$VIX Could Experience a Sharp Decline on MondayWith reports that Mideast mediators are advancing towards a cease-fire deal, the TVC:VIX could experience a sharp decline on Monday. 📉 This reduction in volatility might lead to increased market stability and potential gains across equities. How are you positioning your portfolio in response to these developments? #VIX #MarketVolatility #Equities #InvestmentStrategy #GeopoliticalRisk
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index demonstrated significant resiliency during this week's trading session, surpassing the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443 target. Following a springy rebound, the current market price action is positioned below the newly established significant Mean Res 5564. Anticipated interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5445 is probable before the index resumes its upward trajectory. The prevailing price action indicates a sustained uptrend towards the Inner Interim Index Rally at 5666, with the achieved targets expected to exert considerable downward pressure.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar exhibited consistent upward momentum throughout the current week's trading session. It successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 1.099 and the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The breakthrough of these thresholds led to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance at 1.104. A breach of this pivotal level may incite rapid upward movement, targeting the Key Res 1.111 and culminating in the completion of the Inner Currency Rally at 1.112. Conversely, the prevailing downward analysis projects a sustained descent toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.097.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading, Bitcoin underwent a retest of our Mean Resistance level of 61700 and, subsequently, the Mean Support level of 57400, marking the completion of the Interim Coin Rally at 62600. The presence of intermediary selling pressure may lead to a decline in the coin's price action toward the Mean Support level of 56600, 54000 and potentially result in a retesting of the completed Interim Coin Dip at 50000. On the positive side, the overall trend remains optimistic, with a focus on retesting the completed Interim Coin Rally at 62600 and potential extensions to the Mean Resistance levels of 65500 and 68500, respectively.
Palo Alto (PANW): A Golden Pocket OpportunityPalo Alto's chart is looking particularly promising in a market where many stocks seem to be constantly soaring. These defined ranges present a strong trading opportunity, which we're closely monitoring. It appears that Palo Alto has completed its Wave (3) and is now in the midst of Wave (4). We anticipate that Wave (4) will conclude within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, providing a potential entry point.
The golden pocket around the 61.8% level is particularly intriguing, though we haven't highlighted the 50% retracement as it doesn’t align with key support levels. We see two potential scenarios for Palo Alto: a correction to the 38.2% level, meeting the support zone around $249, or a deeper retracement into the broader support area and golden pocket between $191 and $160.
If we take a long position at the first support zone, we would likely move the stop loss quickly to secure the position, with plans to add to our position if the price drops further into the lower support range. For now, we're waiting on the sidelines, keeping a close watch on the upcoming earnings call. If it brings any significant news, we’ll outline our strategy for PANW.
Cisco (CSCO): Ready for a Post-Earnings Drop?As we approach Cisco's earnings report, it's time for another pre-earnings analysis. We're examining both the higher time frame and then zooming in for a closer look. On the higher time frame (Daily), Cisco is following a nearly perfect trend channel. While a retest of the lower range of this trend channel seems the most probable, I suspect that the price could breach this level and wick into our target zone between $38 and $32.
If this scenario unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great opportunity to take a long position in Cisco, potentially holding into 2025 for more significant gains.
The bearish outlook is further supported by a shoulder-head-shoulder formation that has caught our eye. Although we typically don't trade based on these formations, this one is hard to ignore. Ideally, we'd see a breach below the lower trend channel range, followed by a retest, and then a sell-off into our target zone.
We're watching closely for the first signs of movement following Wednesday's earnings report.
UBS (UBSG): Too Big to Fail?Remember this analysis from over four months ago? We didn't place a limit order at that time (which is why it's greyed out), but if you followed our setup during the livestream back then, congratulations! The chart reacted beautifully at the desired level, just as we anticipated.
In my opinion, this is a great-looking chart, showing a strong reaction at a key level. I'm now looking for some long plays on UBS to gain some exposure to the Swiss market. UBS is a relatively safe stock, which is a good thing to have during phases of uncertainty.
The worst-case scenario would be a banking crash, but we believe UBS is still too big to fail. As long as it maintains this status, we like it. I'll send out a limit order once I find a good setup. For now, I wouldn't recommend any FOMO into this stock, as it could be a dead cat bounce, but we'll closely monitor it for you.
EURUSD 1D1D - On the daily timeframe, a large FVG (Fair Value Gap) has formed, and it will take at least another week to work through it. Simply put, we are in an MS Range, where the price is likely to react from the boundaries and eventually move higher. The scenario would be invalidated if the price consolidates below 1.076.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index displayed severe downward movement during the current week's trading session as we blasted through Key Sup 5238 and completed our long-time flagged target, Inner Index Dip 5131. The resilient rebound occurs, and the current market price action rests at Mean Res 5345. The likelihood of interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5280 exists before the index resumes its upward trajectory. However, the prevailing price action suggests a sustained uptrend toward the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443, possibly extending to Mean Res 5525. However, these attained targets are likely to exert downward pressure.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar demonstrated consistent upward momentum during this week's trading session, reaching our Mean Resistance level of 1.094 and retesting the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.094. The substantial breakthrough of these targets resulted in establishing a new Mean Resistance at 1.099 and a complete Inner Currency Rally at 1.100. The prevailing analysis indicates a sustained downward trajectory toward a critical Mean Support level of 1.089. The breach of this significant target may prompt rapid downward movements, potentially extending to target the subsequent Mean Support level of 1.079.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin encountered a substantial decline during this week's trading session, reaching Mean Support 55800 and Key Support 53800, and subsequently retesting completed Outer Coin Dip 54000. The considerable selling pressure finalized Outer Coin Dip 51000 and major Key Support 50700. The overall upward trend remains ongoing, leading to the establishment of a new Mean Resistance 61700 and the completion of the Interim Coin Rally 62600. The potential extension towards Mean Resistance 65500 and 68500 holds significant promise for the forthcoming week's sessions. The likelihood of temporary downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 57400 exists before the coin resumes its upward trajectory.
GBPUSDLast day of the week, the truth is it has been a very beautiful week despite the difficulty, today Friday presents a very interesting day since it is the end of the week and there is always interesting movement, we also have a high impact news in the Canadian currency at 1:30 p.m. London time which can give a strong movement, since it indirectly affects the American currency and therefore our pair, so we will be aware of what the price presents. This morning I bring you two scenarios that present the price at this moment depending on how its movement reacts in one way or another. Remember that we react to what the price tells us we do not predict anything we are not witches hehehe have a great day trader a hug and greetings from your.
HanderBanksFX service
ITDCEM Going 2 Break All Time High With Huge Positive NumbersNSE:ITDCEM
Over 90 years of rich industry experience
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Company is expected to give good quarter,
Company has delivered good profit growth of 26.4% CAGR over last 5 years
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Amongst the leading infrastructure & construction company in Thailand
for over 60 years.
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Received ‘The Royal Seal of Garuda’ in 1985 - Highest and most
honorable achievement for civilian companies in Thailand
Global presence in India, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, the Philippines,
Vietnam, Africa etc.
Access to the latest technology and know-how, international design and
engineering as well as skilled personnel to augment our local strength.
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MULTI YEAR REVENUE VISIBILITY ORDERBOOK OF RS 18,536 CRORE.
• Secured orders worth over Rs 1,053 crore in Q1 FY25.
• Clientele comprises of Government (48%), PSU (17%) and Private Sector (35%).
• Established presence in India with 13 states / 1 union territory and is currently executing project in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 6,401 crore.
Marine project in Bangladesh.
West Container Terminal in the Port of Colombo, Sri Lanka.
Balance Outer Harbour Works in Andhra Pradesh.
Piers, Landside Tunnels & Building in Karwar, Karnataka.
Udangudi project in Tamil Nadu.
Wharf and Approach trestle works at JNPT in Maharashtra.
Captive Oil Jetty at Kamarajar Port in Tamil Nadu.
Third Berth (Jetty) at Dahej LNG Terminal in Gujarat
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 3,936 crore.
Underground tunneling and stations for metros in Chennai, Bengaluru, Mumbai and Kolkata.
Elevated metro stations and buildings in Kolkata
Depot metro building in Surat
Modification & Refurbishment of terminal buildings in Ahmedabad airport
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,717 crore
Six laning road project in Uttar Pradesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,341 crore
Redevelopment of Residential colony at
Kasturba Nagar in New Delhi.
Circuit bench of Calcutta High Court at Jalpaiguri in West
Bengal.
Thal Sena Bhawan in Delhi.
Aerospace museum at AF station in Palam, Delhi.
Piling and Civil work for Coke Oven Project at
Hazira plant in Gujarat.
Construction of buildings for Sikkim University
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,120 crore
Railway tunnels in West Bengal and Sikkim.
Civil & Hydro-Mechanical Works of 500 MW Hydel Power, Pumped Storage Project in Andhra Pradesh.
Water conveyor system of lined gravity canal/tunnels in Telangana
Bitcoin Down 14% from Halving Event: What Happens from HereThree posts ago, we discussed the intricate relationship between Bitcoin’s halving events and broader economic conditions. The recent market developments have indeed proven this connection, as Bitcoin has experienced a significant 14% drop since the halving event on April 20th 2024.
Context of the Recent Market Crash
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent decline:
1. Macro-Economic Conditions : The Bank of Japan's rate hike on July 31, 2024, significantly impacted global markets. This move made borrowing more expensive, disrupting the carry trade involving the yen and causing a ripple effect across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
2. Market Sentiment and Sell-offs : The anticipation of Mt. Gox creditor repayments, releasing around $8 billion worth of Bitcoin into the market, created fear among investors, prompting a sell-off that drove prices down to as low as $53,600.
3. Broader Equity Market Decline : Global equity markets have also been under pressure, with major indices experiencing significant losses. This broader market downturn has influenced Bitcoin's price, as investors often sell off riskier assets during periods of economic uncertainty
It's Not All Doom and Gloom
Over the long term, Bitcoin has always shown resilience and growth, particularly in the years following a halving event. Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to experience significant increases 6-12 months after each halving. This pattern has been consistent across the previous three halving events:
2012 Halving: Bitcoin surged from around $12 to over $1,000 within a year.
2016 Halving: Bitcoin climbed from approximately $650 to nearly $20,000 within 18 months.
2020 Halving: Bitcoin soared from $8,000 to over $60,000 in the following year.
These historical trends indicate that despite short-term volatility and market downturns, Bitcoin has a strong track record of long-term growth. This resilience is driven by the fundamental principle of reduced supply through halvings, which creates scarcity and can drive demand.
Position Update from Our Trend Model
The Model had gone cash one day prior to the sell-off, resulting in a small loss of 6% from the long entry price back in July, the model was however able to avoid what was to come after that, which was a 20% drawdown within 72 hours. The model remains bearish for the medium term and we'll update in another post when the time comes.
As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider both macroeconomic factors and market sentiment when making investment decisions. Stay tuned for more updates and insights as we continue to monitor the evolving market conditions and their impact on primarily crypto 🚀.
Coca-Cola (KO): Strength in Uncertain TimesAfter not taking a look at Coca-Cola for quite a while, it's definitely worth analyzing. As one of the biggest assets in the stock market, Coca-Cola seems to have the most resistance with a relatively low risk/return profile, making it very interesting in times of uncertainty. A shift from risk-on assets to risk-off assets could happen easily. Just by looking at the latest rise, we can see that while there was a big sell-off in all stocks, NYSE:KO only fell by about 1.2%. This showcases the strength I am talking about.
After finishing Waves 1 and 2, we got the structure shift for a possible bullish rise. Because the intra-waves aren't very clear on NYSE:KO , we are looking at it from mostly the market structure perspective. Two points are highly interesting: the 3D POC just above the 3D Demand at around $60 and the Weekly Demand at $54.
We are looking for a possible long bid on Coca-Cola but will wait for the opportunity to come. When it does, we will share it with you, of course. 🤝
Nikkei 225 Suffers Worst Decline Since 1987 Amid U.S. Economic CThe Nikkei 225 index in Japan plunged by 12.4%, marking its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash. The index closed at 31,458.42, shedding 4,451.28 points. The sell-off was triggered by concerns about the U.S. economy and followed a 5.8% drop on Friday. Major companies like Toyota, Honda, and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group saw significant declines. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and a stronger yen have further pressured the market. Investors now focus on upcoming trade data from China and Taiwan, and central bank decisions from Australia and India.
BTC will probably try to pick up liquidity from both sidesThe chart may be a bit unclear, but I will try to explain what it means: when we first determine the fibonacci after the impulse with $74k, we can see the support exactly at fibonacci 1.21. That gives us the right to look at this as an ABC correction.
Below are the FVG of the bit zones :
The monthly that has been tested several times plus the monthly candle did not close inside it which is very positive
In the last correction towards 53k weekly fvg showed strong support
Gap: Which is formed after this impulse shows that fibonacci 0.61 coincides together with that..
For now, everything is fine.. we are in the middle of the range, 60k and lower to watch for a potential long.
Below 58k and the closing of larger time frames, the saint structure changes
GAIL: This is why People lose moneyThis is one important case study as to why investors lose money in the stock market.
Now if you look at the chart, Here is what you see:
1. 32 Months of pure range-bound consolidation
2. Clearly defined support and resistance zones
3. Five months of consolidation at the resistance zone
4. A beautiful high-volume breakout followed by a retest.
5. This is one textbook setup for a long trade
So, We should go long here, right?
If I zoom out of the chart, Here is what you will see.
- We have a strong resistance zone sitting just above the breakout level.
- The price took a strong rejection from the exact resistance zone.
Also, Observe the volatile consolidation zone that lasted almost 2 Years. That volatile zone may not be passed through in one instant.
What we investors do is draw conclusions based on partial data and predict the price action that is yet to come. What we fail to do is observe the previous price action in its entirety.
Does that mean that GAIL will not rise in value, Absolutely not. It just means that the uncertainty it has on the charts for a mere 10% gain ( breakout to ATH Distance) is super high.
The market is full of opportunities. Why invest in something that already has a foreseeable red flag?
If you liked the read, Would you give us a boost and a follow for our efforts?
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⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Deepak Nitrite: 18 months of sadness 😞This Analysis was requested by @anerishah269
The chart should tell you everything you need to know about NSE:DEEPAKNTR :
However, Below are some 'good to know' pointers:
- The Price action is completely sideways in nature with clearly marked support and resistance zones
- The price has been consolidating for over 18 months now
- Owing to the sideways nature, the breakout of the trendline did not have a huge impact on the price momentum. The price immediately took a rejection from the resistance zone and gunned for a retest.
- Bearish crossover of MACD on a weekly TF is a negative
- The PE ratio has worsened
- The Psy. levels of 2000 and 2500 are at play
- We can expect some good momentum once either of the zones is broken. Until then, it's hold the fight and sit tight situation for us.
What should we analyze next?
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Prestige- LONG TERM ACCUMULATION - EDUCATION PURPOSE #Prestige This analysis focuses on the long-term accumulation strategy for Prestige, emphasizing key support levels that are crucial for making informed trading decisions. This strategy is designed for educational purposes and aims to help traders understand the importance of support levels in the context of long-term investments.
Risk Management: Establishing support levels assists in managing risk by setting predefined points for making buying decisions, thereby limiting potential losses.
This analysis is intended to provide educational value and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.