Bullish Breakouts on 4hour Swing Range
All 3 pairs BTC / BNB / SOL could have had the last dip , before breaking out of this 4hour range .
Strong Bull structure on Daily+4H and even 15mins except BNB that broke it .
If we fail to breakout, and break 4hour range lows, then we might see bearish rallies.
Disclaimer This is only an idea and part of trades that I am doing myself and in no way you should follow this blindly. Use risk management in futures trading.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Bullish Bounceback for BNB
On daily charts, BNB hit a supply Zone and had been reacting to come towards the New Bullish Swing range.
As of now reacting on 50% retracement zone && the POC of Fixed Range VP.
Overall the bias is bullish as price has been crossing above the Weak Swing highs , while creating Stronger Lows, so we can look for buys in 50% equilibrium with Point of interests.
Going into 4hour, shows that last week's demand zones have been liquidated and price came down to test FVG.
1st scenario is we mitigate this demand zone.
2nd scenario is we go further down below in 70% discounted zone to mitigate the original Demand zone that created this Swing. It also has a Daily FVG sitting above it. Chances of this are less as this would create a deep pullback, not in line with the strong uptrend of BNB.
for Long entries wait for Demand Zone to be in effect in 4hour timeframe.
Disclaimer - Always apply your own confluences and use risk management for safe trading.
GBPZAR: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (6D) - DT (WEALTH TRADE ALERT-ADD ON)✨ GBPZAR: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (6D) ✨ (DOWNTREND) - ADD-ONS
SLO2 @ 24.67655 - TRIGGERED
SLO1 @ 24.5533 - TRIGGERED
SSO @ 23.70571 - TRIGGERED
SLO1 (add-on) @ 24.2650 - TRIGGERED
SLO1a @ 24.1300 ⏳ (NEW ADD-ON)
SLO1a @ 24.0008 ⏳ (NEW ADD-ON)
SLO1a @ 23.5800 ⏳ (NEW ADD-ON)
TP1 @ 21.85735
TP1a @ 20.8375 (secret TP)
TP2 @ 19.1600
TP2a @ 18.2500 (secret TP)
TP2b @ 17.4500 (secret TP)
TP3 @ 17.39266
TP4 @ 16.9700 (secret TP)
BLO1 @ 16.96808⏳ (DO NOT SET!!! - ONLY PLACE PRICE ALERT)
🔑
BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER
ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME
SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER
SSO = SELL STOP ORDER
TP = TAKE PROFIT
NOTE: This trade has been active for me for some time now. All current active orders are identified as triggered above. I'm sharing my personal trade(s) and just allowing for accountability and skill testing/training for myself. THIS IS NOT FOR EVERYONE!!! THIS IS A WEALTH TRADE! I WILL GIVE THESE ADD ONS AS ANTICIPATORY MOVES I'M PERSONALLY MAKING.
Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day):
— Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames.
— Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis.
— Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight.
— Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Daily Market UpdateFriday 13 December 2024
Gift Nifty was showing a 100 points gap down opening for the index. Nifty opened with 50 points gap down and fell 186 points (-0.76%) in the first hour. In the second hour, the index fell another -0.71% to 24180, the day’s low from where the recovery started. The second hour closed with a loss of 74 points (-0.30%) at 24278, just above the support of 24250. Then the market rallied in the third hour. It rose 281 points (1.16%) in the third hour and then continued to rise with every passing hour. Day’s high was 24792 and the index closed the day with a gain of 219 points (0.89%) at 24768. I mentioned in my report on 4 December 2024 that till 24100 is intact, this is a buy on dips market. Today was a confirmation of that.
All the sectoral indexes had a similar pattern on the hourly and daily charts.
Even Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 had a similar pattern. For Midcap, I wrote yesterday that “It closed below the rising trendline from which it fell on 7 November 2024. After a one way upside move, there is a possibility for the index to retrace to 58000/57500 (-1.69%/-2.54%).” Midcap 100 bounced from the low of 58012, just above the first support of 58000. It closed the day flat.
For the Smallcap 100, yesterday I mentioned that “It is possible for the index to retrace to the level of 19000/18930 (-2.39%/-2.75%) before making a fresh upside move.” 19047 was the low for the day and it closed with a loss of -0.30%.
Biggest sectoral gainers for the day were FMCG 1.29%, Infra 1.19%, Private Bank 0.80%, IT 0.64%, Auto 0.48% and Energy 0.46%. Whereas the biggest losers were Metal -0.72%, Media -0.59%, Realty -0.44%, Pharma -0.32% and PSU Bank -0.18%.
Reliance was down -1.22% in the opening hour. In the second hour, it made a doji with the low at 1239. Then the stock rallied and closed at 1272, near day’s high, which was 1275. It gained 0.79% for the day and closed in green for the first time this week.
Cable One, Inc. ** Investment opportunity for the months ahead **
On the above 3-week chart price action has corrected 85%. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action is on legacy support from January 2016
3) No stock splits.
4) A near 300% forecast is made to broken market structure. The forecast is derived from the falling wedge.
5) A dividend of 2.81%
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long entry: Before end of year.
Return: 200%
BTC 1h updateAt 9 AM on December 13, the market established a balance. I'm anticipating the price to approach the resistance level at 100,480. At this point, we might experience either a false breakout or a genuine breakout. If a reliable upthrust occurs, it could present a favorable entry opportunity on the 5-minute chart. It's important to note that a spring pattern formed at the support level at 9 AM. Additionally, selling volume has been slightly lower than buying volume, and the approach to resistance has shown moderate strength. Let's remain patient and observe how the situation unfolds.
Altice USA, Inc to print disturbing gains of 500% ??** For the active investor — weeks and months ahead **
On the above 10 day chart price action has corrected 95% from $38 to $1.65 without the aid of stock splits. A number of reasons now exist to enter a long position. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support on past resistance confirms.
3) Regular bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action over a 3 month period.
4) No stock splits!
5) 10% short interest.After 95% correction, good luck with that.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide, please do you’re own due diligence
Timeframe for long: This year.
Return: 400-500%, no significant resistance until $12
Stop loss: elsewhere
ES going into CPICame back to analyze the ES pre-CPI one more time. I didn't manage to publish this prior to release, as the inflation data just came out as I'm typing this, but looks like CPI came in as expected so no surprises.
Ultimately, we did get a potential buy signal on Monday as I expected. It did come with a bit of a push down. I'm still not sure I want to go Long, especially as the ES contract is running on Z24, which will expire soon. The official expiry is the third Friday of the month, but depending on the broker it may cut you off a few days before that, so there isn't much time to hold that trade and the ESH25 contract coming in is already about 70 points higher than our current position.
I will likely look for entry into 6E or 6C contracts if they dip lower or show good data into entry points for even soft rebounds.
Look for potential disruptions if we get PPI higher than normal that mathematically shows CPE could come in higher than expected. Fed Decision is next week also, which may setup the sentiment going into long term planning of 2025.
Safe trading, and remember your risk management!
XAUUSD. Trading within the range.Hey traders and investors!
I expected a correction to 2605.31 and a good buyer's resumption last week, but the correction didn't happen. Let's look at the chart.
A range has formed on the daily timeframe. The upper boundary is 2721.42, and the lower boundary is 2536.855.
The buyer's vector 5-6 has reached the upper boundary of the range. The seller's vector 6-7 is now relevant, with potential targets at 2605.31 (2581.445, 2536.855).
There was a consolidation in the middle of the range, so a buyer's resumption may occur within the 2650-2627 range.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
XAU/USD 13 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday analysis played out with price targeting weak internal low at priced 2,700.810.
Price has just printed a further bearish iBOS.
Following bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low. You will note internal range has been significantly narrowed, however, price could print lower which would extend the depth of the internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to indicate pullback initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Mixed Feelings (Long or Short)Gold prices have been fluctuating within a range, showing a neutral trend. The price opened with a positive gap, rising from $2633 to $2676, and then corrected slightly to $2666.
The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is providing support at $2671, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding well above the 50 level, indicating a potential for further recovery.
For Market sentiment Gold buyers are still active, with the price attempting to resume its recovery above the monthly highs of $2726.
Key Levels: Resistance is seen at $2726 and $2750, while support levels are at $2671 and $2650.
Overall, the market is showing mixed signals, with both bullish and bearish factors at play. Keeping an eye on these key levels and indicators can help you make informed trading decisions.
XAUUSD - gold will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If it returns to the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zone.
1. UBS Gold Forecast:
UBS has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900. This prediction is based on factors such as the rising U.S. debt, strong demand from central banks, and declining interest rates. The institution also anticipates that U.S. inflation will decrease to 3% by the end of 2024, 2.6% by the end of 2025, and 2.5% throughout 2027. These figures are significantly higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, suggesting that persistent inflation may pose a significant obstacle to the Fed’s efforts to control it.
2. U.S. CPI Report:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November highlighted the persistence of inflationary pressures. However, the details of the report appeared somewhat reassuring. CIBC Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 0.25% in its December meeting, though subsequent rate cuts may be delayed due to the economy’s continued growth.
3. Ray Dalio on Gold:
Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, referred to Bitcoin as a hard asset and stated that he prefers Bitcoin and gold over debt-based assets. He expressed concerns about a potential global debt crisis and emphasized the importance of shifting investments toward hard assets.
Dalio pointed to unprecedented levels of debt in major countries such as the U.S. and China, deeming these debt levels unsustainable.Speaking at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi, he remarked, “It is impossible for these countries to avoid a debt crisis in the coming years, which will likely lead to a significant depreciation of their currencies.”
4. Dalio’s Evolving Stance on Bitcoin:
Previously, Dalio believed that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin would not achieve the success many had hoped for. However, in recent years, he has become a prominent advocate of Bitcoin. In 2022, Dalio suggested allocating up to 2% of an investment portfolio to Bitcoin and gold as a reasonable strategy to combat inflation. He also reiterated his preference for gold over Bitcoin while emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification.
5. Peter Schiff’s Warning on Bitcoin:
Peter Schiff, a prominent gold advocate, has warned that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. could have negative consequences. On December 9, Schiff posted on the social media platform X, suggesting that the Biden administration should sell all Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government before leaving office. He stated, “This move would not only help reduce the 2024 budget deficit but also put an end to all the nonsense about establishing a ‘strategic reserve’ of Bitcoin, which is detrimental.”
GBPAUD - Employment in Australia is at good levels!The GBPAUD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of failure of this channel, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with appropriate risk reward. Continuing to move in the channel will pave the way for this currency pair to rise to the supply zone. Within the supply zone can look for GBPAUD sell positions.
1. Renewable Energy in the UK:
British ministers are preparing for the largest renewable energy subsidy auction in the country’s history to achieve the challenging goal of generating clean electricity by 2030. Ed Miliband, the Energy Secretary, is set to launch the “2030 Clean Electricity Action Plan” today, aiming to decarbonize the power system by the end of the decade. A recent auction secured funding for 131 clean energy projects, guaranteeing 9.6 gigawatts of energy capacity, enough to power 11 million homes. Government officials plan to hold the largest auction to date by 2025 to meet the 2030 target of at least 95% low-carbon electricity.
2. Trump’s Proposed Tariffs:
According to a Reuters survey, most economists believe that Trump’s proposed tariffs would have minimal impact on the UK economy. The survey revealed that the Bank of England is likely to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by 2025, with reductions probably occurring quarterly at 25 basis points each. Additionally, all 71 economists surveyed predicted that the central bank would hold the interest rate steady at 4.75% during its December 19 meeting.
3. Challenges in AI Oversight:
The UK is facing challenges in its efforts to expand global oversight of artificial intelligence. The country aims to strengthen its “Artificial Intelligence Safety Institute” (AISI) and solidify its position as a leading institution in researching AI risks. However, plans to open a new office in San Francisco have been delayed due to elections in the US and the UK, as well as hiring challenges.
4. London’s IPO Market Decline:
The London Stock Exchange, once a leading and prestigious center for initial public offerings (IPOs), has now fallen to 20th place among global markets, recording none of the top 100 IPOs in 2024. Markets like Oman, Malaysia, and Luxembourg have outperformed London in attracting IPO capital. The outflow of companies from the London Stock Exchange has also risen, exacerbated by 41 consecutive months of capital outflow from UK equity funds, increasing pressure on market brokers to merge or sell.
5. Australia’s Unemployment Rate:
Australia’s unemployment rate in November dropped to its lowest level in eight months, while employment continued its strong growth trend. This surprising strength led markets to reassess the likelihood of a rate cut in February, following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s unexpected dovish shift that hinted at potential monetary easing. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that the unemployment rate fell from 4.1% in October to 3.9% in November, the lowest since March. Analysts had expected unemployment to rise to 4.2%. The participation rate declined from 67.1% to 67.0%. Net employment in November increased by 35,600 compared to a revised figure of 12,200 in October, exceeding market expectations of a 25,000-job gain, driven largely by full-time employment growth.
ASX 200 futures look set to bounceThe Nasdaq reached a record high and the S&P 500 is close to reaching its own record high. So while the Dow was lower for a fourth day, 2 out of 3 indices rising could help support the ASX today.
It's been over a week since the ASX began retracing from its record high, and with prices now trying to form a base above the monthly pivot point and historical weekly VPOC (volume point of control), I'm now looking for longs.
The ASX has opened lower but remains within the overnight range. Assuming prices hold above the spike low, the bias is for a move higher to last week's VAL (value area low) or VPOC.