Overbought - Pull back for rocket launch to $70 in the LTNASDAQ:AFRM should def be on your watch list going into 2024. To keep my analysis simple, we can see a major inverted head and shoulder forming with an approach to the neckline after completing the head. We can see a high probability of a rejection at this neckline due to the RSI showing overbought on the daily/weekly. I wouldnt short the neckline due to the high momentum the overall markets have experienced, we can still run higher in this overbought scenario.
2 possible scenario ill look at.
Entry long on the bottom of the right shoulder with candlestick confirmation/volume with a target of the neckline.
Second, Entry long break of the neckline with volume (Can wait for retest for entry) and stop loss at the bottom of right shoulder.. target $70 with TP at $50 and $60.
Target could be reached in 1-3 months or sooner.
Not financial advise, pure speculation. Use proper risk management.
Invertedheadandshoulders
EURCHF - Inverted Head and ShouldersHi Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURCHF Price Reached a Support Level (0.94357 - 0.94176)
The Price Formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Currently,
The Neckline is Broken.
So I Predict a Bullish Move📈.
Let's Wait for Retest...
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TARGET: 0.95940🎯
Trade set-up_OFSS can give a breakout and rally 10% thereafter!The stock has been attempting to move beyond the INR4200 mark since September 2023 but its every attempt in past was met with some strong supply around the 4200-4250 zone preventing it from moving beyond.
In this ongoing tussle between the buyers and sellers in the past three months the stock made at least 3 attempts to breakout above 4200 and the very same 3 attempts of the stocks are now clearly visible on the chart as an "Inverted Head &shoulders" pattern.
The neckline of the pattern stands at the same old supply zone of 4200-4250.
On decisive close above the 4200 mark and also upon breaking out from the inverted H&S pattern the stock can rally nearly 10% towards the INR 4600 region.
CMP - 4166
SL - 4078(2.4%)
TARGET - 4600(10%)
RR - 1:4
Possible Channel Break Re-testsA quick look at how Bitcoin could drop as low as 25-26k or even 22-23 and remain bullish.
Bitcoin first broke above an inverted HS, which ultimately led to a parallel channel breakout on the weekly chart.
We haven't yet re-tested the top of that channel.
A re-test doesn't always occur, but if it does a re-test at 25-26k is easily still bullish and remains above both pattern breaks.
There's also the possibility of a pullback below the inverted HS that still remains above the channel if a re-test occurs but gets dragged out for weeks. A prolonged re-test could pullback below the inverted HS, yet remain above the parallel channel, going as low as 22-23k or even lower (below 20k) if it is prolonged further.
Pullback scenarios for longI see two scenario playing out for a long term bullish trade.
Bias: Bullish
Why: Neckline breakout of inverted head & shoulders with a positive earning gap.
Scenario A: Price action is currently showing a bullish flag after the huge earnings gap up. We can see price retrace to test the end of the gap. With a high possibility of bouncing and breaking the bull flag structure to a new high.
Note: 12/8 ended with a green volume day above average breaking the latest downtrend volume structure.
RSI is still show PDD in an overbought scenario, most severe since Aug/Sep 2019'.
MACD is turning to a SELL signal at the top of the indicator.
Given the indication for a dire pull back...
Scenario B: Price action retraces to fill gap, bouncing to retrace back to the I-H&S neckline or 200 EMA before a rocket launch to $170 price target.
Thoughts?
Pure speculation. Trade responsibly.
Inverted Head & Shoulders - UCHFHere we have USD/CHF on the 30 Min Chart! It looks to be outlining a potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern upcoming!!
The First Low or "Shoulder" @ .86792 followed by the Lower Low or "Head @ .86662 with price moving back up to the Confirmation of Pattern or "Neckline" @ .86973 makes me believe we will get a BREAK of Confirmation @ the 3rd touch of the Neckline with price continuing HIGHER!
The RSI indicator is also throwing out a Slight Divergence, strengthening Bullish Bias on this possibly imminent Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - JOLTS (Tues) Non-Farm Payroll (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
CHF - CPI (Mon) Currency Reserve (Thur)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below .86792, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above .86973, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
NZDUSD - Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders 📈Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The NZDUSD Price Reached a Strong Support Level (0.58138 - 0.57406)
The Price Formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Currently,
The Neckline is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 0.61030🎯
JDST Inverse Junior Gold Miners ETF: Inverted Head and ShouldersJDST, the 2x Inverse Return ETF for the Junior Gold Miners Index, has formed a Slanted Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern that is currently holding above the 21SMA. If it holds here, I can see it rising all the way up to $12-$17 as gold loses steam.
EURAUD I Potential upside Hello,Traders!
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EURAUD is trading in an uptrend on the weekly and a downtrend
on the daily. 1.6640 structure daily high was recently broken and created a
new high at 1.6703. The price has pulled back to the neckline area and
showing rejection from 1.6557 support. If this support holds, price will likely
continue to the upside to retest 1.6700 zone. LONG!
Trade safe and good luck!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Amazon -> Continuation TradeMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Amazon.
After the recent rejection away from the lower support trendline of the rising channel I do now expect a short term correction back to the $105 level. Then we could see an inverted head and shoulders pattern which indicates more upside potential and eventually new all time highs.
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When the market moves where, and how, and if - these are all unknown.
The only thing which you can control is your risk.
- Philip Basic Trading -
Keep the long term vision🫡
GOLD: If it fails, the bearish trend will return.We already shared our view on daily chart last week (see analysis below), so today we will look for some potential Patterns on intraday chart. Having said that, if we look at the 1H chart, we cannot exclude the formation of Inverted Head and Shoulders, if this fails, the Price Action should trigger a new Low and a return to the bearish trend also on daily chart. Today, we will only think about managing our long position taken last week and we will think about adding position only after some confirmations which we are currently missing.
With this in mind, the signal will be confirmed with neckline breakout.
DAILY ANALYSIS
(Click on Chart below)
Trade with care
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ZZD - Long IdeaThe stock has printed an interesting, inverted head and shoulders and its currently rising above the upsloping 20/50 ema's.
While bulls hold it above R10.90 , the bull flag is likely to play out but for a longer term horizon, a stop below R10 would be preferable. The pattern targets R16 eventually.
The inverse head and shoulders is a technical chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend in the price of a security or asset 12. It is also called a “head and shoulders bottom” 1. The pattern resembles the shape of a person’s head and two shoulders in an inverted position, with three consistent lows and peaks 12. The pattern is identified when the price action of a security meets the following characteristics 1:
The price falls to a trough and then rises.
The price falls below the former trough and then rises again.
Finally, the price falls again but not as far as the second trough.
Once the final trough is made, the price heads upward, toward the resistance found near the top of the previous troughs 1. Investors typically enter into a long position when the price rises above the resistance of the neckline 1. A suitable profit target can be ascertained by measuring the distance between the bottom of the head and the pattern’s neckline and using that same distance to project how far the price may move in the direction of the breakout.
Primary Selling Wave 1 May Be Completed; Big Bounce?Pretty strong down moves in a wild ride likely a setup for BTFD, CPI numbers Thursday AM the catalyst for retracement move.
Probly don't wanna be short right now. Could tank again if more geopolitical news smacks it down but absent adversity, expect a lift.
Any lift will be a countertrend move in a primary downtrend.
Likely target is the 0.62 Fibo retracement near 4545.
Made inverted H&S intraday Tuesday. Probably good to get into cash if you don't wanna be long.
Getting oversold. Can get more so but bears near exhaustion.
Be careful!
Gold -> The 90% Probability SetupHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Gold 💪
After the simpe monthly break and retest and also a retest of the 0.382 monthly fibonacci retracement Gold perfectly created the bullish continuation towards the upside and I do expect new all time highs on Gold in 2023.
Gold is also retesting the weekly support trendline of the very obvious rising channel and in confluence with bullish moving averages I do expect a bullish push from here.
Looking at the daily timeframe you can either be agressive and enter a position right now or you can wait for the confirmed inverted head and shoulders and a breakout of the daily bullflag and then this will be a very high probability setup overall.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
JD.com Inverted H&SJD.com has created an inverted H&S pattern over the summer and is attempting to break above the neckline. This isn't a textbook H&S since the neckline hasn't been a hard resistance level for price when looking at the violation above the neckline at the right shoulder, but that appears to have been an outlier with a gap up and almost immediate gap back down below the neckline. Although not textbook, this pattern is similar enough to warrant attention as price is currently attempting a break above the neckline.
The PPO indicator shows the green PPO line rising above the purple signal line which indicates short-term bullish momentum. Both lines trending above the 0 level indicates intermediate to long-term bullish price momentum. Going forward we want to see the green PPO continue to rise above the signal line.
The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line rising and crossing above the 60 level while trending inside the upper half of the white Bollinger Bands. This indicates a short-term bullish trend in price. Going forward we want to see the green RSI line continue to rise above the 60 level, with an overall trend between the 40-80 levels to indicate intermediate to long-term bullish price trend.
My entry on this trade was at $38.98 with a current stop-loss at $35.57. Should price break above the neckline and continue to rise I'm looking at resistance near the 200ma at the $45 area to take profit, but am also going to be watching for a potential measured move near the $48 level if price manages to push through the 200ma with ease.
Assurant Inc. DCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Assurant Inc.
Ticker: AIZ
Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financials
Introduction:
In this analysis, we focus on Assurant Inc. (AIZ) listed on the NYSE, an important player in the financial sector. The daily chart highlights a potential bullish reversal signaled by an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern that has been forming over the past 39 weeks.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern typically signals a reversal of a downtrend and a potential start of an uptrend. It is characterized by three troughs with the middle trough (the "head") being the deepest and the two outside troughs (the "shoulders") being shallower and roughly equal in depth.
Analysis:
Assurant's previous trend was clearly downward, depicted by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, it appears this downward trend is being interrupted by the formation of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. The symmetry between the shoulders is good, and the horizontal neckline is well defined at 135.
The price is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. Should we see a breakout above the horizontal neckline, it could favor a long entry. The price target in such a scenario would be at 165, representing a potential rise of 22%.
Conclusion:
Assurant's daily chart shows a promising bullish reversal setup through the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed by a breakout above the neckline, this could offer an appealing long trading opportunity.
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Please remember, this analysis should form part of your overall market research and risk management strategy, and is not direct trading advice.
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Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.