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NASPERS LICKING ITS WOUNDS - IS RELIEF IN SIGHT?Established in South Africa in 1915, Naspers Limited is a media, internet and entertainment powerhouse with a footprint in more than 130 countries, and is one of the largest technology investors in the world today. The group’s principal operations are in e-commerce, video entertainment, print and online media. Naspers shares have continuously been one of the JSE stocks, outperforming the all share index by almost 300%. Investors who decided to buy R 10 000 worth of Naspers shares in 2001, would be sitting on a return of more than R 1 million. That is a fantastic record but a very large part of this performance is based on a really well timed purchase into the Chinese tech giant, Tencent. This presents a challenge for Naspers going forward because Tencent has plummeted in value on concerns that it can no longer keep scaling it's revenues. This is evident with the fall in Naspers share price. Naspers is also releasing MultiChoice in order to list as a separate entity under MultiChoice Group which may be adding to some serious uncertainty as this weakens their business diversity. Let's look at the technicals Weekly (pink): We can see that price has broken through a significant support trend line and there is a lot of supply in the market at this level, driving the price further. The break of the 38.2% Fib retracement level also indicates that the lower 50% retracement level is on the cards. Daily (blue): This setup looks like a typical correction with the impulse on the left, the corrective structure and then the impulse on the right expected after 3 or 5 waves. I think it is quite possible that we will see the end of wave 3 on the 50% retracement level and will be looking for a reversal from there. We may also see a deeper correction so it is important to wait for the reversal to be confirmed before jumping into this one. For more information regarding our products and services, install our mobile app from the link in my signature below. Happy trading! Linton White Green Box Markets
JSE:NPN
by Linton_White
Looking for signs of a reversal - Close to double bottomAnheuser-Busch InBev is the leading global brewer and one of the world’s top five consumer products companies. The company is geographically diversified, with a balanced exposure to developed and developing markets. It draws on the collective strength of approximately 200 000 colleagues in more than 50 countries worldwide. It hasn't been a great two years for Anheuser, after their merger with SABMiller in Oct 2016, in terms of their share price but they have the largest market cap on the JSE at the moment. They have big plans in terms of expansion on the African continent with production having started in Nigeria already and plans to open their first brewery in Mozambique next year as well as talks of closing a deal to build a brewery in Tanzania. A total shipment increase of more than 20% was recorded in the region for 2017 so it stands to reason that the 2018 figures will be promising as well. This combined with the expansion plans, leads me to believe that longer term investment will yield good returns. Let's have a look at the technicals. Daily (blue): We only have 2 years of history here but the setup looks good for some movement to the upside. According to my analysis, we are in wave 4 on the daily time frame. Price is trading close to previous lows so I am on the lookout for signs of a reversal which will indicate the next move up on wave 4. H4 (green): With price trading very close to the previous low and coming off the bottom of the larger daily structure, I believe that wave 3 on the H4 time frame will start soon. I will be looking to trade wave 3 back to the top of the daily structure. AT that point I will need to look for confirmation of a break to the upside on the daily structure or alternatively a move down to complete wave 5 first.
JSE:ANHLong
by Linton_White