Macdivergence
AI's EUR/USD Pattern & Scalping Range, Local European SentimentAI's EUR/USD Falling Channel & Breakout Odds with Scalping Range
D ear Valued Investors,
Introduction
I would like to provide you with an update on the trading bots' activity. They have been diligently following a short position initiated at 1.101, see the idea above the chart, and I am pleased to inform you that the trade has been successful, as indicated by the success of the forecast on the left side of the chart.
News Trading - Natural Language Processing Results
- The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates in July, which could strengthen the euro. The ECB has been signaling for months that it will need to raise rates to combat inflation, and the latest data suggests that inflation is still running high in the eurozone. A rate hike would make the euro more attractive to investors compared to the dollar, which is currently yielding very little.
- The eurozone economy is showing signs of resilience. The eurozone economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2023, and the latest data suggests that growth is continuing in the second quarter. This suggests that the eurozone economy is more robust than many economists had expected, which could support the euro in the near term.
- The risk of a recession in the United States is increasing. The US economy is facing a number of headwinds, including high inflation, rising interest rates, and the war in Ukraine. These factors could lead to a recession in the US, which would likely weaken the dollar and strengthen the euro.
Personal Comment
I live in the EU, and as a consumer, I don't see any sign of recession here. To me, it seems that the US economy bears the bigger weight in the news of the war are about. Objectively, the US economy might be stronger, but the prices don't necessarily reflect the current power. Investors try to speculate which economy will suffer harder and pool value into those that seem resilience. I believe in the resilience of the EU economy, and I experience the local sentiment. While prices are rising, people don't FUD yet. Many seek opportunities to make a profit that can cover the inflation costs. EUR has seemed more resilient so far to the difficulties than the other European currencies. If you live in the EU, you know that many countries still have their national currencies (not EUR), but you can pay with EUR everywhere here. So, it makes sense that many sell their national currencies to EUR. EUR is more resilient, and they can pay with it as smoothly as with their national currencies.
Pattern Recognition AI's Results
Through my pattern recognition algorithms, I have identified a falling channel pattern on the chart. This pattern is characterized by purple trendlines. Despite its bearish implications, the price broke above this pattern on December 11th, suggesting potential bullish momentum.
Scalping Possibilities
Currently, the EUR/USD is in a consolidation phase, trading between the support level at 1.072 and the resistance level at 1.082. These levels align with the EMA 100, and the support line is denoted by the color green, while the resistance line is represented by red. Shorting opportunities may arise from resistance to support.
Neural Network's Prediction
Based on the current technical indicators, I anticipate a scenario in which the EUR/USD gains momentum from the support level and breaks out above the channel. This potential trajectory is depicted by the white lines. In the event of a successful breakout, my neural networks suggest target prices of 1.095 or even 1.100.
Technical Indicators
The fluctuating volume below the channel indicates increasing volatility. Noteworthy bullish indications include the price consolidating above EMA 20, the RSI crossover below on the RSI indicator, and the strong uptrend of MACD since December 7th.
Disclaimer:
I would like to emphasize that this communication does not constitute investment advice. I strongly urge you to conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. It is essential to recognize that your funds are your responsibility, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Sincerely,
Ely
Navigating the Markets with Fibonacci ChannelsToday we delve into the fascinating world of Fibonacci Channels, a powerful tool for traders looking to identify potential non-horizontal support and resistance levels in the market.
Throughout the video, we provide a step-by-step guide on how to place Fibonacci Channels on price charts, allowing you to visualize and understand their significance in identifying key price levels. We also showcase real-world examples to demonstrate how Fibonacci Channels can be used to find points of interest, such as trend reversals and price targets.
Furthermore, we discuss the integration of Fibonacci Channels with other technical indicators, providing insights into how this combination can enhance your trading strategy. By the end of this video, you will have a comprehensive understanding of Fibonacci Channels and the ability to confidently incorporate them into your trading approach. Get ready to unlock the potential of Fibonacci Channels and take your trading skills to the next level!
March E-Mini S&P 500 Index Futures Weekly Chart - 12/18/23March E-mini S&P 500 Index futures continued the rally that began at the beginning of November, taking out the recent high from the last week in July. MACD recently experienced a bullish cross by crossing above its signal line. That relationship is widening, which indicates a continuing bullish trend. RSI is getting closer to being overbought at 70, though bearish divergence might be in play as the RSI is lower than its peak in August, even though price has taken out the high in August. This could indicate that momentum is weakening, and a reversal might occur. If the bullish trend continues, resistance might be found at the April 2022 high of 4,860. A reverse to the downside could find support at the 61.8% Fib level (4,530) and at the 52-week moving average (~4,400).
Please Note:
Commentary and charts reflect data at the time of analysis (12/15/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
COST Costco flap and poleHey folks
Back with my signature flag and pole. Not into using crazy indicators here but just pure tech analysis.
COST giving a weekly flag and pole with divergence on macd.
Wait for 8-9 weeks for the next earning season and see it pop. Feel free to checkout my previous ideas and see how they faired.
Leave a comment and a subscribe for more ideas
Cheers
A
TSLA's Fight the Falling Resistance 🧠 Rejection or BreakoutDear Esteemed Members,
TSLA is mostly bearish within the resistance of the red triangle. As long as it remains below the trendline, bears can enjoy better risk-reward ratios. Some traders wait out the price's rejection at the falling line to open their short positions. Others wait for a confirmed breakout through the resistance to open a long position. Now, both sides have a significant chance because the pattern is usually bearish, but TSLA reclaimed the EMAs in a convincing manner. I've got a short, but I opened it above the resistance. So, I can close it in profit at the resistance. I wouldn't open a new short until I see the price action around the trendline. The white arrows mark the scenarios I mentioned. I also placed two positions on the chart that one could make depending on TSLA's behavior around the falling level.
Disclaimer:
It's not an investment advice. My analytics serve only entertainment purposes. Do your research. Historic results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Kind regards,
Ely
News Analytics Align with Technicals' Slight Bearish Momentum ☄️Dear Investors,
Chart Explanation
I believe if Tesla doesn't break out from the bearish triangle, it could downtrend to $225. This is the target price of multiple scenarios. The stock is volatile enough to fall to this price without additional confirmation. However, if the price meets the resistance trendline I marked with red, it can still spiral into the mentioned target zone. The chart shows how this resistance indeed rejected rallies many times over the previous months. I drew red arrows where I believe the resistance rejected the price. If the price breaks up this resistance, bullish scenarios will become more probable and Tesla will prepare for the moon. At the moment, however, the number of bearish scenarios suggests a better risk-reward ratio for shorts with losing the EMAs today. I've got a short myself from $251, and I'd consider increasing this position size if I see another rejection near the resistance. On the other hand, a breakup of the resistance would mean taking profits from these positions and preparing for a long setup. The $225 target aligns with multiple historical gaps that the stock is yet to fulfill. From that level, it can either break down or reverse up. There are possible targets on both sides. So, I think, it's important to monitor news and technicals alike. In this idea, I'd like to give you some news trading insights and how I see the technical indicators.
News Trading - Natural Language Processing
☄️ Tesla's production and delivery growth has slowed in recent quarters. The company's production growth slowed to 54% in the fourth quarter of 2022, from 119% in the third quarter. Deliveries also slowed to 936,000 in the fourth quarter, from 1.39 million in the third quarter. This slowdown could be a sign that Tesla is facing production bottlenecks or supply chain disruptions.
☄️ Tesla's gross margin has declined. The company's gross margin was 27.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022, down from 30.6% in the third quarter. This decline could be a sign that Tesla is facing higher costs or that it is discounting its cars more heavily to boost sales.
☄️ Tesla's stock price has been volatile in recent months. The stock price has fallen by more than 40% from its all-time high in November 2021. This volatility could be a sign that investors are uncertain about Tesla's future.
☄️ There are concerns about Tesla's ability to scale production efficiently. The company has ambitious plans to produce 20 million vehicles per year by 2030, but analysts have questioned whether Tesla can achieve this goal without facing significant production bottlenecks.
☄️ Tesla's competitive landscape is becoming more crowded. The electric vehicle market is becoming increasingly crowded, with new entrants from established automakers and startups alike. This could put pressure on Tesla's market share and pricing power.
Technical Indicators
MACD has been bearish since 29 November as the bottom indicator shows. The bearish momentum isn't too strong, but it's been consistent over the last week. On the RSI, above the MACD indicator, I can see a bullish RSI cross attempt, but this cross failed and became a bearish indication. The volume bars have been somewhat stable over this time, which might not enforce a strong bearish momentum, but it shows a lack of volume necessary for reversal.
Disclaimer
It's not an investment advice. Do your research. Your funds are your responsibility. This speculation serves only entertainment purposes.
Kind regards,
Ely
Integrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar TrendsIntegrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar Trends
Dear Respected Members, Speculators, and Traders,
My AI's advanced pattern recognition detected the green rising channel chart pattern, concealing a potential bearish retracement signaled by the bearish MACD and negative RSI with a bearish cross below. Ensembling predicts a retracement to 103.78, the channel's support. Multiple scenarios may unfold, with DXY rallying to the 104.27 resistance or continuing a bearish trend if the support breaks. News Trading Strategies, aided by AI's Neural Language Processing bots, align with recent reports:
Dollar weakens as Fed rate cut view weighs: DXY fell 0.2% to 103.20, anticipating a monthly loss exceeding 3%, attributed to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Crack in US dollar strength to spread as economy slows: FX strategists foresee continued dollar weakening amid a slowing US economy, reflecting global concerns (Reuters, Nov 8, 2023).
U.S. Dollar Index weakens post 20-year high: A decline of over 8% from its September peak is attributed to factors like a stronger euro and a sluggish US economy (Axios, Dec 9, 2023).
These align with sentiment analytics (DSI/DSIE), emphasizing a holistic approach merging AI with news and sentiment tools for enhanced insights.
Disclaimer: Not investment advice; analytics for entertainment. Keep speculation separate from investments.
Best regards,
Ely
GOLDTechnical analysis of Gold OANDA:XAUUSD
By examining the trend of gold in the one-hour time frame, this precious metal has formed a positive divergence in MACD in the direction of increasing the price, and most likely, provided that no one-hour candle closes are recorded under the support of $1973. The rate can rise to the resistance range of 2007-2014 USD.
⚠️ Risk disclosure statement:
Since the financial markets are under the pressure of many factors and any factor can cause fluctuations in it, the provided analyzes are provided only to inform the general market environment and are not any suggestions for buying or selling. So be sure to trade with your trading strategy in this market.
December E-Mini Dow Jones Index Futures Weekly ChartDecember E-mini Dow Jones Index futures continued the uptrend that saw a break above the resistance line formed by connecting the high in January 2022 with the high in July 2023. With CPI, PPI, and a Fed announcement this week, there are certainly enough possible catalysts to turn this market to the bearish side. The MACD showed a bullish cross about a month ago and is not indicating a slowdown in momentum. The RSI at 62 on 12/8 indicates that there still may be room for price to continue bullish. Should the uptrend continue, a possible target (and resistance is the previous high of 37,906. A reverse to the downside might see the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (34,790) as support.
Please Note:
Commentary and charts reflect data at the time of analysis (12/08/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
Total index analysis Crypto Total 2 has broken down the upward channel and has tested the supportbelow it, now we can see this weekly candel is now open and heading upward. besides that we can see an obvious RD + in MACD and MFI. and Elon Musk just tweeted again! so in my opinion we are about to see a pullback to the broken channel and after that we have to see if there is any sign of getting back to the uptrend or that is just a technical pull back and we have to get ready for a massive dump and a long bear market for crypto market .
im bearish until i see areal good sign here. the first target for the market total is retesting 2017 high.
comment your opinions down below:)
#Verizon a recovery buy? NYSE:VZ Verizon Communications Inc. has recently released an impressive earnings report, surpassing expectations across the board and increasing their Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance by a substantial $1 billion compared to their previous guidance. This announcement has injected new life into the stock, and it's evident in the pre-market trading where VZ has surged by almost 4%.
The current outlook for VZ is highly favorable, and here's why: A bullish divergence is emerging on both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, particularly on the weekly timeframe. This divergence suggests that the stock is poised for a recovery, possibly leading to a profitable swing trade opportunity for investors.
Furthermore, VZ presents an additional allure for long-term investors. With a generous dividend yield of over 8%, this stock becomes a compelling choice for those seeking a stable, income-generating investment.
In summary, the combination of robust earnings, a notable increase in FCF guidance, and the promising technical indicators on the chart indicate a strong potential for VZ to recover from recent losses. Whether you're looking for a shorter-term swing trade or a long-term income play, Verizon is shaping up as an attractive option in the current market landscape
A look into Shake Shack's Macro Trend, Bullish or Bearish? Hi guys! This is a Macro analysis into Shake Shack (SHAK).
We will assess various developments occuring in the charts, shedding some light into whether we are in a bullish or bearish overall trend.
The analysis is done on the 1 Week timeframe.
When looking at the Price action of Shake Shack.
We have recently been REJECTED from a Major Resistance Trendline (RED line).
This line has been acting as resistance since Feb. 2021.
NOTE: This trendline indicates our current TREND. That is we are in a downtrend until proven otherwise. That proof is breaking ABOVE and CONFIRMING Support on this RED line.
Also NOTE: This is our 2nd touch point of this RED line. In trendline theory it states that atleast 3 or more touches are required on trendlines for them to weaken enough for a break to the opposite side.
So it makes sense that It has pushed us into another downtrend that has recently broken down below the 21 EMA (Purple moving average).
We are now rapidly approaching a SUPPORT test on the 50 SMA (Green Moving Average).
It is crucial we find SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and Horizontal Black Support line.
If we can't we risk falling to the "Major Support Trendline".
Which also risks another DEATHCROSS. Notice the slight downward curve on the 21 EMA.
Having a DEATHCROSS occur can bring in momentum to even push Prices below the "Major Support Trendline".
Our MACD indicator has also CROSSED Bearish with signficiantly increasing RED histogram bars. This signifies an increase in bearish momentum.
To maintain Bullish trend, we need to stay ABOVE the 0 level on MACD and have a BULL cross with the print of GREEN histogram bars.
We also MUST maintain Support on the 50 SMA, eventually CONFIRMING Support ABOVE 21 EMA.
Notice also the GOLDEN CROSS between 21 EMA and 50 SMA, as long as we maintain SUPPORT Above 50 SMA, this has the momentum to maintain an UPTREND.
It can also help us breakout through the Major Resistance Trendline.
Also take a look for reference at our previous REJECTION of this Major Resistance Trendline.
(Orange arrow)
Notice how we ended up testing Support on Green 50 SMA, bounced upwards but ended up coming back down and breaking down, printing the death cross and falling 72%. There is nothing saying that we cant do a similar move but theres also no way of knowing that it will play out exactly as past history.
Thats why we need to be level headed and take it 1 step at a time.
So in the coming weaks our current direction of price action is to TEST SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and the Black line Support CONFLUENCE first.
This area is CRUCIAL area that will determine whether we go back to RE-TEST either:
1. RED Major Resistance Trendline above.
2. BLACK Major Support Trendline below.
If we re-test the REDline that will make 3 touch points, and we will need to observe whether or not we break through.
If we re-test the Black Major Support trendline, we risk breaking down which may cause further price declines. But note its a Major Historical Trendline so it can make monumental buying opportunity provided we get back down there.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SHAK in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
BNTX biotech / currency play LONGBNTX a Germany company in the biotechnology and vaccine sectors out of Europe
and Germany is looking good on the 2H chart here with a volume profile and an
intermediate term VWAP overlaid. Price bounced off the bottom of the high volume
area of the volume profile and looks to be ready for a reversion to the mean and even
a sling-short move. The target here is the double top M pattern of mid July at 114.
The VPT and MACD are confirmatory of a momentum flip making for a long trade
entry. I will review the options chain for a suitable options trade with a narrow bid/ask
spread, suitable volume and open interest. If I cannot find one I'll take a trade of
10-20 shares of stock with a stop-loss of 105 to back up this trade while NVAX and MRNA
are also making moves.
SNOW another technology company tolerating Bidenonomics LONGSNOW on the 4H is seen trending from from earnings in May with the great top line
and okay bottom line with a big uptrend into a sideways wide range channel.
It is now low in the channel but still above the long term anchored mean VWAP which
is the logical stop loss for any long trade setup. Confluent support is the POC line
of the visible volume profile with the upper high volume profile providing the
the expected range of a long trade. The Volume Price Trend indicator
and the MACD are synergistic in their confirmation. Fundamentally, SNOW is in
the AI revolution and its role in streamlining processes and lowering costs for the government
and businesses. The logical target here, the second deviation above mean VWAP presently
at the 193.45 price level. This line pushed the price back down 4 times in the past 8 weeks.
I see the quick 10% upside as good for a long trade knowing well-managed options
trade could produce 100-150% easily in capitalizing on AI software tech and the heavy
hitters of the new NASDAC leading the index higher and faster. What a great concept
more snow while the climate heat wave is unrelenting. I will enter here with a sizeable
stock trade while considering a 10-30 DTE call option to catch the ride toward the
target mentioned here.
BTC current market moves explainedHello traders, welcome to my analysis. I tried to visualize every move on the chart itself and give perspective to the next probable move. as you can see price is respecting key levels around daily MA-200 and the MACD provides good momentum indication showing end of each phase.
please share what you think.
AUDUSD Alert! Double Bottom Formation: Bullish Breakout📈🐨🚀 It's time for a change in direction! After a successful short entry based on the breakdown of an ascending channel, we are now shifting gears to capitalize on a bullish opportunity on the AUDUSD forex pair.
The price action on AUDUSD has formed a double bottom pattern, with a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level acting as a strong support. This pattern signals a potential bullish breakout, presenting us with an ideal chance to ride the upward momentum.
Moreover, our last short trade played out successfully, allowing us to secure a portion of our profits. Now, it's time to seize the entirety of those gains and switch our focus to the bullish side of the market.
Adding to the bullish case, the MACD indicator has revealed a bullish divergence, reinforcing the likelihood of an upward move. The combination of the double bottom formation, key support level, and bullish divergence strengthens our confidence in this setup.
To maximize our profit potential, I will be aiming for a first take profit level at 0.67850, followed by a target located at 0.68750. 🎯💰
Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to ride the bullish wave on AUDUSD! Join me as we make the most of this breakout and continue to navigate the ever-changing market with precision and profitability. 🐨📈💪
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and dont forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful🚀📈💪
ENVX - Army Swiss Knife X FactorA Couple things to note is Enovix has been on a steady rise and has had bullish catalyst released. It's on the hook to hit the next leg. Lame pun for the Hook showing on the chart pattern
"The advanced silicon battery company said the deal is for it to produce commercial cells for use within U.S. Army soldier's central power source, called the Conformal Wearable Battery.
Enovix said the agreement moves the program toward full volume production. The cells will be used to build pre-production CWB packs." - MarketBeat
This launched the stock price to $19 ON JULY 6TH.
It helps that spy has been pumping making new highs. I feel it will rise in the next few weeks with spy being on an extreme bull run and ENVX following a similar pattern.
ENVX, RSI on close to oversold, Williams showing the stock is curling. ENVX is currently aligned with SPY and have the same exact pattern It may run up with SPY so long as it remains bullish.
Expect it to touch at least $25 but theres a lot of turbulance up there as thats where it's been consolidating in the past. General consensus PT is $38. Others have placed as high as $100.
has an average rating of buy and price targets ranging from $15 to $100, according to analysts polled by Capital IQ.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave
Educational: Grid Trading, What is it? How it works?Grid trading is often marketed as a way to win every trade. People usually get away with this type of marketing of the trading style due to the fact that grid trading does not care for market execution in the sense of market direction because you will close profitable trades if the market goes up or down. But it's not as simple as that.
What is Grid trading?
Grid trading is a type of trading strategy that makes use of market price variations by placing buy and sell orders at regular intervals around a base price. The foreign exchange market is where grid trading is most frequently employed, but it can also be used on other markets, like those for futures contracts.
How to execute trades on a grid
The image above explains exactly how positions that run in the upper direction are executed. Let's break down the process:
(1) At the start of your grid trading system, you execute a buy and a sell position with the same lot size.
(2) You will only set a take profit and a buy limit/sell limit, but no stop loss.
(3) Assuming the price runs in the direction of the buy and you have a 10-pip stop loss, once the price hits your 10-pip stop loss, you will also execute a sell position via the sell limit. This sell position will have a 10-pip take profit in the opposite direction.
See demonstration below:
There is no restriction on the size of the grid. It does not have to be 10 pips apart. The distance of the grid is explained further in the publication.
Here is a video using a trading simulator to show you how these positions would be executed
:
So, as you can see, with this style of trading, you can potentially make money whether the price goes up or down. However, it can be quite challenging to execute and maintain a large number of trades. Therefore, individuals typically employ automated systems or use trading software to manage and monitor these trades.
Trending Market
Grid trading can be used to profit from both trending and ranging markets. In a trending market, grid trading involves placing buy orders above the base price and sell orders below the base price. This way, the trader can capitalize on the price movement in a sustained direction. For example, if the base price of Bitcoin futures is $60,000, the trader can place buy orders every $1,000 above the base price. This is also sometimes wrong referred to as dollar cost averaging or compounding your trade which are very different investment strategies.
Grid trading's key benefit is that it can be readily automated using trading bots and does not require a lot of forecasting of market direction. Grid trading's main disadvantage is that, if the market goes against the grid and the trader does not apply appropriate risk management strategies like stop-loss limits or position sizing, it may result in significant losses.
Grid Size
Choosing a grid spacing is one of the most important aspects of grid trading. This depends on a number of elements, including:
- The volatility of the market: The more volatile the market is, the wider the grids should be to avoid frequent executions and commissions.
- The personal preference of the trader: The trader should choose a grid size that suits their trading style and risk tolerance.
Technical indicators like moving averages or Bollinger bands are sometimes used to calculate the spacing between the grids. These indicators can be used to determine the market's volatility and average price over a specific time frame. You can also use basic price action to determine what range the market is likely to tstay within and then calculate the grid in-between
Ranging or Trending:
Identifying whether the market is trending or range is another important aspect of grid trading. This can be used to determine whether to employ grids that move with the trend or against it. There are a number of approaches to determine if the market is trending or fluctuating, including:
- Using trend lines or channels: A trend line or channel is a line that connects higher highs or lower lows in a trending market. A break of a trend line or channel can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market.
- Using trend indicators such as ADX or MACD: The average directional index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend on a scale from 0 to 100. A high ADX value (above 25) indicates a strong trend while a low ADX value (below 20) indicates a weak trend or a range-bound market. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) measures the difference between two moving averages of different lengths. A positive MACD value indicates an uptrend while a negative MACD value indicates a downtrend. A crossover of MACD lines or zero line can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market.
Link to a publication on MACD :
- Using range indicators such as RSI or Stochastic: The relative strength index (RSI) measures how overbought or oversold a market is on a scale from 0 to 100. A high RSI value (above 70) indicates an overbought market while a low RSI value (below 30) indicates an oversold market. A reversal of RSI from extreme levels can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market. Link to related publication: