Bitcoin and Gold to Counter InflationConsidering how Gold and Bitcoin surged significantly in response to inflation when it peaked at 9% in June 2022, and given that they are still maintaining their high levels, it seems the fear of inflation is not yet over.
Today, I will focus on Gold and strategies to manage this upward trend, which you can also apply to Bitcoin.
Mirco Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
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MCG
Multi-Choice after its breakway gap could fly from here to R135Couple of things with Multi-choice.
It moved on low liquidity to the downside before making a break-away gap and back into the uptrend.
Now with gaps they close over 70% of the time and so, we're getting that retest back to close the gap, retest the uptrend and possibly heading up from there.
We got the Cup and Handle, which broke up and make a fakeout. But I believe this is temporary, as there are a couple of retests to take place including 200MA.
First target could head to R135.75
Fundamentals
The rally in MultiChoice Group Limited (JSE:MCG) in 2024 has been influenced by several factors, including a significant acquisition move by CANAL + SA, which expressed a non-binding intention to acquire a 68.24% stake in MultiChoice Group for ZAR 30.4 billion.
Multichoice retracement is in orderThe company announced a partnership with Netflix and Amazon Video. Seems like another HBO content deal. They also announced the introduction of a 'new' platform.
The support service is terrible and the various streaming platforms seem broken at best.
Recently the company has experienced continued declines in the number of DStv Premium and Compact Plus subscribers in South Africa.
I guess this is there response, lets see how streamers repond to 'new' products in the coming months.
A retracement is in order, at the very least.
Using/Delaying McGinley Dynamic seeding to chart parabolicsc.mql5.com
In summary:
McGinley believed moving averages are not supposed to be used as a trading signal, and instead identify the main trend. The formula is designed to go slower when price is trending up, and faster when price is trending down, to mimic how investors react to market movements.
This does not work when an asset starts at a low price then rises astronomically. Unless Gann and friends are right about markets having full cycles, I don't believe bitcoin will be under $100 any time soon. Therefore x bars are ignored to give a usable McGinley Dynamic.
As a trend identification tool, the McGinley Dynamic will trail far behind during forceful uptrends. The utility created here is based on the assumptions that:
Less the extremely parabolic assets, an uptrend will retrace eventually to the McG, and the trader using McG understands that the moving average trails far away to keep a trader secured in position by slowing down for movement upwards
The trading strategy employed is not based solely on moving averages
Like all moving averages, McG will always suffer in terms of giving clear trading signals when the trend is too strong, too weak, too volatile, etc. vs a coincidental/leading indicator
Length chosen should be 60% of your chosen MA to account for lag. In this case, a McG of 15 is equal to a 25 EMA (as TradingView uses EMA as the base MA for McG).
Bars ignored should be before an uptrend, and only ignored up to where the MA is usable for the particular ticker.
Something I have noticed is to be cautious when publishing ideas or sharing charts with indicators that weren't intended for sharing, especially for those who do not have the ability to publish invite-only scripts.
While scripts are not meant to be copied straight off a chart, in rare cases there are ways to grab an indicator for self-use when the author did not intend such. As a first step preventive measure and self-incentive to keep scripts updated, it would be ideal to apply a 'expiration date' using the timenow function to published and nonpublished indicators that are accessible to the public. Although indicators are mostly derivatives of each other (except my stuff, I'm a real snowflake), there are many such cases in which seemingly 1:1 copies pop up, and there is no real way to identify who is in the right, if anyone even is. It is possible (and not uncommon) for indicators to be 'replicated' just by coincidence, so that should not be ruled out either.
Example of McGinley Dynamic outperforming an EMA in the whipsaw department:
Formula as described by Investopedia:
MD = MD-1 + (Index – MD-1) / (N * (Index / MD-1 )^4)
where MD-1 is the previous period's moving average, N is length, and index is price source. Adjustments can be made to the formula to optimize, but at what point do you scrap it and move on to other, more appealing methods? The wide berth that McG gives is not very useful over candlestick analysis for near instant reversal identification.