SOXS Bearish Leveraged semi-conductors ETFNVDA turned down today while SOXS rose a bit. On the 30 minute chart is shown to have
have been trending down but then reversed in the after-hours trading period albeit with
the low volumes typical of after-hours. The relative volatility indicator however showed
a dramatic reversal and will be beyond the moving average within the indicator.
Overall, I see this as a day trade for June 27th. I have marked out a tight stop loss to minimize
risk. This trade which I will enter in the premarket is expectant for 8-9% profit and so
a reward to risk of 15:1
MU
Short Semiconductors by Trading SOXS LongThis chart shows the long-term ratio between SOXL/SOXS. The intent is to detect reversals
between semi-conductors long and short. At the pivot high, the price of SOXL compared with
SOXS is at its highest. With a retreat from the pivot high, the price of SOXL is retreating while
SOXS is rising. Historically in 2022 as shown on the chart, pivots were with a ratio of 1,25 to
2,35 while the low pivots were with a ratio of 0.2 to 0.6.
At present SOXL has run up and over-extended as part of the AI breakout phenomenon. The
ratio of 1.8 is in the reversal zone where SOXL price is dropping while SOXS price begins
a significant rise. At present, the mass index is above 27 and awaiting a drop below 26.5.
The second indicator rate of change (ROC) detects spikes in the SOXL /SOXS ratio presumptive
for a pivot. The last time SOXS ran up over a long term ( with SOXL turning down)
was August to October when price increased from $33 to $88 representing a 266% rise.
I see this as a prior supertrend that could now be repeated again.
In conclusion, this idea leads me to take a swing long position is SOXS which I expect to
trend up over a period of a couple of months or more.
PATH - Rising Volume Lifts PricesOn the 4H chart PATH was on a trend down in April. The strength momentum ( green band) was
in a narrow range. In May as can be seen on the indicators, both volume and more especially
volatility have increased significantly. The chart pattern is now that of an upward facing
megaphone reflecting the volatility. The strength momentum band is much wider. Price
is above the POC line of the volume profile reflecting a bullish dominance. Fundamentally,
PATH is a player is the exploding AI subsector. Cathie Wood is quietly accumulating shares for
her ETFs as are many other large portfolio investors. In summary, PATH appears to be
an excellent long setup. Sitting in the shadows of NVDA, MU, TSM and others whose focus is
hardware, PATH provides software and services it. Its path to hypergrowth and so price
appreciation appears to be abundantly clear.
NVDA can it fall from the ceiling after EarningseOn the 2hr chart, NVDA popped from earnings over 20% putting with a PE Ratio sky high
on the promise of semiconductor heaven and AI ecstasy. Can it stay there ? Will it lead
other technology companies ( semiconductors / cloud services / AI et cetera) higher
as well ? Is it now overbought and looking at a glass ceiling? The indictors suggest a near-term
top, I think. ( Money Flow Index. Stochastic RSI ). Accordingly, I will buy put options
striking $ 400 for expiration 7/21 and be quick to take profits expecting NVDA to
equilibrate in less than a week. In th meanwhile, I will hdege by keeping my AMD
and MU call options open figuring that they will jump up as copy cats of this move.
I will cut them loose as soon as price action and a loss of volume suggest retracement as well.
I see buyers who got in late with high FOMO to be the lad sellers fueling the put options
into easy profit.
ASML makes the technology that makes semiconductorsASML is shown here on the one-hour chart as having a great quarter with consecutive favorable
earnings It has moved above the blue volume trading range on the profile. The accumulation
distribution indicator shows persistent and high accumulation. The volume heat map shows
recent heat volume spikes. Since ASML has products essential to chip- manufacturing and is the
leader in its field it is very well positioned for the AI boom that is underway according to all
the chatter. ASML is one of the IBD Top 50 tech stocks. If the chart is zoomed out, there is a
rising wedge which might be a bit of bearish bias. Overall, I see this as a long setup worth
buying.
Update $MU , Analysing Trends, Patterns, and IndicatorsGreetings, fellow traders! I am thrilled to present my analysis and insights on TradingView, where I will be sharing trend analysis, chart patterns, and technical indicators to help you navigate the exciting world of the stock market. It's important to note that I maintain a neutral stance and base my decisions solely on identifying promising opportunities.
As an observer of market trends, my goal is to provide you with comprehensive and visually appealing charts that showcase the potential opportunities I see. Please remember that I am not a financial advisor, and any investment decisions you make should be thoroughly researched and evaluated based on your own risk tolerance and financial goals.
In each analysis, I will walk you through the patterns and indicators I have identified, highlighting key support and resistance levels, trendlines, and other critical technical aspects. My approach is to objectively present the information and allow you to interpret it as you see fit. Whether you choose to go long or short in the stock market is entirely up to you.
My main focus is to share the knowledge and insights I have gained from studying charts and technical analysis. By doing so, I hope to contribute to your trading journey and help you become a more informed and confident trader. It is important to continuously learn and adapt to the ever-changing dynamics of the market.
I invite you to join me on this exciting journey as we explore the fascinating world of trading together. Feel free to provide feedback, ask questions, and share your own perspectives in the comments section. Your engagement and participation are greatly appreciated.
Remember, trading carries risks, and it is essential to conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. I am here to provide information, but the responsibility lies with each individual trader to make their own choices.
Thank you for taking the time to explore my charts. I hope you find value in the insights I share, and may they contribute to your trading success. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The analysis and opinions expressed here are solely based on my observations and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
Long Trade in MUMicron is a semiconductor stock riding some of the momentum from yesterday’s earnings beat at Nvidia.
Notice the textbook breakout pattern that has formed over the last three months – a series of shallowing retracements with resistance at $64.
The 200-day moving average is finally turning up and other MA's are properly stacked and trending higher.
This is the first breakout into a new Stage 2 uptrend which is exactly where I like to buy. Look to build a position in the mid $60s if possible.
The trade sours if it closes below its 50-day moving average (red line on chart) which is currently around $62 and rising.
Analysing Trends, Patterns, and IndicatorsGreetings, fellow traders! I am thrilled to present my analysis and insights on TradingView, where I will be sharing trend analysis, chart patterns, and technical indicators to help you navigate the exciting world of the stock market. It's important to note that I maintain a neutral stance and base my decisions solely on identifying promising opportunities.
As an observer of market trends, my goal is to provide you with comprehensive and visually appealing charts that showcase the potential opportunities I see. Please remember that I am not a financial advisor, and any investment decisions you make should be thoroughly researched and evaluated based on your own risk tolerance and financial goals.
In each analysis, I will walk you through the patterns and indicators I have identified, highlighting key support and resistance levels, trendlines, and other critical technical aspects. My approach is to objectively present the information and allow you to interpret it as you see fit. Whether you choose to go long or short in the stock market is entirely up to you.
My main focus is to share the knowledge and insights I have gained from studying charts and technical analysis. By doing so, I hope to contribute to your trading journey and help you become a more informed and confident trader. It is important to continuously learn and adapt to the ever-changing dynamics of the market.
I invite you to join me on this exciting journey as we explore the fascinating world of trading together. Feel free to provide feedback, ask questions, and share your own perspectives in the comments section. Your engagement and participation are greatly appreciated.
Remember, trading carries risks, and it is essential to conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. I am here to provide information, but the responsibility lies with each individual trader to make their own choices.
Thank you for taking the time to explore my charts. I hope you find value in the insights I share, and may they contribute to your trading success. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The analysis and opinions expressed here are solely based on my observations and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
MU - Breakout Falling Trend Channel- MU has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
- MU is moving within a rectangle formation between support at 59.43 and resistance at 64.83.
- MU has given a positive signal from the rectangle formation by a break up through the resistance at 63.13.
- The stock is testing resistance at 64.00.
- Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU on my last signal:
Then you should know that looking at the MU Micron Technology options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $60 strike price Puts with
2023-5-19 expiration date for about
$3.60 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Micron Announces Layoffs for 2023; Sales Could Dive 50%Semiconductor company Micron Technology (MU) just announced it will cut 10% of its workforce in 2023 as it braces for revenue to drop more than 50%. Micron's revenue is not the only thing at risk of dropping next year though -- its stock price could be starting what may ultimately end up being a years-long descent.
The above yearly chart (also reproduced below) shows that Micron's price was rejected at a major resistance level.
The Stochastic RSI shows that yearly momentum is beginning to roll over from overextended levels. This is quite bearish looking.
The combination of Micron's price being rejected from a major resistance level and momentum rolling over on the yearly chart could signify that Micron is entering a period of prolonged decline.
This trend, however, is not unique to Micron. In one of my prior posts, I explain that the entire S&P 500 is at risk of further decline. (See below post for more details)
Yet, not all hope is lost. On the quarterly timeframe, Micron's price is potentially forming bullish reversal candles at the mean of its regression channel.
For those who are unfamiliar with a regression channel, it simply indicates how far above or below the mean (or average) price an asset's current price is trading. In the regression channel above, the red line is the mean price, the upper channel line is 2 standard deviations above the mean, and the lower channel line is 2 standard deviations below the mean. Unlike trendlines, price can rise above or fall below the regression channel lines and not invalidate them.
If Micron's price can find support and reverse at the mean, perhaps the long-term upward trend will continue.
Of note, Micron's price is also generally quite correlated with that of Bitcoin, as shown below.
What might Micron's nosediving revenue prediction mean for Bitcoin?
MU: Reacting at a SUPPORT LEVEL!• MU is reacting this week, but the trend is still bearish;
• MU is doing lower highs/lows, and in theory, it is seeking the next support at $46.23 (red line);
• Could MU bounce from here? Yes, and this week is doing a bullish reaction, but it must close above the $51.30 again in order to recover to the $58 - $60 area again;
• By closing above $51.30, MU will trigger a false breakout from a previous support level. Along with the recent increase on the volume, this might be what it takes for MU to recover;
• MU is a promising stock, but for now, it must do better signs in order to become attractive again.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
NVDA possible Breakdown before EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA on the daily chart appears to have formed a flat top triangle
with the trendlines drawn onto the chart. Price appears to
be falling outside the ascending support line before upcoming
earnings. Will NVDA rise to regain support or breakdown further?
Micron Technology re-testing breakout level?Micron Technology
Short Term
We look to Sell at 66.59 (stop at 70.43)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. The medium term bias remains bearish. Choppy price action seen. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 52.19 and 41.09
Resistance: 66.00 / 75.00 / 96.45
Support: 51.50 / 46.00 / 30.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SOXS to SOXL ratio DAILY CHARTAMEX:SOXL
This chart strives to setup a trading plan where the SOXS and SOXL
are oscillated. They are 3X leveraged ETFs with great range.
SOXS was up 400% YTD at its peak. The new CHIPS
ACT is a catalyst for US semiconductor manufactures
Right now the ratio is on a downtrend, meaning Sell SOXS
or BUY SOXL or a combination of each.
I believe that this strategy could yield 5X annually
to investors or long-term swing traders with little effort
especially if an alert is employed to notify the ratio
is changing trend direction at a pivot.
The timeframe could be lower but then the number
of trades is likely to increase as is the amount
of profit. This could be backtested by those
familiar with the mechanics of doing so.