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Why you should LOVE your losses 5 REASONSWe are brought up in society to WIN, WIN, WIN! Throughout our upbringing we must either: Achieve top grades Drive the fanciest cars Wear and own the best brands In other words, we are raised to win with everything we do in life, until you get welcomed into the world of trading. Today I’m going to be the contrarian and share with you why you should love, embrace and own your losses in order to ensure you grow your portfolio on a consistent basis. Let’s start with: What happens after a winning streak? There will be a time during your trading career, where you’re going to endure a magical time where you end up taking sometimes 6, 8 to even 10 winning trades in a row. Your portfolio will be smiling at a new all-time-high and, you’ll feel invincible. You may think that you’ve cracked the holy-grail of trading where you can quit your job and just make a living with the markets. Research shows that individuals tend to invest and trade more actively when their most recent trading performance was successful. In fact, here are: 4 DANGEROUS Actions Traders Take During A Winning Streak: They take on more trades. They upper their trading positions. They start to go against their trading strategy. Their self-confidence and greed levels pick up. Winning streaks are normal and INEVITABLE, but eventually they’ll end and the losing streak will begin. No matter how good you believe you are as a trader or how perfect your trading execution skills are, there will be a time when the honey-moon phase for your trading strategy will be over and the markets will stop acting in your favour every time. The reason is that due to the conditions of supply and demand, the markets environment will eventually change. A market that was trending up or down, could enter into a 3-months sideways phase very easily. When this happens, you will enter into a drawdown (downside) phase. The problem is not the downside for the next three months. The problem is how you’ll treat your trading going forward, based on the DANGEROUS actions you would have taken during your winning streak. Let’s bring them back, to see what will happen to ‘invincible traders’ portfolios and minds with their unexpected losing streak… They start to take on more trades – THIS MEANS MORE LOSSES They upper their trading positions – THIS MEANS BIGGER LOSSES. They start to go against their trading strategy – THIS MEANS UNEXPECTED LOSSES. Their self-confidence and greed levels pick up – THIS MEANS DEPRESSION MAY KICK IN WHICH WILL LEAD TO QUITTING. Now going back to what we said in the beginning. When a winning streak ends, you should love, embrace and own your losses because of these five reasons. 5 Reasons To Love Your Trading Losses Reason #1: Losses are part of your trading success journey Once you have a winning and proven trading strategy, you’ll need to go back to your trading journal to remind you of the flow of winning streaks, losing streaks, average gain & loss per trade and other historical statistics. I’ve back, forward and real-tested the MATI Trader System strategy for over two decades and so I know exactly what kind of winning and losing streaks are to come and that I’ll end up profitable in the medium to long term. Reason #2: Losses help keep your emotions in check Knowing there are inevitable losses to come, this should curb the ego, greed and fear emotions. Reason #3: Losses should keep your risk low With a losing streak that is inevitable to enter your trading results, this alone should be a reason to keep your losses low. I personally never risk more than 2% or my portfolio in any one trade, no matter how many winning trades I take in a row. You can read more about the timeless money management rules in lesson three of the MATI Trader System programme. Reason #4: Losses stop the “Hot Hand Fallacy” Another reason that I love losses when trading is that it reminds me that the winning streak will come to an end. This keeps me humbled and grounded to know that there will be a time where I’ll need to give back to the market, when the trading environment is less conducive to the trading strategy. Reason #5: Losses don’t take me back to the drawing board After a winning streak ends, you’ll find new traders will then quit trading and look for another system to find that will work for them during the changing market environment. The thing is they don’t realise and accept that losses come with the trading territory and that one should never throw a profitable system away because a market enters into a drawdown phase. Let me know what you thought about today's trading tutorial. I'm just sharing information I've learnt over the last 20 years as a trader. Trade well, Live Free... Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
4
The rand is going up FINALLY! Target R15.92 - With confusion!Rounding Top (Scallop) has formed on the daily chart. The price has broken below the neckline which signals bearish for USD Also the moving averages are almost looking good. 21 > 7 >200 - Bearish First target R15.92 The correlation between the Rand and the JSE stocks have somewhat reversed as of late. When stocks rise, the rand tends to strengthen and vice versa. Now this makes sense in a way that a stronger rand means more buying power for consumers and more confidence in the economy. However, we are a HIGH export country where we export in US dollars. As the heavy weightings of the JSE is with resources, we used to fall with a weakening US dollar. Also, we tend to mirror the S&P500 and the DOw Jones as it's a leading indicator. So the question we need to ask is... Is America signalling that we are in for massive downside again soon and this has just been a bull trap for us buyers. OR is this the change in correlation where the JSE will continue up despite what happens in America and the US Dolla. I Hope the latter. Things aren't as they always seem.
Short
by Timonrosso
3
Birdvest going to R258.13Cup and Handle has formed on the daily with Bidvest. The price has broken out and we are being a bit premature to go long, but the demand pressure is strong. 7>21>200MA Bullish signal Target R258.13 Fundamentally, with the interest rate decision to pump up the market responded mostly positively for a short term view and this is probably because of the buying taking place from the positive fundamentals in America with a slow down rate with inflation, QE and interest rates. We can only hope this bull run continues as we traders deserve it waiting all these months :D CONCERNS: The price has been moving in a solid sideways formation, which makes it a medium probability trade. I'll be only risking around 1.5% of my portfolio for this one.
JSE:BVTLong
by Timonrosso
5 Market entry Orders Easily ExplainedBack in the old days, to action a trade you only had two easy options. Buy or sell… Fast-forward into the present day, and today you get slapped with five different options to choose from when you get into a trade. Right now, I’m going to simplify these five trading entry orders in way that you’ll never forget. Entry Order #1: Market Order The first entry order is the easiest to understand. This is where you’ll buy or sell at the most current market price. When you choose a market order, it is the quickest, most effective and easiest way to enter into your ‘long’ or ‘short’ trade at the current bid (buy) or offer (sell). Entry Order #2: BUY Limit When you place a ‘Buy Limit Order’, you’ll place your long trade entry price BELOW where the current price is trading at. Once the market price drops on or below the Buy Limit Order price, you will be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. EXAMPLE: BUY Limit If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R305 per share and you would like to buy (go long) at R300 per share, you’ll choose the Buy Limit Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to drop to your chosen order price or below it where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. Entry Order #3: SELL Limit When you place a ‘Sell Limit Order’, you’ll place your short trade entry price ABOVE where the current price is trading at. Once the market price hits this entry point or above it, you will be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. EXAMPLE: SELL Limit If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R300 per share and you would like to sell (go short) at R305 per share, you’ll choose the Sell Limit Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to rise to or above your chosen order price, where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. Entry Order #4: BUY Stop When you place a ‘Buy Stop Order’, you’ll place your long trade entry price ABOVE where the current price is trading at. Once the market price hits this entry point or above it, you will be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. EXAMPLE: BUY Stop If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R300 per share and you would like to buy (go long) at R305 per share, you’ll choose the Buy Stop Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to rise to or above your chosen order price, where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. Entry Order #5: SELL Stop When you place a ‘Sell Stop Order’, you’ll place your short trade entry price BELOW where the current price is trading at. Once the market price drops on or below the Sell Stop Order price, you will be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. EXAMPLE: SELL Stop If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R305 per share and you would like to sell (go short) at R300 per share, you’ll choose the Sell Stop Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to drop to your chosen order price or below it where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. I hope this helps with knowing how to place an entry order for next time! Trade well, live free... Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
JSE ALSI 40 ready to rock to 73,300The JSE ALSI 40 is finally showing strong upside since April 2022... It's broken up and out of a box formation and is showing the first target to 73,300... This is based on following the recent America's rally with the inflation rate coming down finally and dropping below the expectations. GDP is picking up and jobs have added over 261,000 jobs. The leaders of the pack was Naspers, Anglo American, Sasol and Shoprite helping push up the JSE. Bullish Bias...
JSE:J200Long
by Timonrosso
1
Standard Bank upside to come to R186.29Falling Wedge has established on Standard Bank. Price has just broken above, but it's early days. 7>21 but 200 is still flirting with the previous Moving averages... My first target is R186.29. CONCERNS: The JSE is mirroring the upside of the American markets (with the good earnings results) With the Dollar strengthening again, this bull run could be short lived and the market could crash below forming a fake out. I'll nevertheless take the trade and only risk 1% of my portfolio...
JSE:SBKLong
by Timonrosso
Choose your loss buy or sell We are currently in a very difficult trading environment for the JSE ALSI 40 (and the stocks in the index) and I believe world wide (with most markets). This sideways movement has been going since July 2022... The world is in a rut with major issues like high inflation, ongoing interest hikes, currency collapses, US dollar strength, UK economic collapse, East wars and COVID recovery. Our hands are unfortunately tied, how long this will last and what the damage will be (drawdown wise). But we will control it with lowering our losses from 2% to 1.5%. This will all be guided through a process until we overcome it... But it's part and parcel with trading and it's something that is very common on a yearly basis... HOWEVER! This is crucial to understand as a trader. Since the derivative markets, the algorithm of movement (between buying and selling) has changed drastically. From the markets moving in strong trends (70% of the time) from 1940 - 2007 where a monkey could have thrown a dart and profited from any Blue Chip stock for 20 years. To now we are seeing the markets trend around (20% of the time, if that) from 2007 -2022. We have no choice but to make the stop loss and take profits prices tighter and to hold for less period of time. This will be a patience game but will be worth it in the end. Only those strong enough to stick around and act accordingly with their correct risk management will reap the rewards. What are your thoughts?
JSE:J200
by Timonrosso
1