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Parabolic SAR From ScratchHi, traders! Today we’ll continue our series of educational articles. We hope you enjoyed the previous one and found it useful. We have already told about the necessity of identifying a trend . Most of freshmen and even experienced traders find it really difficult. There is even more difficult problem, though. Finding the most profitable points of entrance and exit is very complicated task for anybody. However, technical analysis gives traders some tools and techniques that simplify this task greatly. Today we’ll talk about Parabolic SAR (PSAR) , one of the best indicators for identifying trend reverses. Let’s have a look at it. PSAR is the line of dots which is plotted below or above the price candles. When the trend is bullish the dots are below the candles, when the trend is bearish they are above. PSAR calculation is rather difficult and we don’t want to bore you. One you should know is the main parameters – step and maximum step (default 0.02 and 0.2). When you increase this values, you increase the sensitivity of indicator, but at the same time sacrifice its precision, cause it starts catching lots of false signals. Whereas we decrease these values sensitivity becomes less, but signals are more accurate. Thus, it’s very important to find balance , in order to minimize lagging and get accurate signals.
Education
by Skyrexio
MACD From ScratchHi, traders! Today we gonna start the tutorial “Trading from scratch”. These short but very useful articles are intended for beginners who’s just started their way in trading. We hope you’ll enjoy. Today’s article will give the full understanding of one the most popular, easy and very useful indicator - MAC. Moreover, we’ll show you how to apply it efficiently. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) is a trend indicator that shows the trend and its momentum. It consists of two lines: MACD line and signal line. Both of them are EMA with different periods. We got MACD line subtracting from EMA with less period (fast) EMA with longer period (slow). The signal line is MACD line smoothed by the very short EMA. How to trade with MACD? Divergence The first very powerful signal is divergence. Divergence means the difference between slope of the trend line on chart and indicator. To learn about it properly you can read our Divergences Cheat Sheet . Catching divergences is a good signal to buy or sell. As you can see on the screen, the first time we got bearish regular divergence. Thus, we are going to short. Then we can see bullish hidden divergence and it’s a good chance to execute a long position. NOTE We can draw divergence lines both on MACD line and histogram.
Education
by Skyrexio
2
Make sure to focus on improving in every aspectNote I am using GBPJPY, a favorite of high leverage day gamblers as it has the biggest range of the 30 leverage pairs. I am not "spreading FUD", if day gamblers want to lose their money I do not care. Actually I like it. Finding success is satisfying but additionally watching others fail has an added sweetness that is irresistible. This is simply a reminder to be logical, and since we try to always better ourselves we have to make sure to better ourselves on all aspects. It sounds simple like this but I assure you it is simple when you are told it, like hindsight. People think they are supermen that think of everything, never miss anything, and are going to buy at bottoms and sell at tops. Well to people that think that: good for you. I am no superman. And believe me I'm not being humble I hold myself to high standards and have a big pride. Warren Buffett is no superman either. Neither is George Soros. Nor Jim Simons, he made real money decades after buying his first future contract and needed to hire someone to help him out with stocks which he did not know that well. You may ask "But MrRenev how do I improve on myself and my trading? I do not even know where to start, I do not even know what to improve in". Well you force yourself to have a rational organised mind, write it down; and you take your chart screen, sit in front of it, and stay there for the next 50 years. ==> Read, read, read. Watch videos, read articles like this one or (I'm not sure if I can mention potential competitors), go on forums, read books if you want. I would call this part the "fun" part, or the leisure part. Watch videos you find interesting, even read memeposts on the internet, as long as you can tell what is bs what is not, even absolute trash will teach you how others think or will make you think or will show you others mistakes. ==> The second part, the laborious one (it's okay when you get into it you won't see the hours). You open excel, you open tradingview, you get a tool to save screenshots automatically, you open the calculator, you open a CME window, you open notepad/sublimetext. And you grind. You take in vast amounts of data, process it, look at the stats, and you learn. You ask questions such as "what are other participants doing? What are their holding periods" and so on. So here is the secret holy grail: R.D. Wyckoff started as a stock runner for a New York brokerage at 15 years old. He started speculating at least 10 years later, after having learned much from the charts and his clients mistakes. W.D. Gann is the son of a cotton farmer and started hearing and learning about markets at a young age. He then went to a business school (useless) and worked for a broker, like Wyckoff he learned from his clients mistakes and then started proprietary trading. George Soros started in 1954 as a clerk, then arbitrage trader, in 1959 he was an analyst for euro stocks, until 1963 when he became a VP. He started a fund in 1966 with his employer money (correct me if I am wrong) to try out his trading strategies - developed during his 12 years in the business. Don't just "try to make money", improve on everything and it will come with time. Remember, the most toxic tryhards are the best players in sports and video games. Same thing here. If your goal is not to be "the best I can" and just "make money", McDonald's has job offers available, good luck as a burger flipper, and I'm not sure I'd want to eat those.
Education
by MrRenev
3
ITCDisclaimer: I'm.not a SEBI Registered financial advisor all views posted are just for mutual learning and I'm not responsible for your profits or losses ,build your own conviction through learning and take action ,don't enter blindly , I hope this post add some value to your learning 😊 About stock :ITC is forming a Triangle Pattern and looks good upto Rs365 ( minimum hldng period 1year& Ardmore around 190levels) for very short-term traders Targets could be 220&235 StopLoss -199
NSE:ITCLong
by yaparla510698
1
A Quick intro to Moving Averages (Beginners) I have recently had some questions on some of the basics such as moving averages. First of all, there is some great free content out there via sites such as Babypips I wanted to share some simple info to at least explain what a moving average is. Where it is used and what are the types of. Moving average is a simple, technical analysis tool. Moving averages are usually calculated to identify the trend direction of a stock or to determine its support and resistance levels. It is a trend-following—or lagging—indicator because it is based on past prices. They also form the building blocks for many other technical indicators and overlays, such as Bollinger Bands, MACD and the McClellan Oscillator. The two most popular types of moving averages are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Moving averages are a totally customizable indicator, which means you can freely choose whatever time frame they want when calculating an average. The most common time periods used in moving averages are 15, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 days. The shorter the time span used to create the average, the more sensitive it will be to price changes. The longer the time span, the less sensitive the average will be. @TradingView has many of these tools to use under the list of indicators. A simple moving average is formed by computing the average price of a security over a specific number of periods. Most moving averages are based on closing prices; for example, a 5-day simple moving average is the five-day sum of closing prices divided by five. As its name implies, a moving average is an average that moves. Old data is dropped as new data becomes available, causing the average to move along the time scale. Then you have an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). reduce the lag by applying more weight to recent prices. The weighting applied to the most recent price depends on the number of periods in the moving average. EMAs differ from simple moving averages in that a given day's EMA calculation depends on the EMA calculations for all the days prior to that day. You need far more than 10 days of data to calculate a reasonably accurate 10-day EMA. Highlighting the difference between an MA & an SMA - The Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA) is similar to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), in that it aims to reduce noise rather than reduce lag. The indicator takes all prices into account and uses a long lookback period. Then how it can be used and applied, *** There are many strategies out there, the most basic starts with above or below a level (above = buy, below = sell) And then it steps into two moving averages crossing for example. Also as I mentioned above - other indicators use a form of moving average to calculate their plot. Another simple strategy - Investopedia This moving average trading strategy uses the EMA, because this type of average is designed to respond quickly to price changes. Here are the strategy steps. 🍒Plot three exponential moving averages—a five-period EMA, a 20-period EMA, and 50-period EMA—on a 15-minute chart. 🍒Buy when the five-period EMA crosses from below to above the 20-period EMA, and the price, five, and 20-period EMAs are above the 50 EMA. 🍒For a sell trade, sell when the five-period EMA crosses from above to below the 20-period EMA, and both EMAs and the price are below the 50-period EMA. 🍒Place the initial stop-loss order below the 20-period EMA (for a buy trade), or alternatively about 10 pips from the entry price. 🍒An optional step is to move the stop-loss to break even when the trade is 10 pips profitable. 🍒Consider placing a profit target of 20 pips, or alternatively exit when the five-period falls below the 20-period if long, or when the five moves above the 20 when short. I hope this helps - Please feel free to add more info below. Any suggestions & comments to help new traders, always appreciated. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
97
📖 Trading Books 📖As a trading coach & mentor, I often get asked about where to go and find resources. Anything from books to specific strategies. So I thought it would be interesting to not only share with the community some books I have liked over the years. But to ask for your favorite books, any suggestions - any thoughts on the books listed? Even if they're slightly outside of the conventional trading manual concepts - there are some great Wall Street stories, banking or business esq books. Be great to get some conversations going! Here's the second wave. The next wave - moving away from trading manuals per se; Another list; And lastly some books worth mentioning but were just off the top 20 spot. So what are your best books? why? what do you make of some of the books mentioned? Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
52
Education - How does a bubble develop and what are the signs?Preface: This learning content or information is merely my experience, or are those techniques that I use or find useful. The beauty of technical analysis is that an analysis or forecast can be made using many different approaches. These differ in effort, approach, tools and technical approaches. However, I think one thing is important: Keep the chart as simple as possible, try to see what is obvious and work with as few tools as possible but as many as necessary. If you base your analysis on what seems obvious, it is likely that many other traders will also see it. This in turn would support a movement in the predicted direction. = Self-fulfilling prophecy -> Examples: Moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, Simple formations etc.... ________________________________________________________________________________ Remark: This is supposed to be a small help to identify signs of a bubble formation, I must absolutely note that a lot of experience and knowledge is necessary here, which I can not convey in a hurry, as this would definitely go beyond the scope. Just try to analyze the BTC rise of 2017 with the help of these signs, or even the current rise. What is a bubble ? A bubble is usually easy to recognize in retrospect, a lot of green long candles, few red candles, until usually a high point. Then lots of big and long red candles and few green :) But how do I recognize a bubble while it is forming? Important: Please read through the wave age tutorial I wrote beforehand, this understanding is needed to continue here. If a trend does not consolidate sufficiently, but on the contrary shows shorter and shorter consolidations, rises faster and faster and ideally is still fueled by media interest, then these are the first signs of a bubble. (See bar in the chart) Within a trend, the price must consolidate sufficiently after a rise (to go into this in more detail would go beyond the scope). If now the trend in the period under review over the zenith, so after eg 6 waves, a new high and then further waves, with steeper and steeper price increases, so a bubble is to be assumed. The price MUST consolidate sufficiently to be sustainable. In the weekly, we can see that the price is moving further and further away from the standard SMAs (20,50,200) until it reaches an unnatural distance, which also indicates that the market may be in a bubble. As soon as such signs appear, it is important to set very tight stops, as it can come to an abrupt end. Summary: -Ever steeper rises -Ever shorter consolidations -Distance to SMAs is becoming uncharacteristic of the market Bonus: Media coverage of the asset Annotation: Since the weekly chart is shown here, it is not possible to see how the price reversal occurred. A SKS formed in the H4 , this was the beginning of the end of the steep rise. Also today, we have the same signs as 2017, to note was the very strong and violent reaction , this does not mean that the course will now immediately sink it can go before still on 60.000 , 70.000 or even more high, from my point of view, the current consolidations were not sufficient, I have this in mind when placing a stop __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If I like this kind of tutorial, so leave me a like there and follow me. If there is enough interest I will post more tutorials like this in the future Best regards and good luck DCT Trading
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by SystemTrader-SNP
3
Education - What are divergences and how do I use them? What are divergences and how do I use them in trading? A divergence usually shows the trader that the price is moving in the opposite direction to the indicator (or vice versa). To find a possible divergence in the price you can use various indicators (MACD, Stochastic, Momentum, etc.) I will limit myself to the Momentum indicator, because I use it myself in my trading. What does a divergence say? As already mentioned, the indicator shows me a contrary movement to the price, related to the momentum indicator this means for example: The price rises and forms a new high, but the momentum indicator forms a lower high in the indicator itself compared to the previous PRICE HIGH How do I use a divergence? A divergence can be used in many ways if you know what to do with the information gained. In my opinion, this also depends on the chosen indicator, at least in terms of the information value I get from the divergence. If one is able to identify a divergence correctly, one receives a kind of "warning", in my opinion a divergence by itself does not represent an action signal, but it warns me that in the case of the momentum indicator it comes to a trend slowdown although the price continues to rise. What is to be paid attention to here? -> As mentioned, a divergence by itself is in my opinion NOT a TREND SIGNAL, but a warning or information around which I can now supplement or adjust my trading. -> Very important, there are two ways that one "bends" the divergence to right once the setting of the indicator is crucial, since each trader uses other settings, it is important not to change these in search of a divergence so that one is formed. ->Furthermore, it is important to consider the time unit under consideration, a divergence occurring in H1 is much less meaningful than one in D1. Summary: Divergences are a possibility to add important information to one's trading at an early stage in order to forecast possible price changes that have not yet occurred. They do not represent action signals on their own.
BEducation
by SystemTrader-SNP
BTC AI PredictionI've been running several algo's (only super_simplified versions here on TV) at the same time attempting to compute Probability distributions (DL based on SVM) of a mean reversion for COINBASE:BTCUSD at this level, and using Convolutional neural networks, to map current price action patterns with historic chart patterns across multiple sectors. Here's the Alpha: According to my model we should see a retest of the 54k-55k level before rejecting and correcting down to the mid 30k's. Note: Probability theory is just PROBABILITY. Nothing is for sure. Human emotions are too random to accurately predict. :) MM
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by yinandyani
3
EURUSD SHORT: TRIGGER AND ENTRY USING RISING WEDGE PATTERN Price sold below the RWP (RISING WEDGE PATTERN) to 1.20952 before a pullback to retest lower channel trend line. A retest of the lower channel trend line is the trigger for a short entry which is bearish until the next logical support region. The first support region is at 1.20867-1.20789 and the second at 1.20269-1.20198 region on the chart. The strength of a RWP depends on the measure of convergence of the trend lines at the apex of the channel trend. This is a good pattern for a short entry within a bullish trend. Hope you've enjoyed the read, more RWP analysis ideas are welcomed!
by dvburn3r
The Crypto Dance: Bitcoin & Alt Season Dominance Cycles GuideThe Crypto Dance: Bitcoin & Alt Season Dominance Cycles Guide Hello and happy Chinese Lunar New Year! Hope you're all doing well. I made this simple guide to show you the relationship between Bitcoin's price & dominance vs. alt season dominance. You can use this as an ongoing reference during the bull cycle this year, or even this whole decade and beyond, to learn how the cryptocurrency market typically behaves. Credit to XForceGlobal for their publication (linked below) where I got the idea & source material to make this guide. Enjoy!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by ghostass
7
Major correction coming soon for Bitcoin?We see that Bitcoin is trading in a range since ~ 8 January. What is this chart showing? - There was a shift in Market Structure at the 10th off January - After this shift we saw the Lower-Low - I see Equal high's, those should get hunted (imo) (My) Conclusion: I placed my short order at 50% of the orderblock (blue). I think this could be a major turning point for Bitcoin. Price could easy visit $25000 region (FVG). Price could also drop lower to test broken levels that are (STILL!) untested. Thank you for checking my analysis! Do you have tips or other comments? Tell me please! I'm open for feedback!
Short
by stannieb
3
ZRX at an all-time low but hold your horsesZRX has recently set a new all-time low against Bitcoin. Last time this happened in September 2019 after months of sales against Bitcoin, which back then just ended a short-lived bull run. Soon after that low, ZRX bounced up by +40% a week. So now many traders are curious if this setup would happen again. We’ve asked the following question on the Cindicator platform: The cryptocurrency 0x (ZRX/BTC) settled at 0.00001298 BTC at 10:25 AM UTC at the binance exchange on Monday, January 11. In your opinion, will ZRX/BTC trade above 0.00001623 BTC (+25.0%) at any time before January 25? Hybrid Intelligence (148,000+ analysts +AI) voted, producing this result: 48.58% This means uncertainty is very high. There is about a 50% chance of ZRX going up +25% against BTC over next week. Of course, there is the same chance of this NOT happening… It’s best to avoid entering positions now and keep watching what BTC will do: a continued sell-off might drag ZRX even lower.
by Cindicator
4