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Is that a recession on the horizon? (TL;DR @ end)In one of the previous ideas I published, I addressed the rising concerns many people have regarding exchange traded funds, or at least the ones that use various indexes as a benchmark for weighting and distribution. Obviously, linked to this would be the concern of a crash in the whole of the U.S stock market and possibly all western markets (I can't perform an educated judgement on eastern markets as I have limited knowledge in that regard). Unfortunately for the United States economy, the situation has been looking rather dire. There are countless reasons to why I say this, two of which I must mention, are: 1. The inflation rates in the US that have increased to 6.2% according to the consumer price index. 2. The democrats' (likely successful) attempt at raising the debt ceiling for the government to avoid default. Not only are these 2 signs very concerning as far as economic stability but, like every recession prior to date; had stocks trading at the highest levels ever recorded. Which is exactly what is happening right now as you read this. Luckily for bond holders and unfortunately for borrowers, in response to these increased inflation rates, interest rates are also destined to rise. The effect of this was seen today in the US 10 year state bonds ( TVC:US10 ) as they increased by just under half a percentage point in price in 24 hours. This may be a good time to transfer some of your stock holdings into state bonds for the sake of safety, before the potential recession. The other concern is how ludicrously high the market is trading. If you take a look at any of the major public corporations, you will notice that they are trading at earnings multipliers that are astronomical (that's actually an understatement) but despite this fact, many people are still buying stocks at an alarming rate. If you take a sneak peak at the news, you will see a huge portion of traders all 'screaming' "buy more, buy more", regardless of the fact that 90% of stocks and crypto are trading at ludicrous prices and are bound to take some sort of fall at some point in the near future. I am writing this just to put the thought in the back of some of my fellow investors' minds, hopefully might make them re-evaluate their portfolio distribution and possibly have a bit of cash at hand to buy some of the bargains that will come out of the next recession. As usual, other opinions, facts and news are always welcome, stay safe and comment away! TL;DR: There are a couple of signs of a potential recession on the horizon, between overpriced stocks and crypto and people's ludicrous spending in the market. When this recession may occur is not for my prediction but given increased interest rates, I would suggest converting some of your liquid assets to state bonds and/or cash so you can take advantage of the coming bargains.
SP:SPX
by Michael_Axio
+5100 % return on MRIN stockFor risk-takers, this is for you, SAN FRANCISCO Marin Software, a leading provider of digital marketing software for performance-driven advertisers and agencies. by studying the company file we noticed... Volatility and Risk Marin Software has a beta of -0.18, meaning that its share price is 118% less volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Marin Software’s competitors have a beta of 1.37, meaning that their average share price is 37% more volatile than the S&P 500. Data from Investing.com Total Assets 37.01M (31/12/2020) 42.29M (31/12/2019) 46.79M (31/12/2018) 83.37M (31/12/2017) Decreasing rate % from the year before : -12.48 % 2020 -9.61 % 2019 - 43.87 % 2018 By looking on the cash situation Cash From Operating Activities -5.67 M -1.24 M -12.98 M -4.87M Cash From Investing Activities -1.88 M 1.61 M -2.71 M -2.52M Cash From Financing Activities 10.23 M 0.26 M -1.29 M -1.45M Net Change in Cash 2.71 M 0.60 M -17.33M -6.88 M Total Long Term Debt 1.47 M 0.01 M - 1.69M Dept ratio to assets 3.97 % 0.02 % - 2.02 % ========================================= Net Profit margin 5YA -37.01% (for the company) 15.7%( for the industry) Return on Assets 5YA -32.48% 9.13 % Return on Investment 5YA -40.57% 12.97 % ========================================= Price to Sales TTM 2.81 25.31 by looking to shareholders the top holders are Stockholder Stake Shares owned (data from CNN business) Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP 2.89% 447,414 Royce & Associates LP 2.80% 432,844 The Vanguard Group, Inc. 1.00% 154,543 Jane Street Capital LLC 0.81% 125,427 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 0.68% 105,600 Geode Capital Management LLC 0.63% 96,620 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.41% 62,781 Bridgeway Capital Management LLC 0.39% 60,000 Cutler Group LP 0.35% 53,910 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 0.34% 52,888 by reviewing the company file we express our opinion as MARIN is a high-risk good stock to buy even we can see the company file is not doing well, we can buy the dip of the company. Position ------------------ Buy limit order at 1$ - 1.5$ ------------------------- Targeting: ------------------------- 22 $ - 23$ as first target 51 $ - 53.5 $ as second target Investment period from 6 months to 18 months (estimated) We expect +2200% to +5100% return for 18 months
NASDAQ:MRINLong
by youssefallax
4
Netflix and their change of apparent investment policyNASDAQ:NFLX has been notorious for having a rather conservative investment policy, being reserved in all means of their financial interactions. Whether we're referring to their accumulation of debt, acquisitions or overall spending. In recent times, their management has been making very questionable financial decisions. Their most questionable financial decision as of around 2 days ago, was their decision to place 2% of their cash holdings in black-led banks to attempt to "narrow racial wealth gap" according to Yahoo Finance. As many are aware, this is the company making a desperate attempt at appealing to the public eye considering recent events. Obviously the investment community did not appreciate this careless "flinging" of money at various corporations with limited investigation into their current financial states. For those unaware, this was the primary cause of the strong sell orientation of the stock. In the big scheme of things, despite that considerable amount of money being used for "political correctness acts", the stock should recover in the coming months, although this has unsettled many long-term holders of the stock (reducing their faith in management in the company, especially as it is moved around). As it goes in the market, only time shall tell. Personally, I can think of more suitable alternatives to place my money into. If you're a trader who is seeking daily action, then go ahead, Netflix might be one of the stocks you want to 'play' with. As always, any opinions or facts that I'm unaware of, are welcome anytime. Comment away! TL;DR: Netflix's management have been making questionable investment decisions with cash holdings which has destabilized their stock.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Michael_Axio
$VIR entry PT 42-44 Long term Target PT 200HC Wainwright & Co. Maintains Buy on Vir Biotechnology, Raises Price Target to $200 CEO of Covid antibody maker Vir Biotech says its treatment ‘stands up well’ to all variants KEY POINTS: - Vir Biotechnology CEO George Scangos said the monoclonal antibody Covid treatment it developed with GlaxoSmithKline “stands up well” to all variants. - The companies announced contracts to sell $1 billion worth of sotrovimab to the U.S. government. The FDA has already granted sotrovimab an emergency use authorization to treat mild to moderate Covid infections. - Though Scangos said the delta variant is “going to be with us for a while,” he added that sotrovimab could likely protect against new variants that emerge. Vir Biotechnology, Inc., a clinical-stage immunology company, develops therapeutic products to treat and prevent serious infectious diseases. It develops VIR-2218 and VIR-3434 for the treatment of hepatitis B virus; VIR-2482 for the prevention of influenza A virus; VIR-1111 for the prevention of human immunodeficiency virus; and VIR-2020 for the prevention of tuberculosis. The company has grant agreements with Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and National Institutes of Health; an option and license agreement with Brii Biosciences Limited and Brii Biosciences Offshore Limited; a collaboration and license agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; a collaboration, license, and option agreement with Visterra, Inc.; license agreements with The Rockefeller University and MedImmune, Inc.; collaboration with WuXi Biologics and Glaxo Wellcome UK Ltd.; and a collaborative research agreement with Generation Bio., as well as GlaxoSmithKline Intellectual Property Development Limited, GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA., and Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. It also has a manufacturing agreement with Samsung Biologics Co.,Ltd. for the manufacture of SARS-COV-2 antibodies for potential COVID-19 treatment; and clinical collaboration with Gilead Sciences, Inc. for chronic hepatitis B virus. Vir Biotechnology, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
NASDAQ:VIRLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
Is Tesla overvalued?NASDAQ:TSLA is the fifth largest listing on TradingView based on market cap and has been a huge center of focus within the investment community, whether it is the more seasoned investor or trader to the inexperienced speculator who throws money at Bitcoin and various growth companies. Despite all of this there are many factors that the majority of the investing community fail to acknowledge or believe it doesn't affect the company's performance. Personally despite the crazy stock prices and lack of build quality within their physical product, I have a considerable amount of faith in the earning potential of Tesla for a couple of reasons. First of all, one should notice that at the time of writing Tesla's PE ratio is sitting at a whopping 370.66 (comparable to the firms during the dotcom bubble) and they have a considerable amount of debt but nothing that threatens their operation or is completely disproportional to any other company. It certainly would not be appropriate to compare them to other solely electric automotive manufacturers as their financial statements often seem less welcoming than Normandy beach on D-day. On the contrary to all the fore mentioned facts, Tesla's earning power has increased considerably between 2019 to 2020 and is looking towards the upside for 2021. In the past 4 years, any deficits have turned to income and their overall assets has increased consistently. Quite frankly, considering the speculative factors, such as the management of the company and their overall market monopoly, Tesla appears to be a rather profitable long term investment. Electric cars seem to be inevitable considering the carbon emissions issues and the fact that any other alternatives such as bio-fuel and hydrogen cars don't seem to be covering as much ground as quickly, and their market monopoly will keep the firm in good stead for the future potentially forming the "next Ford Motor Company" according to a reporter from Bloomberg. Once again, all opinions and comments are greatly appreciated, I thoroughly enjoy listening to others' opinions and perceptions of the market. TL;DR: Tesla is beginning to look like a promising investment for the long term as their financials steady and seem to head for an upward curve.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Michael_Axio
Apple and the price climbOnce again I'm investigating the financial condition and potential performance of a tech company as they do hold great interest to me. Today, I'm taking a look at NASDAQ:AAPL , a company I once despised for their obscene operating scheme. Where 85% of their business was through reputation, the idea that a person is only cool if they have the latest iPhone and a Macbook and the other 15% was through corporate deals and actual entertainment production professionals. After doing some investigation into the company, I've come to realise quite a number of interesting things that shoot all my prior grudges with them straight out of the sky. First of all, looking within the market itself, their obscene prices are no longer that astronomical and are actually practical and reasonable given the current technology market and second, when they claim to cater for professionals and a particular minimalist "ease-of-use" customer, they're actually covering their needs now. With the development of the new M1 chip and hopefully the M2 soon to come and the development of the new iPads and Mac Minis, the company's physical product is appearing very attractive. Now to the actual financial side of things, starting off with the most basic of indicators, Apple has considerably low debts in comparison to other tech giants and their respective growth rates and as far as their current P/E ratio is considered they're showing more hope than any other technology giant with a PE just less than 30 (28.58 at time of writing). Within the market competitors are looking at frightening volumes of debt due to the Corona Virus pandemic but Apple seems to stay relatively clear. This would probably explain why Warren Buffett has poured such large volumes of Berkshire Hathaway's money into the company. Ironically, since BRK's interest in Apple, their prospects seem to have changed for the better and future expected growth in earning's increased by more than 4 percentage points after BRK's investment. As we all know Mr. Buffet wouldn't pour money into a company if he did not believe their long term results were unsatisfactory. In conclusion, Apple is beginning to look like quite the appealing investment if an investor would like to uplift their tech side of their portfolio. If anybody has any other opinions or facts that I may not be aware of, feel free to comment. I always appreciate the exchange of ideas :D TL;DR: Apple is beginning to look like one of the best performing long term investments of all the tech giants.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Michael_Axio
What a balance sheet. Very good investment opportunity! Hi everyone, Yurii Domaranskyi here. Let's take a look at the chart: 1. Price levels are working well 2. globally range, locally downtrend 3. level confirmed by touch 4. distant test of the level 5. approached with big bars, and the level was broken with a paranormal bar 6. on D1 we see a sharp approach with no rollbacks, on M5 we don't 7. no accumulation in front of the level 8. no rollback 9. the instrument closed below the level 10. on the level a few times before the move down was stoped 11. has a room for a move 1 to 5.1 12. we see model descending highs 13. on Nov 22, 2021, the company had a report worse than expected 14. the price came from above 15. the ADR has the potential for a big move 16. no planned report in the next 2 weeks As of September 30, 2021, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of RMB906.4 million (US$140.7 million), compared to RMB1,498.9 million as of June 30, 2021. As of September 30, 2021, the Company had short-term investments of RMB3,588.2 million (US$556.9 million), compared to RMB3,127.2 million as of June 30, 2021. Potential risk/reward ratio = 1 to 32 meaning that I'm risking a 100$ with a possibility to make 3200$ Please, support our work with ❤️
NYSE:CANGLong
by yura_trades
3
AIR.NZ high returns for the next couple of years For stable investors, we have seen the pandemic and preventive measures taken by the countries that have affected the airlines market, Suspension of flights, and the ban on receiving travelers in some countries, High oil, energy prices, and layoffs have made a huge collapse of airlines market. for the New Zealand airlines, the time is coming to buy the small fish, with the share price dropping 49% in three years and the COVID-19 negative news, we can go long on AIR.NZ stock. Corporate directors expect the aviation sector to improve in 2024 so we can buy low and sell high. The total debt for the company has been reduced by 10.88% since 29/6/2020 was: 3,713 B to be: 3,309 B in 29/6/2021 The company's free cash flow was just on the positive side 0.092 B in 2021 and was -0.385 B for the year 2020, which will help the company generate cash to support the business. the company assets have been reduced by -11.25% since it was: 7,543 B in the year 2020 to be: 6,694 B the 2021 year based on (yahoo finance), overview of the company, we can see the price will continue moving downside towards 0.85 $ -0.93$ support area, so we can enter our position there: targeting 2.93 $- 3.00 $ resistance area, as our near target for the next couple of years, This investment will take two years or more (estimated) with an expected return of 200% - 240% in two years or three years
NZX:AIRLong
by youssefallax
$GTEC Long term PT 25 and higher...Timeline Macrh 2022Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation, through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures transmission and drivetrain systems for material handling machineries and electric vehicles, and electric industrial vehicles in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers transmission products for forklift trucks that are used in manufacturing and logistic applications, such as factories, workshops, warehouses, fulfillment centers, shipyards, and seaports. It also develops robotic cargo carriers. Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation has a strategic partnership with Shandong Zhongcha Heavy Industry Machinery Co. to launch a lithium battery forklift. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
NASDAQ:GTECLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
Investment idea for Bloom Energy BEWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price has been respecting the support zone in the past and that it is now looking to bounce off it again. All of the other things that I think about this stock on a technical chart analysis you can find on the chart. The only thing that you do need to know is that this is a little risky so if you do want to go in do it with a small portion of your funds. If you have any questions feel free to send me a message. Feel free to share your idea for stock in the comments. If you like the idea do not forget to give it a like and share it with your friends.
NYSE:BELong
by MaBaCapital2