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Thungela is running out of steam - Target R88.70 Thungela has formed a Large H&S cine May 2022 The price has broken below the neckline and seems to be dropping further. 200 >21> 7 - Bearish (Red) RSI <50 Red and has formed a Bearish divergence. However, the price is coming down with the RSI which confirms a bear market. Target R88.70 General info. Thungela Resources Ltd (formed in 2020 in JHB as a spin off from AGL (Anglo American)) is a South African mining company that is focused on the production of coal. The company's primary focus is the mining of high-quality metallurgical coal (Production of steel) and thermal coal (Generate electricity). You'll find their main operations are located in the Witbank coalfield, which is one of the largest coal-producing regions in South Africa. The mines include the Klipspruit, Mafube and New.
JSE:TGAShort
by Timonrosso
3
OCEANA swimming to our target of R76.00 Since our last Trade Update with Oceana, the market is still on track to R76.00. The Quazimodo Inv Head and Shoulders seems to be working, but taking its damn time. Also we have stronger bullish confirmation signals like 7>21 Price >200 RSI >50 All great signals for upside momentum Here's general information about Oceana. Oceana (founded in 1887 and headquartered in Cape Town) is the largest fishing companies in South Africa and largest fish canned company. It is involved in the harvesting, processing, and marketing of fish and fish products. They operate a fleet of over 20 vessels and exports products to over 50 countries world-wide. The company's main species of fish include hake, sardines, and anchovy. And is involved in fishmeal and fish oil production. Their main brands are Lucky Star, Oceans, and Klipkop.
JSE:OCELong
by Timonrosso
Northam is showing downside to R145.18 while the markets rallyHead and Shoulders in the making for Northam PLatinum Since it broke out of the downside and entered into a rising - sideways consolidation - the buyers have just not been able to keep the price up. We are starting to see negative and bearish signs technically. 21>7 - Bearish Price approaching 200MA RSI<50 - Bearish Target R145.18 CONCERNS: The main concern is that global markets are flying, resource stocks are sky rocketing along with gold. The January Effect alone pushed up the JSE ALSI 9% this month. So we are seeing bullish signs, which could turn up Northam. But for now Northam is bearish.
JSE:NPHShort
by Timonrosso
JSE ALSI showing strong upside thanks to China & January EffectJSE has been forming a fantastic Cup & Handle since March 2022. The price broke up and out of the brim level and I want long and bought it. 7>21 (Bullish) Price >200SMA (Bullish) RSI >50 (Green back) Bullish The first target is 83,209 It seems like despite the economic crisis with load shedding, water outages - The rand has gone up a bit since inflation slowed at 7.2%. Naspers and Prosus are also helping the JSE head on up with the run up on China since the Covid restrictions. I guess the January Effect is still strong and we should continue seeing upside to come - touch wood. Trade well, live free... Timon
JSE:J200Long
by Timonrosso
Merafe heading to target 1 and already have Target 2 in mind New Cup and handle has formed on Merafe following the Old one in 2022 Target 1 at R145 and now a new target of R1.66 Price >200MA first time since Sep 2022 Some info on Merafe Merafe Resources is a South African company that is primarily engaged in the mining and production of ferrochrome, which is an alloy of chrome and iron used in the production of stainless steel. Resources is on a nice uptrend in the start of the year including AGL, BHG, ANG, GOLD and JSE:RES. Which I am long pretty much all of them. Now since 2003, I have had a secret with Merafe. I buy at 60 cents and sell at R1.20... I've been doing it ever since and it's worked like an absolute charm. Touch wood though now that you know my secrets!
JSE:MRFLong
by Timonrosso
Tigerbrands hit our Take profit price at R219.05CHALLENGE TRADE UPDATE: Tigerbrands (TBS) TAKE PROFIT REACHED After a long hold of almost 2 months, Tigerbrands reached our take profit price at R219.05. I was a bit hesitant considering the global chaos and downside that has come down on the markets. But I guess because Tigerbrands is less connected offshore, is the one of the reasons why it's wings were not clipped for movement. The bias is still long and I expect upside to come, but we need to wait for the next Breakout pattern, Follow for more daily trades and analyses :) Trade well, live free Timon MATI Trader Extra news about Tigerbrands if you didn't know: Tiger Brands is a South African multinational food and beverages company that was founded in 1957. The company is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, and is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Tiger Brands is one of the largest food companies in Africa, with a diverse range of products that includes grains, confectionery, processed meats, baby food, and beverages. Some of the well-known brands owned by Tiger Brands include All Gold (Doesn't get better than these jams), Tastic, Jungle Oats (Cinnamon is amazing), Bakers, and Albany (Best bread I've ever had in my life). Tiger Brands has operations in over 20 countries in Africa, as well as in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.
JSE:TBSLong
by Timonrosso
DRD Gold perfect for the picking to R14.12Cup and Handle has formed on DRD and is looking pretty good. There has been a retracement where it will be testing the uptrend as well as the Brim level on the Cup... Also Moving Averages have crossed up with 7>21>200 Fundamentally, I am bullish on gold in the medium to long term. Despite the interest rate hikes, the chart is neglecting them and is showing the price wants to trend up. Mostly because investors are losing their faith and trust in crypto and they'll be investing in safe havens like gold. If you see here the chart is screaming a buy... Target R14.12
JSE:DRDLong
by Timonrosso
4 Problems when you Hold a Delisted ShareAs we are expecting Steinhoff to delist soon. What if you continue holding shares in the company? From my experience when a company goes from listed to private it means a few things. 1. Liquidity issues Volume will be low where you might not be able to exit a position with a rightful buyer or sell 2. lack of transparency This leads to uncertainty for the business as shares holders won't have the transparent information like they would with a public company. 3. Valuation With a company listed privately, this can lead to investors pricing in the business rather than shareholders. This can result in slower performance in the price of the share. 4. Market perception The fact that a company has been delisted can be seen as a negative development by some investors, who may view it as a sign of financial distress or poor management. This can affect the market's perception of the company and its shares, which can in turn affect the value of your investment. Do you have a fundamental analysis question? Let me know in the comments and I'll answer in simple terms. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
What a Leopard can teach you about Successful trading I’m from South Africa. I’ve observed the movements and ways of life of wildlife at different game reserves, resorts and zoos. Penwarm, Kruger National Park, Londolozi and Sabi Sand Game Reserve to name a few. And I’ve seen how leopards work when they catch their prey. This methodology is very similar to how we as trader should act in the financial markets. They lurk behind the bushes in a crouch position. They can wait all day for just the right moment to pounce on its prey and bring the hunt back to its family. Even though they know they can outrun their prey, they still wait for the perfect moment to pounce. Either they’ll wait for the animal in a vulnerable position, injured or the perfect time where they will have a higher probability of catching it.. Patience my friend. That’s the most important element to grow your portfolio. You don’t make money taking a trade. You make profits while holding, waiting and letting the market play out. Here are five reasons why Patience is key for your trading success. #1: Stops you from making impulsive decisions Once you’re in your trade, holding and leaving it alone can help you avoid making impulsive decisions that are based on emotions rather than careful analysis. #2: Helps you spot high probability trades You need to have the patience to wait for the right opportunities to arise, rather than jumping into a trade just because you're feeling anxious. #3: Hold onto winners Trading is NOT about banking small profits. Because you do that and your losses will outweigh your winners. Your Risk to Reward should ALWAYS be above 1.5 at the minimum. This way you’ll hold onto your positions for longer periods of time, which can increase the potential for profits. #4: Takes away fixation When you enter into a trade, you may feel the instinct to watch it and observe ALL day. This will spark up your cortisol levels and will distract you from your higher priorities you have in a day. Once you’ve taken the trade, leave it alone to do its thing. You have your winning trading strategy in place. #5: Wait for the prey Like a leopard, successful traders need to be patient and wait for the right opportunities to arise, rather than acting impulsively or making rash decisions. This is why having a clear and proven plan can also teach us the importance of running it which is essential for success in the financial markets… If you enjoyed this article follow for more Daily tips. I enjoy sharing information I've gained since 2003. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
1
The Money Multiplier of TradingThere is one tool with trading, which you can accelerate your portfolio, compared to with investing. I’m talking about Gearing (or leverage). To wrap our head around this concept, here’s a more relatable life example. When you buy a house for R1,000,000, it is very similar to trading derivatives. Initially, the homeowner most probably won’t have the full R1,000,000 to buy the house with just one purchase. Instead, they’ll sign a bond agreement, make a 10% deposit (R100,000), borrow the rest from the bank and be exposed to the full purchase price of the home. This is a similar concept for when you trade with gearing. Gearing is a tool which allows you to pay a small amount of money (deposit) in order to gain control and be exposed to a larger sum of money. You’ll simply buy a contract of the underlying share, use borrowed money to trade with and be exposed to the full share’s value. Let’s simplify this with a more relatable life example: How gearing works with CFDs Let’s say you want to buy 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd at R50 per share as you believe the share price is going to go up to R60 in the next three months. You’ll need to pay the entire R50,000 to own the full value of the 1,000 shares (R50 X 1,000 shares). In three months’ time, if the share price hits R60 you’ll then be exposed to R60,000 (1,000 shares X R60 per share). Note: I’ve excluded trading costs for simplicity purposes throughout this section If you sold all your shares, you’ll be up R10,000 profit (R60,000 – R50,000). The problem is you had to pay the full R50,000 to be exposed to those 1,000 shares. When you trade a geared instrument like CFDs, you won’t ever have to worry about paying the full value of a share again. A CFD is an unlisted over-the-counter financial derivative contract between two parties to exchange the price difference of the opening and closing price of the underlying asset. Let’s break that down into an easy-to-understand definition. A CFD (Contract For Difference) is an Unlisted (You don’t trade through an exchange) Over The Counter (Via a private dealer or market maker) Financial derivative contract (Value from the underlying market) Between two parties (The buyer and seller) to Exchange the Price difference of the opening and closing price of the Underlying asset (Instrument the CFD price is based on) Let’s use an example of a company called Jimbo’s Group Ltd, who offers the function to trade CFDs. The initial margin (deposit) requirement is 10% of the share’s value. This means, you’ll pay R5.00 per CFD instead of R50, and you’ll be exposed to the full value of the share. To calculate the gearing (or leverage ratio) you’ll simply divide what you’ll be exposed to over the initial margin deposit. Here’s the gearing calculation on a per CFD basis: Gearing = (Exposure per share ÷ Initial deposit per CFD) = (R50 per share ÷ R5.00 per CFD) = 10 times gearing This means two things… #1. For every one Jimbo’s Group Ltd CFD you buy for R5.00 per CFD, you’ll be exposed to 10 times more (the full value of the share). #2. For every one cent the share rises or falls, you’ll gain or lose 10 cents. To have the exposure of the full 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd, you’ll simply need to buy 1,000 CFDs. This will require a deposit of R5,000 (1,000 CFDs X R5.00 per CFD). With a 10% margin deposit (R5,000), you’d have the exact same exposure as you’d have with a conventional R50,000 shares’ investment. Here is the calculation you can use to work out the exposure of the trade. Overall trade exposure = (Total initial margin X Gearing) = (R5,000 X 10 times) = R50,000 With an initial deposit of R5,000 and with a gearing of 10 times, you’ll be exposed to the full R50,000 worth of shares. In three months’ if the share price reaches R60, your new overall trade exposure will be R60,000 worth of shares (1,000 shares X R60 per share). If you sold all of your positions, you’d bank a R10,000 gain (R60,000 – R50,000). But remember, you only deposited R5,000 into your trade and not the full R50,000. This is the beauty of trading geared derivative instruments. Hope that helps for those who don't really grasp Gearing... Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:AGLEducation
by Timonrosso
4 Sacrifices every trader makesFirst of all, trading is not a short-term proposition to get rich. Anyone who says otherwise, needs to spend some time thinking about doing before speaking inside a jail cell. No… Trading is a lifestyle that you’ll need to adapt and integrate into yours and your family’s financial future. Whenever you start something new, especially for a financial gain, you’ll need to make some form of sacrifices. In today’s article we’ll discuss the four sacrifices every successful trader will make. SACRIFICE #1: Time The money is not going to just fall into your lap. You’re going to need to put in the time to work through the process of successful trading. As a new trader you’ll need to read as many books, websites and forums on how to trade. This will prepare you for what trading is all about. Then you’ll need to take time to learn which: • Markets you wish to trade • Method you’ll use to get in and out of your trade. • Money you’ll risk to grow your portfolio • Mind you’ll need to adapt to avoid any unnecessary emotions from taking over and interfering with the process. Then finally you’ll need the time to back-test, forward-test and actually trade on a daily or a weekly basis. This time can range from 5 minutes a week, which is what I follow with the MATI Trader System, to 5 hours a day if you’re more of an aggressive intraday based trader. No matter what career you pursue, you’ll need to sacrifice the necessary time to learn the ins and outs of it. SACRIFICE #2: Money Another inevitable sacrifice you’ll need to make is to take money out of your savings to trade. I say savings because you should never risk any money you can’t afford to risk or any money that you use on a monthly basis to finance your life. Once a month as you get paid, deposit just 5% of your savings into your trading account. This way you’ll be able to grow your portfolio at a faster and a more sustainable. The other side of money you’ll risk is of course, with every trade you take. Most successful traders out there risk around 1%, 2% to 3% per trade, in order to make a 2%, 4% or even a 6% gain on your portfolio. SACRIFICE #3: Thrill You’ll need to sacrifice the THRILL of trading and exchange it for FOCUS. Trading should be seen as a business rather than playing the lottery once a week. As much as I have loved trading the MATI Trader System for the last 18 years, I’ve also taken it very seriously. Before you commit any money into the markets, you’ll need to have a solid watch list, trading system and money management rules to follow methodically. This way you’ll have a mechanical approach to trading without the thrill, when you bank a profit or without the devastation, anger and disappointment. Remember that a winning portfolio is not about taking a few trades but the 100s of trades over time. Make sure you have the focus for when you trade in the week and sacrifice the thrill for on the weekends when the markets are closed. SACRIFICE #4: Space The final sacrifice you’ll need to make is to make space. Make sure your trading desk is clear of any distracting books, devices and objects that have no aid to your trading. A cleaner and clearer trading desk will prevent a number of distractions for when you trade which could result in unnecessary stress, anxiety and worry. Also you’ll most likely need to make space for just one more monitor. By having two monitors, you can use one for your trading platform to buy, sell and modify trades. The other monitor will then be used for your charting platform to analyse, assess and seek more trading opportunities. Are they actually sacrifices? Coming to the end of the article, I’ve just realised something. These four ‘sacrifices’ you’ll make as a professional trader – Are they sacrifices or are they just opportunities you can take for trading to be smooth sailing?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
IMplats long after a extended sideways move Target R259.69Cup and Handle has formed on Implats. The price has broken out and is meandering sideways before the next move up. Platinum companies as well as the precious metal is setting itself for great upside as investors and instiutions are piling their funds into the metal as a form of safe haven... We are going old school right now where the old ways work better than investing in unstable Cryptos... More bullish signs 7 > 21 > 200 Target R259.69 Bullish
JSE:IMPLong
by Timonrosso
A Santa Claus Rally for the JSE in 2022? What is expected from a Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally, is essentially where we see stock prices locally and globally rise and close off positively by the end of December. And so, we can expect a rally in December which we can all profit from… Why December? We aren’t 100% sure but we have some speculations on why the market tends to rally… #1: Investment managers cut down on their taxes This is the time when you’ll see investors and investment managers, selling their stocks to lock in tax reductions before the end of the year. Once they sell their positions, they then buy other stocks and markets that they believe will rally in the next year. The buying of these stocks, leads to a rise in stock prices which pushes the stock market indices up. Theory #2: Investors enjoy their bonuses by buying into investments Investors also like to spend their bonuses on investments like stocks… And when they buy, demand picks up. And this leads to higher stock market prices. Speculation is one thing. But nothing confirms a Santa Claus Rally more than proof in the charts… The JSE has gone up 14 out of 19 Decembers! What you see, is the monthly JSE-ALSI stock market chart since 2003… Looking at the chart you can see how each December (Vertical blue line) performed from 2003 up ‘till 2021 Year Gain/Loss Year Gain/Loss 2003 : 7.39% 2004 : 1.28% 2005 : 6.84% 2006 : 3.90% 2007 : -4.99% 2008 : 0.51% 2009 : 2.62% 2010 : 6.69% 2011 : -3.26% 2012 : 2.72% 2013 : 3.27% 2014 : -0.53% 2015 : -1.15% 2016 : 0.48% 2017 : -1.33% 2018 : 4.63% 2019 : 3.51% 2020 : 3.83% 2021 : 4.66% So, there’ve been 14 out of 19 Decembers (74% win rate) that have shown positive gains. And in total, the JSE has accumulated 41.07% gains in all of those Decembers. This means, you have a higher chance of profiting from buying this Christmas than selling. And right now, this December the JSE ALSI 40 is already up an insane 14.48% gain. And I am seeing no signs of a slow down yet… I guess a Santa Claus rally is more likely than not, but we have had three to four winning years in a row... Things are looking good for now but the month is young... Do you think we will have a JSE Santa Claus Rally? Let me know. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1