Gold Positive - Rebounds on Military TensionsXAU / USD trend forecast November 19, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) drew safe-haven demand on Monday, rebounding after last week's sharpest weekly decline in over three years and breaking a six-day losing streak amid escalating geopolitical tensions.
Additionally, a pullback in US Treasury yields led to profit-taking on the US Dollar (USD) following its post-election surge to a new year-to-date high, providing further support for the non-yielding yellow metal.
Korean peninsula tension - boosts gold price to increase and recover. Wait for resistance zone according to FIBONACCY for gold price to decrease
/// SELL XAU : zone 2640-2643
SL: 2648
TP: 50 - 100 - 200pips (2623)
Safe and profitable trading
Longsetup
Recovery continues! Expected price range 2644⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged over 1.80% early this week, recovering from a two-month low of $2,536 to climb above $2,600. Heightened tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with a weaker US Dollar, supported Gold’s rise on Monday. At present, XAU/USD is trading at $2,610.
Market sentiment on Wall Street is mixed, with two major US equity indices posting gains while the other two remain volatile. Geopolitical developments remain a key driver for Gold, as Russia’s large-scale offensive in Ukraine prompted a response from the White House.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price still shows strong upward momentum, recovery may be higher approaching potential price zones such as 2644 - 2673
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2644 - $2646 SL $2649
TP1: $2638
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2673 - $2675 SL $2680
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2645
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2589 - $2587 SL $2582
TP1: $2595
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! Nov 19 ! Break - prices continue to rise, scalpingXAU / USD trend forecast November 18, 2024 ! SCALPING
Market expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies could drive inflation higher and reduce the likelihood of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have kept US Treasury yields elevated. This has limited the upward momentum for Gold prices.
However, persistent geopolitical risks from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to provide support for the safe-haven asset, urging caution before initiating new bearish positions.
Small timeframe M15 , see price BREAK past 2625 and continue to rally towards 2640 soon
/// BUY XAU : zone 2625-2622
SL: 2619
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2637)
Safe and profitable trading
Xauusd Buy1. Trend Analysis
Zero Lag Trend Indicator:
On the M5 and M15 timeframes, the Zero Lag Trend Indicator signals a bearish trend, with the price trading below the Zero Lag EMA and recent bearish crossovers.
On higher timeframes like H1 and H4, the trend remains bullish, indicating that the current bearish movement on lower timeframes may be a retracement within the broader uptrend.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
The alignment of bearish signals on lower timeframes and bullish signals on higher timeframes suggests a potential buying opportunity if the price reaches a significant support level and shows signs of reversal.
2. Key Levels Identification
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
$2615: Recent swing low and a psychological support level.
$2610: A round number and potential strong support.
Resistance Levels:
$2625: Previous swing high and potential resistance.
$2630: Another round number and resistance level.
Order Blocks:
A bullish order block is identified around $2615, indicating potential institutional buying interest at this level.
3. Liquidity Zones and FU Candles
Liquidity Grabs:
Potential liquidity exists below $2615, where stop-loss orders from retail traders may be clustered.
FU (Fakeout) Candles:
On the M5 timeframe, a bullish FU candle is observed near $2615, suggesting a possible reversal and trapping of bearish traders.
4. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Strategy
Entry:
Long Position: Consider entering around $2615 after confirming support at $2615 holds and observing bullish reversal patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing candle).
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place the SL below $2610, at $2605, to protect against potential false breakouts and account for market volatility.
Take-Profit (TP):
Set the TP at $2625, near the next significant resistance level, maintaining a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
5. Example Trade Setup
Scenario:
Current price: $2618.5.
Bearish trend on lower timeframes; bullish trend on higher timeframes.
Plan:
Entry: $2615 (after confirming support at $2615).
Stop-Loss (SL): $2605 (below $2610 support).
Take-Profit (TP): $2625 (near resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
1:3, where the risk is $10 ($2615 - $2605), and the reward is $30 ($2625 - $2615).
6. Additional Considerations
Market News:
Monitor economic indicators and news related to gold, such as interest rate decisions and geopolitical events, as they can impact volatility.
Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% of your trading capital per trade to ensure sustainable trading practices.
$GOAT/USDT: Bullish Setup with Explosive Potential!$GOAT/USDT: Bullish Outlook
GOAT has been making a rising wedge pattern and took the break at the lower trendline. Today, it's found support near that lower trendline while the price is holding above the 21 EMA on the 4-hour chart, which reflects the strength of the bulls. A breakout above the upper resistance line may create explosive price action.
Entry Point: CMP (~$1.08)
Add-on Zones: $1.02–$0.95 for potential dips.
Targets:
$1.50
$2.00
$2.30 (Primary Target)
Stop Loss: $0.94 to minimize downside risk.
Leverage Advice: Use 2x–5x leverage responsibly.
$DOGE/USDT: Bullish Breakout with High Potential!$DOGE/USDT: Long Setup 🚀
DOGE has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern after consolidating near a key support zone. The price is now trading above the 50 EMA on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a shift in momentum toward bullish territory. With strong volume supporting the breakout, DOGE looks primed for an upward move. 📈
📌 Entry Point: CMP (~$0.388) 📈 Add-on Zones: $0.37–$0.34 for potential pullbacks. 🎯 Targets:
$0.44
$0.52
$0.68 (Major Target)
⛔️ Stop Loss: $0.34 to manage downside risk. ⚖️ Leverage Advice: Use 2x–5x leverage for risk-optimized trades.
#DOGE #Crypto #AltcoinSeason
ASTR/USDT: Bullish Breakout with Targets Ahead!$ASTR/USDT: Long Position 🚀
ASTR has broken out of a descending trendline resistance, signaling a potential bullish trend reversal. The price is now trading above the 200 EMA, reinforcing bullish momentum. A successful retest of the breakout zone could offer a prime entry opportunity for long positions. 📈
📌 Entry Point: CMP (~$0.068) 📈 Add-on Zones: Retests near $0.065–$0.062 for safer entries.
🎯 Targets:
$0.075
$0.090
$0.130 (Major Target)
⛔️ Stop Loss: $0.060 to minimize risk. ⚖️ Leverage Advice: Use leverage cautiously (2x–5x), based on risk tolerance.
#Crypto #ASTR #Bullish
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today!
Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day.
However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks.
Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.
Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline.
Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure.
However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends, Ben here!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early Monday, testing the $2,600 level and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. The latest surge in gold prices may be tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, following the U.S. authorization for Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russian territory.
However, the latest Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey reflects a bearish market sentiment. Specifically, the continued rise in the USD and bond yields is exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has adopted a more hawkish stance, posing further challenges for the precious metal.
Looking ahead, with gold prices still at low levels, central banks may return as buyers in the market. However, Europe's ongoing economic struggles are pressuring the euro, prompting increased USD purchases to counter depreciation. As a result, gold prices may trade sideways or see additional declines unless a major geopolitical event emerges.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued due to the lack of major economic data releases. Key focus areas include U.S. housing starts and building permits, home sales, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. Additionally, market participants are awaiting comments from several Fed officials to assess the pace and scale of upcoming interest rate cuts.
From a technical standpoint, gold is thoroughly testing the resistance zone around $2,600–$2,589, attempting to offset market losses. Theoretically, a false breakout and consolidation below this zone could lead to further declines. Currently, I do not rule out the possibility of liquidity testing above this resistance zone ahead of significant news events. A false breakout could trigger selling activity, further reinforcing bearish momentum. However, if prices rebound near the $2,600 resistance and begin a smooth decline towards $2,546, it would generally increase the likelihood of a breakdown and continuation of the downtrend.
Monday - gold recovers under selling pressure from the market⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) pares some of its intraday gains but stays below $2,600 as the European session approaches on Monday. Hopes that US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies will drive inflation and reduce the need for further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts keep US Treasury yields high. This, combined with a positive market sentiment, weighs on the non-yielding yellow metal.
However, lingering geopolitical risks provide some support for Gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued below its year-to-date high from last Thursday, offering a boost to XAU/USD and breaking its six-day losing streak. Still, the lack of strong follow-through buying suggests caution before expecting a meaningful rebound from last week’s two-month low near $2,537-2,536.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price increased at the beginning of the week, clearing liquidity. After absorbing and accumulating enough, the selling side continued to dominate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2608 - $2610 SL $2615
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2590
TP3: $2580
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2565 - $2567 SL $2560
TP1: $2572
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! Nov 18 ! Short recovery 2614XAU / USD trend forecast November 18, 2024
Traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts in December after Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the US central bank was in no hurry to lower rates, citing the "remarkably strong" performance of the economy. Elevated interest rates tend to weigh on Gold prices, as they make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Conversely, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia could support safe-haven demand, bolstering the yellow metal. According to Reuters, President Joe Biden's administration has authorized Ukraine to use US weaponry for strikes inside Russia, marking a significant shift in Washington's policy regarding the Ukraine-Russia conflict
Short-term recovery - liquidity sweep of resistance zone 2597 - 2614. Downtrend still dominates long-term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2614-2617
SL: 2622
TP: 50 - 100 - 200pips (2597)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD Potential Long OpportunityOn the 30-minute XAU/USD (Gold) chart, I’ve identified a potential long setup based on Fibonacci levels and recent price action.
🔹 Entry: Enter around the current level at $2,556, where we’re seeing signs of support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Place below the recent low near the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level at $2,536. This area has previously acted as support, and a break below could signal a shift in trend.
🔹 Take Profit: Target the 0.25 Fibonacci retracement level at $2,577 or, for a higher target, consider the 0.5 retracement level around $2,597-$2,618. These levels have previously acted as resistance zones, making them logical profit points for a long position.
Ensure this trade aligns with your risk tolerance. With a stop loss set close to support, this setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio if the uptrend continues.
Good luck!
XAU ! Nov 18 ! Scalping BUY retest entry BREAK XAU / USD trend forecast November 18, 2024! SCALPING
Gold prices saw their steepest weekly drop since September 2023, falling to a two-month low last week as the US Dollar surged to its highest level in over a year.
Over the weekend, geopolitical events spurred safe-haven demand, helping the precious metal regain strong upward momentum during the Asian session as the new week began.
US President Joe Biden approved Ukraine's use of US-supplied long-range missiles for deeper strikes inside Russia, which, in response, has reportedly deployed North Korean troops to bolster its military efforts.
Trendline M30 - price drops to trend BREAK point, then bounces back
/// BUY XAU : zone 2575-2572
SL: 2569
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2587)
Safe and profitable trading
#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy
Welcome to my Bitcoin Scalping Season 2
In the first season of Bitcoin scalping, I was at your service with 15 setups.
This Setups are based on a combination of different styles and based on my personal strategy.
Please don't forget to get entry approval and risk and capital management based on your own strategy.
((This setup has nothing to do with the launch of Big Short and that setup and analysis is valid.))
My Bitcoin Big Short Setup :
Punjab National Bank (PNB) Technical Outlook📌 Current Price: ₹100.53 (+1.05%)
📌 Sector: Banking
📌 Timeframe: Daily
Key Observations:
1.Descending Channel:
PNB has been trading in a well-defined descending channel since its peak of ₹142.40. The current trend remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows.
2.Fibonacci Retracement:
Major Levels:
0.618 (₹113.59) : Key resistance.
0.5 (₹104.69): Immediate resistance.
0.382 (₹95.80): Current support.
0.236 (₹84.79): Next critical support if the stock breaches ₹95.80.
3.Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: ₹95.80 (holding strong for now).
Resistance: ₹104.69, followed by ₹113.59.
4.Volume Analysis:
Declining volume suggests indecision among traders, indicating a potential consolidation phase.
5.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI shows the stock is moving out of oversold territory, which could trigger a short-term bounce.
Jefferies Target 🎯:
Revised Target: ₹135
This aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level (₹126.26) , a crucial point where PNB would need to break out of the descending channel and confirm a trend reversal.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Bounce from ₹95.80 and breakout above ₹104.69.
Sustained buying could push the stock to ₹113.59 and eventually to ₹126.
Bearish Case:
A breakdown below ₹95.80 could lead to a retest of ₹84.79.
Failure to hold ₹84.79 might push the stock to its next support zone around ₹80.
Trading Strategy:
1.Short-Term Traders:
Watch for a breakout above ₹104.69 for a quick target of ₹113.59.
Stop-loss: ₹95.
2.Long-Term Investors:
Accumulate near ₹95.80 or ₹84.79, keeping ₹80 as a long-term stop-loss.
Final Thoughts:
The stock's long-term prospects remain aligned with its sector growth and broader market recovery. A breakout from the descending channel could attract significant buying interest, aligning with Jefferies' bullish target of ₹135.
BITCOIN-->Implementation and distribution phase. Target 100,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating after a strong rally. In the context of a more likely rally. The target around 95,000 - 100,000 is getting closer and more realistic. What is the reason?
The fundamental backdrop is strong because of the Trump presidential election, which is generally favorable for bitcoin and other crypto flows. Can this rally be even bigger? Yes! And there are bullish premises for it:
BTCUSDT has broken out of the accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong resistance zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but there are signs of a resistance breakout.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no extension of the lows, strong consolidation and strong support levels.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the support level and the formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break above the major resistance zone at 91,650 could trigger a bullish run.
XRP Will Jump in Market Cap and Looks Bullish /Targets and PlansBINANCE:XRPUSDT
COINBASE:XRPUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 2x-3x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
According to the price trend in the previous alt rally, you can see that XRP and DOGE are at their lowest market value compared to the previous rally.
In the coming days, whenever the price of BTC is increasing or consolidating, while BTC.D starts a downward trend, we can expect the market's top tokens, especially XRP, to start jumping to ATH levels.
The price falling below the yellow area cancels the bullish scenario.
Potential price targets for the levels will be $0.88 and $1.2.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone:
⚡️TP:
0.65
0.88
1.20
1.64
🔴SL:
00.2950
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Cava I Proven to be a steady performer - continued growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** Cava Analysis - Listen to video!
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