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Microsoft - H&S Fake Out to Make Out! 16% Upside🖐️ H5 TRADE - NASDAQ:MSFT There was to much going on to call out my exact entry on this at the retest area but to be fair I put it on everyone's watchlist a few weeks ago and said a retest would be a perfect entry. This will be different once the H5 Community is up and running as I will have a whole trade alerts channel were I post my trades and buy/sell notis right as after execution! With this trade we still have over 16% to run upward from here. So, up to you friends! Them and other Mag7 names held up really well during that flash crash and that is very bullish to me! Also, to throw in a learning lesson for all: Just because a charting pattern forms (H&S on MSFT) doesn't mean it's a trade you should enter! Always wait for breakouts and retest! If you struggle with that then you better beat it into your head and tape you hands underneath your desk! -H5 indicator is GREEN -Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout and retest -Launching off Volume shelf back to ATH and beyond -Bottom of the two year rising channel -Williams CB forming and believe we create support next week I consolidated the account yesterday into the best trades and saw this OLD SAFE n RELIABLE trade and chose to buy some options! 🔜🎯$466 🎯$512 ⏲️Before 05May2025 2 Contracts -$420 Calls for May 16th 2025 CB: $40.03 - Currently $43.75 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by RonnieV29
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
Microsoft (MSFT): What’s Next? Will It Break $455.34 Morning, Trading Family! Let’s Talk About Microsoft (MSFT): Will It Break $455.34 or Head Lower? Microsoft’s stock is at a key level, and the next move could set the tone for what’s ahead. The magic number right now is $455.34. Will we see a breakout to new highs, or could the price dip lower before bouncing back? Let’s break it down step by step so everyone’s ready! If Microsoft Breaks Above $455.34 If the stock moves above $455.34 and holds steady, it could signal that buyers are in control. What could happen? The price might head up toward $460 or even $465. These levels could be the next spots where the stock takes a breather. What should we watch? Look for strong movement above $455.34 with good trading volume (lots of action). If the price quickly dips back below, it could mean the breakout isn’t real yet. How can we trade it? If the price holds above $455.34, it might be a good time to think about buying with a target around $460. Just make sure to use a stop-loss in case the trade doesn’t go as planned. If Microsoft Drops Below $455.34 If the stock struggles to stay above $455.34, we could see a pullback. The first key level: Watch $449. This is the next area where buyers might step in to stop the price from falling. If $449 doesn’t hold: The price could drop further, landing somewhere in the $443–$438 range, where stronger support is likely. How can we trade it? Be patient! If the price dips, wait for signs that it’s stabilizing at a support level before making any moves. What If the Price Drops Below $438? If MSFT falls below $438, it could mean the stock is turning more bearish. At that point, we’ll need to step back and reassess the trend. Tips for Today’s Trading If you’re bullish: Wait for the price to break and hold above $455.34 before jumping in. If you’re bearish: Watch for a clean break below $449 for potential short opportunities. Always: Use stop-losses to protect yourself and trade with a plan! Bottom Line: The $455.34 level is the line in the sand. If we break above, it’s good news for the bulls. If not, we could see a dip to $449 or lower. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Microsoft - Short Term Top Formation!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) could create a short term correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Almost for the entire year of 2024, Microsoft has been moving sideways and respecting the upper channel resistance trendline. It is quite likely that we will see a correction, considering that buyers are still weak, before we then see the overall trend continuation. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
5
Microsoft: Progress!The Microsoft stock has now successfully completed wave B in turquoise at $444.95. So, now we locate the price in the subsequent wave C, which is set to finalize the overarching three-part wave in dark green. This suggests further declines, with an ideal low just below $400. Following the low of the overarching wave , Microsoft should initiate a new upward impulse. While there’s a 25% chance that wave alt. in dark green has already hit its low, this alternative scenario will only be confirmed if the stock breaks above $469.55.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarketIntel
IS THIS MAG7 DARLING ABOUT TO CRASH?!NASDAQ:MSFT 🔥 IS NASDAQ:MSFT ABOUT TO FALL OVER 21%?! 🔥 Let's not panic yet, but Microsoft's weekly charts are flashing some intriguing signals. Here’s the lowdown: As long as NASDAQ:MSFT stays within its symmetrical pattern, we’re in the clear. But if it breaks downward, we’re looking at a potential 6% drop from the Volume profile shelf and possibly a dangerous 22% plunge, breaking the 2024 Head & Shoulders pattern. Enter the "Low Five Setup"—the bearish counterpart to my "High Five Setup." Key factors to watch: - Williams %R: Lower High - MACD: Dangerously close to crossing below the zero line (BEARISH) - RSI: Below RSI MA with lower highs, at 46—lots of room before oversold - Trend: Lower high, red through yellow downward move indicating a downtrend on the weekly chart Microsoft has been Wall Street’s golden goose, untouched by the FUD that hit the MAG7 stocks. Apple had China FUD, Tesla faced the ELON BAD FUD, Google with AI SEARCH FUD, Amazon with spending and margins FUD, Meta with metaverse spending FUD, and Nvidia with growth concerns FUD. But as Willy Wonka taught us, every golden goose lays a bad egg sometimes. This is a weekly chart setup, so it will take time to play out. No one's immune to Wall Street’s FUD wrath, not even Microsoft. We shall see what happens... P.S. I’m not in this name yet—just putting it on your radar. We’re early to the party, just like I always am with my setups. If you’re still here, you value solid, well-thought-out market analysis. Props to you! Have a great Sunday, friends! 👊 Not Financial Advice #HighFiveSetup #LowFiveSetup
NASDAQ:MSFT
by RonnieV29
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method. The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements. This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy. The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart. Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future. It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits. Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits. Regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:MSFT
by VaidoVeek
20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence. A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft. Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump? I do. See you down there.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Tradius_Trades
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction! Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though! Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
Microsoft Soars on Cloud Momentum, Fueled by AIMicrosoft is experiencing a period of robust growth, driven by the accelerating adoption of its cloud computing services. The company's recent fiscal third-quarter results surpassed analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings, solidifying its position as a major player in the cloud wars. However, a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter has injected a note of caution. The cloud division, Azure, continues to be the crown jewel of Microsoft's growth strategy. Azure is experiencing significant momentum, capturing a growing share of the ever-expanding cloud market. This success can be attributed in part to Microsoft's strategic push towards artificial intelligence (AI). The company is heavily investing in AI research and development, recognizing its transformative potential across various industries. Microsoft's Azure platform provides a comprehensive suite of AI tools and services, allowing businesses to leverage AI capabilities for tasks like data analysis, machine learning, and intelligent automation. This focus on AI is proving to be a significant differentiator for Microsoft, attracting customers seeking to integrate cutting-edge AI solutions into their operations. One key indicator of Microsoft's commitment to AI is its increasing capital expenditures on securing Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs). GPUs are essential hardware components for training and running complex AI models, requiring immense processing power. By investing in this technology, Microsoft ensures it has the necessary infrastructure to support the ever-growing demand for AI services on its Azure platform. While Microsoft's financial performance is impressive, a slight concern arises from the company's guidance for the next quarter. Revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter is projected to be around $64 billion, falling short of the $64.5 billion analysts anticipated. This could potentially indicate a temporary slowdown in the overall growth trajectory. However, it's important to consider the broader market climate and potential external factors impacting revenue generation, such as fluctuations in global economic conditions. Despite this minor setback, Microsoft's long-term prospects remain positive. The company boasts a strong and diversified business model. Beyond the cloud, Microsoft continues to generate significant revenue from its traditional software products like the Office suite and Windows operating system. This diversification provides a safety net, mitigating risks associated with any potential fluctuations in a single market segment. Furthermore, Microsoft's commitment to innovation extends beyond just the cloud and AI. The company actively explores other high-growth areas like cybersecurity, gaming (Xbox), and mixed reality (HoloLens). These ventures have the potential to unlock new revenue streams and solidify Microsoft's position as a technological leader across diverse sectors. However, Microsoft faces challenges on its path to continued dominance. The cloud market is fiercely competitive, with Amazon Web Services (AWS) holding a significant market share. Microsoft must persistently innovate and improve its cloud services to maintain its competitive edge. Additionally, regulatory scrutiny regarding data privacy and antitrust concerns could pose obstacles for Microsoft's growth strategies. In conclusion, Microsoft is in a strong position, propelled by its flourishing cloud business and strategic investments in AI. While a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter introduces some caution, Microsoft's diversified business model and commitment to innovation position it well for long-term success. The company's ability to navigate the competitive landscape and address potential regulatory hurdles will be crucial in determining its continued dominance in the years to come.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by bryandowningqln
MICROSOFT $MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024MICROSOFT NASDAQ:MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $405.00 - $415.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $400.00 - $405.00 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $394.10 - $400.00 Weekly: Bullish Daily: DNT, Leaning Bearish 4H: DNT, Leaning Bearish Wanted to draw up NASDAQ:MSFT after seeing the ranging zone on the daily timeframe, figured I might be able to pick a few entries no matter which trend price breaks into. The bullish zone is expanded farther than I typically would have it because of how price is moving in the range and because there have been already been multiple tests to each level. Previous zones are labeled for reference. I would heavily rely on the 1H/15min timeframes for entries, and the Daily/4H timeframes for structure and zones to determine which direction I'm trading in. The weekly timeframe is bullish and the daily obviously has the sideways range as previously stated, but I would lean bearish because of the level breaks and structural breakdowns. The 4H is where I'm mainly looking, there was a strong bearish drop last Tuesday, March 5th. Price dropped from the bullish zone, straight through the DNT zone and right into the bearish zone. Price then tested and rejected the structural zone above (405.00 - 405.50), dropped to the bottom of the bearish zone (target 400.00), then broke back into the DNT area before rejecting the top level (409.30 - 410.10) and dropping back into the previous bearish zone (405.00), which is the current DNT zone (405.00). Although there is a lot of level breaks up and down through each zone, I am leaning bearish on the smaller timeframes due to how price has dropped and then retested as opposed to the bullish counterpart.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TonyAiello
Microsoft - It's That SimpleHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Microsoft. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2019 Microsoft stock started creating a major bullish trendline which was tested again in 2020 and also the beginning of 2023. Furthermore Microsoft also broke out of a massive ascending triangle formation and is now just looking extremely bullish. If Microsoft retest the previous breakout area mentioned in the analysis, we will be looking for long continuation setups. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by basictradingtv
3
MSFT Soars with the Arrival of Sam Altman from OpenAII wanted to share the latest development that has the potential to spark a remarkable surge in Microsoft's stock value. Imagine the possibilities that await as MSFT makes a strategic move by hiring none other than Sam Altman, the renowned technology visionary behind OpenAI. Altman's groundbreaking expertise in artificial intelligence (AI) and his impressive track record in shaping the future of technology make this an exhilarating moment for all MSFT investors. With Altman on board, MSFT is set to revolutionize the tech industry and solidify its position as a leading force in innovation. The integration of his visionary mindset, coupled with Microsoft's already sterling reputation and enduring commitment to evolving technology, heralds a significant opportunity for continued growth and groundbreaking achievements. In light of this momentous news, I invite you to join me in seizing the potential for substantial gains as MSFT aims to hit unprecedented highs. Now is the time to act and position ourselves for a profitable long-term investment opportunity. I strongly encourage you to consider taking a long position in MSFT, as this could be a game-changing move for your portfolio. Let's ride the wave of this incredible development and harness the power of Altman's expertise and Microsoft's unwavering dedication to reshaping the tech landscape. By investing in MSFT today, we have the chance to participate in a remarkable journey towards new horizons of success. Don't miss out on this investment opportunity; the potential for incredible returns is within our grasp. Position yourself for success by joining me in going long on MSFT and embarking on this exciting venture together.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by bryandowningqln
2
Microsoft accidentally revealed that Xbox Series X|S Microsoft accidentally revealed that Xbox Series X|S sales exceeded 21 million units worldwide As posted by Twitter user 'John Welfare' after being spotted by @Lukastaves Microsoft held a presentation during this year's BIG Festival in Brazil which is taking place from June 28th through July 2nd. Interestingly, during this presentation, Microsoft showed a sheet revealing Xbox console sales numbers, including sales numbers for the Series X|S. I don't think this is news at all. Graphically, the price is testing its monthly high. In two years, a test of the level. I think it's a great zone to sell the stock and buy it back cheaper. marked the green zone. Waiting for the decline. if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Artem_Dishel
1