Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Drop to Almost Six-Month LowAlphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Drop to Almost Six-Month Low
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) shares closed below $150 yesterday, a level last seen in late March this year.
According to Barron’s, the stock is under pressure due to ongoing litigation with the US Department of Justice (DOJ), which:
→ claims Google holds a monopoly over software used for buying and selling digital ads, alleging the company uses its size to stifle competition.
→ argues that Google employed unlawful methods to block rival ad technologies, forcing advertisers and publishers to use its systems.
The DOJ suggests that Google should divest a product called Ad Manager.
Google, however, maintains that the digital advertising market is more competitive than ever, and the government's arguments don’t reflect the current state of affairs. The company asserts that its case involves website ads, while most of the advertising industry has shifted to apps, social media, and Smart TVs.
As the case proceeds, it may act as a bearish factor for Alphabet’s stock price. Technical analysis of GOOGL shares today shows:
→ Since May last year, long-term price movement has formed an upward linear regression channel (blue), with the current price dropping below the channel’s lower boundary and the RSI indicator entering the oversold zone for the second time this year.
→ Short-term price movement since late April 2024 forms a downward linear regression channel (red), with the median line acting as resistance (indicated by the red arrow) – a bearish signal.
Potential support levels for GOOGL shares include:
→ The psychological $150 level.
→ A bullish gap zone around $146.
→ The lower boundary of the red channel.
Given this, it’s reasonable to expect GOOGL’s stock price may recover in the coming days from these support levels, especially if there are signs the trial could conclude in Alphabet Inc.'s favour.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOOGL
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GOOGLE You can still catch this BUY to based on these indicatorsAlphabet Inc. (GOOG) is in the process of forming a bottom following the July and early August correction. Technically it has already priced the new Higher Low (green Arc) on the 20-month Channel Up but is underperforming relative to the rest of the tech sector.
This is why it hasn't yet broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) but this isn't at all discouraging. Every break within this long-term Channel Up below the 1D MA100 and subsequent recovery above it, confirmed the start of its new Bullish Leg. This has only taken place when the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark, which last took place on August 16.
The above occurrences indicate that it is not late to catch this unique long-term buy on Google. Following the October 27 2023 Low, the first High it made was after a +28.14% rise. As a result our first long-term Target is $200.
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Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) Shares Under PressureAlphabet Inc (GOOGL) Shares Under Pressure
On 24th July, we noted in our analysis of the Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) price chart:
→ The share price had fallen despite the report's results surpassing analysts' expectations;
→ The upward momentum in the price chart was losing strength.
Since that publication, the Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) share price has dropped by 5%. While the sharp decline in stock markets on 5th August significantly impacted it, it's worth noting that since the previous Monday, the share price has been recovering more poorly than the index.
Bearish sentiment is being driven by:
→ A delay in showcasing the capabilities of the Gemini AI assistant at the “Made by Google” event;
→ Speculation about a potential breakup of Google under US antitrust laws. According to Benzinga, the US Department of Justice (DOJ) is considering this possibility.
Technical analysis of the Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) stock chart shows that:
→ The price has dropped below the blue ascending channel;
→ The price has broken below the $164 level, which had acted as support since the gap formation in late April. This week, it is showing signs of resistance;
→ Price action in early August has formed the contours of an expanding fan pattern (shown in red).
If bulls manage to break through the $164 level, they may encounter resistance from the next fan line (shown as a dashed line).
Meanwhile, 37 Wall Street analysts surveyed by TipRanks have positive forecasts:
→ 30 analysts recommend buying Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) shares, with none recommending a sell;
→ The price target for Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) is $204.74 over the next 12 months (+24.72% from yesterday’s close).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Valuation Trade Setups: NVDA, AVGO, GOOGL, AMZN, PINS & SilverI have been filled long on some trades based on my valuation trading strategy.
In this video I explain the strategy (conditional criteria, entries & money management) implemented with this weeks entries in NVDA, AVGO & Silver (as well as resting orders for GOOGL, AMZN & PINS). I also briefly explain the idea of "relative strength", which I applied this week when I decided to long Silver instead of Copper.
Enjoy.
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GOOGL Short Term bounce, but Long Term crash??A lot of this drop on NASDAQ:GOOGL is due to AI news and possible bubble bust. I dont think investors are giving up on GOOGL and expect to see a short term bounce to around the 172-173 area this coming week. Market depending.
I think 155 looks a lot better to buyers rather than 167 but we shall see. Either way another big move is waiting for NASDAQ:GOOGL We just need to see if buyers will step in.
Weekly is still overbought. But Daily, 4HR and smaller Timeframes looks like it will bounce.
GOOGLE Correction completed. Buying again for a $210 Target.Last time we made a call on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) on July 11 (see chart below), we caught the most optimal sell entry, right at the top of the 21-month Channel Up:
The price not only broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 15, but today almost touched the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is holding since March 12.
This correction is consistent with the mid Bullish Leg pull-back that bottomed on July 11 2023 and then moved on to complete a +37.69% rise from the previous Higher Low. As a result, we think this is the best level to buy again and target $210.00 (+37.69% rise from the April 25 Higher Low.
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GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOGL at the start of the reversal:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $7.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOOGLE Top of the Channel makes pull-back likely. Buy the dip.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 03 2022 market bottom and on our last analysis (April 16, see chart below), it gave us an excellent buy entry, hitting eventually our 175.00 Target:
Right now the price is more than half-way on the new Bullish Leg but has come very close to the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line). Based on the June 07 2023 Top and the previous major Bullish Leg, we might get a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), before going for the final Higher High.
As as result, we are now willing to buy only after a 1D MA50 contact and Target $210.00, which will represent a +37.60% rise from the recent Higher Low, similar to the Bullish Leg of 2023.
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