Get started

Hedgetrading

XRP Entering another 175 Week cycle. $220 EOY ExplainedRed projections is 2014-2017 price action. We take that entire cycle place it at the end of the prior 8 week cycle which week of 11/9/20 and get projections. As new cycles begin that's where the red projections start price inverts the most at the start as we see and begins to slowly line up and the inversions slow down and line up the closer we get to entering a new cycle which we see. This repeating price action & inversion it's simply predetermined algo based price action "its a a booked market place" it's masking movement but we can see it's lining up again as we enter the pump the inversions slowing fading and now price is lining up which indicates significant price movement is close. "News is the excuse for the moves" - NeverWishing -We have settlement approaching. -Ripple IPO. -Feb 7th 24 Congress wants to regulate Stable coins & the need for clear rules and federal regulatory oversight. This is just naming a few events but the main focus is to remember the only digital asset with legal clarity in the United States is XRP. It has obtained a unique legal status being the only altcoin to enjoy such certainty. XRP is the only digital asset other then bitcoin with legal clarity in the U.S -Neverwishing
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by NeverWishing
23
Gone are the days of passive investing, but...Gone are the days of passive investing, but mid-term trading could be the solution. The term passive investing was first made famous by Warren Buffet, who once said, 'If I like a stock, I will hold it forever.' However, in recent years, he has been seen cutting losses on his wrong decisions and taking profits when he finds the time is right. The dynamic of the markets have changed, and he has adapted to them. Technical Reasons - From the chart, it's clear that the days of passive investing are behind us. We can refer to the Dow Jones or S&P Index; they provide similar readings as Nasdaq, although Nasdaq has a shorter history. Since the beginning of 2022, the great volatility started with a year of bearishness. In my opinion, this could be a start of a long-term bear. What we are seeing in 2023 rally, possibly a bear retracement. Let’s support my analysis with the fundamental factors. 3 Fundamental Reasons – • Why did the decades of long-term growth, forming a linear bull market, come to an end at the beginning of 2022? This is because it marks the beginning of long-term inflationary pressure that we all have to contend with. To counter inflation, one of the most effective measures is to raise interest rates. As we all know, higher interest rates bring challenges to businesses and stock markets. Please take note of the timing. Inflation first exceeded 2% in April 2021, and since then, it has been on an upward trend, something unprecedented in the last 40 years. However, the Federal Reserve only began raising interest rates in March 2022, while the markets peaked at the beginning of 2022. Consumer Price Index Feb 21 1.68% Mar 21 2.66% Apr 21 4.15% May 21 4.94% Jun 21 5.34% Jul 21 5.27% Aug 21 5.21% Sep 21 5.39% Oct 21 6.24% Nov 21 6.83% Dec 21 7.10% Jan 22 7.53% Feb 22 7.91% Mar 22 8.56% Apr 22 8.22% May 22 8.52% Jun 22 9.00% • Why did the market turn bullish in 2023. Many attribute the rally to AI, but it goes beyond that. By the end of 2022, the market was still hovering around its lowest point. However, as seen in the inflation numbers below, there was a gradual decline from 9% in June 2022 to 6.5% in December 2022, creating a divergence between this positive news and the market's performance. At that point, I was preparing for a bear rebound or retracement. Of course, the inflation number continued its decline to 3.2% in October 2023, and the rally has continued until now. Continue Price Index Jun 22 9.00% Jul 22 8.50% Aug 22 8.30% Sep 22 8.20% Oct 22 7.70% Nov 22 7.10% Dec 22 6.50% • Why have the days of passive investing come to an end? Unless inflation can back down to 2% in a sustained manner, we should expect to see much more volatile markets in many years to come. Traders welcome volatility but not investors. There are reasons why back down to 2% in a sustained manner is unlikely to happen. Please leave me a comment, I hope to exchanges ideas with you. E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Code: NQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq and Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Code: MNQ Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
Hedging in Forex When done correctly, hedging is a great method to help protect your position(s) against big price fluctuations. This post will delve further into hedging and discuss how you can use it to not only protect your position(s) but also how to potentially use it to your advantage in turning losing positions into profit-taking opportunities. What is hedging in Forex? Hedging implies protection against the risk of future price fluctuations for assets arranged in advance. It is a financial strategy used to protect a trader from losing trades resulting from adverse moves in currency pairs. Hedging is used in almost all types of financial industries; however, it has a more specific form in the foreign exchange market. Direct Hedging Direct hedging in forex normally takes place by the trader opening a position in the opposite direction of an existing trade. This is done in order to reduce the risk exposure of the existing position. Normally, the trader or investor carries out his or her risk analysis and quantifies the risk levels involved before instituting both the original and hedged trades. They would subsequently be responsible for controlling the level of change in their positions that takes place due to the ensuing price volatility of the market instrument(s) being traded. For example, let's assume you open a sell position on GBPUSD, and while your position is running, the market suddenly goes up, so now your open P&L (profit and loss) number is going down. Let's continue to assume that you are still confident in the original sell position; however, you are wary that the market is likely to experience adverse price movements. To prepare for this, you open a buy position to fully hedge the trade. In a fully hedged trade, the P&L number will not move because there is both a buy and sell position open. Now that the trade is fully hedged, if the market continues to go up, the trade's buy position will continue to profit while the sell position will continue to take a loss. However, if the market reaches a resistance level, you can exit the buy position at a profit and hold the original sell position while the market comes back to your original entry point. While many traders would close out the initial position and accept any losses, a direct hedge would allow you to profit from the second trade, which would avoid the loss. To get a further understanding, let's see this in the example below. Hedging with multiple currencies Another strategy would be for a trader to utilise two different currency pairs that are highly correlated, either in a positive sense or a negative sense. For example, a long trade can be opened for the USDJPY currency pair, and a short trade can be opened for its USDCHF counterpart. Because it is highly likely that both pairs move in the same direction due to the USD factor, any drawdown or loss on one of the trades would be made up for by gains and profits in the other trade. Though the risk is usually mitigated with this hedging strategy, for this method to work successfully with different currency pairs, it is essential that the trader does his or her research on both pairs involved in the potential hedge to ensure that the correlation is high between them through their respective movements in the market. This is to guarantee that when market volatility does ensue, whether it is based on a news update such as a major central bank meeting or some other unexpected event, then the two current pairs in question will move as expected in the market. Hedging with commodities Commodities are popular to hedge with because they are usually seen as safe haven products. Gold is usually the go-to product hedge for traders who especially want to protect themselves from rising inflation. When inflation becomes uncontrollable, gold prices tend to rise. Gold, in contrast, is a hedge against a lower US currency. In other words, gold prices and the US dollar tend to have an opposite relationship. When gold prices rise, the US dollar tends to fall, and vice versa. Gold has long been seen as a form of currency, which is why it's a strong hedge against a dollar crash or hyperinflation. Another popular commodity to hedge with is oil. Some currencies are particularly vulnerable to the impact of oil prices (these forex pairs are commonly known as 'commodity pairs'). Both the Canadian dollar and the Australian dollar are notable examples. The price of oil and the exchange values of the Canadian dollar and Australian dollar usually have an inverse relationship. When the price of oil rises, the USD/CAD and AUD/USD exchange rates tend to fall, and vice versa. You can use the oil hedging approach to hedge your USD/CAD and AUD/USD trade risk in this scenario. For example, you can go short AUD/USD and long oil as a hedging position, and vice versa. Advantages and Disadvantages There are significant advantages and disadvantages to engaging in hedging activities in forex: Advantages The biggest advantage is that it protects the trader against unpredictable price movements. If your account experiences high volatility or unexpected price swings, your hedged position may be able to help protect the total worth of your account by generating a profit on that position, which can help stabilise your account balance until the other position gains value. In other words, hedging gives the opportunity to profit on a position that would maintain the account balance during a volatile or unexpected price swing before a reversal takes place, leading to other positions going back to their original value. When hedging is incorporated properly, your risk-reward ratio is better within your control. This is because a hedge acts as a helpful counterbalance to your other position(s), thus providing support in the form of price gains even when your other position(s) are moving in the opposite direction. Hedging can broaden your portfolio's diversification. If you are hedging multiple products, this can spread out your open positions to reduce the chance of a single variable or event wiping out all of your positions. Disadvantages On the other hand, a hedge can also very likely reduce the potential for profit. If a trader has an open position in profit and the price continues to move in a certain direction after the trader implements a hedged trade in the opposite direction, then the hedged trade would be at a loss, nullifying the gains made by the original trade after the hedged trade was opened. Additionally, traders must be aware of additional trading costs such as commissions and overnight swap charges (if the hedge is held overnight). To add, hedging is not an ideal practice for beginners in trading, as it requires the proper practice and education needed to handle opposing trades at the same time in what could be an unfamiliar market, reflecting both the numerical and positional complexities of the hedging mechanic. There is also the risk of hedging, resulting in increased losses to the trader's account due to some hedged trades not being correlated directly to initial positions; this could be because of leverage, margin, or other reasons. This has the potential for huge drawdowns in the overall position when price volatility ensues. Another disadvantage is that, unfortunately, not all forex brokers or trading providers offer the hedging function to their traders, so traders will usually have to inquire if this function is possible before proceeding to trade with the respective broker or provider. While you can make money from hedging, it is very important to note that before that, forex hedging should first be about mitigating risks. A trader's primary aim when hedging should always be to protect their capital against adverse moves in the currency markets. Hedging can also be very complex and costly, especially if the trader does not have much experience with this trading method, so it is not recommended to use this method in a live trading environment until you understand the mechanics of hedging, as it requires a great deal of planning and understanding. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
4
GBPUSD Retest and riseLooks to be a retest of a consolidation zone over the long term. It has tried breaking upwards in the past, but has been pushed back in. Looking at the upwards trend line, followed with the key level of support as the entry point, and looking to target the highs just shy of the top resistance area, counting on a little more consolidation just in this upper range. Most markets have been ranging lately, so expecting this one to behave the same, and work with the extents of lows and highs of the support and resistance to trade with. This leaves a nice 4+ R using the top of the short term 15 minute support as a good entry point, sell stop hedge below the upper Support/Resistance of the range. Should price retreat back into the range we could drop a bit I would think before finding support again. I think most likely long is the ultimate goal, looking at the gradual lowering then rising of the lows throughout the consolidation. Eliminate the peak breakout then dip back in, it resembles a messy "W" pattern (Very messy/noisy) that's typically seen on shorter time frames before large upward breaks. Next target beyond the one chosen is quite a distance, and better seen on the daily or 4 hour chart. I want to be sure it breaks the most recent high to be sure we have a good shot at going higher, and the target area also lines up from a long time before (Feb - May '22, been a long time since we were here...)
Long
by ForexStoryteller
Looking at some others....Over the last few days, I've noticed price seems to respect this level, and is matching up with a clean up trend trendline. Trade is active at 99.109, open target, hedging if price gets below about 98.5. Staying fairly flexible and open, as I'm hedging and just going with the flow from the 1 hour / 4 hour/ daily and not trying to read too much into it.... Looking at around 100.7 or so for a target, but if it keeps going, I will continue to hold. Target is not set, as I want to see it stopping there before closing, not just pulling back slightly to run some more. I've let a few of those go, I want to try and capture them if it plays through. Simple works, and I want to watch more pairs, so that way when one gets stuck, like the eurusd all week last week, I can trade something else.
Long
by ForexStoryteller
GJ Near a lot of ResistanceLooking at the daily, it looks like a very steady range lock, and now price is near the edges of the range. A lot of strong drops have happened from this level before. I see a clear trend line broken, with a common pattern of coming to the line then dropping, so looking to short at 167.81. This is a clear mechanical divergence. Another hedge trade, so buy stop set for 168.3 in case it does finally break free... Target is about 165.5, but if it slows and stalls early, I'll cut it, but that's not a promise. JPY pairs have a habit of moving a lot and not really going anywhere at all, so it depends what it is doing before I say axe it... Watching the hourly / 4 hour/ daily to keep an eye on the bigger levels for making trade choices, as in between levels tend to be choppy, especially with JPY anything.
Short
by ForexStoryteller
9
Last of the 3.... A Short ShortLooking at the overall structure and just applying what I know about EURUSD behavior, it goes the wrong way first, so I think short from the major level at 1.1072 is a possible play for the price to move at least down to the breakout zone. Hourly is showing acknowledgement of the peak around the 1.106 starting rejection. Expecting price to run up and catch the entry, then drift back down slightly. 27 pips of risk, Hedge stop in place of Stop Loss. We never had a real stop run anywhere so far so a little cautious about it just running away yet, there are more orders to fill....
Short
by ForexStoryteller
MAXN Options StrategyYoung Singaporean company Maxeon Solar Technologies makes solar panels and components for an international market that is facing a deepening energy crisis. Maxeon is found everywhere from Sunpower-branded products, developing projects, system integrators, residential and small-scale commercial customers. Trying out Elliott Wave Theory combined with a very conservative hedged strategy just in case things go south in this market. Buying 1 $17.5 CALL Selling 1 $20 CALL Selling 1 $5 PUT Selling 2 $10 PUTS Exp 3/17/23 Should make up to 10% (26% annualized) but also allow room for MAXN price to fall 47% (to $9.99, or the lowest level on my fibs) before losing any money. Capital required for this strategy = $2498.30
NASDAQ:MAXNLong
by oliveinvest
What is Hedging ?🔵 Hedging Investment banks and other institutions use call options as hedging instruments. Just like insurance, hedging with an option opposite your position helps to limit the amount of losses on the underlying instrument should an unforeseen event occur. Call options can be bought and used to hedge short stock portfolios, or sold to hedge against a pullback in long stock portfolios. When an asset reaches a higher price, it usually attracts more attention from traders and investors, which pushes the market price even higher. This continues until a large number of sellers enter the market – for example, when an unforeseen event causes them to rethink the asset’s price. Once enough sellers are in the market, the momentum changes direction and will force an asset’s price lower. ━━━━━━━━━━
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by dsp21486
2
HARMONICS IN MINUTESThis style is Hedge trading, creating a full sized risk free position in both directions. Closing 50% of each position at 2R creates a risk free position, should price move to the stop loss, profit for each position would be 0.75R Closing 50% of each remaining position at 4R Secures 2R profit on all positions, should price move to the stop loss, profit for each position would be just over 1.9R Closing 50% of each remaining position at 8R Secures 3R profit on all positions, should price move to the stop loss, profit for each position would be 2.875R
by Cryptsyxalt