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Marketstructure

Trade Plan 12/15/2022 TP1> if we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 4078, we can test > 4108 > 4141 > 4186 > 4207 > 4221 TP2> if we Open/Trade below MAIN POC 4078 > we can test > 4054 > 4035 > 3995 > 3980 > 3960 > 3934 > 3914 (LIS - Bulls Trapped) Volume Profile 12/14/2022 - Unfair High 4091 (Below Y High) FOMC DUMP, and no BUYERS. Volume accumulation setup > It is forming since yesterday when SELLERS were super aggressive, strong SELLERS entering their positions in Rotation Area, with a clear change on the Volume Profile TREND. Strong Sellers who were accumulating their positions are likely to defend their positions and their interests. So, when the price returns to the volume accumulation area > MAIN POC 4078 (12/14) and MAIN POC 4054 (12/13), Strong Sellers start to defend their positions aggressively. This means that strong buyers start aggressive buying activity to drive the price upwards again. Strong sellers defend their short positions by aggressive sell-off which moves the price lower again. Here is a picture to demonstrate this (Short trade scenario): *This is a 50/50 Game, trade plan & risk management and trade management is mandatory
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by IronMan_Trader
#USDCAD will it continue going lower??As far as market structure concerns we have 1H timeframe bearish impulsive move which broke the low and as a result formed a Lower low. since then price is in bullish corrective move which by the way shows price non-intention of going higher (otherwise it would be as an impulsive move) Now price is at 4H timeframe Clean Break area which provides important resistance and also we had one very strong reaction off of this area which showed us how powerful is this area. now we are going to test that area once more and hopefully we can see the liquidation from above the previous wick so then we can open our short position. Just remember price closing above the arrow means that the idea has failed and we need to wait for more confirmation.
Short
by mohemati
1
#GBPJPY here we go again...The chart can talk for it self I'm pretty sure about it. But lets dive into more detail and see what confluences we can find to back up our trading idea... 1- Price is getting very close to structure point means it used to act as support before but now shifted to a resistance 2- Also the area can be considered as a static and classical resistance area, since it's been able to hold price lower every time price got close to the area. 3- Price is at bullish channel middle line which could add to a resistive cluster. 4- From fundamental aspect JPY can gain more power as central banks around the world going to reduce the pace of rising interest rate. 5- other than GBPJPY other JPY pairs are also in resistance area which give us intermarket confluence. But be aware its very likely that price goes above the last high which showed on the chart by an arrow and then turn to the downside and this is only for liquidity taking activity and to capitulate long traders. However if price can manage to close above the arrow then we can say the chance that resistance area wont hold the price will increase.
Short
by mohemati
2
BTC - Trend-Following Setup! 📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the the 18k resistance and upper red trendline of the channel. Now What? We are still overall bullish trading inside the rising channel, and we currently entered a correction movement. As BTC approaches the lower bound / lower red trendline, we will be looking for buy setups. And this lower trendline also intersects with the previous highs marked in gray which makes the zone stronger. As per my trading style: As Bitcoin approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) We would be overall bullish, UNLESS we break below the orange zone, in this case a movement till the lower bound of the range (around 15500) would be expected. Which scenario do you think is more probable and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
26
Are we in a financial crisis?We are all asking ourselves the same question, are we in the next big financial crash or is the worst already over? To answer this question, let's look at the S&P 500 since the beginning. The S&P has only seen one really big/long correction in its history and that was triggered by the Great Recession in the 1930s and the following Second World War. Since then, the S&P 500 has only seen one strong uptrend. If we take a closer look at this uptrend since WWII, we can see very clearly the subordinate waves 12345. 1. impulse wave: recovery after WWII and start of globalisation. 2. correction wave: 1970 recession and oil crisis 3. impulse wave: digitalisation and increased globalisation (EU, China, etc.) 4. Correction wave: dot.com bubble and 2008 financial crisis 5. impulse wave: digitalisation and automation of value chains The two correction waves were each triggered by major negative economic events. The individual phases are shown in time in the chart below. A certain temporal correlation can be seen. The upward trends lasted approx. 8700 to 9100 days and the downward trends approx. 3300 days. Current situation Currently we are in a strong uptrend that has lasted since 2008 and purely in terms of time has lasted only half the time than the two previous uptrends. But the economic situation is worse than in 2008 and worse than in the 1970s. Economic situation - Extremely high energy costs and production costs weigh on businesses and households - Interest rate hikes put additional strain on the economy - The higher interest rates are to remain for the time being in the medium term - Higher costs mean lower profits - Lower profits and higher capital costs mean less investments - Unstable housing market in the USA, Europe and China - Industry and trade under massive pressure - Stock market still largely overvalued - China - Taiwan conflict - Ukraine - Russia conflict - Unstable society - Etc. All these individual events are having a negative impact on the global economy and together form a perfect foundation for a deeper recession. Many negative effects will only become apparent in the coming months, especially in the companies' key figures. In previous crises, even minor problems have led to crashes. Therefore, we are preparing for a falling/stagnating economy in the coming months, even years, which will also have a corresponding impact on the financial markets. In the current economic situation, to assume that the correction is now over and that we are now testing one high after another again can be very dangerous. We do not assume that the next few months will only be downward. Every overriding downward trend also has its (major) counter-corrections to the upside. Therefore, we may also experience months of euphoria and months of stagnation. Moreover, we do not expect such a strong and prolonged correction as in the 1930s, as sentiment was much worse then than now. The correction course shown in the chart is only symbolic of a correction. Pessimism - Realism We do not represent pessimism here, we represent realism. We want to encourage you to think about this realistically. In the current crisis landscape we are in, can you imagine that the correction is now over and we will test one high after the other and see an all-time high again in a few months? Especially considering the previous crises, what triggered them and how long they lasted. We no longer ask ourselves whether the crisis will come, but only how long it will last and how it will proceed in order to use the movements profitably. Price target of the correction? The previous corrections (1970s) & (2000 + 2008) were each able to form a bottom between the 0.5 and 0.618 FIB level and start the next uptrend from there. Projecting this onto the current correction, the price target of the correction would be around $2,500, which can also be confirmed very well on the chart with resistances, trendlines and many other indicators. However, this is still very difficult to judge in the current situation, as it depends on an enormous number of factors, which are not yet meaningful enough, after all, we are only at the beginning of the correction. We hope that this article was helpful for you and that you may now look at the current situation from a different perspective.
SP:SPX
by Consyder
4
Bitcoin +5% profit from our analysisHello traders Bitcoin buy trade makes 5% profit We shared our expectations about Bitcoin that there is a possibility of its rise near the level of 19 thousand, and accordingly we bought Bitcoin from the order block responsible for making a change in the structure and we shared an update by placing a stop loss at the entry point when it reached the supply area, and here Bitcoin makes profits for us Congratulations to us and to all the beneficiaries of our analysis previous posts:
Long
by ARABTRADERX45
2
#GBPJPY near 4h timeframe resistive area one againlook where price is one more time at an area where rejected clearly twice before plus it's a structural point too ( it use to be support but changed to resistance ) if you look at the left side of the chart. this cluster of resistance add to the importance of the area. But the thing is matter most is not to rush into a trade as we have CPI news today and depends on what the numbers going to be it can cause price to break the resistance to the upside or to reject from. If you want to have more comprehensive idea about what to expect of news are going to be released today and tomorrow I would recommend you to read the idea linked to this article. But in summery, if CPI comes out equal or lower the prediction it would be good JPY and we can expect the downside move from GBPJPY .
Short
by mohemati
BTC UPDATE Hello traders As we mentioned in the previous analysis, there is a possibility for the continuation of the rise of Bitcoin near the levels of 19 thousand. Based on that, we bought Bitcoin from the block of orders responsible for causing the change in structure, but now the stop loss must be placed at the entry point because we have a strong supply area formed, from which the price may fall to the demand area Before the ascent, if the bitcoin can overcome it, the ascent may continue for the target previous analysis:
Long
by ARABTRADERX45
2
#EURJPY selling position opportunityAs we discussed before in #JPYBASKET analysis ( you can see it in related ideas ) we believe JPY is aiming for higher prices due to technical and fundamental analysis, and in order to take advantage of this move we can sell other currencies against JPY. Price currently in EURJPY pair is moving down and has formed bearish channel in 4H timeframe which can be tested one more time during today trading time or tomorrow. moreover, price managed to get very close to 4H timeframe high and base on market structure analysis if price want to continue moving downward in 4H timeframe it shouldn't close above this area. In conclusion, for taking a short position on this pair base on 4H time frame we need to see price tap into any of two line drove above the price but fail to close above it. and then get rejected from the area. which can prove that sellers are in the market and also the capitulation move is over too. Also for more validation you can wait to see market structure in lower timeframe also shifted in the favor of the downside move.
Short
by mohemati
6
SOL - 10 or 20 - Which One First?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. SOL has been stuck inside a range between 13 and 15 For the bulls to take over , we need a break above 15.0 For the bears to take over, we need a break below 13.0 PS: By Break, I mean a momentum H4 candle close. Meanwhile, until the bulls or bears take over, we will be trading the range on lower timeframes. Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
16
DXY SHORT TERM OUTLOOKDOLLAR INDEX looks bearish after retesting key bearish market structure and higher timeframe resistance. On the hourly timeframe, minor higher highs and higher lows are forming, showing some sort of bear flag however I'm looking at bearish continuation due to the fundamentals in play of a bearish dollar. If gold breaks this bearish market structure i will look for further downside towards the previous lows of 104 whereby, we may see double bottom buys on the dollar or if the bearish momentum is strong, we might crash to 102 regions of key monthly support. Do keep in mind we have CPI next week and Fomc next week where i am expecting a fed pivot.
TVC:DXYShort
by CJ_GOLDPIPS