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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable volatility after reaching our critical support level of Mean Support 5870. Subsequently, it demonstrated a robust upward recovery. This development is anticipated to facilitate the impending phase of the renewed interim rebound, with the objective of retesting the Key Resistance level at 6090, thereby paving the way for continuing the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the Mean Support 5870 remains a great possibility.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Cocoa vs BTC. Introducing Cocoa Futures Commodities TradingCommodity trading has been booming in recent months and years, as everything from industrial metals to oil, precious metals to soft commodities (coffee, cocoa) is getting hotter. Last week, coffee futures traded in New York ICEUS:KC1! reached 348 cents per pound of beans, a new historical high, and frozen orange juice concentrate futures ICEUS:OJ1! exceeded the $5 mark for 1 pound, reaching also a new all-time high. The macroeconomic situation, the continuing geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the overall market volatility caused by these large movements, create a lot of new opportunities. In addition, the food and environmental crisis sweeping across the planet (a special type of environmental situation when the habitat of one of the species or populations changes in such a way that it calls into question its further existence) is creating extreme bottlenecks in supply chains everywhere, which leads to shortages on the one hand, and a corresponding increase in prices and opportunities on the other. Both private investors and professional market participants can use Commodities Cocoa Futures to expand the possibilities of investment strategies - hedging risks and profiting from price fluctuations. For market participants involved in the production and processing of cocoa, futures contracts will allow them to better protect their income from undesirable changes in exchange prices for cocoa beans. In addition, for those market participants involved in the wholesale purchase of cocoa, futures contracts allow them to better protect their margins from undesirable price fluctuations in exchange prices for cocoa beans, which lead to an increase in purchasing costs. The underlying asset of the futures is the price of cocoa beans on foreign markets. The contracts reflect the dynamics of the price of cocoa beans supplied from countries in Africa, Asia, Central and South America to any of the five delivery ports in the United States. In fundamental terms, on November 29, 2024, the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) raised its estimate of the world cocoa deficit for 2023/24 to -478,000 tonnes from -462,000 tonnes forecast in May, the largest deficit in more than 60 years. ICCO also lowered its estimate of cocoa production for 2023/24 to 4.380 million tonnes from 4.461 million tonnes in May, a -13.1% decrease from the previous year. ICCO forecasts world cocoa stocks to be 27.0% in 2023/24, a 46-year low. Cocoa prices have risen sharply over the past months due to uncertainty about future cocoa supplies. Recent heavy rains in Ivory Coast have led to reports of high mortality of cocoa buds on trees due to heavy rainfall. Unfavorable weather conditions in West Africa are pushing cocoa prices sharply higher. Heavy rains in Ivory Coast have flooded fields, increased the risk of disease, and affected the quality of the crop. Newly harvested cocoa beans from Ivory Coast are showing lower quality, with quantities of about 105 beans per 100 grams. Ivory Coast regulators allow exporters to purchase quantities of 80 to 100 beans or slightly more per 100 grams. In other words, West Africa is now exporting at its maximum productive capacity, but the deficit in world reserves remains and is growing. The arrival of seasonal harmattan winds could also worsen the situation. Declining global cocoa stocks is also a bullish factor for prices. Cocoa stocks tracked by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) at three major US ports (Delaware River Port, Hampton Roads Port and New York Port) have been declining for the past year and a half and fell to a 20-year low of 1,430,974 bags on Friday, December 13, 2024 (down 15 percent over the past month). Another important factor for prices is the seasonal approach of the Christmas and New Year holidays, especially in the main cocoa consuming regions - the US and Europe. Cocoa prices on world markets are again returning above $ 10,000 per ton, while crypto fanatics in their manic persistence to get the last unmined bitcoin are ready to burn the planet Earth to hell and only deepen the food and environmental crisis striding across the planet. The main graph represents a comparison across BTC and Cocoa prices over past several months. So, what would you like to choose amid of recent rally in both assets - sweet cocoa or binary digits inside your computer? Or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s talk about it! Send your thoughts and questions into comment box below to discuss about Cocoa Futures Commodities Trading!
CAPITALCOM:CCH2025Education
by Pandorra
6
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session this week, the S&P 500 index has exhibited a consistent steady to a lower trajectory, progressing towards our newly established support target of 6034. There remains the potential for a further decline to the subsequent Outer Index Dip level at 5980. Conversely, a notable upside movement via the previously retested Key Res 6090 level is anticipated, which may facilitate a rally to the Outer Index Rally target of 6123; this development will likely pave the way for the next phase of the bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin's repeated pullback in this week's trading session by upholding firmly at the Mean Sup 96000 price level within the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 is now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely retest the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600 by navigating the weak Mean Resistance 102300. This movement is anticipated to revitalize its upward trajectory toward the projected Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. Furthermore, a potential decline to the Mean Support 97000 would prepare the market for the subsequent phase of a bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index demonstrated a consistent and measured sleepwalking upward trajectory towards our target of Outer Index Rally 6123, with potential for further advancement to the subsequent Outer Index Rally level at 6233. This notable ascent toward the target of 6123 is anticipated to result in a pullback to the Mean Support level of 6049, thereby facilitating the next phase of the bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin displayed substantial volatility during this week’s trading sessions, reaching our Mean Support level of 91800 and completing our Inner Coin Rally of 103600. Currently, the threshold for Bitcoin is established at Mean Support 96000, with the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely surpass the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600, which may rekindle its upward trajectory towards the anticipated Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. The possible pullback to Mean Support 96000 will effectively position the market for the next phase of a bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 29, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's abbreviated trading session, the S&P 500 index has demonstrated significant upward movement, successfully retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6000 and maintaining its position above the Mean Resistance level of 6008. The primary objective is to reach the Outer Index Rally target of 6123, with the potential for further extension to the subsequent Outer Index Rally level at 6233. This notable ascent toward the Outer Index Rally target of 6123 is projected to induce a pullback to the Mean Support level of 6000, facilitating the bullish trend's next phase.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 29, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin has significantly declined below our Mean Support level of 94400. Nevertheless, the momentum of the bull market has been a pivotal factor, allowing Bitcoin to rebound robustly and heading to retest the established Outer Coin Rally target 99500. Current analysis indicates that the cryptocurrency is poised to surpass the 99500 threshold, consequently reigniting its upward trajectory towards the forthcoming Outer Coin Rally target at 110000. The pullback to Mean Support 95600 and possibly to 91800 is strategically positioning the market for the next phase of the bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
End of Year Palladium Bull Run \o/From the current notation, I see this leveraged ETF on Palladium rising approximately 45% until the end of the year. The reasons are as follows: Fundamental Factors : With increasing sanctions on Russia, one of the main exporters of palladium, global supply may become constrained. Furthermore, inflationary pressures might drive commodity prices higher. Technical Indicators : The Palladium chart has recently formed a higher high, and a higher low appears to be developing. The price has crossed above the 200-day SMA, and now the 30-, 50-, and 200-day SMAs are bullishly aligned. Seasonality: The seasonal strength in OANDA:XPDUSD is expected to begin the week after next. So, we could get ready for rising prices in Palladium!
LSE:2PALLong
by p4917
Arabica Coffee Futures. The Canary in the Coal MineWith nearly 60 percent up path performance in 2024, Arabica coffee futures rose above $3.00 a pound, the highest mark since May 2011, as traders assess potential problems with next year’s crop in top producer - Brazil. Despite recent rains, soil moisture levels remain low, leading to limited fruit development and excessive leaf growth, local traders said. U.S. and European coffee lovers are getting ready to tighten their belts as natural disasters have hit the world’s two largest coffee-producing countries, causing commodity prices to more than double in the past five years. Droughts in Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer, and severe typhoons in Vietnam, the second-largest producer, have severely disrupted the global coffee supply chain, driving up production costs that are increasingly being passed on to consumers. In addition, there are reports that Brazilian coffee farmers are holding back shipments of coffee to the market in hopes of higher prices, leading to further shortages, tighter supplies of coffee on the spot market, and higher prices. Coffee is literally the “Canary in the coal mine,” signaling climate change, the ecological crisis, and its impact on agriculture. The idiom originated within the Industrial Revolution in England (back to late XVIII century), when coal miners, lacking modern gas-monitoring equipment, would take canaries (birds) into the coal mine with them. And when dangerous gases like carbon monoxide (which is odorless) accumulated in excess in the mine, they stopped the birds chirping and killed the canaries before killing the miners, thus providing a warning to leave the tunnels immediately. As some of the world’s largest coffee-consuming regions, coffee lovers in the United States and Europe will find the price hikes particularly hard to stomach. According to German consumer data company Statista, Europeans consume about 3.2 million tons of coffee a year, accounting for nearly 33 percent of the world’s total coffee consumption, while Americans drink 400 million cups of coffee daily (which equates to 146 billion cups of coffee consumed in the United States each year, or nearly four cups a day for every American adult). In fact, coffee is more than just a morning ritual in the United States; it has become a cultural and business driver. But understanding the depth of America’s love affair with coffee may be as complex as the drink itself, and of course, more complex than the current coffee prices. Natural disasters have taken a heavy toll. Brazil, which accounts for about 40% of the world’s coffee production, is battling one of its worst droughts in decades. Dry conditions have severely impacted Arabica-growing regions, reducing yields. The 2023–24 crop cycle is already seeing a sharp drop in production, with some estimates suggesting output could fall by as much as a fifth (20%). The impact is being felt most acutely in Minas Gerais, Brazil’s largest coffee-producing state and home to high-quality Arabica, which has seen months of lower-than-normal rainfall. Brazil’s farmers are battling the country’s worst drought in seven decades and above-average temperatures. While Brazil dominates the Arabica market, Vietnam is the world’s leading producer of the cheaper Robusta beans used in instant coffee. Earlier this fall, Typhoon Yagi devastated the country’s main coffee-growing regions in the Central Highlands, killing at least 60 people and injuring hundreds more. Thousands of hectares of coffee plantations were estimated to have been damaged, leading to significant losses in both the current crop and future production potential, as the damaged trees will take years to recover. A perfect storm of environmental concerns has driven prices to all-time highs, above US$3.00 per pound of coffee beans. The combined impact of drought in Brazil and the typhoon in Vietnam has sent global coffee prices soaring. The International Coffee Organization (ICO), an intergovernmental body made up of coffee-exporting and -importing countries, reported that prices rose nearly 20% in the third quarter of 2024, reaching their highest level in nearly a decade. The ongoing effects of climate change make a quick return to stability difficult. The sector remains vulnerable to extreme weather conditions, which could further disrupt future harvests. In addition, growing global demand, particularly in emerging markets such as Asia, could continue to put upward pressure on prices, further slowing recovery efforts. As the world’s two largest coffee producers struggle to recover from the crisis, the outlook for the global coffee market remains uncertain. Climate change is reducing the area of ​​land suitable for growing coffee crops, and extreme weather events are becoming more frequent, creating a range of challenges for the sector and coffee drinkers in the US and Europe. In technical terms, the main 12-month graph of coffee prices indicates another buyers attempt to storm the round, 250-cent mark. Since the price is near to consolidate by the end of the year above this round number, it can contribute to a further rally and multiple price growth in the foreseeable future.
ICEUS:KC1!
by Pandorra
1
Gold Spot intraday setup. The Pushmi - Pullyu animalRemember Dr. Dolittle? He was a vet who could talk to animals. One of the rarest was the “pushmi-pullyu,” a llama with two heads (one head was where the ass ought to be). The pushmi-pullyu was a gentle creature that did not like to be stared at. And yet the other animals in Africa convinced him to go with the good Dr., and be put on display in Europe, because Dr. Dolittle was a kind soul who needed money to look after all the animals in his “care”. It's gone a bit since Gold explosion last week, due to Biden's gaffe to authorize the yellow/blues regime use US-made missiles inside Russia's legal area, while the rods of Russia's retribution hanged like the sword of Damocles over all of Europe, on the basis of reciprocity. Last week Gold spot added +153 US Dollars just in 5 Days. That was the best in history ever 1-week return, since January, 1980. Additionally, in percentage points Gold spot added +5.97 percent in a week. It was the 3rd best 1-week return over past decade. Gold spot in Euro OANDA:XAUEUR at the same time continues its gain 11th straight month in a row. The main intraday graph is for Gold spot OANDA:XAUUSD , and it indicates that Gold has retraced a bit to its key $2670 level (that was discussed in earlier published ideas), and ready to take Adv. again, since Trump-a-rally rolled out into the all-the-world fart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pandorra
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited notable stability at the previously completed Mean Support level of 5856. Following this stabilization, the index is progressing toward a retest of the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6000 and the Key Resistance threshold of 6008. This substantial upward movement may/will precipitate a decline toward the Mean Support level 5920. However, it is crucial to recognize that reaching this support level or any pullback will facilitate a price rebound, thereby positioning the market for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. This trend will be aimed at the Next #1 Outer Index Rally target of 6123 and potentially extend beyond that level in the near future.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: As outlined in the analysis from the previous week, the Eurodollar has maintained its pronounced downward trajectory with notable intensity. It has successfully breached the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.050. It penetrated the subsequent Outer Currency Dip at 1.042 by completing the significant Outer Currency Dip at 1.035 during this week’s trading session. It is essential to recognize that following this vital completion, the currency is positioned to rebound toward Mean Resistance at 1.048 before resuming its downward movement.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The price of Bitcoin, which remained at or below the completed Outer Coin Rally of 92000 during the preceding week, has successfully broken through this level this week, thus completing our Outer Coin Rally of 99500. The current analysis indicates that the cryptocurrency coin will likely experience a retracement to the Mean Support level of 94400 before embarking on its subsequent bullish trajectory, targeting our forthcoming Outer Coin Rally at 110000. This development signifies the conceivable continuation of a sustained bull market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 15, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has demonstrated considerable weakness by reaching the significant Outer Index Rally target 6000, as indicated in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 8. This decline has initiated a substantial pullback, as the index has fulfilled a key target of 6000. As a result, it has significantly decreased to the newly established Mean Support level of 5856, which suggests a potential continuation of the pullback toward the Mean Support levels of 5765 and 5700. However, it is essential to acknowledge that attaining these Mean Support levels may create the conditions for an upward price rebound before entering the subsequent phase of the bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 15, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: According to my analysis of Bitcoin, as I have previously forecasted for Aeon, Bitcoin achieved the target of $92,000 in the past week. Although it has since retraced to the Mean Support level of $86,500, Bitcoin is currently at the top, regaining momentum, and is projected to hit the Outer Coin Rally of $99,500 and a subsequent target of $110,000. Currently, wwe are hovering near the $100,000 threshold, which indicates the commencement of a significant bull market. It is essential to acknowledge that this journey has been lengthy and demanding, and further volatility is anticipated. Nevertheless, patience will likely yield substantial rewards for those who have remained committed thus far. Recognizing that reaching these targets in all probability will trigger selling pressure is crucial.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited significant strength by successfully filling the projected gap, as detailed in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 1. This upward movement has facilitated a substantial rebound, as the index has retested both the Outer Index Rally level of 5861 and the Key Resistance level of 5865. Furthermore, the index has completed the Outer Index Rally threshold 6000, suggesting a promising potential for additional increases toward Outer Index Rallies at 6123, 6233, and 6418. Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that achieving the Outer Index Rally 6000 level may prompt a downward price movement towards the Mean Support level of 5929 before progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: According to the analysis of the Bitcoin daily chart for November 1, the "Interim Rebound" in Bitcoin has effectively concluded its second stage. This stage occupies the mid-zone of the rally's rebound extension, with the primary target being the Inner Coin Rally mark at 78,500. This movement corresponds with the Outer Coin Rally 81000 and the Main Outer Coin Rally 92000, as projected by TSS in their long-term bullish forecast. However, a potential pullback is anticipated to fulfil the Reignited and Primary rebound criteria.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited notable weakness by falling below the Mean Support level of 5818 and subsequently establishing a new Mean Support at 5798. This development will likely prompt a decline toward the Inner Index Dip at 5733, with a potential extension to Mean Support at 5700. This support level is critical for enabling a primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend. Furthermore, it is essential to recognize that achieving levels of 5833 and 5700 may result in a rapid upward price reaction.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
5
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: As stated in the Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of Oct 18, the Bitcoin ''Interim Rebound'' completed our Inner Coin Rally of 69300 and retreated to the Mean Support level of 66800 and interim squeeze extension of the Mean Support of 65300 in this week's trading session. Currently, we anticipate the onset of a primary rebound, which is expected to facilitate recovery and further advancement into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter