are now analizing possible NDX Elliott Wave counts possibilities. Starting from October's low, price created a leading diagonal (or triple three), labeled as wave W, followed by a double zig zag. This movement stopped at 15280, declining in a corrective wave and now retracing towards previous top. This outlines three possibilities: 1.- The whole movement from October's low is a triple three correction in wave (B) to the upside, and now wave (C) is starting towards lower lows. This count will now require an impulsive wave down to break 14200. 2.- The whole movement from october's low is a leading diagonal in wave 1/A, and now a deep retrace is expected, wave A of this retracement should be a flat (3-3-5) , and thus a 5 wave down is expected 3. The whole movement from October's low is the beginning of uptrend resumption, the one labeled in the chart as wave W is a leading diagonal wave 1 and we are currently in wave iv of 3. This will imply either that wave 4 of 3 is finished and we are going for higher highs, or either wave c of iv is about to unfold towards 14300. In most cases, a 5 wave down to at least 14300 is about to unfold, that's why we opened a short position looking to tp at 14300, sl at 15290
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by GMR-Capital
NASDAQ Analysis: Index Is at 1-year High! Is It Sustainable?2020 may well have been the year of the massive rises in the value of stocks of Silicon Valley-based big tech companies, largely because their area of 'tech' is around e-commerce, social networks, online streaming services and internet access. This new era of what constitutes technology – online services rather than mechanical engineering – means that during 2020, when many governments instigated the closure of shops and workplaces, whole populations were forced to do almost everything online. The Silicon Valley giants went from strength to strength. Given the newfound way of life in which everything from groceries to entertainment is just a click away, it would be easy to consider that this band of internet giants would continue to bolster the US stock market. This was not the case, and parts of 2021 and 2022 represented a period of tech stock volatility. As most technology firms are listed on the NASDAQ exchange in New York, the NASDAQ Composite Index showed a very varied pattern, including a sustained period in which tech stocks were depreciating rapidly. That may well have been a surprise for many investors, especially during the halo effect that the new Special Purchase Acquisition Company (SPAC) listings were giving to the tech-friendly exchange. At that time, relatively new companies that few people had heard of were suddenly bypassing the majority of entry requirements and listing for valuations of tens of millions of dollars on the NASDAQ exchange. This fad has now passed, and the NASDAQ Composite Index had lulled for some time. Today, however, the index begins the trading day at its highest point in an entire year. Yesterday's close of business resulted in the index reaching 13,816.77, which is a staggering 2,494 points higher than this time last year. During the past three months, the NASDAQ Composite Index has been consistently rising in value, and today's peak is of great interest. Some of the contributors to this have been Tesla's runaway performance in recent times. Last week alone, Tesla shares were on a roll, and this has likely been a contributor to the NASDAQ's overall high value. A clear indicator that memories are short is that stocks in some of the banks listed on NASDAQ are up, a factor driven by hard facts and figures, as the dividend announcements had shown that banks were paying higher dividends than the previous accounting session. This is of interest given the banking 'crisis' that was publicised in high-profile news articles earlier this year during the demise of Silicon Valley Bank and some smaller regional banks across the United States, shortly followed by Credit Suisse. Faith is back in the performance of existing banks, it seems. The question is, for how long? Across the channel in England, there are now widespread reports of banks engaging in the practice of closing the accounts of customers whose views the banks do not approve. An investigation is being launched, and at a time during which consumer confidence in the commercial banking sector has been dented many times since the 2008/9 financial crisis, caution will likely be the order of the day among investors. Volatility on one of the world's most prestigious stock exchanges is interesting and, given its recent track record, worth following. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NDX
by FXOpen
03072023 - #NDXNDX made a nice up move as per trade plan given last Friday (). Overall, NDX is very bullish the past month with AAPL and NVDA at ATH. Weekly wise also no bearish divergence. What is strong will continue to be strong till it is not. Likely market would need further upside to call a top. For today, will like to see a dip to the PZ to go long. If market instead just rally higher from current price, would like to look for weakness at above resistance to go short (NDX is strong so will look for shorts in SPX instead). Do read my plan on SPX to know where I think it will go by EOM.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by FadeMeIfYouCan
S&P 500 Favors Breakout. Bears and Recessionists = MisanthropesThe bears enjoyed their cycle to the maximum, peak fear is behind us. Observe your favorite pundits to determine if they have shifted their perception yet. Many have not, Many remain Bearish and are greedily awaiting one more Deep Indiscriminate Sell Off.... they will likely wait forever. The first rule of any technology used in a business is that automation applied to an efficient operation will magnify the efficiency. The second is that automation applied to an inefficient operation will magnify the inefficiency. Long SPX = Long Human Innovation and Business Ingenuity!
CBOE:SPXLong
by noam_chom
1
Battle of the New EV NASDAQ ComponentsLucid and Rivian, both new components of the NASDAQ:NDX , have been showing up on the High-Volume Institutional Activity recently. NASDAQ:LCID has the beginnings of a bottom attempt developing with a Dark Pool buy zone emerging, but it's been slow-going for this EV company. Professional short-term trading is evident in the current run up, as it is in other EV companies this week, spurred by the bankruptcy of Lordstown Motors, many would say. NASDAQ:RIVN has a clearer Dark Pool buy zone developing at this bottoming level with the same Pro Trader footprint in the current run up. This type of bottom formation provides a sturdier support level--evidence of more conviction from the institutions? Both stocks have a lot of work to do to complete their bottoms for more than short-term trading at this time. Resistance AND competition are heavy ahead, as it's still early days in the race to dominance in EV Auto Manufacturing.
NASDAQ:LCID
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
12
NASDAQ: Hasn't yet completed its technical pullback.Nasdaq has been pulling back since the June 16th High, which was a HH on the Channel Up pattern, but this sequence isn't yet completed. The 1D time frame remains technically bullish (RSI = 62.049, MACD = 275.090, ADX = 32.676) but the price hasn't yet reached neither the bottom of the Channel Up nor the 4H MA50. We remain short targeting that level (TP = 14,600) where we will turn bullish again (TP = 15,250) unless the 1D candle closes under the 4H MA50, in which scenario we will re-sell and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 14,300). The 1D RSI however made a hit and rebound on the HL trendline that is in effect since December 28th 2022, so it is possible to see a rebound without going lower, so in that case only buy after the R1 breaks and target the R2 (16,000). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
13
NASDAQ Two sell opportunities and a common buyNasdaq hit the MA50 (4h) today and crossed over the short term Channel Down as well, but the candle closed back inside the Channel and under the MA50. This is a sell indication and unless it closes above it, we expect a test of the MA200 (4h) given the fact that the MA100 is already broken. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price or at Resistance (1). 2. Buy on the MA200 (4h). Targets: 1. 14550 and 14600 respectively (hit on the MA200 4h). 2. 15285 (Resistance 2 and Highs of March 29th 2022 and more recently June 16th 2023). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is on a Rising Support, indicating a Bullish Divergence in contrast to the price's Channel Down. Attention is needed as this may indicate a bullish reversal for the index, so careful with shorting above Resistance 1. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingBrokersView
4
What is the $VIX showing us?Good Morning SMALL THREAD While we did call the NASDAQ:NDX weakness & top, at that time we didn't think it would be as bad as it got, at least I didn't. Last year we really thought TVC:VIX would break out & the markets would collapse. Our original expectations didn't pan out but we, mostly I, changed as more data came in. We called a bunch of bounces & tops, ALL DOCUMENTED, BUT our best call was becoming BULLISH in late September on DJ:DJI & Bullish on NASDAQ:NDX in October. Since then we've been cautious Bull with a few bearish calls but ultimately, we were/are still bullish. During this time the TVC:VIX was forming a HUGE Symmetrical Triangle that we posted on countless times. We were biased and thought the TVC:VIX would break out and #stocks would be cremated. Obviously, were bullish after Sept 2022 but we thought there would be an eventual harsh crash that made 2022 like a walk in the park. When #VIX broke down we were SHOCKED! That's when we knew that the can was being kicked further down the road. There's a lot more at play that we've been discussing on occasion. SP:SPX has been on a tear but it is currently in a consolidation phase as seen on a daily chart. However, as you can see, RSI can remain overbought on a weekly for long periods of time. TVC:VIX is slowly closing in on a major support level. While it can break through, IMO, don't think it will do it the 1st time. #VIX will likely get a nice bounce. This bounce will likely be strong and could mean possible weakness for #stocks, soon.
CBOE:VIX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
From Inflation Figures to a Potential Bull TrapHello everybody! Today we will get the release of the inflation numbers, so I would like to give you a solid update! First of all, we are observing a gradual shift from bearish to bullish attitudes, particularly as the SPX is reaching the 4350-4400 mark, a target I previously highlighted multiple times on both Tradingview and Twitter. However, we must remain aware that the market could further extend up to 4450-4500 before peaking. For SPX the 4350-4400 zone was a key breakdown zone that was never retested, an FVG was formed which has now been filled. The NDX actually had some major gaps in this area, that have also been filled. The SPX is on the brink of becoming severely overbought at this juncture, while the NDX is clearly extremely overbought on the weekly timeframe. Whenever the Nasdaq 100 has gotten this overbought over the last few years, we have seen significant corrections follow. Also testing or going above the weekly and monthly R3 Fibonacci pivots is a sign that the market is at resistance and getting oversold on shorter timeframes too. The Russell 3000 is close to hitting a key resistance level, which is just a mere 2% away. While these indices could be close to a top, others, like CN50, DAX, Nikkei, and Russell 2000, indicate more upside. So, what's my projection for the near future? I foresee a final upward movement in stocks in the next two days. The reason for this prediction is the possibility of inflation coming in below expectations and a potential pause from the Fed without an interest hike. These circumstances could lead to a 2-3% market rally before a final short squeeze or bull trap. Even though the present market movement appears sustainable, with the rally seeming robust despite the market potentially being overbought and hitting key levels, I believe it may be time to consider taking profits, especially if we witness a significant move higher in the next 1-2 days. Inflation numbers are scheduled to be released today (or tomorrow), with expectations hovering around 4.1%. However, I expect the figure to be between 3.9-4%, as inflation is on a declining trend. This decline in inflation, coupled with a slowing housing market and rising recession probabilities, could have profound implications for the market. We've observed oil, wheat, and palladium prices dropping while copper remains flat or slightly down on the commodities front. I speculate that this might be the onset of deflation, possibly heralding the final disinflationary pressures.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by BitcoinMacro
1
AI boost US mega caps - Nasdaq, Russell 2000 Left in the ColdTech Surge: AI Stocks in the Limelight The performance of US stocks in the AI sector has been nothing short of remarkable, with over $3 trillion added to its market cap since the final quarter of 2022. The upward trend suggests further potential growth despite a broadly stable or mildly declining US stock market outside the US Megatech sector. The enduring climb of these stocks underscores the market's conviction in AI as a lasting, transformative force rather than a transient phenomenon. The US tech landscape had undergone a significant shift from a bleak outlook six to twelve months ago when technology was deemed insignificant, as currently, AI dominates the scene. The Tech Surge vs. Small Businesses: The Gap Widens The current market showcases a divide between big tech and smaller enterprises, with capital flows favoring the former. Coupled with potential deflation, this rift could intensify the struggles of smaller businesses. The thriving AI sector doesn't necessarily imply a positive outlook for smaller companies unrelated to AI in the upcoming 6-12 months. Acknowledging AI's transformative potential across industries like robotics, 3D printing, and crypto is vital. Even though a short-term crisis and job loss are on the horizon, the looming recession could present opportunities for buying cheap assets. In this unique period, reminiscent more of the 1940s and 1990s than the 2000s or the 1970s, a broader perspective, adaptability, and a positive mindset are necessary. Price action: Is the top near? Based on the Nasdaq 100 vs. Russell 2000 ratio, it's doubtful that the top is in. As you can see on the main chart, it's possible that a short-term top could be in, as NDX just filled a gap while sweeping several highs in the 14200-14300 area. However, this isn't the 2000s; this tech is more transformative. The world is ready to adopt it, and that's why ChatGPT was the fastest-adopted technology ever. Now the top 10 us tech companies have the best workforce, hardware, data, and customer base for AI; that's why they are leading the way, and they are unlikely to go down any time soon. That's confirmed by the ratio between NDX and RUT, which seems to have formed a massive cup and handle pattern that's about to break out. Maybe the current rally slows down a bit, but it's not impossible to see it accelerate rather than decelerate. The S&P 500 seems to be at least 1% higher until it hits the next resistance, but my key target has been 4350 for a long time. Once it hits it, a more substantial correction could come, even though I think it would take the SPX to 4000 at best. As for Russell 2000 looks very weak, and I think it will sweep its double bottom and fill the critical gap lower. Sentiment remains bearish For many months, on Tradingview and Twitter, I've been talking about how bearish people are, how inflation is coming down, liquidity is trending higher, and so on... yet nobody wants to hear about it. Everyone wants to talk about the ongoing or upcoming recession, and they consider AI a fad. Even after this move higher, sentiment hasn't changed, and it's getting more bearish, with people trying to short the rally, as they are angry for missing the boat. We can see that in CoT data, we can see on Twitter polls, and I can see it based on what people say on social media. Potential strategies In my opinion, it is either best to ride the trend with a small position and a wide-stop loss or wait for the market to hit key resistance, and either potentially short there if sentiment flips bullish or wait for the pullback and then go long. Although the long Nasdaq short Russell trade could have some juice left in the short term (very bullish long term), I wouldn't rush to put that trade on, as the Russell could play catch up (in the short term), as we see traders/investors diversify as they take profits from their tech stocks. These stocks are cheap and seem more 'hated' than those US mega caps. Higher interest rates and shrinking liquidity significantly affect small caps, and their situation could deteriorate. It's clear we are either in a recession or about to enter one, and these stocks have the most to lose. Therefore, once these stocks rally, especially if they outperform NDX, consider entering a long Nasdaq - short Russell trade. This trade might not work only if many large countries start banning those companies and their products or if the US starts attacking them for being too large. Until then, the ratio has higher to go.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by BitcoinMacro
NASDAQ Final pull back pending unless the 1day MA50 breaks.Nasdaq / US100 hit the top of the long term Channel Up and Resistance A (March 2022 top) and got rejected. Based on the previous Higher Highs, the rejection should form a Channel Down / Bear Flag. According to that, there is one final pull back pending to 14730. Buy it and target 15500. If anyhow the price crosses under the 1day MA50 or closes the 1day candle under the 0.786 Fibonacci level, sell and aim at the 1day MA100 that is unchallenged since March 13th. There return to buying, which is also the bottom of the long term Channel Up, and target 15500. The RSI's Rising Support can be used as a great additional indication of a buy (hold) or sell (break) inside this long term Channel Up. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheCryptagon
Weekly Update: Has the Nasdaq Topped?The Nasdaq market has been the most impulsive looking of the indices. Having stretched slightly above the .786% retracement off the move down from November 2021 highs to the October 2022 lows, price looks to challenge the overall bearish structure. Unlike the other indices, the Nasdaq shows a clear impulsive structure. However, the problem with this idea of the NQ reaching all time highs is much the same story in all the other indices. The manner in which price started this rally off the October lows. In my opinion, it continues to tell the tale of this type of price action. One would expect a move to new highs starting off with an impulsive 5-wave structure. In the NQ, the only potential bullish structure off the lows is a leading diagonal. Although it is a motive wave and a push to new highs starting off with a diagonal is valid, diagonals tend to be highly unreliable structures. Therefore, I have to maintain that this move higher is still a B-wave counter trend rally that reconciles eventually in the 7000-9000 sometime next year. Although it is possible to retrace some and make one more high as displayed in my purple labeling, I now have a full count to the upside. Therefore, I will maintain this purple alternative count as long as price is above 14250. Below 14250, and my expectation is to ultimately resolve this larger bearish structure at far lower levels.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by maikisch
NASDAQ: Correction aiming at the 4H MA200.Nasdaq reached the R1 (15,300) last week, a highly important benchmark as it is the March 2022 Top. Being overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 71.117, MACD = 398.240, ADX = 42.100), the current correction comes as a natural consequence. The target is the bottom of the three month Channel Up. Ideally we aim at the 4H MA200 (TP = 14,600), which has been previously tested and held as Support on May 4th and April 25th. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
6
NASDAQ Rejection on March 2022 High gives a strong sell signalNasdaq got rejected exactly upon touching the 15285 Resistance for the first time since the High of March 29th 2022. This is a strong sell signal and can be confirmed after the RSI (1d) crosses under the MA line. The long term pattern is a Channel Up since the beginning of March and the MA50 (1d) has been intact since March 15th, which makes the index exceedingly overbought. Trading Plan: 1. Sell after the RSI (1d) crosses under the MA (white line). Targets: 1. 14300 (Channel Up bottom and near Support 1). 2. Extend to 13520 only if we close a (1d) candle under the MA50 (1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is printing a pattern similar to the tops of February 2nd and March 31st. Both reached the 1.618 Fibonacci level, which was our target on our last Nasdaq call (see chart below). 2. If we do break below the MA50 (1d), the MA100 (1d) could be a valid target as it has been untouched since January 20th. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingBrokersView
12