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BTC: Possible inverted H&S in the makingBTC likes those head and shoulder patterns. Because traders like this pattern, especially the inverted head and shoulder type. However, we should remember how often this pattern has failed in the past months. So many times, there was an inverted H&S structure in the making, and many times, it failed. It looked as if it would burst through the neckline, just to fail in the last minute, and dump. We are finally approaching the interesting levels that I have been mentioning since weeks and weeks now. 1. The lower logarithmic downtrend resistance connecting the ATH and the 6500 level where the last big dump started. 2. The higher logarithmic downtrend resistance connecting the multiple smaller tops since early 2018, with the 6500 area. This is the stronger of the two. 3. At the area of the upper downtrend resistance (around 4900USD right now, in 1-2 weeks at 4700-4800USD), we also have the upper weekly BBand and the daily MA200. 4. The number of daily transactions is still far away from ATH: www.blockchain.com Therefore, if the inverted H&S fails, it will bounce off the lower resistance, the low will therefore also be lower, around 1800 USD. If the inverted H&S succeeds, we might see a nice rally to the upper resistance, as high as 4800 USD. But this resistance is ultra strong, and BTC is very overbought on weekly, volume still low, no capitulation has yet occured. Still too many weak hands in BTC, and too many people claiming 3200 has been the bottom. No despair yet! Also, the number of transactions, which I consider one of the strongest metrics for BTC, is still far away from ATH. All this leads me to believe, that in the best case, BTC reaches 4800, then dumps down to 2400 USD. I see these two scenarios unfold in the coming weeks. I see almost no chance (of course the chance is not 0%, but still quite low) for BTC going through both resistances, as sorry as I am. After that final shakeout, we should see a very strong weekly volume bar. Then the low could be confirmed and finally real reversal can start to happen. The momet of truth comes nearer and nearer :) Good luck!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SebastianofMoon
17
BTC breaks up & closes candle @ exact target of projected brkoutAlthough the falling wedge lost its 4hr chart validity when the red candle closed green giving it only two wick touches on each trendline, the break upward that has occured has conveniently closed its breakout candle at the exact breakout target the wedge would have had. I've yet to see a wedge this long breakout this prematurely so I think it may more likely be simply an inverted bart that has occurred shortly after a bearflag breakdown fakeout but the confluence of the breakout target of the inv bart with the wedge target is very synchonicious. Very curious to see how often a falling wedge has broken up this early on other charts on the past.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
XRP Triggers 1hr IH&S pattern breaks up out of Falling WedgeAs expected XRP has busted upward form its inverted head and shoulder pattern on the 1 hour chart. The breakout target of that should have been right at the top trendline of the 4hr chart falling wedge but the price action has exploded well above that and seems like it will very likely trigger the falling wedge breakout as well. So now the price target we are looking for next is 39 cents. We are quite overextended on the stochrsi though so we may consolidate sideways in a bull flag first before continuing upward to the 39 cent target. The current 4hr volume candle is absolutely massive which is a great sign for the bulls. Expect exciting fundamental developments from xrp in the coming days/weeks.
BITFINEX:XRPUSDLong
by DrDovetail
1
Verge on the precipice of an inv h&s golden cross combo breakoutI did not mark this idea long or short....we are simply on the precipice of either a huge bullish move for verge or a massive bulltrap fakeout. if btc breaks upward then xvg will likely trigger this inverted head and shoulder breakout which would lead to a golden cross on verge on the 1 day chart which has a breakout bull target of an over 50% increase, but if bitcoin breaks down it will be both a fakeout of the inverted head and shoulder pattern and likely the golden cross as well see the blue line directly above the inverted head and shoulder pattern? thats the 1 day 200ma and we can see it already dealt a firm rejection to the priceaction earlier so which always increases the likelihood of a fakeout..not wise to buy verge here unless you see a breakout that flips the 200ma from resistance to support and also solidifies it as support as well if that happens and you see bitcoin have a bullish breakout too then its probably wise to enter a position on verge but until then expect a fakeout. Inverted head and shoulder patterns in a bear market are usually patterns painted by the bearwhales to set the ultimate bulltrap fakeouts with *not financial advice but simply self advice that anyone else is allowed to consider* thanks for reading!
X
by DrDovetail
inv h&s fakeout+ crash leads to bigger inv h&s potentialbefore the latest big uptrend I said we would either have an upward target of 3850 or 4150 off the falling wedge which was fairly close....then in recent ideas I said we would likely see a fakeout on the initial inverted head and shoulder pattern and a crash downwards which has what just occurred...I think its possible we are now in a bigger inv h&s pattern that has a$200 higher upside breakout target...and if we are, the peak of the right shoulder will probably be somewhere around 3.4k I'm guessing right around the breakdown target of the current bearflag....if we continue to dip much further than that however we are likely going sub 3k to at least 2.8k and maybe even as low ass 1120 before we finally bottom/capitulate. If we do indeed validate the new bigger inverted head and shoulder pattern, there's then a slight chance the bottom is indeed in but also a chance once we reach the 5450 breakout target that we could still have our capitulation candle after that and go sub 3k....its important to anticipat all of these options in order to make the safest move. For now I think probability favors at least one more bearish breakdown from our current bearflag. Especially since on the 1 day chart(not shown here) the stoch rsi is still overextended even after the current dip.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin 4hr goldencross has just occurred; Fakeout still in playWe can now see the 4hour golden cross has occurred on the 4hr chart...this may spark a rally and we can see that the stochrsi has reached a good boucne support area with room to go up....however before this downturn, we did not achieve a higher high(which would have been around 4.4k), also this year has been particularly unkind to price action the majority of the times we have gotten a 4hr golden cross. Look left in the chart and you can see at least 3 golden crosses previously that did not get sustained and were followed soon after by a big sell off so it would not surprise me if we repeat history again considering we once again also didn't hit our higher high...howeverwe could for once finally see a real sustainable 4hr golden cross and plow back up above the head and shoulders neckline and trigger the breakout which would give us a target of 5.2k or so....there is also the possibility that that disproportionate right shoulder was really just the head finishing and the recent breakdown is actually the beginning of the right shoulder being formed so thats what the new descending yellow trendline is now representing...if that becomes the new neckline then we still ahve a chance to come up and trigger that which would have a higher price target if it were validated than the current inv h&s we have been looking at. Currently its best to maintain your position until you see obvious signs we are going lower. I sold when we broke back under the neckline but if you didn't right now is a little late to sell if I was in that position right now I would not exit until I saw that 4k had been flipped back to solidified resistance...as long as 4k maintains support there's a chance that this inv h&s brakout can still occur...of course that's just what I would do and not financial advic by any means so you do what you feel is best for you...thanks for reading and good luck!
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by DrDovetail
Warning- Inverted Yield Curve likelyUS10 US02 This may not look like something to watch and you may not know about it. Only about 2% of investors understand it, however 98% of institutional traders (the “smart money”) watch it like the World Cup finals. Its the 10 year treasury yield to the 2 Year treasury yield ratio/spread. Bottomline: If it goes negative (hits the dotted yellow line) = Inverted Yield Curve = BAD for Stocks and GOOD for Bonds.. I’d reevaluate everything and have stop losses for every trade. Side note: I have no idea what it means for crypto because bitcoin did not exist the last time yield curve went inverted late 2007.
TVC:US10Y
by jgeno
Spread national US bund 3 and 5 years, medium signal An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the mantra for which 1 euro today is better than 1 euro tomorrow; an inverted curve, instead, says exactly the opposite: better 1 euro tomorrow. This means that investors, on average, are moving towards long-term investments, despite lower yields than short-term investments.
TVC:US05YShort
by albertus76
inverted head & shoulders pattern on the btcusd 4hr chart This inverted head and shoulder has a disproportionately long left shoulder but it is still valid we are currently testing the neckline. Judging by how overextended the stochrsi is on the buy side on the 4hr chart there are decent odds that this could be rejected here at the neckline but I'm pretty certain on the 1 day stochrsi we are in the oversold territory still so it may just break up from here...I'm gonna wait until I see a clear rejection and solidified resistance from the neckline before I exit my position if I had already sold before this then I would simply wait for a break above the neckline to turn into solidified support before buying back in. My personal strategy and not any sort of financial advice of course..good luck and thanks for reading!
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by DrDovetail
potential inverted h&shoulders overlaid on top of falling wedgeWe are now potentially forming an inverted head and shoulder pattern overlaid on top of the falling wedge which only will increase the odds of a bullish breakout for btc. In order for this inverted head and shoulders to have a chance it must have a bounce before too long and the most likely spot we have as a good bounce support is the top trendline of the falling wedge...if we see it stay above that line odds are good of validating both he breakout of the falling wedge and the inverted h&s pattern but until I see that, this idea will remain neutral for now....if I see it break under the falling wedge trendline I will lean more bearish and think this was nothing more than a dead cat fakeout bounce...but for now we will have to wait and see what it decides to do at the falling wedge top trendline. I may not sell again until it breaks under the bottom trendline of the falling wedge though. The inverted head and shoulders can be seen on the 1hr,2hr,3hr, and 4hr charts. Thanks for reading this NON-financial advice from a NON-financial advisor like myself and good luck!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
XRPUSD Pair about to trigger a gldncross on the 1 day & inv h&sTake a look at this picture perfect inverted head and shoulder setup on xrpusd's 1 day chart. Also take a look at how close the 50ma(in orange) is to rising above the 200ma(in blue) for a 1 day golden cross. Now factor in how the stoch rsi indicator has plenty of room to head upwards and is already suggesting its ready to do so. Lastly, factor in that we have already triggered a golden cross and inverted head and shoulder breakout on the xrpbtc pair...the golden cross on the xrpbtc pair has been sustained and didnt become a fakeout which is leading to huuuge leaps and gains over ethereum and btc...all this considered means the golden cross on the xrpusd pair should be sustained with similar results as well. While the rest of the crypto market has been in a free fall..XRP hs held steady making those gains against btc. Yet it hasn't been able to break out of the 48 cents-50cent range yet...once it sustains the golden cross on the usd pairing however we will definitely see it start to make 50-100% gains. First resistance will be back at the inv h&s neckline at 54-55 cents....once we break up from there the next target is the 75 cents range. This is of course just my opinion though so don't take it as financial advice for a financial advisor I am not. Thanks for reading!!
POLONIEX:XRPUSDLong
by DrDovetail
2
XRP continues bull run breaks key reistance triggers inv h&Swe can see XRP finally broke the resistance of the horizontal pink line. XRPLedger payments volume is really starting to boom as well on the xrpcharts on ripples website. Onward and upward we should hit the inv h&s breakout target within the next 1-3 1day candles is my estimation. Also greatly widening the gap and dominance over Ethereum and making big gains on btc at the same time. XRP is quickly becoming the standard. Once the XRPUSD pair finally gets its golden cross on the 1 day chart and sustains it then we are really gonna be taking off!
Long
by DrDovetail
1
XRP breaks well above inv h&s neckline forms higher highYou can see here on the 1 day chart that price has broken well above the neckline but is seeing resistance right at this blue horizontal line...what you cant see here is that the candle has already thrown a tiny wick above that line thus forming a higher high over the green candle where the horizontal line starts...in doing so XRP has broken the inside bar consolidation of that candlestick and now has a very high probability of going higher than that line and thus triggering and confirming the breakout from the head and shoulders pattern...We have also reached the small symmetrical triangle hidden in the right shoulders breakout target like I said we would do in the last video. So probability highly favors we trigger this head and shoulder pattern if so the target will be close to the black box near the top of the chart. Thanks for reading *not financial advice**
Long
by DrDovetail