My Bullish Idea For USOIL Trade - Here is Why am Buying USOILFOREXCOM:USOIL
Here is why am bullish on USOIL.
1. The daily time frame structure is extremely bullish.
2. The 4hour is also bullish.
3. The 1hour chart structure is extremely bullish such that there is no reason to go short.
The orderflow on 1hour is very bullish, price is respecting bullish PD Arrays like Fair value Gaps (FVG), Bullish Orderblocks, bullish breaker etc.
My entry, target and stop loss are all on the chart.
I hope this inspires you.
Drop your idea in the comment section.
Ict
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 02/07/2024Last week saw a lull in trading activity for the Judas Swing, concluding with no trading opportunity on the four major currency pairs we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , FX:AUDUSD ). This pause in activity has heightened our anticipation for engaging in some promising trades this week. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next step on our checklist is to await the sweep of liquidity on either sides of the zone, which will give us a directional bias for the trading period. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Although a bias has been established for the trading period, we do not proceed to sell indiscriminately. To enhance the probability of successful trades, we await a break of structure (BOS) on the sell side. Following the BOS, we expect the price to pull back to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the development of the leg that broke structure.
Next on the checklist, we wait for the price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and execute the trade only after the candle that entered the FVG has closed.
After executing the trade, we were in profit for about 10 minutes before the price reversed, leading our position into a drawdown. During the drawdown, we remained calm because we had risked only 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% gain if the trade was successful. We were aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we let the trade run its course and accepted whatever the outcome would be.
We later reviewed the position and discovered it was once again moving in our favour, only to reverse direction and head towards our stop loss. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes for the trade, so we let the trade run.
We waited with patience, yet our perseverance did not bear fruit on this occasion, as our position reached the stop loss after 4 hours and 40 minutes, leading to a 1% reduction in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
XAUUSD the range of death!!!good morning gold gang ill be very brief here!
price is stuck in the range awaiting NFP with baited breath. I want to wait for a break out of either side before taking trades unless with get a clear opportunity
4h closures outside would be ideal! wait for the pull back and go ... need to see!
T
EUR/USD Awaits ADP Data!EUR/USD Analysis
Current Overview
EUR/USD is retreating towards 1.0700 during the European session on Wednesday. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar finds stability after dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell. Cooling inflation in the EU keeps the Euro under pressure. Eyes are on the US ADP report and Fed Minutes.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support: 1.0650
Resistance: 1.0780
Recent Trends and Outlook
Euro Weakness: Primarily due to cooling inflation in the EU and comments from the ECB about further rate cuts.
US Dollar Strength: Supported by more hawkish comments from Fed officials and the possibility of a rate cut in December.
Recent Trading Range: 1.0730-1.0740, reflecting a consolidation phase.
Fundamental Analysis
Eurozone: The ECB is considering further rate cuts by the end of the year, with inflation at 2.5% YoY and core inflation at 2.9%.
United States: Debates on one or two rate cuts by the end of the year, with a 69% probability for a cut in September and 95% for December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Political and Economic Factors
ECB Forum in Sintra: Discussions between Lagarde and Powell. Lagarde highlighted progress in Eurozone disinflation, while Powell emphasized the need for more data before deciding on rate cuts.
French Elections: The upcoming round of elections in France could further influence the EUR/USD pair, introducing short-term volatility.
Short-Term Outlook
Bearish Risk: If bears regain control, EUR/USD could test the June low of 1.0665.
Bullish Potential: Renewed strength could bring the pair towards the 200-day moving average at 1.0790. A breakout of this level could focus on the March peak at 1.0981 and the January weekly high at 1.0998, with the psychological level of 1.1000 in sight.
FULL ANALYSIS GUIDE - (Using ICT's Concepts)Hey guys,
In this video I will show you my process for performing analysis. Yes, it takes some work, but generally once you get into the swing of it, it doesn't take long, and the higher timeframes only require analysis once in awhile. It allows me to have a higher win-rate and be more on side with how the market is predisposed to move. Whilst it is not required in order to be profitable, my personality and system requires me to make more frequent wins.
I hope you find this video insightful.
- R2F
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, INDICES, GOLD, SILVER, US OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, S&P500 NASDAQ DOW JONES GOLD SILVER WTI CRUDE OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 52 - AUDUSD - (2nd July 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing AUDUSD, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
XAUUSD Closed above 4h trend to BUY !Good evening gold gang hope you are and made some money in an overall rangey day. We took the sells from the 4h zone for 100+ pips in the NY session and that was enough for me. Buys were also good from the bottom of the zone but one and done is enough.
We have closed on the 4h above the trend and showing bullish intension to buy up to the top zone! ill have to re asses in london to determine how im getting in but would prefer the 4h zone at 2339 to be broken first. Lots of clean traffic above which should provide very fast movement up.
sells need 4 hr closure below 2320 in order to confirm inline with the daily trend.
other than that lets have a good session tomorrow as we did today!
follow for updates!
tommy
NKE Leap Call / Long Term BuyNike is setting up for a long-term buy / leap call opportunity. The Jeanius Indicator/Screener gave the following reasons why:
Price fell through two untested lows, taking out sell-side liquidity. The indicator shows how much volume came from and how far price ran up from these lows.
NYSE:NKE is also testing a 3M uptrend line from the low of 2017 through the low of 2020.
The brilliant Jeanius Indicator printed "Combo" labels on the chart when this specific combination of multiple confluences has occurred in history!!
XAUUSD Critical level!! must read good evening gold gang!! its that time once again its sunday night ready for the open!!
New month new quarter and half the year done!! it goes so quick
gold right now is on the verge of breaking to the upside to attack the highs once again .. but it needs to break above and close where it is now
im BEARISH on the daily time frame so ill be looking for good selling opportunities below the zone tomorrow .. if asian presents us with bullish PA then i will be buying .. its all dependant on closures above or below this level of 2321
stay tuned during the day for updates ... if you're not following me then you are MISSING OUT!! hit the button now
catch you in london
big T
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHFThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DAILY MARKET WATCH: USDCAD Is Bulllish!This pair is moving toward the LRLR (Low Resistance Liquidity Run).
I mentioned this move in my Weekly Forex Forecast, and price is now reaching for the old highs.
I am mindful that tomorrow's economic news, Core PCE, will likely turn the market volatile, and
potentially turn the bias. We'll see.
Best to wait until after the news announcement for new entries.
XAUUSD last day of month/quarter. Expect fireworks Good evening gold gang!!!! hope you're well and ready to rumble once again
today we saw a huge expansion to the upside breaking all down structure, im happy to say we got in at the bottom to buy up!! i personally took 50 pips as i needed to leave the screen but the group took a lot more, congrats you lot
I am looking for buys now the price has shown us the change of trend so a pull back in asian would be fantastic for me
incase of catastrophic sells, expect the major algo to hit .. i predict its gonna be a mad one tomorrow!!!!!
lets lock in last day of the month!
see you in london
tommy
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) 1-hour chart - SELLThe market is currently in an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Recent price action suggests a potential reversal or pullback from the resistance zone.
Resistance Zone: The shaded grey area around 82.127 - 82.220 is a significant resistance zone where the price has shown rejection.
Support Levels: Immediate support is around 80.473 - 80.417, marked by the red lines. A stronger support level is at 77.000, a psychological round number that aligns with previous lows.
Above the resistance zone at 82.220, there may be buy-side liquidity where buy stops from short positions could be placed.
Below the support level at 80.417, there may be sell-side liquidity where sell stops from long positions could be resting.
The overall analysis suggests a bearish bias for USOIL (WTI), expecting a potential reversal or pullback from the resistance zone around 82.127 - 82.220.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: INDICES, GOLD, SILVER, US OILThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW JONES GOLD SILVER WTI CRUDE OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: UPDATES! DXY, EUR, GBP....Welcome to another Weekly Forex Forecast Update video.
In this video, we will cover the forecasts given in the Weekly Forecast, and allow you to
gauge the accuracy of the analysis.
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, NZD, CHF
Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.