H&S Bottom: Double Bust (ETH)The inverted head and shoulders pattern failed .
All is well, as we have Thomas Bulkowski's history of patterns & statistical setups to guide us along together.
Ethereum has already invalidated the single bust .
It is time to explore the Double Bust IH&S chart pattern, & look for these elements:
Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline or right armpit (A).
Price rises no more than 10% before reversing.
Price closes below the bottom of the chart pattern (B). This busts the pattern for the first time.
Price drops no more than 10% below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom.
Price closes above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom. This busts the chart pattern for the second time (C).
The stock rises more than 10% above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom.
A double busted head-and-shoulders bottom turns into a triple bust when the rise after the second bust is no more than 10% and price then closes below the bottom of the chart pattern.
Busted Inverted Head-and-Shoulders Historical Performance :
16% of head-and-shoulders bottoms will bust
Of those that bust...47% will single bust
36% will double bust
17% of them will triple bust
Single busted patterns will see price drop 22% on average (invalidated)
Non-busted head-and-shoulders bottoms (that is, head-and-shoulders tops) will see price drop by 16% on average
If you have related analysis please be sure to share so we can learn together!
Confirmation of Single Bust Invalidation:
Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline (down sloping necklines) or above the right armpit. That occurs at (A) in the figure above.
Price must rise no more than 10% above the neckline.
Price then closes below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom (B).
Price continues dropping more than 10% without closing above the top of the head-and-shoulders.
Invertedheadandshoulders
NVDA: This is what it needs to EXPLODE. 🚀• NVDA is incredibly bullish, however, it is trading at a critical key point;
• NVDA just hit a trend line that connects all its previous top levels since Nov 2021;
• What’s more, NVDA is inside a Descending Channel;
• However, if it breaks this resistance level, NVDA might trigger a long-term bullish reversal structure;
• It would not only break free from a Descending Channel, but would trigger an Inverted Head and Shoulders chart pattern, in the weekly chart;
• This would be the confirmation sign of a bullish reversal on NVDA – however, this pattern wasn’t triggered yet;
• Any top sign under this resistance could easily frustrate the bullish thesis, therefore, we must keep our eyes open;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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NZDJPY I Inverted head and shoulder - LONGWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**NZDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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KHC: WARREN BUFFET'S HOLDING BREAKOUTKHC (Kraft Heinz):
I like the risk vs reward on the daily chart as it broke the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders and has just come to retest the breakout spot.
Good enough for a long swing trade for me. Target of the inverted head and shoulders is in the 45 zone.
If you look at the weekly chart, you'll see a nice rectangle range between 32.65 and 44.65.
We're now in the middle of that range so if the inverted head and shoulders plays out we could reach the top of the rectangle.
Stop at 38.2.
Trade safe!
Right Inverted ShoulderH&S Inverted Pattern plays out. rejected 4100. This intense two day selling move looks and feels impulsive.
Still could play out as an ABC but in this bear all the downs have been impulsive 5-waves. Being long is hi-risk imo.
So this is just Wave 1. A bull trap is coming for a day or two. FOMC likely trigger for the 3rd Wave, final target 3660.
After TL break, retrace up wave after first move down is typically a 0.62 retracement, could pivot sooner at .382 or 0.50.
IMO The Grinch will be running holidays and Santa will come late to this party, or not at all. Don't count on seasonality.
Top is in IMO. Look at Dec 2018. Get it? Good. Coal in all your stockings! GLTA
EDU: BOTTOMING PATTERN & GAP FILL PLAYEDU ( Chinese stock ):
I'm bullish Chinese stocks in general but I really do like the look of EDU.
A few reasons to keep a good look on EDU:
- price is now above all the moving averages on the daily chart;
- price is getting back above the Ichimoku cloud;
- there is a huge gap between $29.70 and $57.34;
- the weekly chart chart has the look of an inverted head and shoulders (but not really perfect).
Has EDU found a bottom? It looks like it.
Can we fill that gap? Not sure. However the chart looks promising.
The next resistance is at 29.70. If we cross 29.70 I would expect the price to accelerate to the next resistance of 50.27, then potentially fill the gap.
If we see weakness in the coming days, the next supports are at 24 and 22.
I would wait for the price to cross 29.70 before initiating a long position. My 1st target will then be around 50, my second target will be at 57.
Trade safe!
(This is no financial advice. Technical analysis is given to help you make your own decision. As always place a stop loss when you enter the position, and do not ignore risks of delisting for Chinese ADRs).
TAL: inverted head and shoulders and gap fill playTAL (Chinese Stock) :
I'm bullish Chinese stocks in general but I really do like the look of TAL, which looks very similar to EDU.
A few reasons to keep a good look on TAL:
- price is slowly getting back above the Ichimoku cloud;
- there is a huge gap between $9.68 and $17.36;
- the weekly chart chart has the look of an inverted head and shoulders (bottoming pattern).
Has TAL found a bottom? It looks like it.
Can we fill that gap? Not sure. However the chart looks promising.
The next resistances are at 5.45, 5.66, 5.91 and 6.48. If we cross 6.48 I would expect the price to accelerate to the next resistance of 9.68, then potentially fill the gap.
If we see weakness in the coming days, the next supports are at 4.62 and 4.28.
I'm initiating a long position today with a stop around 4.80.
If you cannot monitor your trade actively, waiting for a break of 6.48/6.80 is a wise decision.
Trade safe!
(This is no financial advice. Technical analysis is given to help you make your own decision. As always place a stop loss when you enter the position, and do not ignore risks of delisting for Chinese ADRs).
BARC to break from IH&S.Barclays - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 152.62 (stop at 145.44)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed.
Short term bias has turned positive.
Prices have reacted from 132.06.
A break of the recent high at 152.22 should result in a further move higher.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 170.78 and 175.78
Resistance: 151.00 / 160.00 / 170.00
Support: 143.00 / 140.00 / 132.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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PfizerFalling Wedge Pattern Breakout; Retest in progress (wait for HL formation)
Formation of HH and HL (Dow Theory; Bullish trend)
Support from 61% fib retracement
Entry after formation of HL (50.5)
Trade with specified Stop Loss
TP levels are specified
Ride the trend with trailing stop Loss
Manage your risk accordingly
200 DMA Coming Up: Rejection?Chart says all. 200 DMA been the pushback all year. Probly gonna dump again to give us a right inverted H&S.
The next rally will likely breakout above the 200 and really rocket. Be ready. Short-term short; longer-term long.
NB: 0.618 Fibo was 4007 from the 16 Aug peak (not shown). trading slightly above it here, pushback Weds PM went to Fibo.
Probly a good price to set up shorts imo, SPX 4k, SPY 400. Puts are cheap again, always a good sign for bears. FOMC 14 Dec!
Inverted head and shoulder on NDXHello peps,
Ndx has formed inverted head and shoulder after taking liquidity. Possible good intraday trade.
SHIB: Another IH&S! Some Key Points to watch from here.• On our last analysis on SHIB I warned about an IH&S chart pattern, that did work very well, as by the moment SHIB broke our key point, it hit the previous resistance with an astonishing precision before dropping again (link to my previous analysis below this post);
• Now, we see the same pattern again, so what are the key points? The trigger point is the black line, while if it loses the red line it’ll frustrate the pattern. The technical target would be the previous resistance at the green line. This is a normal configuration of an IH&S;
• However, if SHIB loses the purple line, then it might face more serious problems in the mid-term, as this would indicate a sharper sell-off;
• For now, let’s pay attention to these lines and see what happens. I’ll keep you guys posted on this.
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KISS STRAT Big Top Part 2Wow what a hammer candle... inconceivable!
Saw one of these 24 Feb, same size... gonna get a pullback, but probably not the next day. Loading up on puts here real risky.
Some peeps got killed today betting the big gap down would lead to more selling, as every past gap did. Different today.
In early trade VIX was barely moved on the big gap; Institutions were not loading up on puts... that was the clue to not to short the gap.
Algos programmed to buy 3500, likely a bottom for now. An orderly grind to an inverted right shoulder might last two weeks, or less.
Then a multiday rally will ensue, trapping bulls who think the bear market is over... such a vicious game we play.
We are near the end of Wyckoff distribution phase E, which will blend with accumulation Phase A, perhaps this began today.
During accumulation, a lower low is possible. More to follow on Wyckoff accumulation, which can last a year.
The bear market ain't over, but early signs of a turn begin to appear.