Goldtradingstrategy
Gold Continues to Fall!!!The announcement of a temporary ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon might lead to short-term downward pressure on Gold prices, as it alleviates immediate concerns about regional instability. However, any escalation in tensions or broader economic impacts could reverse this trend.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall after the ascending channel broke with the help of the above news .
Gold is trying to break the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold completed the corrective zigzag pattern , and we must wait for the next falling waves .
After breaking the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) , I expect Gold to fall to at least the Next Support zone($2,605-$2,584) .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
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XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
Since our last analysis on XAUUSD , it has followed the second scenario and dropped down to 2640 and now even lower. With this in mind, we now have again two possible scenarios. We are sitting at two important KL’s (Key Levels) and we will be sitting out until we see a clear break. It might look like a mess, but it’s pretty simple.
Scenario 1: BUYS
We broke above 2640 . That would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) 2660 .
Scenario 2: SELLS
We broke below 2604 , and are now targeting breaks of 2590 and revisits of 2550 .
Personal opition:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair. Be extremely careful if we revisit 2660.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2640 would confirm buys.
- XAUUSD failing to break above 2660 would confirm sells.
- Breaks below 2604 would result in sells, down to 2590 and 2550.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
Since our last analysis on XAUUSD , gold rose from 2550 all the way up to our targeted 2700 Key Level . Right now we are trading at 2680s. What to look out for now? What’s next? We have two possible scenarios.
Scenario 1: BUYS
We broke above 2685 and trading above 2696 . That would confirm continuation buys and we would be targeting 2730 .
Scenario 2: SELLS
We failed to break above 2685 and are trading below it. That would confirm our sells and we would be targeting 2650-2640 .
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2685 would confirm buys.
- XAUUSD failing to break above 2685 would confirm sells.
- Trading above 2696 would confirm our next target 2730.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Benchmarking a trend with a moving average (Example: Gold)They say a bad workman blames his tools.
Quite often, good work means using the right tools.
In a trend you need to use trend-following tools - and the most famous indicator is the moving average.
When it's a fast-moving trend, you need to use averages taken over shorter periods (e.g. 20 day SMA > 200 day SMA). Likewise a slower trend needs averages taken over longer periods (e.g. 20 week > 50 day).
Gold has just bounced off the 20 week moving average for the fourth time. The market is clearly benchmarking this trend according to this specific average.
So while the price is above this moving average the trend is intact - and when it eventually breaks below it will be an important signal that the strength of the trend has weakened - and could be about to reverse.
On the daily chart a rising trendline has broken but we would argue the reason the rebound off the low has been so strong is because the price rebounded off the 20 week moving average.
For now our bias is bullish but there are no good risk:reward opportunities to buy and it remains unclear whether the short term uptrend can continue after the trendline break
XAUUSD WILL FLY OR NOT FROM 2612?The gold market is on the rise, offering boundless opportunities for those who are ready to trade with vision and strategy. As gold takes flight, this is your moment to harness its momentum, think sharp, and make calculated moves. Let your mind lead the way, turning potential into profit and opportunities into golden realities.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed, allowing us to buy dips using our weighted levels to track the movement down and catch the buys up.
We started with our bearish target at 2703 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock to open the retracement range.
- This was hit perfectly fand gave the reactional bounce into the highlighted area at 2684. Allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
The retracement range was again retested and now broken after no lock above 2684, which followed with a test now into the swing range. We will now patiently wait for a reaction on this range for the bounce or a lock bellow to open the range further down.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
2638
SWING RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2620
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
What are your thoughts on Gold? Possible Rally??Could we see a rally back to Structure break or Area of Interest???
-Price has broken through and retested Bullish Trend line
-Price has broken through Structure Swing Low
- LH Created
Thesis: Wait for price to pull back to 1)Structure break or 2) Area of interest
Notes:
bearish run is rejecting Daily lvl 2558 W/ Massive rejection wick.
1) Rally to Area of Interest would be around 50% prz. (Head & Shoulders R Pattern)
2) Rally to Structure low (MSS) would be a 23.6prz.
Risk aversion fades, trend turns to sellGold risk aversion has been alleviated, and gold has broken down directly. The bullish trend of gold has been temporarily alleviated. After the decline of gold, the bulls have no strong counterattack. It is difficult for gold bulls to make great achievements for the time being. Gold rebounds and continues to be short.
Gold broke down with the relief of risk aversion, and then the 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the gold bullish rise has weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to 2683. Gold rebounded to 2683 in the US market and was shorted at highs. It can be shorted near the rebound of 2680.
SELL: 2680-2683
GOLD:Continue to go long
Last week rose too much, there will be a large repair and shock at the beginning of this week, the general trend of the weekly line has been affirmed, yesterday's article I also mentioned, in the repair of the back step is we once again layout more single opportunities, weekly positive bag negative, this week will be the inertia of the long rise, the possibility of turning down again is small, the market is always right, we are just a follow, I still adhere to the trend operation. Also note that the market will be closed this week for Thanksgiving.
V shape is very clear, this week to see a big repair 4 hours has closed the big Yin plunge, and to the market to a surprise, we estimate the repair range is 2660-2710, more single opportunity close to 2660 to continue to do long, the current trend here after the retreat began to pull up, 2665 can also go long, the upper space is large, Continue to retracement 2660 and add long position, target 2700-2710. Short chance estimate is the time before the pressure rebound, the magnitude of this big wave is very large we can both long and short.
Support 2660, strong support 2642, pressure 2700-2710, disc strong and weak water line 2690
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold just had its best week in recent times! This video analyzes the key factors driving the price surge – including geopolitical events and the latest US economic data.
As Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive demand, this video illustrates my trading idea. Join me as I analyze Gold’s price action, identify critical levels, and share actionable insights for the coming week. Let me know yours!
#gold #goldinvesting #marketanalysis #usdata #pmi #consumersentiment #inflation #fed #tradingstrategy #forex
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Market analysis, trading strategy in the 2690~2721 rangeThe global geopolitical situation is tense, and the risk aversion sentiment of gold is strong. The bullish trend is still the mainstream this week. This week's trading should still be based on low and long. The high point of 2710 last week was broken, and it is possible to see 2750 and 2790 this week. In principle, we still don't guess the top. Combine the pattern to do a good job in each wave of the market. The Asian session opened high and then fell back, with the lowest at 2690. It is currently rising again. Then, the trend point of the day is very obvious. Continue to buy more near 2690!
After the Asian session opened low, gold continued to rise sharply. The upper pressure fell back to 2721. Gold began to fluctuate in the short term, and the gold trend is still bullish. After a continuous surge in gold, it is normal for gold to fall back and fluctuate. However, gold is still bullish now. It is the right approach to continue to buy more after a fall.
The 1-hour moving average of gold still broke through and arranged upward. The short-term fluctuated between 2690-2721. It continued to buy more on dips when it fell back to 2690 in the Asian session.
First support: 2700, second support: 2689, third support: 2675
First resistance: 2720, second resistance: 2735, third resistance: 2750
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2690-2692
SELL: 2720-2723
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2728 and a gap below at 2703. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
2638
SWING RANGE
2638 - 2620
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2736 and a gap below at 2694, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2736
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2736 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2785 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2821
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2821 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2858
BEARISH TARGETS
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2565 - 2519
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our updated daily chart idea that we updated last week.
This chart is playing out perfectly, as we had the support test at 2560 weighted level with no ema5 cross confirming support for the rejection and bounce like we analysed.
This followed with the bullish target gap at 2629 being hit with a cross and lock opening 2686. 2686 was hit perfectly completing this range. We now have candle body close above 2686 leaving a gap above at 2760 but ema5 cross and lock will further confirm this.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now.
This chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We were able to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejection into the retracement range below for the correction.
We have been suggesting over the last few weeks that we will be looking for the channel top and the retracement range to provide the support for a reaction.
We also stated that we have a body close below the retracement range opening the swing range but will need ema5 cross and lock to further confirm this. No lock below confirmed the rejection. The new weekly candle this week also had the ema5 detachment to the top, which followed with the correction above to re-attach and now heading towards the 2729 axis target once again.
Overall the channel top provided the support like we analysed. Although we saw candle body closes below the channel there was no ema5 break into the channel, which allowed us to identify the fake-out and confirm the support. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps for the future.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future..
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 25-28th: GOLD Resumes Bullish Trend.After three bearish Weekly candles, safehaven seekers pushed the prices past the previous weekly high with a strong close. Will this continue next week? I suspect it will. The Monthly and Weekly TFs show bullishness, and indicate the bearishness was short term.
That said, I am prepared to sell if the entry function presents itself at the current -FVG price is contacting. This price level is in the premium of the trading range, making it a great area to look for a short. But it is counter-trend, so a reasonable profit target is in order.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD ROUTE MAP MARKET REVIEWHey Everyone,
A smashing finish to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out to perfection completing all our targets.
After completing targets and updating throughout the week, yesterday we finished with a cross and lock above 2649 leaving a gap target open to 2678.
- This target was hit today completing this chart idea and more .
4H CHART UPDATE
Our 4H chart idea also completed all targets this week, with each level giving us cross and lock confirmation with plenty of time to get in for the action.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX