Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to 100% Fibo extension 1.05684.Dear Colleagues, Last week the price fell a lot, which prompted me to revise my wave analysis. Now the price is in a prolonged and complex correction, so I believe that the price will reach the area of 100% Fibonacci extension 1.05684. This will be the completion of small wave "c".
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena
📍Part #6, FLAT - Corrective Waves-Simple-Sideways corrections.👩🏻💻Hello!
In this lecture, we will cover one of the options for corrective cycles, namely Flat.
Let's now look at the 'flat' separately as a stand-alone correctional structure. I remind you, 'flat' and 'plane' are essentially the same thing. So, the 'flat' always has a three-wave structure, and it looks like this: 3-3-5. That is, you can identify it by the third wave "C", which always has a five-wave structure. But it can also be a Ending diagonal. And all this will be within the scope of a regular 'flat' or 'plane'. If we draw a line from the base of wave A and the maximum of wave "B", and then also draw a line or level from the end of wave "A" and the end of wave "C", we will get parallel lines, which is exactly what the name Flat hints. And this wave "B" should roll back approximately 90% of wave "A" for everything to look nice. But not always, because there is also an expanded 'flat' and a running 'flat', whichever you prefer.
Well then. Let's look at the main rules and guiding norms for flats.
✅General rules✅
📍A flat always subdivides into three waves.
📍Wave "A" is always a zigzag, flat or combination.
📍Wave "B" is always a zigzag.
📍Wave "C" is always an impulse or a ending diagonal.
✅General guidelines✅
📍Wave "A" is usually a zigzag.
✅Regular Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" never goes beyond beyond the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "B" always retraces at least 90 percent of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍The rarest type of flat correction.
✅Expanded Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" always ends past the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Wave "B" usually retraces 123.6 or 138.2% of wave "A", less often — 161.8%.
📍Wave "C" is often equal to 161.8% of wave "A", less often — 261.8%.
📍The most common type of flat correction.
✅Running Flat✅
Rules
📍Wave "B" always ends after the start of wave "A".
📍Wave "C" never goes beyond the end of wave "A".
Guidelines
📍Within such a flat wave "B" should end well above the origin of wave "A" and that means wave "C" might reflect a 61.8% or even a 100% relationship to wave "A".
📍A running flat indicates that the forces in the direction of the larger trend at next higher degree are powerful.
📍Wave "B" is usually no more than twice the length of wave "A".
Keep in mind that a running flat is rare.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔Links to other lessons in related ideas.🔔
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2430.961.Colleagues, there is a high probability that price will continue its upward movement to complete wave "5". I expect the completion of wave "4" in the area of 2321.827, then I expect an upward movement to the resistance area of 2430.961.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area of 39419. Dear colleagues, the price has passed many points in the downward movement and at the moment I suppose that the price is completing the corrective wave "4" and very soon will start the upward movement in the wave "5". It is possible to update the low in the area of 38458 and then move to the resistance area of 39419. It is possible that the price will immediately start an upward movement, so I consider only long positions and will look for the best entries to this position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part 5: Corrective Waves - Simple - Triangle.Hello!
➡️In this lecture, we will cover one of the most common or popular correction options - triangles. I remind you that we are now considering various correction structures that are encountered both separately and can be part of more complex structures.
➡️Triangles are probably the most popular pattern for all beginners, yes, and not only beginners. It is quite often seen on the chart and most likely everyone tried to trade it according to classical recommendations, for example from books or a course, when essentially everything comes down to breaking dynamic resistance on one of the sides where you buy or sell.
➡️In history, everything looks pretty harmonious as usual, but in real-time, it turns out to be not that simple, and here maybe just the rules from wave analysis will help to avoid a certain number of errors.
➡️So let's take a look at the main rules and guiding norms for triangles!
✅ General Rules ✅
📍A triangle always subdivides into five waves.
📍At least four waves among waves "a", "b", "c", "d" and "e" are subdivided into a single zigzag.
📍In a triangle, only one subwave can be a multiple zigzag or triangle.
✅ General guidelines ✅
📍Usually, wave "c" or wave "d" subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves.
📍Alternating waves of a triangle may be in Fibonacci proportion to each other by a ratio of 0.618 for contracting triangles and 1.618 for expanding triangles. For example, in a contracting triangle, look for wave "c" to equal 0.618 of wave "a".
📍A triangle can be correction wave "4" in the impuls, wave "b" of a zigzag, wave "x" of a double or second wave of an "x" of a triple zigzag, sub-wave "c", "d" or "e" of a triangle and the last structure of a combination.
✅ Contracting Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c" never moves beyond the end of wave "a", wave "d" never moves beyond the end of wave "b", and wave "e" never moves beyond the end of wave "c". The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" converges with a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c".
📍Waves "a" and "b" never subdivide into a triangle.
📍In a running contracting triangle, wave "b" should be no more than twice as long as wave "a".
Guidelines
📍Sometimes one of the waves, usually wave "c", "d" or "e", subdivides into a contracting or barrier triangle. Often the effect is as if the entire triangle consisted of nine zigzags.
📍About 60% of the time, wave "b" goes beyond the beyond the start of wave "a". When this happens, the triangle is called a running contracting triangle.
✅ Barrier Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c" never moves beyond the end of wave "a", wave "d" never moves beyond the end of wave "b", and wave "e" never moves beyond the end of wave "c". The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" converges with a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c".
📍Waves "b" and "d" end at essentially the same level.
📍In a running barrier triangle, wave "b" should be no more than twice as long as wave "a".
Guidelines
📍About 60% of the time, wave "b" goes beyond the start of wave "a". When this happens, the triangle is called a running barrier triangle.
📍When wave "5" follows a barrier triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid movement or an exceptionally long extension.
✅ Expanding Triangle ✅
Rules
📍Wave "c", "d" and "e" each moves beyond the end of the preceding same-directional subwave. (The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves "b" and "d" diverges from a line connecting the ends of waves "a" and "c.")
📍Subwaves "b", "c" and "d" each retrace at least 100 percent but no more than 150 percent of the preceding subwave.
Guidelines
📍Subwaves "b", "c" and "d" usually retrace 105 to 125 percent of the preceding subwave.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to 50% Fibo lvl 2231.Dear Colleagues, it looks like gold is completing the impulse wave "1" of higher order and I expect the price to finally decline to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 2231. The decline has been expected for a long time now and the main thing for us is to catch a good entry into the market!
Watch the risks!
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area at 1.08787.Dear Colleagues, for the last 3 weeks the markets have been in a volatile state, but I redraw the waves every time.
I assume that the price has finished or is finishing wave "C". If the price has not finished wave "C" yet, I expect it to end in the support area at 1.07665.
At the moment I suppose that in the coming week there will be a correction to the area of 1.08787.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 88.00.Dear Colleagues, we expected the price to decline, but it seems that the upward movement is not over yet.
I expect the completion of wave "5", then a corrective movement in wave "B" of higher order in the area of 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci levels (83.62), after which I will consider only long positions to the resistance area of 88.00.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long (update the top of wave 3 39980).Dear colleagues, it is possible that the price will update the local low and finish wave 4 a little lower, which means that we will have an opportunity to enter a long position more favorably! The target remains the same - to update the maximum of wave 3 39980.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area of 2153.085. Dear Colleagues, I assume that the price is in the ending diagonal. This means that the price will update the maximum a little more, after which I expect the price to decline to the support area of 2153.085.
I expect the 5 wave structure to complete the formation.
Watch for updates of the idea, the price may start moving towards the target, so I do not recommend to consider long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area 1.08013.Dear colleagues, the price is forming a five-wave impulse and at the moment I suppose that the price is aiming at the support area 1.06836. I assume that wave 5 will be completed there, then I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the resistance area 1.08013.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍 Part 4. Corrective Waves- Simple Zigzags - Sharp Corrections.👩🏻💻 Welcome to the 4th lecture on Elliott Waves!
➡️In this lecture, we will start discussing the variations for corrective movements. Let's begin with the simplest one - it's zigzags.
➡️By correction, we mean the construction "ABC" after an impulse. This reminds us of a zigzag, hence the name. Also, we can encounter it in each corrective wave, that is, "2" and "4" - it's the simplest and most common form of correction.
➡️As you recall from previous lectures, for waves "A" and "C," there are variations in the form of Leading and Ending Diagonals, and the same applies to "B," namely flat, zigzag, triangle, or even a combination, i.e., any three-wave pattern. Here it's worth remembering that wave structure is fractal, and there's no need to be afraid, just like with variations for impulses, namely leading and ending diagonals.
➡️Zigzags can often be embedded into a parallel channel. We've dealt with a simple zigzag. Most likely, your main questions are about variations for "B": flat, zigzag, triangle, or combination. On the cover of the learning materials, you will find the main variations of simple zigzags. Keep and use them!
📍 Let's look at the main rules and guidelines! 📍
📍 Guidelines: 📍
📍In a zigzag, wavelength "C" can be equal to wavelength "A".
📍Wave "B" is usually corrected at 38.2% - 78.6% of the length of wave "A".
📍If wave "B" is a triangle, is usually corrected at 38,2% - 50% of the length of wave "A".
📍If wave "B" is a zigzag, is usually corrected at 50% - 78.6% percent of wave "A".
📍In a zigzag, if wave "A" is a leading diagonal, then we would not expect to see an ending diagonal for wave "C".
📍A line connecting the ends of waves "A" and "C" is often parallel to a line connecting the end of wave "B" and the start of wave "A". (Forecasting guideline: Wave "C" often ends upon reaching a line drawn from the end of wave "A" that is parallel to a line connecting the start of wave "A" and the end of wave "B".)
📍Waves "A" and "C" within the zigzag often appear in the form of impulses, but more often alternate according to the type of motive waves: if wave "A" is an impulse, expect wave "C" in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. It is much less common to find waves "A" and "C" in the form of diagonals.
Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it!
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area 80.22.Colleagues, the price has redrawn the waves a bit, I was waiting for it and at the moment I assume that the price may update the wave "C", then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 80.22. This movement should update the minimum of the wave "B", then I will make a markdown and expect an upward movement, but for now I am considering only short positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long (update the top of wave 3 39980).Dear colleagues, I suppose that the upward movement is not over yet! Price is in the upward impulse of wave 3 of higher order and wave 5 of lower order.
I expect the completion of wave 4 of lower order in the support area of 39340, then the upward movement, which will update the top of wave 3 of lower order in the area of 39980.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area (maximum of wave C).Dear colleagues, I suppose that the upward movement is not over yet! The price is forming Multiple Zigzag. I expect the price to reach the support area at 79.00, having finished wave X, after which I expect the upward movement to continue at least to the resistance area - the maximum of wave C at 83.00.
I do not recommend entering short positions! We are looking for a good entry into a long position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area at 2222.710. Dear Colleagues. I suppose that the price will continue its upward movement. After the strong news background, we have to redraw the waves. I think that the wave starts the ascending wave 3. The nearest target is the resistance area at 2222.710.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part 3. Motive Waves - Leading & Ending Diagonals.👩🏻💻Welcome to the 3nd lecture on Elliott Waves!
➡️In this lecture, I will talk about the Leading and Ending diagonals as the primary and most common variations of impulsive waves. We will also touch on the Expanding diagonal, which occurs significantly less frequently. Earlier, we covered the general concept of impulse and its structure. Now, I will specifically discuss the variations of impulses and, namely, for waves "1", "5", as well as corrective waves "A" and "C".
➡️Let's start with variations for the first wave in the impulse and correction. This is the Leading diagonal. This structure may remind you of an ascending triangle, and essentially, that's what it is. The first wave itself implies that before this, we were moving in the opposite direction. So, if wave 1 is ascending, it means there was a certain descending movement before it. And it's obvious that in this descending movement, sales prevailed. Thus, reversing the price in the opposite direction may not be so easy. In such cases, when it's not easy, we get not a sharp 5-wave impulse but a Leading diagonal, where conditional buyers, as it were, chew their way upwards.
➡️Next, of course, there is correction and further growth. The Leading diagonal can also be encountered in wave a of correction "ABC". And here, the logic remains the same since the correction goes in the opposite direction of the trend; we have significant support for demand. In our example, this is an ascending trend. Therefore, we don't get a sharp impulse, but gradually, and squeezing, which forms the structure of the Leading diagonal.
➡️As you already understand, waves "2" or "4" also have a correctional structure "ABC", where "A" can also be a Leading diagonal. And then, you can encounter the Leading diagonal in wave "1" and in wave "A", and since they reverse the direction of movement, the structure is not formed like a sharp impulse but more like an ascending triangle in the case of wave "1" and a descending triangle in the case of corrective wave "A".
➡️Moving on to the Ending diagonals. You can get them in wave "5" and wave c in the corrective structure "ABC". Here the principle is similar, as you might have guessed, to the case of wave "5". We see how the ascending movement fades, as if the buyers no longer have the strength to move the price, impulsively upwards, I remind you, we are considering an example of an ascending trend movement.
➡️You can encounter the Ending diagonal in wave "5" and wave "C". It turns out everything is quite logical and simple. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. In turn, wave "5" completes the impulse, and wave "C" completes the correction.
➡️Well, now we need to understand the rules for the Leading and Ending diagonals to determine them correctly.
➡️Now let's look at the rules separately for Contracting diagonals!
📍 Rules 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "3" is always shorter than wave "1", wave "4" is always shorter than wave "2", and wave "5" is always shorter than wave "3" (1 > 3 > 5 and 2 > 4).
📍Going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves 2 and 4 converges towards with the line connecting the ends of waves "1" and "3".
📍 Guidelines 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" (only for the Leading diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" or does not reach the end of wave "3": truncation (only for the Ending diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" usually ends at or slightly beyond a line that connects the ends of waves "1" and "3" (Ending beyond that line is called a throw-over).
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll talking about the Corrective Waves - Simple - Sharp Corrections.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area at 1.09819.Dear Colleagues, price is in an upward movement of wave 3 of higher order and I expect wave 3 of lower order to start now. All indications are that the upward movement is not over yet.
I expect the price to test the support area at 1.08638 and then continue the upward movement at least to the resistance area at 1.09819.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to target is the area of 39297.Dear colleagues, despite the fact that the price is in a downward movement, I believe that the five-wave movement has not been completed. I expect that the price will not update the minimum of wave 4 38463, but will approach it, and then the upward movement in wave 5 will begin. The nearest target is the area of 39297.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 85.00.Dear Colleagues, price has reached the minimum acceptable target of 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94 and now I assume that wave C will be equal to wave A. This is quite a risky forecast, so I recommend to take risks and enter with a risk of no more than 1-5% of your deposit.
My target is in the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 85.00.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 61.8% Fibo 82.94.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. At the moment we are witnessing a combined correction and I expect wave B to end at 79.99, after which I expect the upward movement to continue in wave C to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to 38.2% Fibo lvl 2100.Dear Colleagues, Recent events have affected the price and gold was breaking records, but I was waiting for an opportunity to profit from the correction. I still suppose we can do it, because I saw a big wave 1, which means I expect a big correction to the 38.2% Fibonacci 2100 level area.
Before this move, a high update to the 2175 resistance area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #2, Elliott Waves: "Motive Waves - Impulse".👩🏻💻 Welcome to the 2nd lecture on Elliott Waves.
So, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that price behavior follows a wave structure, with three waves being impulse waves and 2 being corrective waves. It can be said that these 5 waves look like the image above.
➡️For example, let's take an upward impulse, where the impulse refers to all these five waves. We observe the first wave of growth, then the second wave is corrective to the first, meaning the second wave is specifically a correction for the first wave. Next, the third wave is a growth wave, the fourth is corrective for the third, and the fifth wave concludes the impulse. Following the completion of the impulse or the five-wave sequence, a correction occurs in the form of A, B, C.
➡️This entire structure is fractal, meaning that if our upward impulse has three waves, and they are also impulse waves, such as the first, third, and fifth, and as impulse waves, as we already know, consist of five waves, then each impulse within this larger five-wave sequence has the same structure of five waves. Furthermore, in the correction A, B, C, waves A and C also have a five-wave structure, but more on that in the next lessons.
➡️If you ask about the timeframes to work with waves, I would say that the 1-hour timeframe is the threshold below which it is not recommended to consider the structure!
Next, I will describe the basic rules and regulations concerning impulses in the form of pictures, which are convenient to save and use as a hint when analyzing charts.
➡️Now let's consider some rules that are mandatory for all impulse movements.
Rules
An impulse always subdivides into five waves.
Strong guidelines
📍Wave A almost always will alternate with wave B. Alternation can be expressed in two ways:
1) In the type of correction: sharp/sideways or vice versa
2) In the presence of extension: in waves 2 and 4 of the impulse, two sideways patterns are possible, but only one of them will have an extreme beyond the peak of the previous wave.
📍Wave 4, as a rule, significantly violates the channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3.
📍As a strong norm, no part of wave 4 should enter the price territory of wave 1 or 2.
📍As a strong norm, the peak of wave 4 should not extend beyond the doubled channel constructed from the peaks of waves 1, 2, and 3, while the midline of the channel will serve as the minimum achievable target.
📍Second waves of impulses tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave. When using this norm, the previous fourth wave serves as the minimum target.
📍Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation).
📍Often, waves 1 and 5 of the impulse form impulses, but more often they alternate in the type of motive waves: if wave 1 is an impulse, expect wave 5 in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. Less commonly, waves 1 and 5 form diagonals, but in this case, alternation will be expressed in the form of a pattern: contracting/expanding.
So there are also many other lesser indications, but they are too numerous and less frequent.
Therefore, I recommend that we focus on the main ones for the time being.
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll start talking about the Leading and Ending diagonals.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔