Patience Pays: Get Ready for the Altseason Boom!The altseason is coming, and when it begins, the opportunities will be limitless! 🚀
💡 Preparation is Everything
While the market gears up for its next big move, now is the perfect time to lay the foundation for success.
Here’s how you can prepare:
📊 Study the Charts: Analyze historical patterns, identify key levels, and understand market cycles. Knowledge is power.
🔍 Analyze Fundamentals: Dig into projects, assess their potential, and separate hype from value. A strong foundation beats speculative bubbles.
🛠️ Build a Trading Plan: Define your entry, exit, and risk management rules. Stick to them—discipline is what separates winners from losers.
🏆 Identify Key Tokens: Focus on projects that combine innovation, strong fundamentals, and market potential. Preparation now will save you from FOMO later.
🚀 Positioning for the Next Bull Run
The altcoin market is known for its incredible pumps during bull runs. Massive % gains are achievable, but success requires patience, preparation, and a strategy.
Think of the market as a game of chess:
Plan your moves in advance.
Wait for the right opportunities.
Strike when the time is right.
The next bull run could create generational wealth for those who are prepared. The markets are warming up— are you ready for takeoff? 🚀
Let’s navigate this journey together. Share your favorite altcoins and strategies in the comments below! 👇
#Altseason #CryptoTrading #PatiencePays #TradingStrategy #BullRunReady #CryptoCharts
Marketcycles
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
A Complete Analysis: Investor Emotions During Market CyclesHello, Traders!
Markets are often as much about psychology as they are about numbers. Cycles typically mirror market participants' emotional ups 📈 and downs 📉 experienced by market participants, with distinct phases reflecting collective sentiment. Understanding these emotional stages can provide critical insights into how markets behave, offering valuable guidance for investors/traders as they navigate periods of price growth and decline. Let’s explore these phases and their significance 👇🏻
So, why can perfectly laid investment plans go off the rails? Why do emotions sneak in and wreak havoc on decision-making despite having all the tools and data? Well, it turns out that even the most experienced investors can fall victim to their emotions. While tools like fundamental and technical analysis can help you make more informed decisions, they can’t completely remove the human element from the equation. That’s where things get tricky. When emotions come into play, logic and reason often take a backseat. And before you know it, you’re following the herd rather than your strategy 🫵🏻.
The Power of “Herd” Mentality
You might think you’re immune to it, but herd mentality is a powerful force. It happens when we allow ourselves to be influenced by what others are doing, thinking that if everyone else is making a particular move, it must be the right one. The catch? When it comes to investing, what the crowd is doing isn’t always rational or smart.
Let’s face it: It’s hard not to get caught up in the hype, especially when media outlets, blogs, and social platforms shout that you’ll miss out if you don’t act now. But this is typically when emotions like Greed and Fear cloud your judgment. And once you’re in that emotional zone, stepping back and making rational choices can feel next to impossible.
Mapping the Sentiment Cycle
Markets, much like our emotions, move in cycles. And believe it or not, the way investors react to these cycles is fairly predictable. The emotional roller coaster 🎢investors experience often follows a pattern, something we call the “sentiment cycle." If you understand where you are in this cycle, you can better manage your emotional responses and avoid falling into the same traps.
1️⃣. Market Recovery: Fear and Missed Opportunities
Let’s start with the Recovery Phase. This is when the market has just started to bounce back from a downturn. But guess what? Most investors are too shell-shocked by their previous losses to take action. They’re gripped by fear, too worried about making another mistake. They wait on the sidelines, hoping for a clearer sign, and as a result, miss out on the best opportunities to re-enter the market.
2️⃣. Market Peak: FOMO Takes Over
As prices continue to climb, the crowd starts to take notice. The herd begins to feel the fear of missing out, or FOMO. By the time most people start buying, the best opportunities are already long gone, and the risk of overpaying is at its highest.
3️⃣. Market Decline: Denial Sets In
When prices start to slip, many investors find it hard to accept the reality. “It’s just a temporary dip,” they think. “Things will turn around soon.” This denial phase can be particularly damaging because it prevents investors from cutting their losses early. Instead, they hold on, hoping for a recovery that doesn’t come, and watch their investments sink further.
4️⃣. Market Trough: Panic and Despair
By the time the market hits rock bottom, emotions are running wild. Panic sets in, and those same investors who once believed in the market’s strength now scramble to sell whatever they have left, often at a significant loss. It’s a painful moment, one that many investors look back on with deep regret, realizing they’ve sold at the worst possible time.
But here’s the kicker: savvy, disciplined investors start to see opportunity at this very moment of despair. While the herd is selling in a panic, the calm, rational investor evaluates the pros and cons — setting themselves up for success in the next cycle.
Why Understanding the Cycle Matters? 🔎
So why does it help to recognize these emotional stages? Because if you know what phase the market is in, you can take a step back, breathe, and think more clearly about your next move. Are you feeling anxious because prices are falling? Maybe it’s an excellent time to reassess your strategy instead of rushing to sell. Are you riding high on market euphoria? Perhaps it’s time to be cautious and lock in some profits before things turn south.
It’s not easy, but being aware of your emotions — and understanding where you and the market are in the sentiment cycle — can help you avoid common pitfalls and make more rational investment decisions.
At the end of the day, successful investing isn’t just about picking the right stocks or analyzing the perfect chart pattern. It’s also about managing your own emotions. So next time you feel that rush of excitement or panic, remember: the market will always move in cycles, but how you respond to those movements is entirely in your control 🫵🏻.
LandWolf on @Avax Wolf $wolf #Wolf $Landwolf #LandWolfI gave you this over the weekend and told you to be sure to not missuit on EASY$.
Just from Friday until Monday you got an easy and quick 50-60% return. Even if late to the call and didn't get the best of entries or perfect exit, you should have easily grabbed 20-30% on this one.
If you ever wanted to follow early to accounts that stay in the game and up with what's going on and wish you made a appearance with them prior to them being bigger followings etc. this is a great opportunity lol with me, my larger OG account I've spent the last several years and all through the bear building was killed by X and now I'm starting over from scratch.
I've purposely given you the same chart and layout but on two different time frames to help newer traders coming into this cycle see how different things can look on a daily vs a weekly time frame.
I think that this can really help speed up learning for many and to open their minds to variables.
As you see the daily can easily in this case look much more instantly bullish and give you the greater feeling of FOMO #Fomo to jump in. Whereas the weekly can give you more of a tactical view and help with your approach being so.
Hopefully some of you find this chart helpful during this stressful pullback/flush that I'm aware has really beaten down and or killed many portfolios for traders.
I've fallen off on posting/sharing my charts these last few months while I was trading ALOT myself and on multiple platforms and various ideas. However, during these more stressful times I will try and stay more active with updating what community I have.
For my birthday without cause or warning X shutdown my larger account @RareBreedOG so I'm starting over fresh with almost no followers now for the algorithm. That being said I would greatly appreciate help with you hitting the like /Follow/share buttons as much as possible if you find these charts helpful at all or even just want to help me rebuild my following after getting Fu**ed by X. For this reason, I don't plan to pay for a checkmark this time around either, but you can all help give me reason to keep sharing and not just leave to other platforms.
Everyone stay safe and trade wisely and be careful with leverage in these uncertain times.
BTC.D will annoy many people when it fades (will happen anyway)Whilst in theory I'd agree with the maximalists that most of crypto is worthless and shouldn't exist it's ultimately my job to agree with the market rather than with other people (and of course especially not with those who care to _disagree_ with the markets)
Many will fall for the same trap that was fallen for in December 2020 and capitulate on alts during Bitcoin's inevitable surge past 70k having not realised what's coming _after_ that is clear as crystal for one whose eyes are open
The maximalist logic is akin to that of one who would have longed Nokia instead of Apple 10+ years ago because texts and calls are perfectly sufficient and there's simply no way the smart money should back the possibility of a _phone_ doing much more
Some very notable calls in recent years:
SPREADEX:NIKKEI and DJ:DJI both to 40k (over 1y in advance)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC pico bottom at 15k and recent local top at 70k
FX:EURUSD pico bottom & TVC:DXY pico top at 115
TVC:USOIL pico bottom at 68
NASDAQ:SMCI mega breakout at 100
NASDAQ:NVDA mega support at 120
NASDAQ:TSLA pico bottom at 105
NASDAQ:NFLX pico bottom at 165
FOUR MARKET PHASESAll stocks go thru 4 stages, sometimes each stage can last months or even years, and it's not always easy to recognize like it is on this chart.
Stage 1: Accumulation - buyers coming in stopping the down fall, and the stock starts trading sideways. (Wait)
Stage 2: Markup - Bullish phase, where traders and institutions start buying the up trend. (Buy)
Stage 3: Distribution - where institutions and traders start taking profits - selling. (Sell)
Stage 4: Decline - shorts recognize this stage and start shorting the stock. (Avoid)
Bitcoin Bearish for rest of year. Buy in DecemberAs much as I love BTC for a insurance policy against government debt, it is still subject to human nature. Fear and Greed. And with proxy exposure to the function of all financial markets, liquidity. I want to believe that we have seen the worst that is to come for now but at this point it feels like sticking my head in the sand.
How can we not see a correction in the markets that is one for the history books after the swings we have experienced over the last few years? Or was there just SO much liquidity in the system at basically 0% interest rates for a decade that even after an increase of FED fund rates (10 fold of anything we have seen, ever) we have just made up for lost time and its now time to carry on as per schedule.
The trade:
- Short any pops (ie retest of trendline) until later this year
-All in again in Nov 2023 to Feb 2024 (debt crises should have sorted itself out by then)
2023 is THE year to invest in Bitcoin ??? (Benner Cycle)🚀🌟 2023: THE year to Invest in Bitcoin according to the Benner Cycle 🌟🚀
Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! 😄 If you're wondering whether 2023 is the right time to jump into the Bitcoin market, read on. In this article, we'll be exploring a fascinating concept called the Benner Cycle, which might just give us a clue about what's in store for Bitcoin this year and in the coming years.
📜 Who is Samuel Benner and what is the Benner Cycle? 📜
The Benner Cycle is a fascinating market prediction model developed by Samuel Benner, a 19th-century American farmer who turned his attention to market forecasting after he bankrupted in 1873. Wanting to learn more why this happened, he started to look at markets and observed cycles in commodity prices and discovered that specific timeframes tended to see major market movements. By studying these patterns, he managed to predict market highs and lows with surprising accuracy. 🎯
🔑 The Key Concepts of the Benner Cycle 🔑
The Benner Cycle is built on the idea that market movements follow predictable patterns over time. At the heart of the cycle are three key periods: 8, 9, and 10 years. Benner observed that market highs typically occurred at 8-year intervals, while lows happened at 9- or 10-year intervals. By identifying these patterns, Benner was able to forecast future market movements with uncanny precision. Just have a look at the image below to see how accurate it has been:🔮
You might be wondering how the 2008 financial crisis fits into the Benner Cycle, especially since 2007 was called as a top in the cycle. It's important to note that while the Benner Cycle can accurately predict general market trends, it's not a crystal ball that can foresee every market event. The 2008 crisis was an anomaly caused by factors beyond the scope of the Benner Cycle. However, the fact that the cycle called 2007 as a market top does lend credibility to its predictive powers. 🔮📈
🤔 Potential Criticisms and Limitations of the Benner Cycle 🤔
While the Benner Cycle has its fair share of supporters, it's not without its critics. Some argue that the cycle is too simplistic to predict the complexities of modern financial markets. Additionally, the crypto market is still relatively young and may not follow the same patterns as traditional markets. That being said, the Benner Cycle can still offer valuable insights for investors looking to navigate the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrencies. 🧭
🔗 Applying the Benner Cycle to the Bitcoin Market 🔗
Now that we've got the basics covered, let's dive into how the Benner Cycle might apply to the Bitcoin market. Like any market, cryptocurrencies are subject to cycles of growth and decline. By studying historical price data and applying Benner's principles, we can potentially identify key turning points in the market and make more informed investment decisions. 🧠💡
Looking at the graph above, we can see that according to the Benner Cycle, 2023 should be the low of the markets and this suggests that we're on the cusp of a significant uptrend in the cryptocurrency market lasting till 2026. Additionally, with growing mainstream adoption and technological advancements, there's never been a better time to invest in Bitcoin. 💰🚀
In conclusion, 2023 might just be the perfect year to invest in Bitcoin, according to the Benner Cycle. By understanding this fascinating market prediction model and considering its implications for the cryptocurrency market, you'll be better equipped to make informed investment decisions. Remember, though, that no prediction model is foolproof, so always conduct thorough research and seek professional advice if needed.
⚠️ The above is not financial advice ⚠️
If you're considering entering the Bitcoin market in 2023, keep these tips in mind:
1️⃣ Do your own research : 📚 Don't rely solely on the Benner Cycle or any single market prediction model. Make sure to study a variety of sources and consult experts when making investment decisions.
2️⃣ Diversify your portfolio : 💼 Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Consider investing in more traditional assets as well to spread risk and maximize potential gains.
3️⃣ Set realistic expectations : 📊 Cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile, and there are no guarantees in the world of investing. Be prepared for potential losses and keep a long-term perspective. Only invest the funds you can afford to lose.
4️⃣ Stay informed : 📰 Keep up-to-date with the latest news, developments, and trends in the cryptocurrency market. This will help you make more informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve.
5️⃣ Have a plan : 🗺️ Develop a clear investment strategy and stick to it. This includes setting goals, defining your risk tolerance, and establishing a timeframe for your investments.
Thanks for reading till the end! You're a champ! 🏆🍾
If you found this post useful consider a like 👍🏽🚀 and a follow.
Share freely with anyone you think should read this! 📜
Oh, and surely let me know what do you think of the Benner Cycle and the prospect of 2023 being the start of a new rally in the comments below! Looking forward to reading your opinions!
The Deflationary SpiralAll credit booms brought about by Central Bank-induced artificially low interest rates and loose lending standards end in busts. In the recessionary phase that follows the boom, credit becomes much harder to attain and many over-leveraged businesses end up going bankrupt. The recessionary phase reveals the malinvestments and unsound business decisions that were made during the economic boom. Businesses & Consumers deleverage their balance sheets either through paying down debt or through bankruptcy. As loan demand falls & credit conditions tighten, debt issuance falls, which reduces the supply of money into the economy because the vast majority of currency that enters the economy is loaned into existence. When credit growths slows and begins contracting alongside a falling money supply, inventory piles up and profits & margins fall while consumer spending falls. Businesses are then forced to sell at discounted rates to liquidate inventory in anticipation of weak future demand, which further reduces profits & margins and leads to increased unemployment and weaker levels of consumption. The “Deflationary Spiral” subsides and an economic recovery can take place once balance sheets are back to healthy levels which can support debt accumulation, capital investment recovers, and once large amounts of the “bad” debts taken on during the economic boom have been deleveraged.
US M2 Money Supply is currently down -4.2% YoY using March 2023 data, the largest monetary contraction in the USA since the Great Depression. Using data going back to 1870, every time the money supply contracted by over 1% YoY the stock market had a large correction and the economy fell into a severe & lengthy contraction with unemployment reaching at least 7%. A banking panic always accompanied those contractions as well. Commercial bank deposits are currently down around -5% YoY, the most since the Great Depression. Total commercial bank deposits didn’t even contract during the early 1990s Savings & Loan Crisis. With money supply shrinking and the majority of banks unable to pay competitive rates on deposits, deposits will continue falling and more bank failures will occur. The large amounts of unrealized losses on bank balance sheets represent another impediment to loan growth and banks have continued to raise reserves for multiple quarters in response to rising default rates.
Fed research from the Fed Bank of Saint Louis show bank lending conditions (measured by percentage of banks tightening lending conditions) are comparable to early 2008 & late 2000. Bank lending conditions are a leading indicator for unemployment. The unemployment rate currently is still below 4%, but with the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicators index currently at -7.2% and the bond yield curve still inverted, many reliable economic datapoints show that the economy is closer to the beginning of this business cycle downturn and debt deleveraging than the end. Yield curve inversions & Conference Board LEI’s have been some of the best leading indicators for a recession since the 1970s. Since 1968, any Conference Board LEI contraction of more than -2% YoY has never yielded a false positive in regards to a coming recession. The Credit Managers’ Index newly released data for April showed that the index for rejection of new credit applications (within the service sector) was 45.9, its lowest level since March 2009.
The US Consumer is beginning to run dry on savings. The majority of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck and consumer credit growth (which had been expanding rapidly in 2022) has slowed markedly. Total consumer credit growth has fallen about 50% YoY (using the 3 month average of data from December - February). After falling below 3.2% in the summer of 2022, the US savings rate is still low by historic standards, currently 5.1%. Announced job cuts for the month of March were 89.7K, higher than the first 3 months of the 2008 recession. US large corporate bankruptcy filings (Bankruptcies of companies with over $50M in liabilities) from Jan-April totaled 70, seven more than during the same length of time in 2008. Student loan debt payments are set to resume again this summer, which will further reduce consumer spending. US Consumer sentiment levels measured by University of Michigan hit the lowest levels ever (going back to 1952) in the summer of 2022, and they have been fluctuating around 2H 2008 & 1H 2009 levels ever since. Delinquency rates on things like automobiles, credit cards, and commercial real estate loans are soaring. Cox Automotive found 1.89% of auto loans in January were "severely delinquent" and at least 60 days behind payment, the highest rate since the data series began in 2006. In March, the percentage of subprime auto borrowers who were at least 60 days late on their bills was 5.3%, up from a seven-year low of 2.58% in May 2021 and higher than in 2009, the peak of the financial crisis, according to data from Fitch Ratings.
Retail sales are an economic metric that track consumer demand for finished goods. US real retail sales down -2.1% and EU real retail sales are -9.9%. German real retail sales for the month of march just came in at -15.8% YoY! According to Bloomberg, Global PC shipments are down close to 30% YoY & Apple computer shipments are down about 40% YoY. In the past 50 years, US Gross fixed capital formation has only gone negative in the US before and during recessions. It is now negative and there has never been a false positive. Data from the Mortgage bankers association showed a -39% YoY decline in Mortgage purchase applications, a decline to its lowest levels in over 26 years. US Building Permits are down -24% YoY. Housing Starts YoY are down -17% YoY. Existing Home Sales are down -22%. Every national housing downturn in the past 45 years has taken at least 4 years from peak to trough prices, indicating that the current housing downturn is likely to continue for at least 2-3 years.
Every FED Regional bank report on manufacturing (using a 3 month average of the data) is in a contraction. The April Philadelphia FED Manufacturing index came in at -31.3. Since 1969, Every reading under -30 was either in a recession or a few months away from one. April Richmond FED Service Sector Index registered a -23, the same number as in Nov 2008 & Feb 2009 & worse than Jan 2009 which was -20 (August and September 2008 were -10 for reference). US manufacturing production is down -.5% YoY. March 2023 ISM PMI data was also very insightful. USA ISM Manufacturing PMI (March) was 46.3, its lowest level since June 2009 (excl. H1 2020). For reference, in the 08 recession, it wasn’t until October 2008 that the ISM manufacturing PMI fell under 46.3, over 9 months into that recession. USA ISM Manufacturing New Orders (March) was 44.3, its lowest level since March 2009 (excl. January 2023 & H1 2020), USA ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (March) came in at 51.2, its lowest level since Jan. 2010 (excl. H1 2020).
The US Stock market is trading at one of the highest Shiller PE ratios & stock market capitalization to GDP ratios in history. Present day stock market valuations are rivaled only by the Roaring 20s Bubble (1929), The Nifty-Fifty Bubble (late 1960s/early 1970s) & the 1999/2000 Dot-com Bubble. All 3 of those examples were followed by the most negative 10 year real returns in USA stock market history going back to 1913. Over 40% of businesses in the Russell2000 are unprofitable and over 1/5 of the S&P500 are zombie companies. Clearly, the stock markets as of April 2023 are still in bubble levels of overvaluation.
Looking at the data in aggregate, I believe that a recession is currently occurring. Assuming earnings fall by about 30% peak to trough, using a conservative average from the past 4 US recessions, I assume S&P annualized earnings will fall to around 155. Using a conservative valuation multiple of 14, that gives a target price of about 2,200 for the S&P500 that is likely to be hit in Q4 2023 or 2024.
Thank you for reading,
Alexander Charles Lambert
BTC 1Y VWAPIts pretty common this days to find all sort of indicator combinations to find Bitcoin bottoms, a very simple and powerful approach is given by the 1YEAR VWAP.
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- As you must know, VWAP considers Volume for its calculation.
- BTC Bear Markets take away lots of volume in a short period of time.
- 1Y VWAP will adjust every year, the drops you see in the charts are caused by a huge volume imbalance.
- BTC Bottoms tend to happen around VWAP Drops.
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PS: BTC Cycle theory not required for this to provide useful information.
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Hope this help.
Best!
Musashi
Tesla TSLA Market Cycle Signaling Capitulation Stage Coming? Lots of hype about the moves as of late in Tesla TSLA stock price, so I wanted to compare the Market Psychology & Cycle Timing phases to the Monthly Chart on TSLA.
Do you think we are in the latter stages moving toward capitulation ?
My take is that if we see a bounce from these levels into the new year (January 23'), it is likely another opportunity to short TSLA to under <$100 per share — potentially to a long-term trendline on the monthly chart that resides in the $80 area.
Monthly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊
Monthly Chart w/ Regression Channel
Weekly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊
Weekly Chart w/ Regression Channel
Daily TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing 📊
Daily Chart w/ Regression Channel
Monthly TSLA Market Psychology & Cycle Timing w/ Yearly Returns Since IPO 📊
Indicator by @tradingview user @Botnet101
Indicator by @tradingview user @everget
How AAPL could look if TSLA is a sign of what's to comeOn one hand there isn't necessarily a reason to expect a meltdown similar to the pace of NFLX or META or more latterly TSLA; but on the other hand, thanks to how much extra data there is, it's possible for the trained and experienced eye to suppose a long term downtrend will rhyme with its own history (see the linked AMD chart which goes back even farther)
2022 SOL vs 2011 BTC and 2018 ETHPublishing for tracking purposes. All signs point to me bottom is most likely in for SOL. Let's see if it follows similar trajectory that BTC and ETH paved.
In the end, crypto is 100% market cycles. You see the same things said, the same sentiment all across the major cryptos. People are saying SOL is dead, there are no devs, these are all FUD and ignorance constantly seen at bottom of the market cycles.
Stack sats, fam. Best of luck and Happy Holidays.
TSLA's downtrend and the yellow brick road of trendlinesAs suspected in the linked / related post the higher orange channel didn't hold and what looks like a textbooky head-and-shoulders top has formed; a continued downtrend will likely respect the yellow traffic lines pictured just like the uptrend did
Market is GREAT- (if you are used to Taking Profits)Lat year I was Top Author on Cardano from 20 cents to 3$... I am actually going back to Cardano as you will see in my next post.
Since June I had been posting about MATIC (first posts was on June 22).
Matic from 34cents to a target hit at 1,27$. Almost 4 times the investment, so i guess it was a great trade.
Can we buy again? Well yes it's on support but again: wait for the Cardano post coming up.
Market will go up and down, FTMs and Lunas will arise , Don Kwons and Sam Bankmans will rise and fall but at the end of the day we are traders so:
- Fundamental analysis will help us identify the 'good ones' to buy
- Fundamental analysis will help us find the 'bad ones' to avoid (or short)
- Technical analysis will give us entry levels to enter
- Then it's a matter of taking profit on Time (best habit in this market)
Market is cycles... get used to it, market is just GREAT!
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
ps. new market cycle is on. For me is Cardano time now, wait for the chart
AAPL trapping late longs left and right with double wrap-aroundsIf AAPL continues downward after another double whammy support wrap-around it could well trigger a collapse to 10k for Nasdaq 100 especially if TSLA goes with it; many are likely to fall for this thinking that up is the direction which makes sense but charts which spent a few years going up for "no reason" can also spend a few years going down for "no reason"
Dow Jones monthly points to WWIII bear trap ruse just like C0V1DThe strong bounce on a confluence of supports--plus the usual "but we've only seen the beginning of the bear market lol" articles--would strongly suggest that the yellow brick inflation road will continue (see both related ideas) and that recent market activity is another ploy to keep retail anxious / confused / short (valid for as long as the highlighted supports hold)
The Psychology of The Market Cycle Explained
The market cycles can be explained from the psychology side of the average investor.
Throughout the various stages that develop in the market, the investor's emotions are also cyclical according to the "mood" of the market.
Market movements are explained by the investor when often hope and fear motivate his thoughts and actions and can predict his future actions.
Throughout the various stages that develop in the market, the investor's emotions are also cyclical according to the "mood" of the market.
The range of emotions ranges from despair to euphoria, and investors usually drive the wrong actions.
Awareness of the psychological side of the masses helps to avoid the effects of negative or positive sentiment and remain feckless on the market. In addition, we can also identify a stage or strengthen our position on the state of the market, explaining investors' feelings.
Once you understand this chart, you can control your emotions and deal without your hurt and with only your mind.
As this market cycle chart is repeating all the time, if you understand where you are located in the graph at any moment, you can take a cold decision of buy or sell a particular asset to maximize gains.
Key levels on TSLA and how a prolonged bear market could lookSimilarly to the linked AMD broadening symmetrical this toppy-looking wedge with exceptionally clearly-defined levels ought to show that there could be a long way down still in a multi-year bear market and that buying levels on this particular chart could be where all time lows on the weekly RSI would later be created
Follow the yellow brick road; a guide to inflation based on SPXThis chart shows 1) a potentially opposing perspective to the linked Dow Jones great depression 2.0 idea and 2) that whilst inflation took a lifetime to cause -90% damage for the boomers it now takes only about a generation for the zoomers to suffer the same damage a century later