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Nasdaq100

Nasdaq-100 Index. Meet and Greet March Quarter Earnings Season.US stock indices, including the benchmark American economy S&P500 index (SPX) and US BigTech Nasdaq-100 index (NDX), are retreating from their yearly highs, moving to a more aggressive decline last Friday, April 12. Investors digest the first portion of earnings reports for March quarter 2024 - traditionally starting with financial sector Earnings reports. New Earnings season has begun! Perfect! Well... sounds good. Anyway... JPMorgan (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) reported first-quarter earnings that beat forecasts, but a large number of persistent inflation pressures are still building and continuing. JPMorgan CEO James "Jamie" Dimon warned that while the stock market is healthy and most economic indicators look favorable, there are still significant risks that could arise at any time. "Looking ahead, we remain alert to a number of significant uncertain forces. First, the global landscape is troubled, horrific wars and violence continue to cause suffering, and geopolitical tensions are rising. Second, there appear to be a large number of persistent inflationary pressures. Pressure that is likely to continue," - Dimon said on the conference call. On the inflation front, US import prices rose for the third straight month in March, slightly above the consensus forecast of 0.4% month-on-month. Almost all of the rise in import prices was driven by the recent rise in oil prices. The fight against inflation - which has transformed into a classic chronic illness from a relatively minor cyclical problem driven by a low Covid-19 base - appears to have reached a stalemate, and the first rate cut will not occur until December, Bank of America (BAC) now says. Despite the fact that at the beginning of 2024, the market was almost 100% confident that at least one rate cut would take place by the June FOMC meeting, and by the December meeting, the number of rate cuts could reach three. Monetary easing by June is looking more and more like an unattainable dream, tempered by the latest data. Recent inflation data, while in line with expectations, doesn't give the Federal Reserve much reason to rush. But if the central bank doesn't cut rates by June, it will likely delay any cuts until March 2025, Bank of America strategists said. In reality, long-term forecasting of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy curve is not an easy task, given that only forecasts for the next FOMC meeting, which is scheduled for May 1, and for which the market does not factor in a change in interest rates, can be relatively reliable. Of much greater significance is that the same arguments and theses that are presented in the reports of the largest American banks - the locomotive of the American economy - may find their repetition or imitation in Earnings reports for Q1'2024 of dozens and hundreds of other companies over the next two-three months. Technically, the main chart of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) featured in the idea is in a long-term positive trend of a weakly rising channel, above its 5-year SMA. At the same time, taking into account the possibility of escalation of macroeconomic and political risks, one cannot exclude the prospect of its decline to the lower border of the channel - down to the levels of 12,500 - 13,000 points. Also lets take into account the fact that the entire 10-12 percent Nasdaq-100 increase from Q4'21 highs to nowadays can be easily represented as the transposition of a 200% increase in the shares of only one company - Nvidia (with its near 6% allocation in the index), - which increased in price from $320 to over $960 per share over the same period of time - from Q4'21 by Q1'24.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Pandorra
👀 Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick PatternThree Black Crows is a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend. Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red. The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive long-body candles that opened with a gap above or inside the real body of the previous candle, but ultimately closed lower than the previous candle. Often traders use this indicator in combination with other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm a reversal. Key points 👉 Three Black Crows is a Bearish candlestick pattern used to predict a reversal to a current uptrend, used along with other technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI). 👉 The size of the Three black crow candles, timeframe they appeared on, the gaps when they opened, the downward progression sequence, as well as their shadows can be used to judge whether there is a risk of a pullback on a reversal. 👉 The “Three Black Crows” pattern should be considered finally formed after the sequential closure of all three elements included in it. 👉 The opposite pattern of three black crows is three white soldiers, which indicates a reversal of the downward trend. But maybe more about that another time. Explanation of the Three Black Crows pattern Three Black Crows is a visual pattern, which means there is no need to worry about any special calculations when identifying this indicator. The Three Black Crows pattern occurs when the bears outperform the bulls over three consecutive trading bars. The pattern appears on price charts as three bearish long candles with or without short shadows or wicks. In a typical Three Black Crows appearance, bulls start the time frame with the opening price or gap up, that is, even slightly higher than the previous close, but throughout the time frame the price declines to eventually close below the previous time frame's close. This trading action will result in a very short or no shadow. Traders often interpret this downward pressure, which lasted across three time frames, as the start of a bearish downtrend. Example of using Three black crows As a visual pattern, it is best to use the Three Black Crows as a sign to seek confirmation from other technical indicators. The Three Black Crows pattern and the confidence a trader can put into it depends largely on how well the pattern is formed. Three Black Crows should ideally be relatively long bearish candles that close at or near the lowest price for the period. In other words, candles should have long real bodies and short or non-existent shadows. If the shadows are stretching, it may simply indicate a slight change in momentum between bulls and bears before the uptrend reasserts itself. Using trading volume data can make the drawing of the Three Black Crows pattern more accurate. The volume of the last bar during an uptrend leading to the pattern is relatively lower in typical conditions, while the Three Black Crows pattern has relatively high volume in each element of the group. In this scenario, as in our case, the uptrend was established by a small group of bulls and then reversed by a larger group of bears. Of course, this could also mean that a large number of small bullish trades collide with an equal or smaller group of high volume bearish trades. However, the actual number of market participants and trades is less important than the final volume that was ultimately recorded during the time frame. Restrictions on the use of three black crows If the "Three Black Crows" pattern has already shown significant downward movement, it makes sense to be wary of oversold conditions that could lead to consolidation or a pullback before further downward movement. The best way to assess whether a stock or other asset is oversold is to look at other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI), moving averages, trend lines, or horizontal support and resistance levels. Many traders typically look to other independent chart patterns or technical indicators to confirm a breakout rather than relying solely on the Three Black Crows pattern. Overall, it is open to some free interpretation by traders. For example, when assessing the prospects of building a pattern into a longer continuous series consisting of “black crows” or the prospects of a possible rollback. In addition, other indicators reflect the true pattern of the three black crows. For example, a Three Black Crows pattern may involve a breakout of key support levels, which can independently predict the start of a medium-term downtrend. Using additional patterns and indicators increases the likelihood of a successful trading or exit strategy. Real example of Three black crows Since there are a little more than one day left before the closing of the third candle in the combination, the candlestick combination (given in the idea) is a still forming pattern, where (i) each of the three black candles opened above the closing price of the previous one, that is, with a small upward gap, (ii ) further - by the end of the time frame the price decreases below the price at close of the previous time frame, (iii) volumes are increased relative to the last bullish time frame that preceded the appearance of the first of the “three crows”, (iv) the upper and lower wicks of all “black crows” are relatively short and comparable with the main body of the candle. Historical examples of the Three Black Crows pattern In unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, the Three Black Crows pattern is generally quite common. The weekly chart of the S&P500 Index (SPX) below, in particular, shows the occurrence of the pattern in the period starting in January 2022 and in the next 15 months until April 2023 (all crows combinations counted at least from 1-Month High). As it easy to notice, in each of these cases (marked on the graph below) after the candlestick pattern appeared, the price (after possible consolidations and rollbacks) tended to lower levels, or in any case, sellers sought to repeat the closing price of the last bar in series of the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern. Bottom Line 👉 As well as in usage of all other technical analysis indicators, it is important to confirm or refute its results using other indicators and analysis of general market conditions. 👉 Does History repeat itself? - Partially, yes.. it does. This is all because financial markets (as well as life) is not an Endless Rainbow, and after lovely sunny days, earlier or later, dark clouds may appear again, and again.
SP:SPXEducation
by Pandorra
Nasdaq and Indices Lower on Middle East conflictNasdaq keeps pushing bearish as the stock indices struggle to deal with rising tensions and conflict in the middle east. The Monthly/Weekly timeframes .. everything is bearish. As we head into the close of the week I'm anticpating a further push bearish. The previous 4hr candle closed a shooting star candle.. this coincided with the 1hr timeframe rejecting a 1hr resistance zone,17,397. The market dropped and really disliked the Israel strikes from 12 hours ago. We have bearish momentum , anticpating a retest of daily support level 17,164. The weekly candle will likely keep pulling down to finish off the candle. Vix volatility index gapped way up overnight due to war conflicts and this signals more puts being bought and therefore more anticpated downside on the Indices.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by ShrewdCatfx
NAS100We were triggered and stopped out but we did fair. DAILY Kept falling and dragging down and tested around the support level, 17070 around here. We have a test candle which shows that our test level was correct. 4H Price is testing again (in correction) so we stay waiting and watching for either the break (impulsively) or the reversal impulsively. This is where we will get more information to lay forward our case. 1H Reject before 17500 is where we would believe that our correction has ended, break through here means we wait even more.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Mhangwane1
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Price Breakdown Pre-CPI Today's focus: Nasdaq Pattern – Range Support – 17,832 Resistance – 18,355 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily. Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish? Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on the CPI and minutes front maintain buyer control? We have run over the primary levels and are currently holding the price. Depending on what we see from the CPI, could we see a new break that is lower or higher? Traders also have to be aware of false breakouts. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by Eightcap
US100/NASDAQ/USTECH/NDX100 Bullish Robbery planHello My dear Indices Traders, This is our Day Trade master plan to Heist Bullish side of US100 Market. my dear Looterss U can enter at the any point above my entered area, Our target is Red Zone that is Hgh risk Reversal area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop. My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Thief_Trader
Nasdaq Prepares for Retracement Amidst USD MomentumThe Nasdaq, exhibits robust momentum as Friday begins However, signs indicate a potential retracement on the horizon, especially as observed in correlated pairs like EUR/USD. A pullback would offer the Nasdaq, along with the DJ and S&P500 indices, an opportunity to consolidate before resuming upward movement. Market participants are bolstering their positions in the Greenback, anticipating the Federal Reserve to scale back its projected interest rate cuts from three to at most two. This shift is prompted by ongoing economic data signaling a healthy pace of growth in the US economy. Despite a lack of major economic releases scheduled for Friday, investors will closely monitor speeches from three US Federal Reserve officials. Foremost among them is Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, scheduled to address the market around 13:00 GMT. In summary, the Nasdaq prepares for a potential retracement amidst USD momentum, with investors eyeing upcoming Fed speeches for further market cues. This trading strategy is oriented towards scalping. Please ensure careful management of your funds if you decide to replicate our personal trading approach.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by FOREXN1
2
N1DAILY 18346, is our beautiful price of interest. We peak above and just below it. There it is a point where we will determine our next move. 18000, being the bounce price and now we are heading to our price of interest. We are anticipating a high yield tomorrow but we are not certain it won't fake out few times before the certain direction. 4H Double bottom and finally price has brought itself up to where the previous strong impulsive candle started, 18255. Which shows just how strong the bears pushed the bulls over the hill. Stay watching and waiting. 1H High highs and high lows but now we get around 18250 and we slow down again (resistance), we possibly could just melt again here before coming back up. Candles as well have short bodies and short wicks, indicating a high reversal chance. -Nas consolidation does not usually last long because there is volumes of volatility always. 15Min Break of 18210, I will look for sell opportunities
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Mhangwane1
End of five waves! Or a higher wave? Then correctionDear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by mehdi47abbasi79
Weekly outlook (Bullish market 5-3-5-3-5) long-termDear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by mehdi47abbasi79
Dow Jones Industrial Averages Weekly Technical Analysis(1) We have witnessed a sharp fall from 29,500 level in Feb’20. This was almost 38% fall from the top. Market had gone in a oversold zone. (2) Around 18,300 level, price found a support and bounced back from this level. (3) With an upside rally, price managed to breakout its previous resistance. (4) After the breakout, we have seen a sharp upside rally further and the price reached at 36,950 level. (5) A corrective decline has been seen from there and the price started making lower highs and lower lows at reached to 28,800 level. (6) Price again bounced back from there and gave a upside move. (7) In this entire consolidation phase, a Cup & Handle chart pattern has been formed, which gave us positive indication. (8) With a strong breakout of the Cup & Handle pattern, price started its journey upside. (9) Currently the price is standing near its All Time High. More upside move is expected from here.
TVC:DJI
by NaranjCapital
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 Index in 1 Hour Time Frame(1) In hourly time frame, we can observe that the price was moving through a parallel channel in upward direction. (2) From upside, 18,400 level is performing as a strong resistance and the price couldn’t sustain above this level. (3) 17,800 level is an immediate support for the price as the price has taken support in here for multiple times. (4) Recently with a gap down, price is currently trading below its trend line support level. (5) There is a possible chance that the price again can come to its support zone and bounce back from here.
NASDAQ:NDX
by NaranjCapital
N1WEEKLY Highest high, peak, top price. 18467, we bouncing around these areas and that is indication of more bulls to come. For now it's first a matter of getting momentum to go. DAILY 18300 being the strong level of rejection with wicks all over the place is signs of reversals we would anticipate them going down and falling hard. 4H Aiming down, possibly to 17900. But it's not conclusive as all the slowing down (wicks, spinning tops, dojis) all show reversals of current price and rejection so we'll wait. 1H Bounce of 18180 will give us the idea we need for the next move. 15Min Bad trade idea so rather stay waiting
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Mhangwane1