GOLD - Bullish SignalsFalse break below support area, possible hammer, positive divergence on the 14 RSI, Falling Wedge - these are some bullish signals which might announce a rally for gold. The probability for an up move to start will increase once the upper line of the wedge is broken. First target for a rally would be the 38.2 Fibo level. I will consider this idea invalidated if the price will close on a 60 minutes chart below 1.1220.
Hammer
COPPER Long Term Buying OpportunityThis trade technically constitutes as calling a bottom (which I don't particularly like to do), although I have a few good reasons why I'll be taking this long trade. First and foremost, Copper is currently tuning away from the bottom of it's long term curved downtrend channel. Secondly, last week's candle was a fairly large hammer. Thirdly, Squeeze momentum is as oversold as it's ever been. The final reason is that over time, Copper has consistently gone through fairly rigid periods of increase and decrease. These periods range from about 100-150 days. Copper is nearing the end of it's current period of decline. A combination of reasons I have listed above describe why I will be long in Copper until approximately January 2016. Leave your thoughts, comments and a like if this was helpful in any way to you. Happy Trading!
GBPAUD 4 HR LONGTEXTBOOK SETUP. PULLBACK TO THE 38.2 FIB WHICH IS IN LINE WITH STRUCTURE LEVEL. AUD IS STILL FUNDAMENTALLY WEAK, THE CURRENCY NEEDS TO GO LOWER TO SPUR GROWTH SO PAIRING IT AGAINST THE POUND IS A HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE BECAUSE THE POUND IS THE 2ND STRONGEST CURRENCY AFTER THE DOLLAR. WE'VE HAD A TWEEZER BOTTOM AND SUPPORT FOLLOWED BY A HAMMER REJECTING OFF THIS LEVEL. FIRST TARGET ON THIS PAIR IS AT 1.9800
AUDUSD DAILY SHORTBREAK RETEST CONTINUATION PATTERN. PRICE BROKE OUT OF SUPPORT WHICH HAS NOW TURNED INTO RESISTANCE. PRICE HAD TESTED THE RESISTANCE THEN BOUNCED OFF FORMING A INVERTED HAMMER. THIS LEVEL IS ALSO IN CONFLUENCE WITH THE 0.5 FIB LEVEL AND 20 SMA IS WHICH ACTING AS A DYNAMIC RESISTANCE
AZO makes new highAZO has been a well trending stock for many years, especially since breaking above the $200 zone in 2010.
Despite the great trend I would not have traded this due to the low volume. I generally prefer stocks with much higher volume to help aid liquidity (although AZO has done exceptionally well without adhering to this criteria). And now the stock is pretty expensive so only those with large accounts could trading consider it. AZO can go into quite long pullbacks/consolidation which are not overly deep as far as the chart is concerned - but which are over $70 in depth (from a monetary perspective).
Overall, a good chart but not a practicable one to trade.
KR bull trend continues after pullbackI posted on KR just a couple of weeks ago (18th February) making a big case for entering long into this stock if you weren't already in it. The next bar saw price continue to rise - followed by 10 days of pullback!
However, the 50ma held strong (with a hammer reversal candle just below the $70 round number) and any long-term position with a reasonable stop loss would not have been stopped out - and traders are now be seeing a reward for their patience.
This was a deep pullback for KR - which has been trending in a very linear fashion for many months. But not too deep to cause concern. And now price has continued in its uptrend we can see the advances of longer-term trading and a bit of patience.
SPX daily candle analysis 3/5The S&P 500 made a possible continuation signal from Wednesday's trading session. While it did close back above 2095, I am concerned about the candle it formed. This gives an edge to the sell side to continue its move lower. It may attempt to move to 2100 but that has a chance to be short lived.
USDCAD 4 HOUR LONGprice is pulling back into nice structure level which would be a good opportunity to get long. Buyers are clearly defending this level as they dont want price to drop into the area where Canada cut interest rates. I.ll be watching for a buy signal at this level eg bullish hammer or engulfling pattern. My long term target is still at 1.30 but i.ll be targeting 1.25358 for now
AUDUSD 4 HOUR SHORTPrice bounced off the 0.236 fib several times forming a evening star and then several bearish pinbar candlestick patterns in a row. This is indicating selling pressure, we could see price advance to the downside soon. My preference is a rally up to the 0.5 fib in confluence with some structure but advancing up to that level is looking less likely. RBA meeting on Tuesday so id advise to get in before the meeting because im confident RBA will be dovish which will weaken AUD causing AUDUSD to plummet
HSP breaks above 2010 resistance HSP is a stock which cropped up on my stock scan at the weekend. It has appeared before but wasn't of interest to me until it clearly broke the 2010 pivot high of $60.49.
The move in December 2014 could well have been a head fake but the hammer/reversal candle on 6th January suggested a continued move to the upside. The resistance-turned-support was almost retested again a a few days later but since then there has been a run of 6 consecutive bullish bars.
Overall HSP has been in a bull trend since early 2013 and has now clearly broken the 2010 high. A more recent trend developed, on the daily, in early November 2014.
I will wait for the trend to become more established (and for earnings to be released on 11th February) but one for my bullish watchlist.
Watch This Candle: #AUDJPY Hammer Weekly | #FOREXIntroducing another posts type named " Watch This Candle", I will try to spot and explain the main important candlesticks patterns. I wish you like it. If you do please comment and agree so i continue...
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Candlestick Pattern: Hammer
Prior Trend: Down
Implications/Use: Bullish reversal, Bullish correction, good for scalping
Introduction
One of the most powerful tools in gauging shifts in market balances, the hammer candlestick pattern is one of the patterns I personally find extremely useful in the process of determining trend reversals.
Definition
There are plenty of candlestick patterns; however the hammer is of the most illustrative.
Hammer candles form when a security moves sharply lower after the open, but rebounds to close significantly above the low of the session.
The shape
The Hammer has a long lower shadow with a small body, the lower shadow should at least be double the size of the body, and the body can be green(up) or red(down), however through my experience I find the ones with green body more reliable.
The Hammer should be preceded by a clear downtrend or at least several down days.
Note: breakouts below the low of the hammer usually lead to further bearish movement, and confirms bearish continuation.
$$ It's strongly recommended to always use candlestick patterns in conjunction with other technical tools to increase the chances of success. For example, a hammer near a support level or the 50-days Simple Moving Average.
Note: breakouts below the low of the hammer usually lead to further bearish movement, and confirms bearish continuation
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Hammer with a bullish move the next dayGod morning fellow traders!
Last time it reached this level was 2014-01-24!
Its a f**king great day! What we have is a hammer with a very long tail, indicating a strong momentum on the bulls.
Today we have a bullish move. This such a move that every body at the trading desk is waiting for!
So i will do 3 trades today only on AUDUSD. I will buy either later today or tomorrow depending on how the market plays. Meaning that it has to close as bullish today. Otherwise i don't enter.
I have also marked where my first sell will be. At .38,2%. I can sell all of my three trades at that point, however, it all depends on how the markets plays out.
My second trade is at 50%, and;
My third is more of a long shot, not impossible thou but it is 78,6%.
I hope you have the best day ever!
Kind regards
TheBull
Breakaway Gap From Mid-July Filled. Hammer Reversal FormingI am long KNDI here after filling it's breakaway gap form mid-july. After a heavy two week sell-off, the stock is finally showing some strength after filling that gap.
After trading down to a low of 14.79 today, KNDI rallied more than a full point to form a textbook bullish hammer reversal candle. I am long at 15.75 with a PT of 17.47 - Approximately at the pivot point (11% upside projection)
Long again on USD/CADBeing in a daily uptrend, USD/CAD has strongly rejected a previous support level (1.0860), and the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci level in its pullback and closing on Friday 29th August 2014 above the 50ema as both an outside bar and a low test giving well-founded signs of imminent bullish continuation.
A drawback to this trade would be that the weekly chart is still in a pullback.
Entry - above Friday's close
Stop loss - ideally below Friday's close
Target - initial level at previous highs
EURJPY - Bullish SetupWhat a nice bullish setup. A Hammer was drawn at the intersection of the big down trend and the smaller up trend lines. This gives a better probability for the Euro to start a rally, targeting, 138.00 or even higher for 138.50. A break below the demand area would signal a fall back towards 136.50/136.00.
MTF Analysis: EURUSDSimply put, the Euro has been declining for virtually all of July. Demand has been weak and support levels have been broken time and time again. From my POV, this is the first Bullish RSI divergence on the Daily in quite some time. The divergence came with some interesting PA as well:
July 30 and 31 presented two Hammers, followed by a Bullish engulfing pattern. This was soon negated with a Harami then drop in price. As the Bears tested the Hammer's low, there was an intraday break but price couldn't close at the new lows, giving us the Divergence. The 4 Hour shows us this PA in greater detail as well as presenting two trading opportunities.
1. A long on the break of the Harami we've formed.
2. A long on the formation of the Alternate Bat pattern.
The ALT Bat is not one I've traded too many times and Bat's structure isn't as symmetrical as I would like. Neither trade is with the major trend so I'll pass.
Whether or not the divergence and recent inability for price to go lower is indicative of a correction or trend reversal remains to be seen. I'd feel more comfortable taking a short if we do see rise in price or on a retest of another failed support.
Inverted Hammer at Resistance on USDCADUSDCAD has been trending down of late, but has recently pulled back to a resistance level where it is forming an inverted hammer. I'll take this as a sign the downtrend is ready to resume, and so am entering at 0904 with my stop at 0966. My target profit is at 0703. I'm risking 62 pips to gain 201, so the reward/risk on this trade is about 3.24.
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