Microsoft (MSFT)
OpenAI’s search engine: Implications beyond GOOG stockOpenAI has denied rumors claiming it's set to reveal an AI-powered search engine for its flagship chatbot, ChatGPT, on Monday.
Although there is speculation that OpenAI is being a bit of a wise guy, and the product it will demo is not a search engine, but what they might dub as the next generation of search engines.
It will be interesting to see if this product, whenever it is first demonstrated, is anything Google will have to worry about. According to Bloomberg, OpenAI’s search tool will be partly powered by Microsoft’s Bing search engine. Make of that what you will.
Either way, this could likely ratchet up competition with Google and the market might have already begun to price in this risk to GOOG stock. But what other stocks could face a negative or positive risk from this development?
Maybe we can ask ChatGPT:
“Online advertising companies: Companies that heavily rely on Google's advertising platform for revenue could face challenges if advertisers shift their budgets to the new search engine. This includes companies like The Trade Desk (TTD), Magnite Inc. (MGNI), and Criteo S.A. (CRTO).
E-commerce platforms: Google's search engine is a major source of traffic for many e-commerce platforms. If a rival search engine gains popularity, it could impact the flow of traffic and potentially affect revenue for companies like Amazon (AMZN), eBay Inc. (EBAY), and Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
Payment processing companies: Google's search engine facilitates e-commerce transactions, which benefits payment processing companies like PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) and Square Inc. (SQ). If a rival search engine affects e-commerce traffic patterns, it could indirectly impact payment processing companies.
Digital marketing agencies: Companies that specialize in search engine optimization (SEO) and search engine marketing (SEM) services may see a shift in demand if advertisers allocate resources away from Google towards the new search engine. Examples include companies like WPP plc (WPP) and Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC).
Data analytics companies: Google's search engine generates vast amounts of data, which is valuable for analytics purposes. If a new search engine captures market share, it could impact data analytics companies that rely on Google's data for insights. Companies like Nielsen Holdings plc (NLSN) and The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (DNB) could be affected.
Online review platforms: Google's search engine plays a significant role in driving traffic to online review platforms like Yelp Inc. (YELP) and TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP). A new search engine could potentially change the dynamics of online reviews and impact these platforms' user base and revenue streams.”
NAS100 A Great Selling Opportunity 🤨👌Trade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 10,800.42 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
MAS100 is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
By the end of this quarter and at 10,800.42 in one year
Microsoft Set to Rival Google and OpenAI On Development of MAI-1Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is developing a new AI language model, MAI-1, to compete with Google and OpenAI. Under the supervision of Mustafa Suleyman, former Google DeepMind co-founder, the model aims to surpass the capabilities of Google and OpenAI. MAI-1 is expected to surpass Microsoft's previous smaller, open-source models in size and capability, potentially signaling higher costs. The purpose of MAI-1 is yet to be fully determined and is contingent upon its performance.
The model's unveiling may occur during Microsoft's upcoming Build developer conference. Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently introduced Phi-3-mini, a smaller AI model, aiming to broaden its client base with cost-effective alternatives. Phi-3-mini, measuring 3.8 billion parameters, is available in the Microsoft Azure AI Model Catalog, Hugging Face, Ollama, and as an NVIDIA Corporation NIM microservice with a standard API interface.
Microsoft's substantial investment in OpenAI technology and ChatGPT deployment has positioned it as a frontrunner in generative AI.
MICROSOFT on an excellent long-term buy level.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 06 2023 low and yesterday came to the closest 1D candle closing to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up since September 27 2023.
That was also the last Higher Low of the Channel Up, achieved exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low. With the price now below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) but still above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it appears that we are on symmetrical levels with that Higher Low.
The 1D CCI patterns between the two fractals are also similar and long-term investors can start considering buying MSFT again. Our medium-term Target is $450.00.
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MSFT likely made a long term top.Chart says it all. Multi decade parallel channel top has been reached. Now markets are sharply pulling back. Watch for break of long term uptrend red line and ideally short on retest of the red line. Possible HS pattern could play out too, back to 300$ in upcoming months
Initial Target is $370Microsoft had great earnings recently and after the announcement buyers rallied the shares...only to see that confidence 100% eroded as of today.
What are traders telling us about Microsoft?
My analysis shows a minimum target of $370 with a decent chance of seeing $343 or slightly lower in the coming weeks.
Best to all,
Chris
Microsoft bearish ideaGiven the recent decrease in earnings and the substantial holdings of shares by major institutions, it appears prudent for investors to consider taking profits and bolstering capital. This is particularly pertinent given the current bearish sentiment in the broader market, as evidenced by the downward trends in indices such as the S&P 500 and DJIA.
Against this backdrop, the market has recently tested the MA50, accompanied by notable volume, suggesting an increased likelihood of a bearish downturn. In light of these indicators, it may be wise to consider a short-selling strategy with a target profit of up to 21%, while remaining open to the possibility of earlier profit-taking opportunities. Momentum in prices is already trending downwards, and should the broader market continue its bearish trajectory, there is a substantial chance that major companies like Microsoft could experience downward pressure on their stock prices.
MSFT FAKE BREAKOUT ON SUPPORTMSFT has done a bearish breakout on the ascending channel formed. Even though we have seen a nice sell off followed by the breakout confirmation, we witness a fake breakout on the highlighted support. Inorder to expect a continuation in the downfall, we need a clean bearish breakout on the support formed.
MSFT is bearish!I personally don't trade this stock on the long side due to personal believes.
But I dont mind shorting it with puts.
MSFT is bearish on daily timeframe
Today’s action hit its golden retracement pocket, as I was expecting after seeing yesterday’s AHs action.
The downside action remains the same - 370, and TTR long with Jun expiration 395 puts
Microsoft Soars on Cloud Momentum, Fueled by AIMicrosoft is experiencing a period of robust growth, driven by the accelerating adoption of its cloud computing services. The company's recent fiscal third-quarter results surpassed analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings, solidifying its position as a major player in the cloud wars. However, a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter has injected a note of caution.
The cloud division, Azure, continues to be the crown jewel of Microsoft's growth strategy. Azure is experiencing significant momentum, capturing a growing share of the ever-expanding cloud market. This success can be attributed in part to Microsoft's strategic push towards artificial intelligence (AI).
The company is heavily investing in AI research and development, recognizing its transformative potential across various industries. Microsoft's Azure platform provides a comprehensive suite of AI tools and services, allowing businesses to leverage AI capabilities for tasks like data analysis, machine learning, and intelligent automation. This focus on AI is proving to be a significant differentiator for Microsoft, attracting customers seeking to integrate cutting-edge AI solutions into their operations.
One key indicator of Microsoft's commitment to AI is its increasing capital expenditures on securing Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs). GPUs are essential hardware components for training and running complex AI models, requiring immense processing power. By investing in this technology, Microsoft ensures it has the necessary infrastructure to support the ever-growing demand for AI services on its Azure platform.
While Microsoft's financial performance is impressive, a slight concern arises from the company's guidance for the next quarter. Revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter is projected to be around $64 billion, falling short of the $64.5 billion analysts anticipated. This could potentially indicate a temporary slowdown in the overall growth trajectory. However, it's important to consider the broader market climate and potential external factors impacting revenue generation, such as fluctuations in global economic conditions.
Despite this minor setback, Microsoft's long-term prospects remain positive. The company boasts a strong and diversified business model. Beyond the cloud, Microsoft continues to generate significant revenue from its traditional software products like the Office suite and Windows operating system. This diversification provides a safety net, mitigating risks associated with any potential fluctuations in a single market segment.
Furthermore, Microsoft's commitment to innovation extends beyond just the cloud and AI. The company actively explores other high-growth areas like cybersecurity, gaming (Xbox), and mixed reality (HoloLens). These ventures have the potential to unlock new revenue streams and solidify Microsoft's position as a technological leader across diverse sectors.
However, Microsoft faces challenges on its path to continued dominance. The cloud market is fiercely competitive, with Amazon Web Services (AWS) holding a significant market share. Microsoft must persistently innovate and improve its cloud services to maintain its competitive edge. Additionally, regulatory scrutiny regarding data privacy and antitrust concerns could pose obstacles for Microsoft's growth strategies.
In conclusion, Microsoft is in a strong position, propelled by its flourishing cloud business and strategic investments in AI. While a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter introduces some caution, Microsoft's diversified business model and commitment to innovation position it well for long-term success. The company's ability to navigate the competitive landscape and address potential regulatory hurdles will be crucial in determining its continued dominance in the years to come.
Microsoft & Estee Lauder Company Join Forces to Bolster AI TechThe Estée Lauder Companies (ELC) and tech giant Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) have unveiled a pioneering collaboration, heralding a new era of innovation and consumer engagement. This strategic partnership aims to harness the transformative power of generative AI to revolutionize product development, marketing strategies, and customer experiences across ELC's esteemed portfolio of over 20 prestige beauty brands.
Empowering Beauty with AI
At the heart of this collaboration lies the establishment of an AI Innovation Lab, a dynamic hub where cutting-edge generative AI capabilities, fueled by Microsoft's Azure OpenAI Service, will be unleashed to drive unparalleled advancements in beauty. By leveraging AI technologies, ELC seeks to forge deeper connections with consumers, anticipate trends with agility, and deliver products tailored to local preferences with unprecedented speed and relevance.
Accelerating Consumer-Centric Solutions
One of the most exciting prospects of this collaboration is the development of an internal generative AI chatbot, engineered to enhance marketing effectiveness on a global scale. This innovative tool harnesses advanced conversational AI to navigate ELC's vast reservoir of product and claim data swiftly, enabling brands to launch locally relevant campaigns at an accelerated pace. By deciphering social trends and consumer demands in real-time, ELC aims to cultivate more personalized experiences that resonate with modern beauty enthusiasts.
Redefining Product Innovation
Furthermore, ELC and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) are spearheading efforts to revolutionize product innovation through the integration of generative AI tools into research and development processes. By leveraging AI-driven insights, scientists and product development specialists can swiftly respond to emerging trends and consumer preferences, expediting the creation of cutting-edge beauty solutions. This collaborative approach not only accelerates time-to-market but also fosters a culture of agility and innovation within ELC's renowned laboratories.
A Testament to Partnership
Jane Lauder, EVP of Enterprise Marketing and chief data officer at The Estée Lauder Companies, underscores the pivotal role of technology in amplifying the company's core strengths of quality products and immersive consumer experiences. By harnessing Microsoft's generative AI tools and expertise, ELC aims to unlock the full potential of its extensive data ecosystem, paving the way for enhanced consumer engagement and actionable insights.
Shelley Bransten, corporate vice president of Global Industry Solutions at Microsoft, echoes this sentiment, emphasizing the transformative impact of generative AI on the beauty landscape. Through close collaboration with ELC, Microsoft is committed to not only providing a platform for AI innovation but also nurturing deep partnerships to translate groundbreaking innovations into tangible realities.
A Legacy of Innovation
This visionary collaboration marks a significant milestone in the enduring partnership between ELC and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), which first took flight in 2017. From the groundbreaking Voice-Enabled Makeup Assistant, empowering visually impaired users to confidently apply makeup, to the latest AI Innovation Lab, this partnership exemplifies a shared commitment to pushing the boundaries of innovation and inclusivity in the beauty industry.
As the AI-powered beauty revolution unfolds, consumers can anticipate a future where personalized experiences, sustainable practices, and cutting-edge products converge to redefine the essence of prestige beauty. With ELC and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) leading the charge, the future of beauty has never looked more radiant or promising.
Rubrik Stock Surges 20% in NYSE DebutOn Thursday, Shares of data management software maker Rubrik (NYSE: NYSE:RBRK ) surged 20% in its New York Stock Exchange debut, the latest sign that public market investors are showing an appetite for tech IPOs. The stock opened at $38.60 per share, after the Microsoft-backed company priced its IPO at $32 a share on Wednesday, above its expected target of $28 to $31 per share.
In selling 23.5 million shares, it raised $752 million, leaving it with a valuation of $5.6 billion. Rubrik shares are trading under the ticker “RBRK.”
In the last decades, Many technology companies appeared on public markets as central banks kept interest rates low. Worries about a weakening economy starting in late 2021 led investors to become less interested in unprofitable companies. Since then, few start-up technology companies have been willing to try going public. But that could be changing. Reddit
and Astera Labs which sells data center connectivity chips, went public in March.
Rubrik ( NYSE:RBRK ), founded a decade ago, reported a $354 million net loss in the latest fiscal year, compared with a $278 million loss in the year prior. The company now generates 91% of its revenue from subscriptions, up from 59% two years ago.
Microsoft also invested in the company in 2021. Rubrik’s co-founder and CEO, Bipul Sinha, has 8% control. Lightspeed Venture Partners, where Sinha was previously a startup investor, has 25% of the voting power.
A company will decide on the timing for its IPO six to eight weeks ahead, relying partly on input from bankers, said Ravi Mhatre, managing director at Lightspeed Venture Partners, which was the sole investor in Rubrik’s first round of venture capital.
Microsoft Earnings: Can the Tech Giant Continue Its Stellar Run?As Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) prepares to unveil its latest earnings report after Thursday's closing bell, investors are on edge, bracing for potential market-moving revelations. With the stock trading near record highs, all eyes are on whether Microsoft can maintain its momentum and deliver on lofty expectations.
Earnings Anticipation:
Analysts are forecasting Microsoft to report earnings of $2.81 per share on revenue of $60.77 billion. However, the so-called Whisper number, reflecting the Street's unofficial sentiment, stands slightly higher at $2.91 per share. Such a tight earnings range underscores the significance of every data point in Microsoft's upcoming report.
Fundamentals in Focus:
Microsoft's track record of earnings growth over recent years paints a picture of resilience and innovation. From $5.76 per share in 2020 to $9.81 per share in 2023, the company has consistently outperformed expectations. Looking ahead, analysts project further earnings growth to $11.67 in 2024 and $13.38 in 2025. Despite this stellar performance, Microsoft's price-to-earnings ratio of 37 remains notably higher than the S&P 500 average, signaling investor confidence and expectations for future growth.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, Microsoft's stock is trading around 4% below its 52-week high, with current levels below the 50-day moving average. However, the stock remains within striking distance of its all-time high, suggesting potential for further upside. As traders await the earnings release, bulls are hoping for a gap up and a subsequent rally, while bears eye a gap down scenario, anticipating a decline.
Market Implications:
Given Microsoft's status as a bellwether of the technology sector, the outcome of its earnings report is likely to have far-reaching implications for the broader market. A positive surprise could fuel a renewed surge in tech stocks, buoying investor sentiment and propelling major indices higher. Conversely, disappointing figures could trigger a sell-off, leading to increased volatility and uncertainty in the market.
Conclusion:
As Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) gears up to unveil its earnings report, anticipation is at a fever pitch. With a track record of innovation, strong fundamentals, and technical potential, the stage is set for a potentially decisive moment in the company's trajectory. Whether Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can meet or exceed expectations remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the market will be watching closely as the tech giant takes center stage.
META breaks Nasdaq. Can MSFT and GOOG fix it today?EASYMARKETS:NDQUSD NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
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Microsoft (MSFT): A Potential Plunge After a Decade's RiseOn the Microsoft three-day chart NASDAQ:MSFT , we've observed that the initial cycle of Wave (5) & I peaked at $430, hitting the 61.8% extension level, and has since declined to $402. We believe that $430 will now act as a strong resistance level.
We anticipate a significant correction for Microsoft, potentially dropping to between $220 and $100. This forecast is based on the end of the first bullish cycle, following a decade of substantial increases in Microsoft's stock price. Such a correction is seen as necessary for sustainable long-term growth
The exact nature of the correction, whether it adopts a Flat or Zigzag pattern, remains to be determined. Flats are more common than Zigzags, hence they are considered more likely, but we are keeping an open mind as we monitor the chart's developments.
We will hold off on positioning ourselves immediately, opting instead to watch how the situation unfolds on the broader chart before identifying potential smaller-scale entry points.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t entered MSFT when they bought 49% of OpenAI:
nor on the comparison to AMZN and GOOGL:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 410usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MSFT’s Momentum Weakening: Where’re the defending levels?
Trend
- On the weekly chart: Still within the large uptrend channel since January 2023.
- On the daily chart: The minor uptrend channel since October 2023 was broken with moderate volume.
- Although the long-term uptrend remains intact, the short-term momentum may be pausing.
100% Symmetrical Projection: Uptrend “N” Patterns
- There are two price projection models, both leading to the same ultimate target price of $457.
The large purple N, starting from January 2023.
The small orange N, starting from October 2023.
- Symmetry break : If the price drops below the prior low at $400, the symmetry (the pullback) is violated. Following that, with increased uncertainties, anticipating the price action will become challenging.
- If the momentum is strong, we could expect a clear price movement toward the target price once it surpasses the symmetrical retracement box at $421. However, the price is currently hovering around $421, indicating weakening momentum.
N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster
- Both N patterns are an A+ setup .
Retrace 0.382 of the prior swing and then continue to rise.
- The level of 1.618 Fibonacci projection of the prior swing is the N’s target price.
- The level of 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the retracement is the N’s target price.
- The price treats the key Fibonacci levels as significant support and resistance levels along the way up.
Conclusion
- Currently, the momentum is weakening, though not yet exhausted.
- Once the price breaks below $400, the short-term momentum will be exhausted, potentially leading to a trend reversal.
- In the long term, for MSFT to sustain the uptrend, the price should remain within the large uptrend channel and above the price level of $367.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
Microsoft invests $1.5bn in UAE's AI leader amid strategic pivotMicrosoft Corp. has announced a substantial 1.5 billion USD investment in G42, the United Arab Emirates' foremost artificial intelligence firm. Following G42's agreement to cease cooperating with China and align itself with US interests, this move aims to bolster G42's utilisation of Microsoft's Azure cloud platform for its AI applications, significantly enhancing Microsoft's footprint in the AI and security sectors.
This strategic investment aligns with the US policies aimed at curtailing China's access to advanced technologies. It underscores a broader trend of public-private partnerships promoting US corporate investments in foreign AI enterprises.
Turning our attention to Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) for stock trading insights:
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Microsoft's stock has set a support level at 412.80 USD and resistance at 430.80 USD. Recently, the stock broke its uptrend line, suggesting that it might now be moving within a channel defined by these support and resistance markers. A support level breach could see the stock decline towards 398.10 USD.
Investors might find it appealing to initiate a buy if the stock breaks through the resistance at 430.80 USD, with a short-term target of 448.00 USD. For those looking at a medium-term investment horizon, holding a long position with a target of 470.00 USD could be considered once the resistance level is surpassed.
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Microsoft-Backed Rubrik Eyes $713 Mln IPOIn a move signaling robust confidence in the cybersecurity sector, Rubrik, a Palo Alto-based firm backed by Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), is set to embark on an initial public offering (IPO), aiming to raise up to $713 million, according to sources familiar with the matter.
The cybersecurity software company is planning to offer 23 million shares priced between $28 and $31 each, potentially valuing Rubrik at approximately $5.4 billion at the upper end of the range. This IPO initiative underscores Rubrik's strategic positioning amidst a burgeoning demand for cloud-based ransomware protection and data-backup solutions.
Rubrik's planned IPO arrives against the backdrop of a revitalized U.S. IPO market, signaling a resurgence in investor appetite following a period of subdued activity. Notable successful listings, including those of Reddit and Astera Labs, have set the stage for a wave of upcoming public offerings, with companies like Cato Networks and Synechron poised to join the fray.
Founded in 2014 by venture capitalist Bipul Sinha, Rubrik has established itself as a leader in the cybersecurity space, serving over 5,000 business clients, including industry giants like Nvidia Corp and Home Depot. The company's robust growth trajectory is evidenced by a 47% increase in subscription annual recurring revenue compared to the previous year.
However, amid its IPO preparations, Rubrik finds itself entangled in a U.S. fraud investigation related to a former employee. The U.S. Department of Justice is probing allegations that the ex-employee diverted funds from 110 contracts with Rubrik into a personal operating entity, a development that adds a layer of complexity to Rubrik's IPO journey.
Despite the regulatory scrutiny, Rubrik's IPO aspirations underscore the market's bullish outlook on cybersecurity solutions. With the backing of industry stalwarts like Microsoft and a track record of delivering cutting-edge cloud-based security services, Rubrik's public debut promises to be a significant event in the cybersecurity landscape.
As Rubrik charts its course toward the public markets, investors will be keenly watching how the company navigates the IPO process amidst regulatory challenges and capitalizes on the growing demand for cybersecurity solutions in an increasingly digitized world.
Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard.
S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support.
Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend.
The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers.
Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in.
Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.