INTC- Some trends catch fire slowly
I have been bullish on this name for a while, and missed out options play twice, but I know that market gives you several opportunities if you are listening.
This weekly chart is just a start of what I expect to be MUCH bigger move in next few years.
Test of ATh might come as early as next month. then breakout, perhaps C&H (which already shows on the monthly TF)
In the midst of semiconductor chips shortage, when every other name has been devoured by institutions and retail alike, an industry leader $INTC remains undervalued and underestimated. I expect that to change soon.
INTC
Intel Shooting Star at Resitance? Intel Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell at 48.40 (stop at 50.05)
A shooting star has been posted as prices reject the higher levels. Previous resistance located at 49.00. We look for losses to be extended today. Price action remained broadly negative yesterday with the early highs being rejected after bullish momentum stalled.
Our profit targets will be 44.11 and 41.20
Resistance: 49.00 / 55.00 / 68.00
Support: 44.00 / 40.00 / 35.00
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INTC exposure to China The U.S. warning China it could face devastating sanctions if it defies the ban on doing business with Russia!
This is a move that could have huge impact on American companies.
27% of AVGO Broadcom revenue comes from China.
My one year price target for INTC is $48, but after it moves lower, to $43.60 or $42.40
Looking forward to read your opinion about this.
Intel DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueIntel DCF Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 12.0%
Discount Rate = 7.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
Transaction Date = 28/02/2022
Fiscal Year-End = 25/12/2022
Current Price = $47.71
Shares Outstanding (m) = 4,072
Debt (m) = $38,101
Cash (m) = $28,413
Capex (m) = $20,329
Base Case Scenario
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of -4%, 4%, 5%, 8%, 10%. These assumptions are slightly lower than analysts’ forecasts.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
Intrinsic Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) =$44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL
Terminal Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $324,750
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $315,062
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $77.37
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $262,768
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $253,080
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $62.15
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DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in Intel. We may increase this position depending on market movements over the coming weeks.
INTC Intel will be free cash flow negative this yearIntel, which plans large investments in chip technologies in the next four years, warns that it will be free cash flow negative this year.
INTC predicts 10% to 12% annual revenue growth by 2026.
As a speculative buy, you can take into consideration the 44-45 usd area of support for a bounce.
INTEL CORP (INTC) RSI+MACD+STOCH FIB RETRACEMENT TA TRADING 💡📉I developed a personal trading strategy on NASDAQ:INTC to setup a trading buy scenario.
What are the different indicators Showing?
MACD:
EMA's crossed, no sign early retracement bounce
!!! market uptrend could have turned into a downtrend, but we need more confirmation
RSI:
Market is globally in an uptrend but RSI looks like its crossing the 50 line towards a downtrend, so there may be no retracement bounce
INTC is accordingly to the RSI not overbought nor underbought, confirmation to come
STOCH:
STOCH looks like it's going towards its underbought level, I would wait till both lines cross the underbought level
What is FIB/Graph saying
Previous retracements reversed at around 50% to 61.8% fib level
I expect this retracement (if last retracement wasn't a trend reversal) to reverse around the same levels.
Intel Corp. as long term: 📈📈
Intel will definitely hit a 100$ in the future, with a lot of new big upcoming projects
For example: a crypto mining dedicated CPU
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INTEL - Silicon Gold Mine Next 20 YearsINTEL is releasing some new chips specifically designed for crypto mining, continues to release revolutionary chips with government contracted backing.
A sure buy for the next 20 years.
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INTC, 2 2 Hours NASDAQ:INTC , 2 Hrs
INTC, Intel 2 Hours
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Semiconductors at long-term supportWhen looking at a weekly chart, it is easier to see if an asset is in a bullish or bearish trend.
Taking a look a the SOXX, we see we are at a potential place for a bounce.
I chose the 52 exponential-moving average because there are 52 weeks in a year, and it has worked very well in the past.
A close on a weekly basis below this level is the signal to get out. If we can hold though, it would be a strong bull case for a bottom.
Intel Analysis 16.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
$INTC Intel Corp to Drop In PriceWith the recent blow to the companies reputation I would assume we see a good dip!
BUT lets take a look at the technical analysis.
We have been rejected at the current price 4 times now on the hour chart.
The daily chart appears to be seeing a bearish divergence as well.
money flow is not looking good.
I would assume this would play out as a sharp dip to 48.00 range or a slow decline through late Feb.
Let me know what you think!
INTEL - Little more wait for entry before starts reversal. Wait for some more time before entry. Start entry from ~$48 - $42 range. Probably should bottom out by end of Jan. Will be interesting to see if this bottom out before earnings or after.
After that ride until 70+. That's ~60% or ~$25 potential upside.
Enjoy....
IntelI like historical pattern of this company. This an opinion based on an article I've just read but it seems as if the semiconductor issue is simmering down a bit relative to how unsure this issue was late last year. We also see a bunch of car companies having increased deliveries as well. Although Intel isn't the end all, be all within this sector, I can see at least a retracement of about 45% of the previous high seeing how price has reached this point up to 5 times since 2018's May. Let's see what happens! They also have enough cashflow to compensate for a hike in interest rates.