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XAUUSD- SENSTIVE SITUATION WITH BEARISH MOMENTUM Gold Technical Analysis The price is consolidating between 2637 and 2649, with stability above 2649 which is bullish toward 2661 and 2678, Otherwise closing 1h or 4h candle below 2637 will support bearish toward 2624 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2637 Resistance Levels: 2649, 2661, 2678 Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585 Trend Outlook Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2649. Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2647 and especially 2638.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Once again our chart idea delivered the goods with our weighted retracement level providing support and bounce like we highlighted. We were once again able to buy dips inline with our plans with the movement from 2631 to 2647. However, now we have ema5 cross and lock above 2647 opening the range above. We have been in a similar play range all week with both ranges below and above now left open. This is typical of ranging market conditions and as always our strategy to buy dips from our weighted levels allows us to navigate the traps and secure the pips. Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans, should we see a failure to fill the gap above and see a drop below. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2668 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2696 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2713 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2733 BEARISH TARGETS 2647 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2631 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2609 - 2592 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) 4/12/2024 Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) On the daily chart, gold remains in a prolonged consolidation phase, with price action mainly hovering around the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA21) and the technical level of 2,644 USD. Although gold has recovered from the previous decline, the overall picture still leans towards a bearish scenario, with the main trend being defined by the price channel (a). Additionally, pressure continues from the EMA21, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark. These factors create conditions for a bearish trend. As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), its technical outlook remains biased towards a downward trend, and any upward movements should be considered short-term corrections. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, it could continue to decline towards the next target range around 2,606–2,600 USD. Furthermore, a new bearish cycle would begin if gold drops below the key level of 2,600 USD. For the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold is highlighted by the following key levels: Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600 USD Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663 USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
SWING IDEA - RATNAMANI MET AND TUBRatnamani Metals & Tubes, a leading manufacturer of stainless steel and carbon steel welded pipes and tubes, is showing a potential swing trade setup with several bullish technical signals. Reasons are listed below : 3800 Zone Break Out : The 3800 level has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price is now breaking through this level, signaling the possibility of a continued upward move. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting momentum may continue. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, indicating overall bullish strength and long-term trend support. Intact Trend : The broader trend remains intact, indicating that the current momentum is in line with the stock’s longer-term trajectory. Gradual Increase in Volumes : A steady rise in volumes adds confirmation to the breakout, showing strong market participation in this move. Target - 4270 // 4800 Stoploss - daily close below 3400 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:RATNAMANILong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
GOLD - 15 min ( Best Buy and Sell Scalping After Break Out ) ⚡️GOLD Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2651 Area 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2665 Area 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2637 Area 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2637 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis Not by Number .. 🔖 Announcement Coming After Successful Break
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by GoldenEngine
14
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-04: Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will run into resistance in early trading and roll downward at some point after reaching resistance. I see the markets opening much higher this morning as the SPY/QQQ are both broadly rallying overnight. This type of GAP UP opening often leads to the identification of price resistance and a rollover topping formation where price attempts to trail downward to fill the GAP. The concept that my SPY Cycle Patterns new this was likely many months before today's price action happens is rather unique. And this is why I love my SPY Cycle Patterns. The is no other place where you can attempt to clearly see into the future like using my SPY Cycle Patterns. Gold and Silver are still struggling today - but should attempt to make a rally move higher over the next 5+ trading days. Until we break above the Flag High level, Gold and Silver are trapped in a sideways price range. Bitcoin is also trapped in a sideways price range after reaching recent highs. As I warn in this video - be prepared for very unusual price action and events over the next 30+ days. I believe we are about to see some very unusual political and economic events play out. Keep a healthy CASH reserve and trade small quantities right now. Better to protect cash than to risk it on unknowns right now. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Markets Slowing Down Ahead of NFP, What To Lookout ForHey There, The dollar has been in demand so far this week, boosted by it being seen as a safe-haven amid political turmoil in both South Korea and Europe as well as ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. With France’s government facing “No Confidence votes” that could spell the end of the short-lived administration of Prime Minister Michael Barnier, pushing the country into uncharted waters of political chaos. Gold Prices rose marginally as political turmoil in South Korea spurred some safe haven demand along with fears of a collaps in the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire. However, trades continue to remain on the sidelines amid anticipation for more cues on U.S interest rates. But any gains in gold were largely limited by a spike in the dollar as it soared on uncertainty over the long term outlook for U.S rates.
by DeanMuller
4
XAUUSD - China, still buying gold?!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The continuation of the movement of gold depends on the failure or failure of this channel, and you can trade in that direction. In case of breaking the bottom of the channel, we can see the continued decline and see the demand zone and buy within that range with the appropriate risk reward. Maintaining the channel has paved the way for gold to rise to the supply zone, and gold can be sold within that zone. Recent credible research analyzing undisclosed purchases since May 2024 confirms that China has been secretly buying gold. A recent analysis has validated long-held suspicions that, since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China has been a significant and covert buyer of gold beyond officially reported levels. Goldman Sachs had previously hinted at such activity, and new findings by the analyst at Money Metals further substantiate this claim. According to the report, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) discreetly purchased approximately 60 tons of gold in September alone. This trend has been ongoing since May 2024, with evidence suggesting a drawdown from London reserves dating back to May this year. While the PBOC has not reported any gold purchases since April, Goldman Sachs’ NowCast data estimates that around 50 tons of institutional gold purchases were conducted by China in May through the over-the-counter (OTC) market in London. This strategy is not unique to China. Other nations, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, also employ similar tactics to accumulate gold discreetly while avoiding price spikes. The covert nature of these transactions reflects their intent to bolster reserves while maintaining low market prices. One market analyst has cautioned investors hoping for a Christmas rally in gold prices to proceed with caution, as recent volatility may signal a peak in prices, at least for this year. Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted in his latest report that gold has consistently experienced price increases in December over the past seven years. However, he warned that while recent price corrections might attract bargain hunters in the final month of 2024, gold’s current high prices remain a risk factor. In his note, Hansen stated that the greatest challenge is the 28.3% rise in gold prices this year, bringing it close to the 29.6% growth seen in 2010 and 31% in 2007. While the fundamental supportive outlook for 2025 remains intact, such significant growth could prompt profit-taking and position adjustments before the year ends. Hansen predicted that while gold may struggle to achieve new highs in December, his outlook for 2025 remains bullish, with prices expected to reach $3,000 in the new year. He added that geopolitical uncertainties will continue to support the precious metal as a safe haven. At the same time, the introduction of new trade tariffs on U.S. imports next year is generally perceived as a positive factor for the U.S. dollar. However, the side effects of a stronger dollar could ripple through the global economy, particularly affecting countries reliant on dollar-denominated debt, commodity trade, and export-driven growth. This dynamic might sustain interest in alternative investments like gold and silver. Hansen further emphasized that Trump’s plans for tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration policies could exacerbate inflation and debt—two key risks that gold investors seek to hedge against.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ali_PSND
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GOLD Will Go Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,641.783. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,628.904 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Copper - Markets await employment data!In the 4H timeframe, copper is located between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. If the upward trend continues, it is possible to sell copper in the next supply zone. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward The governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has stated that the central bank will maintain its accommodative monetary policy in 2025. The bank also aims to promote sustainable development in the real estate and capital markets through effective utilization of structural monetary policy tools. Meanwhile, the United States has imposed new export restrictions designed to curtail China’s ability to advance its high-tech semiconductor industry and slow the development of military applications for artificial intelligence (AI). In response, the China Internet Association has expressed that these restrictions will significantly harm the healthy and sustainable growth of China’s internet industry. The association has also urged domestic companies to exercise caution when purchasing American chips and to seek expanded cooperation with chip manufacturers from other countries. In a retaliatory move, China’s Ministry of Commerce has announced a ban on exporting key rare earth metals to the U.S. and is considering stricter reviews for graphite exports. These raw materials are critical for industries such as semiconductors, military systems, electric vehicle batteries, and solar technologies. The ongoing trade tensions between the two nations could have far-reaching consequences for both sides. In the U.S., it is anticipated that November’s employment figures will reflect recovery after being weighed down by recent storms and a major strike.This aligns with a labor market that remains healthy but is gradually normalizing. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls (NFP) likely increased by 200,000 in November, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. As the Boeing strike ends and recovery efforts from recent storms begin, November’s job report is expected to be less affected by unusual factors. However, a consistent decline in job openings, moderate employment growth, and layoff plans from companies like Boeing and General Motors indicate a softer labor market overall. These developments, along with Friday’s employment data, could significantly influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions and market expectations for interest rate cuts. The Wall Street Journal reports that the U.S. construction industry is facing new challenges. The Trump administration’s immigration and trade policies have left homebuilders in a vulnerable position. New tariffs and restrictions on immigrant labor are two key pressures confronting the industry. For instance, McKinney, Texas, which two decades ago was accessible only via a two-lane highway, has now grown to a city of over 200,000 residents, becoming one of the fastest-growing areas in the country. This city’s development has relied heavily on immigrant labor and industries dependent on imported steel and commodities. However, recent policies are imposing new challenges, leaving homebuilders grappling with even greater difficulties.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Ali_PSND
9
XAUUSD: Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2622 Gold operation suggestions: Gold rose and fell in the volatile trading yesterday, and was repeatedly pulled. The price of the Asian and European sessions stabilized and rebounded slightly based on the 2634 mark. The European session broke through the 2650 mark and fell into a volatile range. The US session gold price rose again and broke through the 2655 line under pressure and fell, and finally closed at around 2640. From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2652-2655 line suppression above, and the 2622 line short-term support below. The focus is on the next level of support of 2606-2612, and keep participating in the operation. BUY:2634near BUY:2623near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on. I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”. Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
1
Gold “sideways” ahead of important Fed speechGold prices (XAU/USD) maintained a positive trend for the second consecutive day on Wednesday but remained confined within a familiar range. Investors appeared cautious, awaiting clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut trajectory before making decisions. The focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today and the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. These events will significantly impact monetary policy decisions and the short-term outlook for gold. Personal opinion: Recently, prices have been trading in a narrow range, signaling a consolidation phase after last week’s downtrend. The recent break below the four-day ascending channel supports the bears, but any drop below $2,622-2,621 could find solid support near $2,600. On the upside, the $2,655 and $2,666 levels are immediate resistance. A break above $2,678 could push prices toward the $2,700 mark. However, a sustained move beyond the strong resistance zone at $2,721-2,722 is needed to open the door for significant gains. Pay attention to price range: SELL ZONE: 2655 - 2657 SL: 2672 BUY ZONE: 2637 - 2635 SL: 2630 BUY ZONE: 2627 - 2625 SL: 2620
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold prices on the international market increased slowlyGold prices in the international market increase slowly due to large selling pressure every time gold moves up and the USD strengthens as Donald Trump's US presidency approaches. Gold prices increased again mainly because of the previous strong downward adjustment and investors still expect a long-term upward trend of this precious metal product when the US and the world are entering a down cycle. interest rates to support economic growth. It is expected that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points at the December meeting and will reduce them several more times in 2025 and the bottom may fall in early 2026. When the Fed reduces interest rates interest rates, the USD will theoretically depreciate. The prospect of a weaker USD has clearly decreased with new moves from Mr. Donald Trump. However, when countries step up pumping money and Mr. Trump also wants to intervene in the Fed to gain an advantage in trade, inflation in the US as well as around the world may escalate. This is a factor that is beneficial for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD is stable, trading day with lots of big data and eventsOn the Asian market on Wednesday (December 4), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,644 USD/ounce. In New York trading on Tuesday, gold hit a daily high as South Korea's martial law boosted safe-haven demand. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue gave an emergency speech at the Yongsan Presidential Office in Seoul on Tuesday evening local time and issued an emergency martial law order. After this news arrived, spot gold soared to 2,655.64 USD/ounce. Gold prices then gave up gains when South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue announced the lifting of martial law. As of the end of Tuesday, spot gold increased 0.2%, closing at 2,643.38 USD/ounce. On this trading day, there are multiple event risks in the US, including the ADP employment report, ISM services PMI, Federal Reserve Begie Book and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech . Among them, the ADP jobs report and Powell's speech attracted the most attention. Today (Wednesday), US ADP employment change data for November will be released. This data is known as “small non-farm” and is expected to create a significant impact in the market. Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 150,000 in November. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 233,000 in October. On the same day, the US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for November will be published and is expected to be 55.5. Fed President St. Louis Mussallem will give a speech. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release Begie Bôk on economic conditions. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will be invited for an interview at the DealBook/Summit conference hosted by the New York Times. In his final speech in November, Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut interest rates, citing a solid job market and inflation remaining above its 2% target. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still in a state of prolonged accumulation with price activity mainly sticking around the 21-day moving average (EMA21) and the technical point of 2,644USD. Although gold has recovered after the previous decline, the overall picture is still inclined to decrease in price with the main trend from the price channel, on the other hand, pressure is still created from EMA21 along with activity. of the Relative Strength Index RSI remains below 50. These factors provide gold with conditions for a bearish trend. As long as gold remains within the price channel, its technical outlook remains tilted to the downside and rallies should be considered short-term recoveries. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level it will likely continue to decline to a subsequent target of around $2,606 – $2,600. In addition, a new bearish cycle will be opened once gold is sold below the original price of 2,600 USD. During the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold will be noticed by the following points. Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2681 - 2679⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2685 →Take Profit 1 2674 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2669 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2595 →Take Profit 1 2606 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2611
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading