Head_and_shoulder
QML pattern Quasimodo | SMART MONEY CONCEPTHello all. Today we will talk about the reversal pattern "Quasimodo" or QML. Schematically it looks like this:
The price moves in the trend, in POI the structure breaks and after that, the price can not update the previous HH and the downward movement continues (consider a schematic example).
In this example, after the breakdown of the structure, the price reverses to soften and remove internal liquidity, after which a reversal occurs. This is done in order to close a losing position at the expense of those who put their stop losses behind the maximum of the substructure.
There are many names for this pattern, such as three tap setup, but I'm more accustomed to calling it quasimodo. If you like, it's a reworked version of the "head and shoulders" pattern, but in this case you're focusing on the price action instead of the picture.
Criteria for QML formation
1. Use it in HTF POI
2. Watch HTF POI
3.Watch the price action.
4. Premium or Discount zone
To use the pattern effectively, you must analyze the chart of all TFs. And use the pattern as an entry model. For example, the daily TF is bearish. The price is in the premium zone, as well as on the H1 TF began an uptrend, a full of bullish trend in the lower TF, after which we see that the substructure (red) has changed from a rising to a descending. And thus, we expect a continuation of the downtrend.
Important
Don't use this pattern in terms of "drawing". They can draw anything on the chart. I recommend to look for POI in POI of higher TFs.
An additional factor could be substructure fluctuations before FWG or OB. You need to see how the price behaves after their update.
Where to put a stop loss
The first option is a stop-loss for a local FVG/OB
The second - above swing high of substrucutre
Third - above the HTF point of interest, if your RR allows it
EXAMPLE
After updating the all-time high, the daily structure was broken. Then price consolidated, it was worth waiting for the manipulation. It was possible to enter from HTF POI - aggressive entry, but it was possible to wait for confirmation on the LTF (as I do).
I'm expect bullish OF on 4H chart to HTF POI (2D ob)
This "entry into position" is shown as an example, so that you can form an understanding of how to act in this or that situation. In conclusion, the more factors you take into account in your analysis, the higher the probability of working out of the pattern. Also, it's up to you to choose what kind of stop loss you will use. There is no right and wrong, everything depends on your strategy and money management.
The position was opened after the second liquidity raid in the premium market. I hope it was helpful to you. Thank you for your attention
AUDUSD Moving Into Technical Resistance After CPIAUD is the mover of the day after CPI yoy jumped unexpectedly to 8.4% in Australia up from 7.3%. Thats big and can potentially mean that RBA will be foreced to raise rates further. AUDUSD is moving aggressively higher, but still trading at some key resistance levels here, with fifth wave. A lot of major currenices are trading at resistance vs USD, so if suddenly USD index would rally, then Aussie can come back down, but would most likely suffer less than others. From a longer term perspective we see AUDUSD clearly in bullish mode for much more upside, but ideally after a higher degree pullback.
GBP/USD UNIQUE IDEA....(buy).....hi to all friends
Hope you all are enjoying me ideas and analysis. Now i am here to discuss about FXCM:GBPUSD
A simple forecast.....80% win....
Note: Dear friends, be sure to confirm in the 1-hour time frame and enter the 15-minute time frame ...
Wait for breaks and confirmation....
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!..........
DOGE/USDT / LOOKING BEARISH/BULLISH! doge/usd
currenctly our short position but if they hit my sl or complete a head & shoulder pattern then i am gonna to open my long position my short position target achived then i am gonna to open my long trade because harmonic pattern are completed.
u are agree with my idea then like it :)
u are agree with my idea then like it :)
#TSLA Big Heads have big Shoulders. The weekly chart on #tsla has formed a massive head and shoulders. you see the high volume enter the left shoulder, then the depreciation in volume another smaller volume but higher price making the head, and the lowest volume right shouler, followed but some nice volume.
*can bulls hold? it is a musk company, tis the season and all. But this big head here does not look Bueno! good luck traders, im looking for low volume in premarket sustained after open, and possible long put. no entrys or exits because ill be observing as data comes in.
My personal opinion - an expected decline of the NasdaqWe are in tense weeks where the market is in a war of bulls and bears.
After reading market reviews on behalf of Bank of America and others, analyzing market trends, talking to representatives of the Federal Reserve, past behavior of the market and performing technical analysis.
In my opinion, all the data is converging to the point where the Nasdaq is going to fall to the peak of the Corona period.
1. Traditionally, the bottom in the market comes only after the interest rate hikes a re over.
2. Apple, the most powerful company in the USA, has not yet broken the mold of the cup and the handle it created.
3. The period of reporting the results will bring with it a decrease in the PE of companies that has not yet been updated in accordance with the decrease in profits.
Good luck to everyone, Yosef
Large potential head and shoulders 30k soon????If price does reject from this resistance (Hopefully it doesn't) and come back into the macro value area price could hit the golden pocket retracement of that move up which has a lot of confluence such as an old and very respected weekly s/r a naked daily point of control and a daily s/r. If price can bounce from that area with market cipher printing a trigger wave on higher time frames and lower-mid timeframes showing clear divergences on momentum and money flow price could probably make its way up to make a new high creating a huge head and shoulders with a target of 30k which just so happens to be the target for some other analysis I was doing.
While trading make sure you manage risk properly
But most importantly have fun.
SE: Inverted head and shoulders formingSE (Sea Limited)
Being 85% off its all time high, SE is trying to form a bottom here.
The pattern I see on the 4h and daily chart is an inverted head and shoulders . It's a reversal pattern.
Inverted head and shoulders (like head and shoulders) are only confirmed once the neckline is broken.
The neckline is between 62.45 and 63.95 so I would consider a long entry for a swing trade if and only if we break 64. Just watching for now. But the chart is showing some positive signs.
The target of the pattern is at 90 .
Trade safe.
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Afternoon ladies and gentlemen 👋😃
Let's check an SPX today🧐.
On the chart, I showed the zone of possible price reversal (Right shoulder)
If we see there a stop of the fall and the beginning of the formation of a reversal, then potentially it will be a breakdown of the structure of the nascent bullish trend with targets of $4200 and $4500🚀
It's better to see an oversold RSI indicator.
But if we see a fall below the head level, it will mean confirmation of the bearish trend and the continuation of the fall after some pullback.
P.S
I do not adhere to a time frame in my analysis of the instrument, a reaction in the instrument may occur earlier or later. It is important to understand the price movement when reacting to the level, as well as the buyer and seller reactions. Well, and a few more secrets, this material is not a trading recommendation )))
USDCAD retracement or reversalFX:USDCAD
Hey Traders, I am currently looking for a bullish move. There is a possibility that we could see a head and shoulders formation on the 4-hour chart. If this occurs, I would enter at the shoulder with a stop loss 4 pips under the head. With the current strength of the dollar, there shouldn't be a problem. However, if it breaks the last low or closes below that low, I believe the trend will continue to be bearish. In that case, we could look for a move to the main level of 1.34000 and enter a short position.
However, I prefer the bullish move.