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ETH over the last year and now todayI wanted to zoom out of the chart that I provided yesterday identifying this potential for buying the dip. We did break down through bottom of ascending channel for just a fast wick but it likely indicates we are breaking out of this ascension. As you see there is a lot of potential for a sideways channel here at the top of the larger (slightly descending) sideways channel, here we could consolidate in the top third of the channel and then build up the courage to try to break out of top of this year long channel again, or break down and potentially trace all the way back to bottom of channel which as you see is as low as $2200. If we break that $3500 support, I will become short term bearish. Market has been strong though so good chance we maintain top of channel and try to break out again in the near future. IMO daily candle charts are the most important and reliable charts. I do like 4 hour candles as they are more granular for seeing trends and are pretty close to as reliable and I often look at 1 hour candles for a pulse on the now but generally speaking, the shorter candle you use, the less you can rely on it. Lets take a look at the break down of the daily candle. --------------------------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – Daily Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Ascending Channel with Breakdown Risks** ETH/USD is currently trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between its upper and lower bounds (green lines). Recently, the price sharply rejected at **$4,100** and is now testing the **lower trendline support** near **$3,500**. **Bearish Rejection Near Key Resistance** Sellers emerged strongly at the **$4,100 Bearish Order Block (OB)**, leading to a steep reversal. This highlights a significant supply zone at this level. **Approaching Key Demand Zone** The price is nearing **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), where buyers have defended historically. This is a critical support area within the larger channel. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,600–$3,700**: Overhead resistance zone, aligned with EMA 20 and mid-channel range. - **$4,100**: Major supply zone, previously rejected at this level. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500**: Current demand area reinforced by a key trend line - **$2,800–$3,000**: Next structural support if breakdown occurs. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - The price has dropped below **EMA 20 ($3,800)** and **EMA 50 ($3,750)**, indicating short-term bearish momentum. - **EMA 100 ($3,610)** is providing immediate dynamic support. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)** remains a critical long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are below the candles indicating an up wave in progress but it seems muted. **Volume** - Recent sell-off saw a **volume surge**, confirming active participation in the pullback. **Stochastic RSI** - Currently **oversold** (9.30/26.79), favoring a short-term bounce from this zone. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI is sitting at **51.26**, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but showing signs of selling pressure easing. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is testing the **lower channel boundary ($3,500)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the top of channel, leading to bearish momentum targeting lower support levels. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Scenario (Primary Case):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone with rising volume: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and mid-channel resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,100 (upper channel resistance). **Bearish Scenario (Alternate Case):** If the price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,200 (next structural support). - **Second Target**: $3,000–$2,800 (psychological level and major demand zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **$3,500 Support**: Holding or breaking this level will decide the next move. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume on bounce or breakdown strengthens directional bias. 3. **Stochastic RSI Oversold Levels**: Signals a possible bounce unless selling pressure increases. --- ## Order Book Update: Order books continue to look dirty but with potential for recovery. Both asks and bids tracking a downward trend, asks is staging a potential ascending channel though many times asks have lost a bit more than bids on pullback, indicating negative trader sentiment or fear in the market, it is in a position to change course over the next days but until it does, books are under pressure. --- ## Conclusion: ETH/USD is at a **critical inflection point**, testing the lower trendline of the ascending channel converting to a sideways channel to consolidate before breaking out or breaking down. Bulls need to defend **$3,500** to sustain the medium term bullish structure. A successful defense targets **$3,800–$4,100**, with anything higher than $4100 starting a new breakout and while failure to maintain $3500 opens the path toward **$2,800** or lower. 🔍 **Monitor volume, key support levels, and stochastic momentum for confirmation.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
AES Corporation - Short term view with strong supportSo first of all both price and indicators are confirming the downtrend. Today NYSE:AES opened with a gap succeeding yesterday's equilibrium in price with doji candles. The price is still in the middle of the regression line and in the next few days the price don't seems to be close to upper 2 SD. In the print above the yellow line shows the support at $11.43. The image's time horizon starts at the end of 2006. Furthermore looking at short ratio available online the value is about 2,7 from mid October as well as more than 22M short interest
NYSE:AESShort
by AFCapital21
DEC 18 GBPUSD SELL TRADE ACTIVATEDThis is a classic move when you know wyckoff schematics ( supply and demand) . I am checking gbpusd since november, it was only this december that the movement gets slow motion. This was an evidence for me to go bearish once I had a validity in lower timeframe. FAST FORWARD: Dec 12-16 MOVE was a confirmation for me to look for short trades, If you will notice here in my chart : order block was created (supply). I marked it as my POI , Look for validity and EQH---> sell limit activated with a beautiful 1:5RR. (check chart for complete details) . #wyckoffianttrader #profitablesystem #psychology.
Short
by glyrad
ETH "Buy the Dip" opportunity?The pullback I outlined in my last ETH post came to fruition, however, there was a surprise retest of resistance before failing again and pulling back. Now we are at the bottom of the ascending channel but if we lose support here, it looks like we may be forming a sideways channel, in light blue lines on the chart. With support of bottom of channel and 200 EMA on the 4h candle, seems like a good chance to hold here. Lets look at the details. ------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – 4H Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Parallel Ascending Channel** ETH/USD is trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between the upper and lower bounds (green lines). The price is currently testing the **lower trendline support** of the channel, following a recent rejection near the **$4,000–$4,050** region. **Bearish Rejection at Resistance** Sellers stepped in at the **$4,050 Bearish Order Block (OB)** (red zone), leading to a sharp reversal. This indicates heavy supply at this level, halting upward momentum. **Bullish Order Block Retest** The price is approaching multiple **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), a strong demand area where buyers previously defended. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,800–$4,000**: Key resistance zone aligning with the upper channel boundary and recent bearish OB. - **$4,050**: Critical rejection level and prior swing high. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500–$3,600**: Primary demand zone, reinforced by bullish OBs. - **$3,300**: Secondary support area in case of deeper pullback. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - Price has fallen **below EMA 20 ($3,880.60)** and **EMA 50 ($3,810.46)** – short-term bearish bias. - **EMA 100 ($3,613.86)**: Acting as dynamic support near the current price. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)**: Long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are **above the price**, signaling bearish momentum. Watch for a shift below the price for trend reversal. **Volume** - Volume **spiked on the recent drop**, reflecting increased selling pressure near the lower channel boundary. **Stochastic RSI** - Stochastic RSI is **oversold** (3.69/7.86), signaling potential for a short-term bounce. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI sits at **23.89** (oversold), suggesting buyers may soon step in. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is at the **lower channel support ($3,600)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish channel and trigger bearish momentum. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Bounce (Primary Scenario):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone and volume increases: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and recent resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,050 (upper channel resistance and bearish OB). **Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario):** If price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,300 (next significant support). - **Second Target**: $3,200–$3,000 (psychological support and structural zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **Lower Channel Support ($3,600):** Break below = bearish continuation. 2. **Volume on Breakdown or Bounce:** Rising volume confirms the move. 3. **EMA 100 Support ($3,613):** Holding this EMA could trigger a short-term bounce. 4. **Stochastic RSI and MFI:** Both oversold; favoring bounce unless sellers persist. --- ## Order books Took a significant hit, losing about 15% of its prior levels. The market depth ration has remained stable, inferring bullish sentiment overall but weakening books can deteriorate this, we will look for order book levels to recover past today's levels to validate reversal. ## Conclusion ETH/USD is at a **critical juncture** within the ascending channel. Buyers must defend **$3,600** to maintain the bullish structure. A successful bounce targets **$3,800–$4,000**, while a breakdown below **$3,500** could open the door for a decline toward **$3,300–$3,200**. 🔍 **Watch volume and key support levels for confirmation of the next move.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by EncryptShawn
[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView: It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day. Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels. IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040. The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies. Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Bearish Setup on EUR/USD After Rejection at Key ResistanceTrading Idea on 1-Hour Chart (H1): The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential bearish continuation after testing a key resistance zone around 1.0540 - 1.0544, which aligns with a previously broken downward trendline. The market structure on the H1 timeframe indicates lower highs, suggesting sellers are regaining control. Technical Confirmation: Key Resistance Zone: The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening. Break-Retest Pattern: The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection. RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move. Technical Confirmation: Key Resistance Zone: The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening. Break-Retest Pattern: The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection. RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move. Summary: This idea is based on a bearish continuation pattern following rejection at a key resistance zone, supported by trendline retest and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., M15) is recommended before entry.
Short
by Jose_ManuelR
Break down of SUSHI on 1 hour candlesStructure and Price Action: **Descending Triangle Resistance**: The chart shows price facing resistance along the **descending red trendline**, which forms the upper boundary of a **triangle pattern**. Sellers are consistently stepping in at lower highs. **Ascending Support Line**: The price is maintaining support along the green upward trendline, creating an **ascending triangle** structure. This suggests a potential breakout if buying pressure sustains. **Key Consolidation Zone**: Price is consolidating between **$2.10** and **$2.40**, with clear attempts to break resistance. The consolidation indicates indecision but also a build-up for a larger move. **Retest of Order Blocks**: Multiple **bullish order blocks** at $2.10–$2.00 have held as support, reinforcing buyer strength. Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance**: $2.40 (descending red trendline and prior swing high). **Key Support Levels**: $2.10: Primary ascending support line. $2.00: Strong structural support aligned with bullish order blocks. $1.80–$1.60: Secondary green support zone below the ascending trendline. Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200): Price is above the **EMA 20** ($2.15) and **EMA 50** ($2.16), confirming short-term bullish bias. The **EMA 100** ($2.08) and **EMA 200** ($2.07) are closely aligned, providing a strong support base if price pulls back. Money Flow Index (MFI): MFI is at **60.21**, showing moderate bullish momentum with room for price to move higher before overbought conditions are reached. Stochastic RSI: The Stochastic RSI is currently near **overbought territory** (100.00 and 99.89), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur if resistance holds. However, sustained buying pressure could keep the Stochastic RSI elevated. Volume: Volume remains stable but has declined slightly during consolidation, suggesting indecision. A volume spike on a breakout or breakdown will confirm the next move. Pattern Analysis: The **ascending triangle** pattern suggests bullish continuation, provided price breaks above the descending red trendline at $2.40. Failure to break resistance could lead to a test of lower supports around $2.10 or $2.00. Probabilistic Outlook: Bullish Breakout (Primary Scenario): If price breaks above $2.40 with strong volume, the ascending triangle confirms bullish continuation. Key upside targets: **First Target**: $2.60–$2.65 (next major resistance zone). **Second Target**: $2.80–$3.00 (psychological and prior highs). Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario): If price loses support at $2.10 and $2.00, bearish momentum could build. Key downside targets: **First Target**: $1.80 (green support zone). **Second Target**: $1.60 (historical support and bullish order block). Key Signals to Watch: A breakout above $2.40 with rising volume = **Bullish continuation**. A breakdown below $2.10 = **Bearish reversal confirmation**. Monitor volume during any breakout or breakdown for validation. Conclusion: The chart is consolidating within an **ascending triangle**, with price facing resistance at $2.40. The overall structure remains bullish, and a breakout above $2.40 could lead to further upside toward $2.60–$2.80. However, failure to break resistance may result in a pullback toward $2.10 or $2.00 before the next directional move.
COINBASE:SUSHIUSD
by EncryptShawn
DEFI has been hot again, how do things look on the COMP chart?Lets take a look at what the charts and indicators have to say. Structure and Price Action: **Symmetrical Triangle Formation**: The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of consolidation following a sharp upward movement. Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns but typically resolve in the direction of the preceding trend, which is bullish in this case. **Downward Red Trendline**: The descending resistance line has formed, creating consistent lower highs. This indicates selling pressure at each attempt to move higher. **Ascending Support Line**: The upward green support line is holding, forming the triangle's lower boundary. This support has been tested multiple times and remains a key level. **Consolidation Zone**: Price is currently trading in a narrowing range, respecting both the upward and downward trendlines, signaling indecision and a pending breakout. Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance**: $110–$115 (aligned with the descending red trendline and near-term resistance). **Key Support Levels**: $100: Critical psychological and structural support. Below $100: Next key support around $90 (aligned with the green order block zone). Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200): Price is attempting to reclaim the **EMA 20** (~$107), which suggests cautious short-term bullish momentum. The **EMA 50** (~$108) is acting as resistance, which needs to be cleared for further upside. Long-term support sits at the **EMA 100/200** (~$106.5 and $85), providing structural strength if the price falls lower. Money Flow Index (MFI): MFI is at **34.94**, indicating the market is approaching oversold levels. This suggests the potential for a rebound if buyers step in. Stochastic RSI: The Stochastic RSI has turned upward from **oversold territory** and is crossing upward. This signals possible short-term bullish momentum. However, a failure to reclaim resistance could result in a false signal and continued downward movement. Volume: Recent volume during the triangle consolidation remains **low**, reflecting indecision among market participants. A breakout with strong volume will confirm the next directional move. Pattern Analysis: The **symmetrical triangle** pattern suggests a major move is imminent. Given the strong preceding uptrend, the pattern leans slightly bullish. However, failure to hold support at $100 could shift momentum downward. Probabilistic Outlook: Bullish Breakout (Primary Scenario): If price breaks above $110 (descending trendline resistance), it will signal a continuation of the prior uptrend. Key upside targets: **First Target**: $115–$120 **Second Target**: $125–$130 (previous highs) Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario): If price breaks below $100, it invalidates the ascending support line and signals a bearish reversal. Key downside targets: **First Target**: $90 (order block zone) **Second Target**: $85–$80 (EMA 200 zone and additional order block). Key Signals to Watch: A breakout above the descending red trendline (~$110) = **Bullish confirmation**. A breakdown below $100 = **Bearish confirmation**. Volume spike during the breakout or breakdown will validate the move. Conclusion: The chart shows **neutral consolidation** within a symmetrical triangle. The slight bullish bias comes from the prior strong uptrend, but a breakdown below $100 would shift momentum bearish. A breakout above $110 with volume will confirm bullish continuation, while a break below $100 will target further downside. Monitor price action closely around these key levels.
COINBASE:COMPUSD
by EncryptShawn
NEARly all crypto charts look like this right nowI just looked at easily 50+ charts that all look pretty much identical to this chart. There is a good chance whatever one does, the others will follow mostly. If there is a break out, there should be systematically, dozens of breakouts that can be jumped on, all happening at varying times within a short time frame. Similarly, could be a pretty big broad market pull back where we should be hunting support lines to buy the dip. Here is general analysis on the chart. Structure and Price Action: Rising Wedge Breakdown: The chart shows a clear rising wedge pattern that has broken down decisively. Rising wedges are bearish patterns, and this confirms further downside potential. Downward Red Trendline: A clear descending resistance line has now formed, rejecting price attempts to climb higher. The recent price action shows consistent lower highs, reinforcing bearish momentum. Consolidation Zone: Price is currently consolidating near the $6.8 level, where it is testing both horizontal and diagonal support zones. Support and Resistance: Immediate Resistance: $6.9–7.0 (aligned with the descending red trendline and EMA resistance). Key Support Levels: $6.5: Current short-term support. Below $6.5: Next support around $6.0 and $5.5, where historical levels exist. Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200): Price is below the EMA 20 and EMA 50, which confirms short-term bearish sentiment. The EMA 100 and 200 are flattening around $6.9–7.0 and acting as strong resistance. Money Flow Index (MFI): 49.24 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting there’s room for a move either up or down, depending on breakout direction. Stochastic RSI: The Stoch RSI has just crossed upward from oversold territory, indicating a possible short-term bounce but not yet a reversal signal. If price fails to reclaim higher levels, this could be a false signal. Volume: The volume during the most recent downward move remains relatively high, confirming bearish pressure. Current low volume during the consolidation suggests indecision and potential for a breakout. Pattern Analysis: The combination of the rising wedge breakdown and the descending trendline suggests that bearish pressure is dominant. Current price action resembles a bearish pennant or continuation pattern within the broader downtrend. Probabilistic Outlook: Bearish Continuation (Primary Scenario): If price fails to reclaim $6.9–7.0 and breaks below $6.5, further downside is likely. Key downside targets: First Target: $6.0 Second Target: $5.5–5.3 Short-term Bounce (Less Probable): If Stochastic RSI momentum and MFI push price above the descending trendline (~$7.0), a short-term recovery may occur. Key upside targets: First Resistance: $7.0–7.2 Second Resistance: $7.5 Key Signals to Watch: A breakdown below $6.5 = Bearish confirmation. A breakout above the descending red trendline (~$6.9–7.0) = Short-term bullish reversal. Volume will confirm the breakout or breakdown direction. Conclusion: The chart remains bearish overall, with a high probability (~65–70%) of further downside unless price breaks the descending trendline with conviction.
COINBASE:NEARUSD
by EncryptShawn
VINU Vita Inu - New Meme Coin with real world utilityVINU Vita Inu is a groundbreaking memecoin setting new standards with zero fees and smart contracts. Unlike its counterparts, VINU combines real-world utility with exceptional efficiency. With instant settlement and the highest energy efficiency in the market, VINU operates without the burden of transaction fees. Remarkably, VINU's entire coin supply is already in circulation, ensuring no further dilution. This streamlined approach supports a market capitalization of just $14.5 million, positioning VINU as a nimble and potentially high-growth opportunity in the evolving crypto landscape.
Long
by TopgOptions
December 11 2024 - Buy Limit Activated GBPJPY TRADEAs I checked one of my favorite pair in forex, I noticed that gbpjpy moving a bullish direction. One thing is certain here I will ride the pullback if supply was introduced in this market aiming for buy limit pending order in important swing low with demand. If you will noticed my chart during london session supply was introduced to mitigate Demand zone with validity. I like to trade demand and supply area with "PROOF". Please check my charts for additional information. RR: 1:4 Intraday (London-New york Session ) ATR: during that time = 10 #wyckoff #supplyand demand
Long
by glyrad
ETH Ethereum Bear Market If you haven`t bought the recent Double Bottom on Ethereum: Now you need to know that historically, Ethereum has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with ETH facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market. While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, ETH could trade below $3,000 before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Short
by TopgOptions
Floki (FLOKI) - Trade Update!Hey team! Let’s talk about my latest trade on Floki: - Market Strength: Despite the overall bearishness in the crypto market, Floki has shown incredible strength, standing out from the crowd. - Trade Breakdown: - I went long on Friday , following the setup from our WiseOwl Indicator. The indicator locked in an 8.48% gain on the first position and immediately re-entered. - For this trade, I used my own risk management strategy—I held the first position and reloaded on the second entry. - Current Position: My position is now sitting at +16.73% , and I’m in a great spot. I’m expecting more bullishness in the short term , so staying patient and letting the market do its thing. ⚡️ Sticking to the plan and adapting risk management can really pay off—let’s see where this goes!
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY : Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe) Took out an untested low (liquidity) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
NYSE:LLYLong
by jeanius_tech
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK : Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe) Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe) Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
NYSE:MRKLong
by jeanius_tech
Healthcare Sector (XLV) Long-Term BuyI believe healthcare will be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on AMEX:XLV : Took out an untested low Price touching 21EMA while the 9EMA > 21EMA Retested a level that was broken to create a break of structure (BOS & Retest) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
AMEX:XLVLong
by jeanius_tech