VIRTUAL’s Incredible Year: Is a Top in Sight??VIRTUAL has experienced a phenomenal rise in recent months, climbing to rank 36 in the overall crypto market with an impressive $3.7 billion market cap. This meteoric growth is a testament to the strong interest and momentum behind the project. However, as we approach the end of the year, there are signs that a potential top could be forming. Let’s analyse the chart and key scenarios to watch for in the coming weeks.
Key Levels and Observations:
1.) Elliott Wave Analysis:
The price action suggests we are completing the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle, signaling a potential exhaustion of the current uptrend.
Based on the Fibonacci extension of the last corrective wave, the 1.618 level is a critical resistance at $3.8134.
A breakout above $3.8134 could open the doors to test the psychological level of $4. However, failure to break this level might confirm the end of the 5th wave and initiate a correction.
2.) Head and Shoulders Formation (Potential Setup):
There are early signs of a Left Shoulder formation on the chart. If the price rejects at the 1.618 Fibonacci level, we could see the development of a Head and Right Shoulder, forming a bearish reversal pattern.
Confirmation of this pattern would require a clear neckline and increased selling volume, signaling a trend reversal.
3.) Time-Based Correction:
A correction could align with the broader crypto market trends as we head into early 2025. Given the potential for Bitcoin to drop to the 84K support zone, this could trigger a sell-off in altcoins, including VIRTUAL.
4.) Overall Market Sentiment:
While the broader market has been bullish, a Bitcoin-led correction could drag down the entire crypto market.
Altcoins often experience sharper corrections during Bitcoin downturns, which could result in VIRTUAL retracing some of its gains.
Volume Analysis: Monitor volume levels at key resistance points (e.g., $3.8134 and $4) for confirmation of breakout or rejection.
Market Correlation: Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price action, as any significant movement could directly impact VIRTUAL and other altcoins.
Note: These are my personal thoughts and interpretations of the current market conditions. Please take them with a grain of salt. The crypto market is highly volatile and further data and confirmations are essential before drawing definitive conclusions. Happy trading!
Headnandshoulders
Bearish Breakout: ZEN’s Path to $26 RevealedZEN has broken below both the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen), signaling increased bearish momentum. The previous support levels now act as a Support/Resistance Zone, and bullish recovery requires reclaiming both dOpen and wOpen with significant volume. However, the current setup suggests further downside toward the $26–$25 range, which aligns with multiple confluences and the target from the Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern.
Confluence for $26–$25 Support Zone:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The key retracement level provides a strong support area.
$25 Key Level: A psychological and technical key level with historical significance.
Point of Control (POC): The POC from the previous trading range aligns perfectly with this zone.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.272): The projected extension supports the target.
Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.777): Adds further confluence for this price level.
H&S Target: The projected target of the confirmed Head & Shoulders pattern coincides with this zone.
Outlook and Strategy:
Short-Term Bias: The bearish trend remains dominant unless bulls manage to reclaim dOpen and wOpen with strong volume.
Target Area: The $26–$25 range serves as the most probable area for a bounce or reversal due to multiple technical confluences.
Next Steps: If price reaches the support zone, look for a high-probability long setup with confirmation through increased buying volume, bullish candlestick patterns, and alignment with key indicators.
USOUSD Oil Long bets. Moving up slowly but surely. Daily TF.
The intraday chart around the 1hr and 2hr is a tad hectic with double / triple top, so the daily chart here has a triple bottom for structure support and a head'n' shoulders pattern which I dont think has triggered quite yet.
This trade I recommended on Monday for a long position and these price levels are a bit of a bargain.
If you wanted to buy in I would be buying the closing candle at 69.20
1 HR chart below. Price is just a nudge under 69 now
Chart say everything with Elliott wave counts and Chart PatternsChart say everything with Elliott wave counts and Chart Patterns
Looks like Inverted Head n Shoulder chart pattern, yet to Break above Neckline.
Scenario also aligns with Impulse wave counts.
Elliott Wave Counts
Inverted Head n Shoulder Chart Pattern Yet to confirm Breakout
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Head & Shoulders pattern: 10 year yield could drop to 2.87%The series of tops shaped notorious Head & Shoulders pattern
on 10-Year Treasury yield (TNX).
The tallest peak is the Head and Shoulders are on both sides.
The Neckline is the support that is built through valleys of the Head.
The price has breached the Neckline this summer triggering the pattern bullish scenario.
The target is calculated by subtracting the height of the Head (from top to Neckline) from
breakdown point on the Neckline. It is located around 2.87%.
Almost 1% down from the current level
Trading Lucrative-Heads 'N' Shoulders Patterns : Silver 1 HR
Heads 'N' Shoulders' Patterns can be very lucrative and a pattern to keep in mind every trading day. They work on all time-frames. Often I see market structure price reversals on the 1 minute timeframe all the way down to 10 seconds.
They will be easier to trade on the higher time frames as their price-action can be super-fast on these very low timeframes. Depending on how you apply risk to reward in your trading, they will be more lucrative on the higher timeframes and more reliable because more traders see them on these bigger timeframes right up to weekly and monthly charts.
Here is what you need to know:
* Take advantage of the tradingview 'All Charts' pattern recogniser. This is what most traders including professional-traders would be using because it eliminates subjectivity.
* Draw your neckline from the bottom of left-shoulder across and beyond where the right shoulder comes down (price will be below to the left of the right shoulder & your exact point for the left shoulder will be under & to the right of left shoulder)
* Most often price will in the first instance after the right shoulder is formed, break through the neckline and then retest above the neck line or below the neck line if its a bullish Inverse Head 'N' Shoulders pattern. Seeing this retest occur will give the setup more reliability.
(Note: Price does not always Retest especially if price is selling or buying from a strong resistance or support area, respectively)
* Your trigger to buy or sell is on the retest/retracement above or below neckline, look for an increase in volume and/or a strong reversal candle like a pin-bar or engulfer.
(Your reward is generally the same distance as the neckline below the head)
* I hope this helps in your own trading. Trading is risky. Please don't rely solely on my financial analysis or trade setups.)
Crazy Sell-off in the Palladium Price since 2022. Over 200%. BUY
Why I think our Buy-setup in Palladium today has no much upside.
We have a bullish Head 'n' Shoulders on the 4HR timeframe. Right now price is giving you an even cheaper entry point before this pops!
So, is there demand for Palladium across the world? Take a read of this article from cmegroup.com
Why palladium matters to the growth of the platinum market
By World Platinum Investment Council - WPIC®
16 Jan 2024
Executive summary
Platinum is a critical mineral for the energy transition, and hydrogen-related demand for platinum is forecast to grow substantially through the remainder of the decade and beyond. Platinum catalysts in the electrolysis and fuel cell markets are expected to account for up to 15% of total platinum demand by 2030, reaching as much as 35% of total annual platinum demand by 2040.
The principal use of palladium in 2024 is in fossil fuel and hybrid vehicles, so the health of the automotive industry and the pace of transition to electric vehicles are the key drivers on the demand side.
From what I read, with electric-cars increasing there is not as much demand for catalyic-converters that are derived from palladium. However, there are other uses for palladium than electric cars and supply chains are continually disrupted by wars such as Russia and Ukraine.
All I see is the huge sell-off. I also see a monthly oversold condition for Platinum .
Bullish H n S for Bitcoin. Already retested!. Could POP hard
I was watching this one yesterday for BTCUSD but there was an opposing bearish Head n shoulder's pattern and the Bitcoin price really softened.
Take a look.
Trade entry: Look for increased volume & a bullish candle on approach to neckline.
Good luck,
Chris
Oceania trading week about to commence NZ. USD, Gold, Bitcoin
*
The USD could see some weakness this week, probably not coming until mid-week price possibly propelled by double/bottom structures on mid-timeframes, however the Daily timeframe is indicative of some weakness with price below the moving averages. It's possible later in the trading week the USD could retreat to the 100.60 - 100.85 zone where there is support. Let's see how that play out.
The whole idea is a bit counter-indicative of a short I am expecting on EUR/USD which is very overbought at the moment.
* In other developments, Bitcoin BTCUSD showed some strength during Sunday's session but is since off its' highs in the weekend session. However, BTCUSD is getting support on the 200 EMA on the Daily. I would not be surprised to see some bullishness in Cryptocurrency this week, with the shine perhaps coming off Gold which is overextended and overbought across all timeframes. The Silver price has further to run but will generally follow Gold's lead.
* In precious metals, as I point out above I see a short in XAUUSD very soon probably today, there is more buying demand on the higher timeframe for Platinum XPTUSD, XAGJPY, XAGUSD, XAUJPY whereas XAUGBP, XAUAUD & XAUUSD look over-bought. As I point out above, it's always tricky because I find they all mostly track the gold-price.
Have a good trading week, Oceania trading in NZ commences in 30 minutes (6pm New York time) and the Australian ASX kicks off in just over 2 hours time.
Chris
A risky yet legitimate Head 'N' Shoulders pattern on 4HR FTMUSA
So long as the BTCUSD price holds up during weekend trading this might pop to the upside soon, let's see how it plays out or if I get hammered down. There are opposing sell Head 'N' Shoulders setups on this same trade which complicates things a bit.
ELROND current 1HR timeframe Bullish Head n Shoulders
On the 1HR chart for Elrond, which I must point out is currently very thin volume, but I think this volume will pick up soon, you can see here on the 1HR that the H & S bullish pattern on 1HR price appears to be retracing & retesting the H & S setup zone near neckline.
Possible Trade Idea: Scale in with some Buy small orders just in case it winds back to $25 when I believe it will start to really move up again. But this H & S pattern on the 1HR may be the momentum upwards it needs.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern for BTC/USD, Anyone?BTC/USD bulls have been making a comeback since forming a low of $56,478 and recently completed an inverted head and shoulders pattern (left shoulder: $59,559; head: $56,478; right shoulder: $60,165). Yesterday’s rally ventured through the pattern’s neckline, a descending line extended from the high of $67,273.
What is interesting from a technical standpoint is that the pattern’s profit objective – taken from the value between the head and the neckline and extended from the breakout point – merges with the all-time high of $73,845 at $73,756.
EOSUSDTHi guys
In my opinion, the rising guard of the chart is quite evident.
The condition of the above scenario for us is to maintain the support range of $0.6. Be sure to note that the reviewed process is long-term.
On the 4-hour time frame, we have a head and shoulder pattern at the end of the downward trend. Would you like to check on your chart (;
what do you think!?
Snowman Logistics Breaking Out from H&SIn the above weekly chart of Snowman Logistics NSE:SNOWMAN , we can see H&S (Head and Shoulders) pattern formation over a period of nearly 7 years and now it has broken out from the pattern. Re-test of the neckline also seem to have been done in last few weeks and neckline provided good support.
If we measure the height of pattern, it points to 112 levels which also happen to be very near to next major resistance of 114. It’s currently trading around 80 so this breakout might offer a potential upside of 60% in next few months.
On the flip side, if the stock goes back below neckline and sustains there for couple of days then this view is invalidated.
BTCUSDT📌 To complete the upward trend, it is necessary to see the $33,000 area again.
🔍 If we look carefully, we probably have a head and shoulders pattern.
▪️ The areas that we have identified are strong for supply and from here the possibility that a higher ceiling will be set for us is very, very weak
What do you think?
How to Head and ShouldersGreetings, Financial Enthusiasts! 🌟 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-known chart formation in technical analysis. It indicates a reversal from a bullish to a bearish trend, usually at the end of an upward trend.
Key Points:
- Head and Shoulders: Chart pattern signaling trend reversal.
- Formation: Three peaks on a baseline - two lower outer peaks and a higher middle peak.
- Bullish to Bearish: Suggests a shift from an upward trend to a downward one.
- Applicability: Seen on all timeframes, suitable for various traders and investors.
- Entry Levels: Easily identifiable, aiding in trade implementation.
Why It Matters:
The Head and Shoulders pattern provides traders with a visual representation of a trend reversal. It's widely used due to its simplicity and applicability across different timeframes.
The Pattern:
- Formation (Market Tops):
1. Left Shoulder: Price rises, forms a peak, then falls.
2. Head: Price rises again, forming a higher peak.
3. Right Shoulder: Price falls again, then rises but forms a lower peak than the head.
- Formation (Market Bottoms):
1. Left Shoulder: Price falls, forms a trough, then rises.
2. Head: Price falls again, forming a lower trough.
3. Right Shoulder: Price rises again, then falls, forming a higher trough than the head.
Neckline:
- For Market Tops: Connect the low after the left shoulder to the low following the head to create the neckline.
- For Market Bottoms: Connect the high after the left shoulder to the high after the head to form the neckline.
Trading the Pattern:
- Wait for the pattern to complete before trading.
- Entry when price breaks below the neckline (tops) or above it (bottoms).
- Stops placed above the right shoulder (tops) or below it (bottoms).
- Profit targets calculated based on the head-to-shoulder difference and added (bottoms) or subtracted (tops) from the breakout level.
Why It Works:
- Sellers enter as price falls from its peak, reducing aggressive buying.
- The neckline marks a point where traders exit positions, driving price toward the target.
- A lower right shoulder (tops) or higher right shoulder (bottoms) signals a trend shift.
- Profit target assumes forced exits by those in losing positions.
- The neckline prompts many traders to exit, pushing price towards the target.
- Volume analysis helps confirm patterns; expanding volume (bottoms) shows increased buying interest.
Pitfalls:
- Waiting for pattern completion may require patience.
- Not all patterns lead to successful trades.
- Profit targets aren't always reached.
- External events can disrupt patterns.
- Patterns can be subjective; traders should define their criteria.
The Head and Shoulders pattern, though not foolproof, provides a structured approach to identify and act on trend reversals.
GBPUSD PRICE ACTION TRADING INV. HEAD & SHOULDERS
Hello traders! Today, we're diving deep into GBPUSD, which is showcasing a promising trading opportunity.
On its daily chart, GBPUSD has carved out a classic price action reversal pattern: the inverse head and shoulders.
Following a decisive break above the neckline at 1.24340, the price retraced to 1.25913. Capitalizing on this momentum, we've placed our long orders at 1.26551, influenced by a diamond bottom formation. With meticulous entry points and tight stop-loss measures, we've set our sights on targets at 38%: 1.32521 and 62%: 1.37530.
For a comprehensive visual representation, check out the charts here:
🔗 View GBPUSD Chart 1
🔗 View GBPUSD Chart 2
🔗 View GBPUSD Chart 3
🔗 View GBPUSD Chart 4
Stay tuned, traders! In the coming days, we'll be unveiling a plethora of setups.
If you find this analysis valuable, please support the idea with a like and consider following for more insights.
Trade Carefully, Profit Wisely (TCPLTP)!
EURAUD, Failed breakout, Short the Double topPrice action is shaping up for a bearish run as price was unable to continue the momentum and fell short of a double top level on the HTF. Looking at the lower time frames we can see a potential H&S printing retesting the March high indication more bearish price action is likely.
Look for a short to the lower trendline.
Thanks
Trade Safe
** If you felt this idea was helpful in any way, hit the LIKE button and FOLLOW me for more analysis and educational ideas **
Comment below and and share your opinion on this set up
CHFJPY, Failed Breakout. H&S to bring price lowerPrice action is looking bearish as buyers were unable to breakout of the HTF upper boundary, instead creating a strong reversal impulse followed by a continuation correction. To add confluence to this short set up, we can see a H&S pattern with price currently completing the right shoulder.
I do expect price to re test January's high, find an entry that meets your trading plan.
Thanks
Trade Safe