NASDAQ: Strong bullish breakout today targeting 21,600Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.836, MACD = 123.620, ADX = 32.041) as today posted the strongest 1D candle since Nov 7th, extending the new bullish wave. The whole sequence is supported by the 1D MA50 since September 12th. Even though we are technically more than halfway through the wave, this is still a strong buy opportunity, aiming for a +6.80% rise (TP = 21,600) as it has previously done so inside the 3 month Channel Up.
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BANKNIFTYHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in BANKNIFTY CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
Nasdaq - This Is Just The Beginning!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is preparing a major rally going into 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
As mentioned in all of my previous analysis, the Nasdaq is rallying but despite the recent strong move, there is still a lot more room towards the upside. With the channel breakout happening over the past couple of months, it is quite likely that we will see a rally of +50% during 2025.
Levels to watch: $26.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Above Forecasts (October/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.3%
October/2024
source: Office for National Statistics
- Annual inflation rate in the UK went up to 2.3% in October 2024, the highest in six months, compared to 1.7% in September.
This exceeded both the Bank of England's target and market expectations of 2.2%.
The largest upward contribution came from housing and household services (5.5% vs 3.8% in September), mainly electricity (-6.3% vs -19.5%) and gas (-7.3% vs -22.8%), reflecting the rise of the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) energy price cap in October 2024.
Also, prices rose faster for restaurants and hotels (4.3% vs 4.1%) and rebounded for housing and utilities (2.9% vs -1.7%). Prices of services increased slightly more (5% vs 4.9%), matching estimates form the central bank.
On the other hand, food inflation was steady at 1.9% and the largest offsetting downward contribution came from recreation and culture (3% vs 3.8%).
Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.6%. Finally, annual core inflation edged up to 3.3% from 3.2%.
The Rally May Run Out of SteamFundamental Background
According to CNBC, analysts at Morgan Stanley have conducted a study on how the tariff plans announced by Donald Trump during his campaign might affect the U.S. economy and the stock market.
Among the initiatives of the president-elect:
Implementing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods;
Introducing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods imported from China.
According to Seth Carpenter, the chief global economist at Morgan Stanley, such plans:
May eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and also limit economic growth;
Threaten to reduce U.S. economic growth by 2026;
Will lead to increased inflation;
Will put pressure on the automotive industry, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail sectors. It is expected that the costs to manufacturers will be passed on to consumers.
Consequently, this implies a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market as there is a high likelihood that the tariffs will reduce investment attractiveness and increase the cost of borrowing for companies, negatively impacting the stock market.
Technical Analysis
In 2024, the price formed a broad ascending channel (shown in blue);
Throughout October, the price was "magnetized" to the median line and formed a narrower channel between the Resistance and Support lines;
Against the backdrop of the presidential elections, the price surged to a peak on November 11th, but then returned to the median line.
The line around 20,941 level briefly acted as support, but the price failed to sustain above it. Could the bears' attempt to break away from the median line's pull be more successful?
Cyclical Analysis
Cyclical Chart Predicts a Decline in the Nasdaq Index
Conclusions
While the chart currently shows no clear signs of bearish activity, the facts presented above suggest that the vigorous bull market observed throughout 2024 may run out of steam.
DXY - It is time for a correction!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After being bullish for a couple of weeks, DXY is now hovering around the upper bound of its range.
Meanwhile, EURUSD is rejecting the lower bound of the orange falling broadening wedge.
If DXY rejects the upper bound of the range, we will be expecting EURUSD to break above its last major high in orange.
In such a scenario, a bullish correction towards the upper bound of the wedge pattern would be expected on EURUSD.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DXY Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY made a bullish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 106.500
Which is now a support
Then made a retest and is
Now going up again so
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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DXY_INDEX_1D&1Whello
Analysis of the US dollar index
Mid-term and long-term time frame
Elliott wave analysis style
The index in wave C is an upward correction. Wave C consists of 5 ascending waves. We are currently at the end of wave 5, and the resistance of this wave can be considered as the range of 107.180 and 108.960.
The Impact of Emerging Markets on the Dollar amidst Looming TradThe recent shift in US political landscape has ignited a wave of uncertainty across global markets. A potential escalation of trade tensions with China and other key economies could have far-reaching consequences, particularly for the US dollar and emerging market currencies.
The Dollar's Uncertain Future
The US dollar, long considered a safe-haven asset, faces a crossroads. While a more protectionist stance could initially bolster the dollar's appeal, it could also trigger a chain reaction of economic consequences. Increased tariffs and trade barriers could lead to higher inflation, which could erode the dollar's purchasing power. Moreover, if the US economy weakens as a result of trade disputes, the dollar's demand as a safe-haven currency could diminish.
Emerging Markets in the Crossfire
Emerging market economies, which have often relied on exports to fuel their growth, are particularly vulnerable to escalating trade tensions. A trade war could disrupt global supply chains, increase the cost of imported goods, and reduce demand for emerging market exports. This could lead to currency devaluation, higher inflation, and slower economic growth.
Currency Pegs Under Pressure
Countries that peg their currencies to the US dollar, such as Hong Kong and some Middle Eastern nations, could face significant challenges. If the dollar weakens or strengthens significantly, it could put pressure on these currency pegs, forcing central banks to intervene to maintain the exchange rate. This could deplete foreign exchange reserves and limit monetary policy flexibility.
The Renminbi's Rising Influence
China's renminbi could emerge as a potential beneficiary of a weakened US dollar. As China continues to expand its economic influence and promote the internationalization of its currency, it could become a more attractive alternative to the dollar for global trade and investment. However, a trade war with the US could also negatively impact the renminbi, as it could lead to reduced demand for Chinese exports and capital flight.
Navigating the Uncharted Waters
To mitigate the risks associated with a potential trade war, emerging market economies may need to adopt a combination of strategies. These could include diversifying export markets, promoting domestic consumption, and strengthening financial institutions. Additionally, central banks may need to adjust monetary policy to stabilize currencies and manage inflation.
In conclusion, the potential for increased trade tensions between the US and China could have significant implications for the global economy, the US dollar, and emerging market currencies. While the full impact of these developments remains uncertain, it is clear that businesses, investors, and policymakers around the world will need to closely monitor the situation and adapt their strategies accordingly.
DXY Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend and the
Index is locally overbought
So after it hits a horizontal
Resistance of 106.500
A local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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Presidential cycle. Will the crossing of RUT and SPX be repeatedDuring the Presidential Cycle is possible to verify that both indexes make peaks and troughs by the same time with similar moves.
By early 2016, the indexes followed the same movement by roughly three months, after that SP500 and Russell2000 made a new high just before the elections.
The prices continues to rise until the pandemic.
By early March 2020, SPX crosses above RTU and it was above until a little before Biden election, thereafter RUT crossed again making a new high two months later SP500 also made a new high.
By early January 2024, SPX crossed definitely RUT with SPX already making a new high.
So following the history after the elections is time to RUT to cross above the SPX line as well as to reach another higher high(??)
Crypto VS Equity : Which you will Choose for 3rd Qtr 2024This chart is very interesting for those who are struggling to find the investment opportunities. We have technical charts, And you can see 4 windows, upper two are cryptos and lower two are Indian Equity index.
Now, if we look at the charts, you can easily understand that cryptos are running for this month whereas the equity part is falling , as we all are quick learners, so we can understand what's happening here.
In simple words money is going out of various asset classes, even the gold, Fd's ,equities and being invested or traded with cryptos.
After the US President election Crypto coins are running in optimism. As Donald Trump have positive stance towards cryptocurrency.
And Nobody wants to be left out And so money is getting out of other investment assets.
I love to here your views on this ... use Comment box
Japan Nikkei index- just a quick post to show u something.
- As always everything is in the graphic.
- Now look at Japan Index closely.
- So a quick crash happened but look where Nikkei Bounced.
- i always speak in my posts that :
- " Supports are always turning to resistances ".
- " Resistances are always turning as supports ".
- Here you have a perfect exemple with Nikkei225.
- if u can trade Cryptos, u can trade anything else!
Happy Tr4Ding !
DAX: The 1D MA50 is holding. Expect rally.DAX is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.908, MACD = 41.600, ADX = 23.126) as the price has been basically ranging since November 6th. The dominant pattern is still a Channel Up and it has held the 1D MA50 as support on multiple attempts since October 31st, which is a clear technical signal of an upcoming rebound. The last two HH tops were priced on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension and that is our target for this month (TP = 20,150)
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#MARA 4h Elliott-Wave AnalysisMARA chart showing some very complex Elliott-Wave structures.
Not easy to count, but in combination with the RSI, the structure is very clear.
Beautiful chart in my eyes!
The move to the upside, labeled here as the blue Wave (b) with the pink (wxy) substructure, initially appears to be a 5-wave impulsive move. However, upon closer inspection, and aligning the chart pattern with the RSI, it becomes clear that this is a (wxy) corrective structure rather than an impulse.
a two year bull market. what has changed?its been 756 days since the bottom in the s&p500. the weekly is on an extended bull run to the 6000 region. last week has been the biggest drop in volatility in this trend.
large risk on weeks come with pullbacks, but this week hasnt bearishly diverged from the trend yet.
fib time zone tells us the trend hasnt reached a local maximum yet. the general trend hasnt changed since monday may 15 2023.
since signal hasnt changed i wouldnt try to short this market yet.
a breach of this dopen would probably lead to a pullback around pmVAH, and i would look to do this by ftz 13. still a local bear move toward the 5800 region isnt unthinkable.
i would still rely on this broader market move setting higher weekly lows and vreaking to new all time highs for the foreseeable future, which is why im leaning long here, even with the advanced age of this bull market (even post election).
so where is the new top?most analysts i pay attention to dont try to put an exact top on moves like this. the reason being trend based indications dont work when there is a one sided trade. going above 6000 seems likely, but where it will go in the interim isnt clear. it doesnt need to be clear for maintanance on remaining long with the trend.
ive marked out the support and resistance in bull or bear terms based on POC.