NZDUSD: Resistance Turned Support? (H4)Hi There,
It has been a while since I have posted anything to Trading View, apologies!
I spotted this setup over the weekend and it seems to be playing out how I would expect. The new highs printed last week at 0.6850 indicate that this pair may move higher, or at lest retest last weeks high price of 0.6860.
The red and green boxes show where I would be looking to enter and exit the market. The previous range resistance area at 0.6720-45 is where I am looking to enter long. The risk/reward is a decent 2:1.
Good trading,
Luke
High
TRADE OF THE DAY 23-02-2016 ($-2.29)I ENTERED BULLISH ON THE CAD TODAY AFTER THE PRICE CREATED IMPORTANT SUPPORT AROUND THE 1.3710 LEVEL, AFTER THE PRICE MOVED TO THE 1.3734 LEVEL AND DECIDED TO MAKE A NEW HIGH I DECIDED TO ENTER LONG, WITH THE PRICE MAKING A NEW HIGH AT 1.3755 I MOVED MY STOPS TO B.E. , BUT THE PRICE CAME BACK AND REACHED MY STOP LOSS FOR A SCRATCH AFTER COMING BACK TO THE UPSIDES.
PROFIT/LOSS FOR THE DAY: ($-2.29)
GOD BLESS YOU ALL
Single higher high means nothing still short in playLike many times I see before single high means nothing so while there is no 2 higher highs 2 higher lows trend still down. There is possibility that we have deeper correction higher (ABC) in this situation 81-80 area can be good spot to look for long on trend line retest but for now just waiting good short signal from here or another important level at 84 with target 81.500 at least
POSSIBLE 4:1 RISK/REWARD ON AUDCADI had this currency pair on my watch list for this week after analysing the WEEKLY chart, and whilst looking through the DAILY time frame I spotted a potential long trade.
I spotted a pattern I have just started to test out, you have 3 bars involved. In this instance we see a good pullback to previous structure, the first bar looks like a potential low test bar, then the bar after it is a high test bar but the interesting thing about it, the second bar fills the rest of the low test bar body. The third bar then has to either be a low test buyer bar, or an engulfing buyer bar.
I will make sure at 10pm tonight to check that this bar finishes as an engulfing buyer bar.
Couple of details to add, I currently have to trades open on this currency pair only risking 1% each trade. I have my 1:1 target where the first blue line is, my second target is the 2nd blue line beyond the first which price has previously been before, making the trade a potential 4:1.
Side Note- These are all my opinions, please do not take my advice as the be all and end all, I am an amateur FOREX trader trying to learn about the markets.
Range bound based short set up on EUR/GBPEUR/GBP has been in a range since March 2015. Another retest of ~0.7400 at the top of the range and a high test close with oscillator bearish divergence offers a short position in the ranging pattern possibly reaching the bottom of the range at ~0.7000.
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - bottom of the range/support at ~0.7000
Short term weakness expected on this pair (counter trend trade) After breakout of monthly high this pair consolidating first time so short term downside momentum possible at least to test broken monthly high. If that one fails next stronger support can be see at daily trend line 2015/09/29 low and 201510/30 low. Setup invalidates if recent consolidation will be broken.
AUDUSD: Potential Long At Structure? Hi Traders,
We can see that from the initial low put in early last month AUDUSD has been in a bullish rotation. The structure zone of 0.7160-80 has been respected on a number of tests recently. Therefore I think it provides a good trading opportunity with a decent R:R. For anyone trading Aussie this week keep in mind we have RBA rate decision tomorrow (Tuesday) and Trade Balance on Wednesday during the Asian session, also let's not forget about NFP on Friday.
See chart for long setup.
Alternatively, if you have a bearish bias on AUD and prefer to look for selling opportunities.
A breakout below 0.7150 with stops above 0.7180 looking for targets of 0.7080 and 0.70250 is a good way to express that bias.
USD/SGD bearish divergenceUSD/SGD exhibits signs of bearish oscillator divergence as confirmed between price action and the Stochastic and RSI indicators. Price closes the day with a high test bar below a level where resistance is present.
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - previous low
Short KiwiReasons to short USD/NZD:
- high test bar close
- 20 ema rejection and close below
- resistance (~6700)
- downward trend line rejection (third bounce)
- 0.786 Fibonacci level rejection and close below
- Stochastic and RSI hidden bearish divergence
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - previous swing low or lower
Divergence, again, on USD/CADAlthough in a healthy uptrend, USDCAD has run into resistance at ~1.3070 which happens to be a price level on the weekly chart that has previously been tested (as support in April 2004 and resistance in March 2009). Price closed below this level on Friday as a high test bar. Coupled with bearish divergence on the Stochastic and RSI indicator a price action behaviour is suggestive of bearish sentiment. Judging by the optimistic Fed outlook to raise interest rates, and positive expectation from the US economy from improving economic data, a stronger US Dollar is likely to continue. The following short setup banks on a technical perspective to take advantage of a sell signal; potentially a temporary run.
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - previous level at ~1.2771
SN Sanchez Energy Accum/Dist Breakout to All Time HighsSanchez Energy's chart may look down-and-out with recent profit taking, but actually it is the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) that tells the real story. The ADL has broken out to all time highs, and now the chart has to play catch-up and rally, the Heikin-Ashi TrendBars are signalling that the new bullish trend has already started.
Reference ADL Divergence
www.tradingview.com
One year of divergence between stock markets and bond marketsThis is a similar chart to that published by Technician (see related idea below) that shows a clear divergence between stock markets and bond markets. I realize after making this chart that I had identified several bearish signals in bond markets at the start of the year, and I thought that we would thereby see a stock market correction in 2014. Stocks are the only asset class that has been subject to a sort of risk-off trade this year, and one might suggest that certain factors like corporate buybacks explain the divergence we've seen between the SPX and the HYG/TLT ratio.
Jack In The Box - JACK - Daily - Big Breakout here, 52 week highNot many stocks on the 52-week high list today -
Qdoba seems to be just getting some attention; likely from CMG investors who are rolling funds out of CMG and into JACK.
Great action. Great chart. Great upside potential. Risk to $64, Upside to $80-$90. Subscribe to this chart or Look for follow-up charts with upside targets.
Tim 2:09PM 10/21/2014 69.44 last
High test close on NZD/CHFPrice action is trending downwards establishing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. A bearish high test rejecting the 0.7490 level, the 50% retracement and closing under the 38.2% Fibonacci level symbolises a continuation setup short potentially into 0.7190.
entry - below high test
stop loss - above high test
target - support area at ~0.7190