Crypto marketcap1. It is absolutely impossible to know or calculate how much money it takes for btc or any other asset to grow from x to y. No one knows what orberbooks will look like and how deep they will be, neither sell nor buy side pressure. Theoretically it can grow 100x for a hundred dollars or 0.01x for millions of dollars. It depends on supply and demand, turnover and orderbooks. If anyone has the tools and knowledge to make an educated guess, it's certainly not us.
2. A comparison of the amount of money that was needed to bring the btc to say 1000, and now possibly to 100,000, ie. the claim that the latter requires a much larger amount of money than the former should be put in the context that a bunch of degna on mt gox and a couple of korean mobsters brought to 1000 or 20,000 btc, dake btc was a new obscure and uninteresting big money.
Now we are talking in mstr and square companies that have a bigger MC than bitcoin, we are talking in pension funds, sovereign funds, fidelity userbase, paypal userbase, maybe even apple, gold and bonds investors and who knows who else. I'm not saying that they will invest or that they have to, but it is possible, and if we go to 100, then they will.
So as much as it is true that up to 100k takes a lot more money than that 20k, it is even more true that the amount of money that was in play up to 20k is practically insignificant with the amount of money that can be in play up to 100k.
3. Although futures trading is a zero sum game, bitcoin investing is not.
(I'm not one hundred percent sure of this but I don't think so)
So, one does not have to lose 100k for every btc holder for the btc bit to be at 100K.
Value can be created.
take for example uni airdrop. Who lost that money?
ETH ico?
When it was bought for 10c and first started selling at 10 usd.
Who lost that money these people got?
Bob buys btc at 2k.
At 100 k it sells alice.
Bob earned 98K.
Alice lost nothing. She had 100 bought a btc and now she has 100.
All that money for American pensions that have been coming for years from the growth of sp500 dow and nasdaq etf.
Thus neither investment nor the economy works today. Moreover, I don’t think it could literally work that way. If someone had to lose all that money the thing wouldn't hold water.
Marketcap
BTC losing its dominance and Alts are seeing greenery once againBased on the BTC dominance we can see that BTC is continuously losing its dominance which is a good news for alt coins.
Next major support for BTC dominance is at 54-57 range, so for next few days we can expect alt rally to continue but after that it will be a major decision point for alt coins.
if the dominance breaks the support range 54-57 then we can expect one more alt bigger that the current one.
I'm currently bullish for alt coin until we hit the support level of BTC dominance., i will close my position after that and probably re-enter based how BTC dominance moves.
Stay tuned for more updates.
btc market cap on crossroads. Alts future depends on itBtc.d approaching diag R. it appears to be consolidation below r which is an indication of strong movement coming next.
A clear rejection alts moon party .
A strong breaking and flip not gonna good for alts. alts doom party..
All eyes on this chart...
BTC IS ALREADY AT 20K USD !!What we consider as a target to reach and the razor's edge separating us from the new bull run is actually only a decontestualized number. Indeed, if we look at the market cap, the BTC market already reached the ALL TIME HIGH of Dec 2017 as new btc were mined in the meantime.
Altcoin market cap still being upper bounded by 155BNo denying the fact that we could be seeing a double top forming here but if we assume that we are now in a bull run/leg , we could see this double top attempt fail soon.
First sign I am looking for is a WEEKLY CLOSE above 155 billion as market seems to still be giving this level ample amount of respect. The last 3 candles (including current one) have attempted to break this level but no success yet. I always look for the 3rd attempt as an all important attempt in breakout setups so let's see if the bulls can manage to break 155 level this time around.
BITCOIN - Current situation & short term key pointsNovember is historically the best performing month for Bitcoin. We’re 8 days in and already over 8% in the green. After closing above $13,000 for the first time since 2017, we’ve been in a very strong uptrend. Bitcoin market cap dominance over altcoins has risen from 59% to 64%+ since September, indicating bullish sentiment as people are converting their altcoins into Bitcoin.
In this situation there truly is not much stopping us from testing the 2017 all time high of 20k.
Not only that: the market in general has been positively going up recently. The dollar value has also been in a downtrend (when the Dollar goes down, bitcoin price usually goes up). I think this is a point that few people think about. Especially when considering 70% of Bitcoin trading is done through USD. 2nd place is the Japanese Yen at 20% (although it was over 50% a few years ago).
However even with this strong upside action, Google trends is showing that mainstream attention is nowhere near as high as it was in 2017. It is probably safe to say that we haven’t reached hysteric FOMO(fear of missing out) yet. This could mean that we still have a lot of room for growth.
---Short term price action---
After Thursday’s strong 10% leap up, we saw a Doji close and a slight bearish divergence in the RSI, signaling a possible break and downside action, which did happen. I myself took some profits around 15.6k, and am expecting a few more possible days of downward correction. For now I am looking at two zones for re-enter - 14k psychological even point, as well as ~13.4k which is the .618 fibonacci level from the 2017 high of 20k and a previous resistance.
The dollar currency index is currently at a crucial support - I am waiting to see if it bounces back up or continues down. It will be interesting to see how the market and currencies continue to react to the election and everything going on.
This Formation Finalizing Can Be 2021s Altcoin-Season-Origin!Hello Traders Investors And Community,
Welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the coin-market-capitalization of the altcoin-market-cap and its 2-day timeframe perspective, as mentioned in the previous analysis the altcoin-market price-action is holding above this important ascending-trend-line where it is building the coherent triangular-formation together with the upper-resistance and so far the price action has moved as expected and the altcoin-market-cap has formed the coherent wave-count within the triangular-formation. When you did not see this analysis already I highly recommend it to you to watch to have a full-depth-overview, now as these important measurements have taken place there are now fewer confirmations to show up with however it is inevitably important that this price-action really show up to confirm the whole dynamic finally and to do not invalidate it, therefore I detected all the important levels and likely outcomes we should consider within the established structure and it's next destinations.
Looking at my chart you can watch there the altcoin-market already shooted above the upper boundary with the wave D of the wave-count which often happens when the wave-count is especially bullish the difference to a full confirmation here is that the price action and the candle still closed within the triangle this is why it is not a full confirmation, to fully validate it is important that the altcoin-market closes above the upper boundary as it is marked in my chart after completing the wave E of the wave-count. In this case it is significantly necessary that the market-cap does not fall below the ascending-trend-line again because this can invalidate also the triangular-formation and the broker breakout as well as confirmation however this is currently not the most likely scenario as the price-action still holding above the ascending-trend-line and above the 50-EMA in red as the range getting narrower and narrower this is an indication for a final breakout and close above coming nearer.
The fact that the altcoin-market-cap is holding strongly above the established pre-corona-highs gives the whole structure a higher bullish edge and especially when looking on the long-term-perspective considering a possible rally emerging in 2021 a decrease in corona which is also prognosticated within the summer time can lead to a positive reaction and bullish environment within the market, till then the market especially the altcoin-market-cap has to show how it can establish the pace till then to finally emerge into a solid rally which is protracted together with the Bitcoin possibilities for bullishness, what is also confirming this dynamic is that there are many upcoming projects such as defi or ethereum 2.0 that are lying ground for a solid bullish market environment also on the fundamental perspective. Next times will show how the technicals confirm within the established structure leading to a final breakout as suggested, it will be definitely an interesting journey.
In this manner, thank you, everybody, for watching, have a good day as well as good trading, all the best!
“Prospect is the ingredient of good fortune.”
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
CRYPTO MARKET DECOUPLING FROM TRADITIONAL MARKETS?WILL WE SEE A SURGE IN CRYPTO PRICES AND A CONTINUATION OF THE DECOUPLING THAT HAS ALREADY STARTED TO TAKE PLACE OR WILL WE SEE CRYPTO RECOUPING WITH TRADITIONAL MARKETS.
WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS?
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Alts market cap at 150 Billion again!After flirting around the 142 billion market cap level weeks, alts market capitalization seem to be pushing higher. We did see a quick spike this week (if the Tradingview data is to be believed) above 155 billion to test the recent highs but market pulled back quickly.
Bulls will want to see a weekly close above 155B to increase likelihood that we'll see the market higher in the near term.
Definitely watching this closely.
Crypto Market Cap CorrectionIt seems that the whole market is forming a head and shoulders pattern. If the total market cap rejects the range of $350B - $360B which is the all-time resistance, the right shoulder will be drawn and completes the pattern. Accordingly, it has the potential to see $285B as a correction to %61.8 Fibonacci before breaking out the all-time resistance at the range of $350B - $360B.
How to Trade BTC/USD Right NowIn this technical analysis I will walk you through the most important things on the 1h chart right now.
First of all, it's important to re-iterate one simple trading lesson. Buy low, sell high.
Low and high are terms that are relative. In the chart you can see how I try to give meaning to those relative terms.
I determine a "low" price to be close to a place of support. Those are areas in which it is a great opportunity to buy.
I determine a "high" price to be a price close to the trendline that marks resistance. For instance prices going towards around $11,500.
Then, I simply wait until the price goes close to either of those levels. When the price is at the current levels, you wouldn't want to make any decisions because your risk-reward will be off completely.
If you wait for the price to be around one of these levels you can enter a trade with much better risk-reward.
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Crypto total market cap / Move to 0.5?We need to break 0.61 resistance and close above 347.5 B to confirm a move to the 0.5 on this reverse fib.
If not, we could be set back for weeks, perhaps dropping back to 0.78.
TA educational note: if this plays out, I will start to favor reverse fibs on bear to bull market reversals.
Fibonacci would have been a crypto trader.
How To Trade LINK - Retracement with Moon Potential [PART II]In this idea I will walk you through the most important parts on the chart of LINK on the 1H and continue my previous analysis.
First of all, you can find my previous analysis here:
We can see that the price has indeed been confirmed on the horizontal support level. Overall the cryptocurrency markets are going down, but it's safe to say that LINK has still be performing relatively well.
There are still many LINK bulls out there who are buying, keeping the price moderately high.
I previously suggested that the price was a bit too high and that it would be best to wait before entering a position. Right now the time has come. The price is exactly at the support level, and this could be a great moment to enter LINK.
From my previous analysis:
Link has been performing extremely, extremely well over the last weeks. With an astonishing 1400% growth over the last few months it's been the hero we all wish we could be.
In this technical analysis I will walk you through how I suggest to trade a pair that has been seen such a crazy uptrend.
First of all, it's noteworthy that you should never buy a coin that's already peeking. When there's just been a huge green candle, you are too late. You wish you were in, but don't FOMO buy.
Always wait for retracements. Retracements such as ... the one right here in front of you! THIS is the moment to buy, after plenty of red candles.
The age old principle stands, buy low and sell high.
As for the exit, if you're more of a scalp trader I suggest to leave before the $20 level again as this is a likely place where it finds resistance.
If you want to HODL LINK, then you can try to aim for the 'Moon Zone'. In this area the price might rise like there is no tomorrow, and simply holding it might bring great benefits.
The whole market is going to have a small correctionHead and shoulders pattern is forming on the total market cap chart following a descending RSI and a divergence. It will do a correction to its support at $302B and immediately back to $318B as the bulls defend and the bull market will continue.
This hypothesis supports my last idea about bitcoin correction to 9600
XRP/USD IS CONFIRMED FOR AN UPSIDE MOVE!! BUY SETUP!!Weekly timeframe
broke structure . nice shift of momentum to upside. plus EMA crossover to upside
Daily timeframe
nice support level
H4 timeframe
nice bounce with multiple confirmation of wicks
H1 timeframe
break of counter trendline structure and shift of momentum to upside is align in all timeframe plus EMA crossover