What impact will there be after bankruptcy for SVB?
The main reason for SVB's problem this time is liquidity. The banking industry is different from other industries, where the importance of liquidity is far greater than profitability. In the past few decades, there have been too many banks that have experienced extreme risks due to liquidity issues, and SVB has fallen into the same trap.
The management was aware of the bankruptcy, as the CEO cashed out $3.6 million in stocks two weeks before disclosing the losses. The exaggeration was that a few hours before the announcement of bankruptcy, the company still distributed bonuses for 2022 to its employees. It is a stark contrast between those who received the bonus and thinking about how to spend it, and those who cannot withdraw their deposits and are worried about the situation.
The market is concerned about the possibility of systemic risk and a Lehman-like crisis. As discussed earlier, based on the data, the liquidity risk of large banks is manageable, and the Federal Reserve is providing a backstop. However, there are around 5,000 banks in the United States, and more than just SVB may face liquidity risks in a high-interest rate environment.
(Based on the data, there is a significant amount of unrealized losses for the four largest banks in the United States. The risk depends on the ratio of "hold-to-maturity investments/total liabilities." The ratios for the four banks are 22%, 12%, 12%, and 17%, while SVB's ratio is as high as 47%. Overall, the risk appears manageable.)
The bankruptcy of SVB has the deepest impact on technology companies, as Silicon Valley Bank was set up to provide financing to technology companies, so many technology companies also keep their cash in SVB. Many companies have already disclosed the amount of their deposits in SVB over the weekend, and the impact on the technology industry is indeed significant.
In theory, the money in SVB is safe because the asset problem is not significant, but due to the mismatch of terms, it takes six months or even a year to pay, which is a huge pressure for some technology startups. Those who have started a business know that every day they wake up, they have to pay rent and salaries, and liquidity is the core support for company operations.
Hedge funds in the United States have already begun to look for opportunities to enter this time-limited money-making opportunity. Today, a hedge fund proposed to buy the startup company's deposits in SVB at a price as low as 60% of face value. It is indeed taking advantage of the situation to buy at this price, and if the asset confirmation is no problem, the portion due in a year, which is a 5% discount rate, is highly likely to be recovered by more than 90%.
The bankruptcy of SVB has had a significant impact on financial assets, and the US stock market has fallen for two consecutive days mostly because of this. The US bond yield has also fallen for two consecutive days, and the flight to safety sentiment is beginning to spread.
In the final analysis, the reason for SVB's bankruptcy this time is the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike. Many contradictions will be highlighted in a high-interest-rate environment. The United States may still be relatively stable, and the greatest volatility may be in Europe and emerging markets.
The follow-up is to pay attention to whether there will be further impacts and the Federal Reserve's further actions. The Federal Reserve has confirmed that it will hold an emergency closed meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Directors at 11:30 am local time on Monday, and we await the outcome of the meeting.
Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold , crude oil , forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
Growth
ETH: Waiting for a rebound opportunity to go shortETH: Judging from the 4-hour chart, the market has shown a three-wave downward structure, of which the third wave has been extended, and the continuous strength of the bears is still continuing. In terms of operating ideas, the market continues to rebound and short.
ETH: 1480-1500 empty, near the target 1370
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TSLA SHORT TSLA up trended well from a double bottom to close out 2022 to a head and shoulders pattern
through February and is now in a downtrend. Within that downtrend, there have been some small
pullbacks. The MACD indicator suggests with the lines crossing under the histogram, that a pullback
will soon occur.
I see this an opportunity to buy put options with mid-May expiration at a strike midway between
current price and the retracement zone from the January up trend.
Fundamentally, competition in China and maybe the USA with Lucid, continue to challenge Telse
as does union efforts in the NY solar panel plant, the delays in Cybertruck and rising interest
rates. Demand has been soft lately TSLA dropped its prices to stimulate interest and revenues
could stall one way or another. This suggests the downtrend may maintain its momentum.
The prices of these coins will soar all the way in 2023
1. AI coins
ChatGPT is the next big thing because it can quickly solve difficult tasks.It has passed a major medical exam in the United States, cooperated with Microsoft, and is attracting competition from Google.
Therefore, crypto AI technology is booming, driving the bullish momentum of coins such as $FET, $AGIX,$GRT,$RNDR and several AI coins.
2. ZK Rollups
Ethereum stores global transaction data, but high gas fees make it difficult.ZK-rollups uses encryption tools to reduce the Ethereum blockchain space and expand the network.
This is a promising technology extensibility solution for Ethereum.
The following is a list of coins with ZK summary: $LRC,$IMX,$MINA,$MATIC will release the beta version of the zkEVM mainnet.
3. Mobile pledge tokens on decentralized pledge services
The SEC plans to ban pledge services in the United States, which has threatened the cryptocurrency pledge industry. Kraken was fined US300,000 and ordered to shut down its pledge service, and coinbase is also preparing to fight the SEC's crackdown.
Liquidity pledge tokens are on the rise, because decentralized pledge services may replace centralized platforms that may face bans in the United States.
The following are some coins that are bullish after the event: $LDO,$RPL and $ANKR.
4. Chinese coin Narrative
HongKong will officially legalize Crypto buying, selling and trading for all its citizens in 2023.This also includes institutions in mainland China.
As a result, Chinese currency is bullish.
LINA: Cross Chain Exchange from Hong Kong, Binance Launchpad
KEY: Enabling Crypto Payments in Hong Kong
MDT: Monetizing Data Coin from Hong Kong
ACH: Enabling Crypto Payments in Hong Kong
SAND: Building Hong Kong's Metaverse Backed by Animoca Brands
5. Bitcoin ordinal
According to coinmarketcap, the BTC ordinal number is "sats" or satoshis, which has been sorted and engraved with a piece of information, such as text or images.This piece of information makes sat unique and turns it into a de facto NFT.
In this kind of hype, what coins have soared?
Stacks' $STX token soared to a nine-month high of US1.0491 due to increased interest in Bitcoin NFT driven by the ordinal project.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Non-farm payrolls data is about to bearish the gold market!Today, the U.S. February quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls data will be released. Everyone knows that this data will play a key role in the gold market, because the performance of non-farm payrolls will directly affect the fundamental sentiment, which will determine the direction of the gold market in a short period of time.Does the non-farm payrolls data to be released today benefit the gold market or suppress the gold market?Let us make a bold prediction.
On Wednesday, the announced value of ADP employment in the United States in February was 242,000, the previous value was 119,000, and the forecast value was 200,000, while the actual announced value of 242,000 was much higher than the previous value and the forecast value. To a certain extent, it shows that the U.S. economy is strong and supports the dollar, thereby suppressing the gold market.
On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish speech suppressed the gold market. However, after Fed Chairman Powell mentioned on Wednesday that the rate of interest rate increases in March depends on the data, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States released on Thursday was 210,000, higher than the previous value of 190,000 and the forecast value of 195,000, reflecting that the tight job market in the United States has still not eased, causing the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March to cool down, US bond yields fell sharply, and the dollar was dragged down, which benefited the gold market.
And today's non-farm payrolls data show that the market expects the number of new jobs to be 205,000, compared with the previous value of 517,000. Judging from the ADP data guidance, the non-farm payrolls data show that the market expects the number of new jobs to be higher than the expected value of 205,000, and the number of initial jobless claims in February remained at a comparable level. Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits at the beginning of the week was as high as 210,000, overall, the number of new jobs in the month will not have much impact, so I think the non-farm payrolls released today will be higher than the expectation of 205,000, thereby suppressing the gold market.
It should also be noted that the position of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, decreased by 3.47 tons to 903.15 tons on Thursday, a new low since the end of January 2020, suggesting that institutional and professional investors are still inclined to bearish the gold market.
It can also be seen from the trend of gold. Although gold has recorded a strong rise in the short term, the strong pressure above still exists. Therefore, the early rise of gold is most likely to be to prepare for non-farm payrolls data and reserve room for the decline of the gold market.Then everyone thinks that the non-farm payrolls data to be released today will benefit the gold market or suppress the gold market?Everyone is welcome to come and discuss.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
GBPUSD, SELL 4HDisclaimer: We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided by our Forex signal provider. All information provided is intended for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended to be used as investment advice. We are not responsible for any losses that may incur as a result of using our signals. It is the responsibility of the user to do their own research and make their own decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Show me a chart that matters more than this?The chart I've created here shows yield on the US 10 Year Treasury Bond. The white line shows its percentage change over the last 12 months.
The red line shows the S&P 500. It shows the S&P 500 over the last 12 months.
What more needs to be said?
The S&P 500 is red over the last year while the yield on bonds continues to rise. REMEMBER: with every increase in bond yield, the risk for things like stocks becomes more difficult. A bond will pay you close to 5%. Apple, on the other hand, will pay a 2% dividend. If Apple does not grow at all, or increase buybacks or new products, or if a recession hits, then the bond yield is indeed the better trade.
The further these two assets widen, the more difficult the trade off becomes.
HOWEVER, that's not to say that stocks and bond yields cannot go up at the same time. Actually, in prior bull markets, they have risen together. If innovation continues, if economic growth continues, and if inflation starts to get under control, we very likely could see this gap shrink in an instant.
I am watching insider transactions to see how much faith top directors, teammates, and employees have in their respective company. Several CEOs have recently bought large chunks of shares out of their own bank accounts. What do this say?
Thanks for reading!
LANDSHARE HAS THE STRONGEST AND THE BEST POTENTIAL.This is my technical analysis for this great project called LANDSHARE where a real asset are tokenized specifically real estate.
The project offers an investment into the real estate " TOKENIZED ASSET " for only 50$ .
This project has a great potential to reach 600$ based on the technical analysis and on the other hand the fundamental analysis say it has the potential to reach 1000$ .
Also the crypto space may get involved in the real estate businesses where LANDSHARE will be the face of it.
The team behind LANDSHARE project are doing amazing things to improve the project and developing it in the right way.
Not financial advice.
BTC USD - Bitcoin short / UPDATE
The BIG question, Does the DOLLAR gain strength?
What's already bought is half sold
We see the expected decline.
The Seven Major Factors Affecting Gold.Firstly, the demand for gold commodities affects the price.
In addition to its use as a daily decorative item, gold plays an important role in industry, occupying an irreplaceable position in industries such as dentistry, electronics, and others. As a hedge tool, the price of gold is influenced by demand, and the supply and demand relationship directly affects the price of gold. Changes in production will also affect the gold price, such as the demand for teeth in Japan and the demand for jewelry in India, both of which directly affect the monthly price trend of gold each year.
Secondly, the gold output determines the supply-demand balance of gold.
The production of gold-producing countries directly affects the supply-demand balance of gold. Currently, China has the largest gold production, followed by South Africa. Any unexpected event, such as strikes and other special situations, will have an impact on the gold price.
Thirdly, international interest rates and exchange rates directly affect the gold price.
Interest rates and exchange rates have a direct impact on the gold price, especially the trend of the US dollar. The international status of the US gold price directly determines the status of the country's international finance, and the price of the US dollar also directly affects the price of gold. As the US dollar, which also has investment functions like gold, it directly affects the gold price. If the investment trend of the US dollar is strong, gold investment will be relatively less, while the opposite is true for the US dollar in a weak investment market, where the role of gold as a reserve asset and a hedge will be stronger.
Fourthly, inflation stimulates the gold price.
When the consumer price index rises and inflation affects investments, gold is no exception. When the price fluctuation of a country is severe, and the inflation rate is high, and the price fluctuation is severe, people's panic will intensify. When purchasing power declines, people will worry about future security and choose to buy gold to hedge, which will cause the gold price to continue to rise. Although the current role of gold in fighting inflation is not as significant as before, high inflation will still stimulate the gold price.
Fifthly, political situations such as wars can stimulate the gold price.
Political instability promotes the rise of the gold price, and war causes a rise in commodity prices, leading to a rise in gold prices. Similarly, as a critical strategic material, the price of gold has a remarkable correlation with the price of oil. When the price of oil rises, the gold price rises as well. Conversely, when the price of oil falls, the gold price also falls.
Sixth, as a safe-haven demand, gold is the first choice
Due to the small total reserves, the price of gold is relatively stable, and because it has served as a currency, it is an excellent tool for hedging and hedging. As an important hedging tool, gold has strong political sensitivity. Jewelry in prosperous times, gold in troubled times, when the economy is in recession, investment will favor gold more, and it will also directly affect the price of gold.
7. Investors’ psychological expectations
The psychological expectations of investors are an important factor affecting the price of gold, but they usually do not act alone. Instead, they often change in conjunction with the variations in the aforementioned factors, amplifying or reducing the expected value of gold and causing significant differences in its price.
Following the footsteps of the market, respecting the market, and aweing the market is to follow the market
Pay attention to me and you will discover that trading is so simple and enjoyable!
Insider Trading VERA Buy?Various insiders and investment groups are dumping large amounts of money into NASDAQ:VERA . Historically this happened in 2021-2022 and from what I have seen they sold with a profit of about 25% a few months later. I think this could be reoccurring. This can be seen by the huge POC nearly at the current price.
openinsider.com
Here is the link to see for yourself.
Comment what you think!
Amplitude: 2021 IPO Comeback Kid $AMPL $COIN $SNOWDoesn't look like there are many buyers for $AMPL, a peer of $COIN $SNOW 2020-2021 IPO cohorts, though business results look promising in the long-term.
I'd say anything above $10 is a good entry for this as a long-term tech stock that can outperform in future cycles.
Amplitude Inc (NASDAQ:AMPL)
The 8 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Amplitude Inc have a median target of $17.50, with a high estimate of 20.00 and a low estimate of 15.00 . The median estimate represents a +32.28% increase from the last price of 13.23.
In the chart above, I have 3 bullish scenarios. All 3 are negated if the price drops below $10
As of now, it looks like there's still a lot of post-IPO sell pressure and aside from price defense at $10 late this year, not much new insti investor interest.
"We're so early!" - Famous Last Words
Microsoft growth doubt$MSFT has been down trending following this parallel channel's support & resistance, now testing resistance at $280 which is perfectly aligned with the daily 200MA & 0.5 fib level.
Fundamentally, fear from Q3 results because of interest rates hike & recession doubts, share holders will take partial profits at $280 or a little bit higher protecting themselves from the negative earnings impact.
DXY soaring:
TVC:DXY
Cup and handle on the 6 month chartNASDAQ:GALT
Cup and handle on the 6 month chart
Heavy insider buying continues
Rapidly growing attention in medical research publications
UniDex: a DeFi aggregator for traders🟢 Here is a project that is off the radar in its embryonic phase, whose intention is to be an aggregator of Swaps, Options, Perpetual Contracts, etc.
The risk is very high: the token is not yet on any CEX. Only traded on the Ethereum network and Arbitrum network.
📝 Definition
"UniDex's primary mission is to provide the most seamless trading experience by aggregating anything & everything. We aim to be the Nasdaq of DeFi.
UniDex is a DeFi platform that aims to provide a hub for traders to access the best rates for financial instruments within the ecosystem.
We envision UniDex as a platform similar to NASDAQ, where traders can place orders for any type of financial instrument, and UniDex will route the order to the best available rate against hundreds of sources & matching orders. In the short and long term, UniDex plans to offer a range of trading tools to support this experience, including...
Options Aggregation
Swap Aggregation
Perpetual Aggregation
Cross-chain trading
Exotic leverage trading pairs
Advanced analytics
and many more opportunities to come
"
📈 DeFi
For now, the token can be traded on Uniswap (Ethereum network), and on TraderJoe (Arbitrum network).
Value, Growth or neither?Looking at equity markets as a conflict between Value stocks and Growth stocks has become a reflex for many market commentators. ‘Growth is beating Value’ (or the other way around) is always a good headline. Value stocks are defined as basically cheap stocks and it is, therefore, possible in any index, to point to the Value side of that index. Growth stocks are defined as stocks with above-average growth prospects. So again, it is possible to look at an index and point to the growthiest stocks. The main index providers have done exactly that by splitting their main indices in two down the middle, a Growth and a Value version, as early as the 1980s.
Using Value and Growth to explain the last ten years
While simplistic and playing into human’s love of false dichotomies, it is true that this narrative explained the last ten years of equity performance pretty well. From the overwhelming domination of Growth stocks, in a negative interest rate environment where investment was cheap, to the start of a Value revival last year, on the back of the most aggressive tightening cycle in decades.
What about the other factors? Didn’t Quality perform better over that period?
However, most things in our world can’t be reduced to a simple choice. Academics have demonstrated over the last five decades that multiple other factors can be used to slice and dice the markets to create outperforming portfolios. In the 90s, Fama and French introduced their 3-factors model using Value but also Size and Momentum to explain market returns. More recently, they added Profitability (often called Quality) and Investment in a new 5-factors model.
Looking at the performance of the seven leading factors over the last ten years, we note that while Growth beat the market by 1.6% per annum and Value underperformed by 1.9% per annum, the strongest factor was, in fact, Quality with an outperformance of 2.3% per annum1.
Is Quality Value or Growth, then?
Using Quality as a third lens, we observe that companies in the Value index are, on average, less profitable than those in the benchmark, and that those in the Growth index are, on average, more so. 23% of the S&P 500 Value exhibit less than 10% in return on equity (ROE) versus less than 5% for the S&P 500 Growth. And 25% of the S&P 500 Growth has more than 50% in ROE versus less than 5% for the Value index.
However, what is fascinating is that in the Value index, there are still some very profitable companies and in the Growth index, there are still some unprofitable companies. In other words, the Value/Growth dichotomy is very different from the High Quality/Low Quality one. The market could therefore be split not into two indices (Value and Growth) but into four:
High-Quality Value
High-Quality Growth
Low-Quality Value
Low-Quality Growth
Historically, High-Quality Value has outperformed High-Quality Growth
Using academic data, it is possible to splice US equity markets since the 60s into groups by fundamental data. In Figure 3, we focus every year on the 20% of the universe with the highest operating profitability (that is, High Quality in Figure 3). That group is then split into five further quintiles depending on their valuations (using price to book (P/B) as a metric) from the cheapest to the most expensive.
We observe that picking profitable companies with high P/B would have outperformed the market since the 60s but would have underperformed profitable companies in general. On the contrary, picking cheaper High-Quality companies would have outperformed both the market and the overall High-Quality grouping. In other words, Quality Value has outperformed Quality Growth over the last 60 years in US equity markets. Looking at other geographies, such as Europe, we find similar results.
At WisdomTree, we believe that a well-constructed Quality strategy can be the cornerstone of an equity portfolio.High-Quality companies exhibit an ‘all-weather’ behaviour that offers a balance between building wealth over the long term whilst protecting the portfolio during economic downturns. However, in 2022, secondary tilts were incredibly important. Value stocks benefitted from central banks’ hawkishness, leaning on their low implied duration to deliver outstanding performance in a particularly hard year for equities. Among Quality-focused strategies, the one with Value tilt delivered outperformance on average, and the one with Growth tilt tended to underperform.
Looking forward to 2023, recession risk continues to hang over the market like the sword of Damocles. While inflation has shown signs of easing, we expect central banks to remain hawkish around the globe as inflation is still very meaningfully above targets. The recent coordinated communication plan by Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee members is a further example of this continued hawkishness. With markets facing many of the same issues in 2023 that they faced in the second half of 2022, it looks like resilient investments that tilt to Quality and Value that have done particularly well in 2022 could continue to benefit.
Sources
1 Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg. From 31 January 2013 to 31 January 2023. Growth is proxied by the MSCI World Growth net TR Index. Value is proxied by the MSCI World Value net TR Index. Quality is proxied by MSCI World Quality net TR Index. The remaining 4 factors (Min Vol, High Dividend Small Cap and Momentum) are also proxied by indices in the MSCI families.
Google earnings todayGOOG Q4 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4:15pm. Alphabet Cl C (GOOG) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $69.09 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.26 per share on revenue of $70.64 billion. Revenue grew 6.1% on a year-over-year basis. Here's a GOOG 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data.
Q4 December 2022 Consensus:
EPS = $1.19
Revenue = $76.48B
P/E = 21.7
Q3 September 2022:
EPS = 1.06 miss -16.01%
Revenue = $69.09B miss -2.20%
Cash = $21.98B
Debt = $26.63B
Q2 June 2022:
EPS = 1.21 miss -6.05%
Revenue = $69.68B miss -0.16%
Cash = $17.94B
Debt = $26.43B
Q1 March 2022:
EPS =1.23 miss -3.67%
Revenue = $68.01B beat 0.18%
Cash = $20.89B
Debt = $26.25B
2/3/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 17,149
Call Volume Total 30,081
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.57
Put Open Interest Total 50,820
Call Open Interest Total 54,156
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
2/17/23 expiry options data:
Put Volume Total 5,472
Call Volume Total 19,575
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.28
Put Open Interest Total 96,153
Call Open Interest Total 104,606
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.92
3/17/23 expiry options data
Put Volume Total 4,332
Call Volume Total 14,527
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.30
Put Open Interest Total 156,883
Call Open Interest Total 224,859
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.70
📉 Stoch Markets: Is the worst really over? 🚀⁉️📝 I will try to analyze the market as a whole, with reference to the Russell 3000 index , which is broader than the S&P 500 .
(Russell 3000 is a capitalization-weighted stock market index that seeks to be a benchmark of the entire U.S. stock market. It measures the performance of the 3,000 largest publicly held companies incorporated in America as measured by total market capitalization, and represents approximately 97% of the American public equity market).
📈 On the top chart we have the Russell 3000 .
📉 On the bottom chart, we have the Russell 2000 Growth divided by the Russell 2000 Value .
(The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap stock market index that makes up the smallest 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index).
The intention here is to see how the companies classified in the 'Growth Investing' category are performing, using the 'Value Investing' companies as a parameter.
🤔 As a rule, it is to be expected that when traders and investors are more prone to risk, they invest more money in 'growth investing' companies than in 'value investing' companies.
1) Analyzing divergences
1.1) 2006-2008
In the period from 2006 to 2008 we had a divergence: the Russell 3000 had lower funds, while the Growth companies had higher funds. The apex was found precisely in the blue diagonal channel, on 12/30/2008. Note that Russell's bottom was only found on 03/10/2009, 3 months later. There is a clear anticipation in the contribution of 'Growth' companies.
1.2) 2014-2016
Russell tests the support of the green line several times, the last one being on 02/11/2016.
Meanwhile, Growth companies remain on the rise, however reaching the blue diagonal channel again on 02/02/2017, 1 year later.
In this case there was an outflow of 'Growth' companies, at least until reaching the blue diagonal channel. After that the increase continues.
1.3) 2018-2020
In this period we have a classic book divergence.
The Russell peaks downwards on 21/12/2018, and later on 23/03/2020, featuring lower bottoms.
Meanwhile, 'Growth' companies continue to 'respect' the green close with ever higher funds, reaching a low peak on the same date.
1.4) 2022-?
Considering the bad macro-economic scenario, with the high cost of money and inflation, it would be surprising that the 'Growth' companies had a better performance than the 'Value' ones. Despite this pessimistic bias, if this indicator breaks above this green diagonal line and stays there, I will reconsider this opinion. If not, I think it is more likely that it will hit the blue diagonal channel again to form the final divergence.
🟢 For comparison purposes, considering a more global aspect and not just the small companies of the Russell 2000, the same analysis could be done on the ratio between the RAG and RAV indices (Russel 3000 Growth/Russel 3000 Value):
2006-2008
2014-2016
2018-2020
2022-?
🔵 What's important to note is that these key moments happened in December and March.
GBPCHF - The Buyout, Accumulation.I've decided to go for the long term trade. One I categorize as blockbuster . Potential chance to receive a massive reward in ratio to a loss.
- Here's my reason
With GBP falling treacherously an influx are buyers pusher it back on. Meaning two things. One: An exit of sellers ( Less people selling the pair) Two: An abrupt of buyers getting in a record low prices.
Now within this parallel channel we see the opportunity where resistance is holding, buyers are interested.
Potential good trade of LINKThe FRS event 2 days ago made traders community more positive.
All my attention with BTC, but some of the altcoins like LTC, BNB, XRP made holders big profit.
In case of next flat period with BTC, I expect growing of LINK.
Why It will happen?
Moving of BTC price needs a high liquidity. Market does not involve new traders. No liquidity = no growing.
Long period of accumulation (6 months)
I expect the moving of liquidity from BNB and LTC to next altcoins.
Do not forget about money management.
SOL positioned for breakout! (mobile phone releasing early 2023)Right shoulder is above the head and is primed to move through that ascending channel into a range of $26 USD. Don't be surprised if we achieve that before midnight Sunday. Be enthused when you see it back at the $30 USD mark. Sell pressure has waned for a reason. Fundamentals are out, Solana Mobile is releasing the worlds first and only crypto phone & every SOL based project is making a push to be in the dApp store. The major caveat being the SEED Vault.
A SEED is like having a phone in a phone. Your passwords & seed phrases are essentially air gapped. No one can access your SEED Phrase. No malicious third party can use an ad network too violate permissions. Thus making the phone & your Solana Quantum proof.
This isn't an ad, i'm not sponsored... i own a developer test kit model so i could beta test GRIZZLY HACK-A-THON projects. For the past two weeks it's given me overwhelming confidence to UP UP UP my SOL bags. No other chain has a 512 GB phone or a Quantum seed vault. Holding Solana is like holding Tesla stock pre-split. The business venture is backed by Google & Android.
EoY prediction for SOL:
$1355 USD is what i have personally set targets for on a per unit basis. No price prediction target forecast genuinely factors in the Solana Mobile venture.
The phone is ideal for .... "Blockchain Gaming", "Solana Pay", & NFT/credential storage
An analysis of the total Blockchain-wise NFT sales volume over the last 30 days would reveal that Solana is at the second position. Recently, Solana Ventures and the Solana Foundation formed a $100-million fund to help support the growth of NFT, blockchain gaming, and DeFi projects in South Korea.
The blockchain registered a month-on-month increase of over 18%. Ethereum, on the other hand, saw a decline of 23.75% during this timeframe. The recent spike in these NFT volumes ultimately renders SOL to be more useful while revealing the underlying growth of its NFT projects.Also, Meta's intentions to include Solana-based NFTs on Instagram reignites recovery hopes for the token.
USD 15.54 Billion
The global Non-Fungible Token (NFT) market size was USD 15.54 Billion in 2021 and is expected to register a revenue CAGR of 34.2% during the forecast period. In 2021 North America was attributed to 52.8% of global volume.
DYOR | Not financial Advice
BTC over $200k on 2025- 2023 will have double top at the price under $58k
- 2024 will return entry at the price under $17k
- 2025 will take profit at the price over $200k
Bitcoin longterm chartI thought it was time to make a longterm chart, with all these wrong charts going around, hehe.
They are wrong because bitcoins support and resistance lines are NOT linear in the logarithmic chart.
I think that the correct fit is a square root function in the logarithmic chart, meaning that the growth is slowing down on long timescales. BTC cannot just continue to grow exponentially. This would lead to insane prices of many millions in 2025.
I am a bitcoin longterm bull, but one has to remain realistic.
The cause of these growth cycles are the halvings, which lead to a supply shock with a subsequent rally. Every time.
These are all guesstimates of course, but I think this chart is realistic.
The very longterm goal of BTC, in 2030+, is at around 1 million USD imho. It won't go much higher afterwards, it can be seen as the final asymptotic price.
The next peaks should be at around 100k in 2022, and around 300k in 2026.
I hope this chart helps people understand the longterm growth dynamics of BTC :)
