GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the chart today, allowing us to continue to buy dips inline with our plans.
We now have an extended range to buy dips, as the swing range is open from the ema5 break below 2611. However, currently we are seeing a nice push up, heading towards completing the bounce from the retracement range to 2633, as highlighted on the chart.
We will now keep in mind the extended range due to swing range lock, managing risk and range when buying dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldtradingstrategy
Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00
Pivot Point: 2624.00
The pivot point at 2624.00 is a crucial resistance level for gold. As long as the price remains below this level, the outlook is bearish, indicating potential for a downward movement. A break above this level would change the sentiment to bullish.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Look for short positions as long as the price holds below the pivot point of 2624.00.
Target Levels:
2605.00: This first downside target indicates that selling pressure could drive the price lower, reflecting bearish momentum.
2595.00: The next target represents further downside potential, reinforcing the bearish outlook if the gold price continues to decline.
Alternative Scenario:
If gold rises above the pivot point at 2624.00, traders should consider long positions.
Entry Point: Initiate long positions if the price breaks and remains above 2624.00.
Target Levels:
2634.00: This level represents the first upside target, indicating potential bullish momentum if buying pressure increases.
2642.00: A further rise to this target suggests sustained bullish sentiment, indicating more upward potential.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is below its neutral level, suggesting bearish momentum as selling pressure exceeds buying pressure.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is negative and below its signal line, further supporting a bearish trend.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading below both its 20-period and 50-period moving averages (at 2621.00 and 2628.00, respectively), indicating a negative outlook.
Market Dynamics:
As long as gold remains below the pivot point of 2624.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward 2605.00 and 2595.00.
A break above the pivot would shift sentiment, leading to potential gains toward 2634.00 and 2642.00.
Summary:
The pivot point at 2624.00 is critical for maintaining a bearish outlook for gold. Holding below this level opens the possibility for price decreases toward 2605.00 and 2595.00.
Current technical indicators support the bearish sentiment, but a reversal could occur if the price breaks above the pivot resistance.
Gold - Potential Rejection at Key ResistanceGold is approaching a key resistance level, which was previously a support. If the price retests this level, there’s a possibility that it could get rejected. This would signal a potential opportunity for traders to look for short entries or at least be cautious with long positions until there's clear confirmation of a breakout.
Keep an eye on the price action around this zone and watch for rejection signals before making any decisions.
10.10 Gold price under pressure for six consecutive days, pay atOn Wednesday (October 9), spot gold plunged nearly $15. After the latest minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released, the market's expectations that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged in November suddenly heated up, which stimulated the strength of the US dollar and hit gold prices.
Due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the weakening expectations of the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate cut in November, gold fell for the sixth consecutive trading day on Wednesday. Spot gold closed down $14.13, or 0.54%, at $2,607.71 per ounce on Wednesday. The price of gold fell to a low of $2,605.16 per ounce during the session.
Intraday data focus:
US September unadjusted CPI annual rate
US September seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate
US initial jobless claims for the week ending October 5 (10,000)
Technical analysis:
1. There may be more pullbacks in the Asian session, and the European session will rise.
2. Only when the 2,624 watershed is broken will it fluctuate. If it is suppressed, it will still be a weak correction.
3. Pay attention to the pullback in the US market.
Therefore, if the Asian market reaches 2611-2, go long, stop loss 04, and the target is 2624-6. Strong resistance is 2630-32.
The US market cycle is short, and it depends on the strength of the European market's pullback, but the rhythm of the cycle has not changed.
10.10 Analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (October 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $2,610.88 per ounce. Gold prices fell more than 1% during Tuesday's session, hitting a low of $2,604.68 per ounce, the lowest since September 20, and closed at $2,621.76 per ounce. Recent US employment data hit expectations of a larger rate cut, and as Hezbollah supported efforts to reach a ceasefire, market concerns about a possible all-out war in the Middle East cooled, also weakening gold's safe-haven buying.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
On the daily chart, gold prices are close to the trend line, and buyers are expected to intervene at this point, setting a risk range below the trend line, ready to push gold prices up and set new highs. Sellers hope to see gold prices break below the trend line to increase bearish bets and fall to new lows.
4-hour chart
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices fell below the recent low yesterday, then pulled back and continued to fall. Buyers want to see gold prices rise back above $2,625 to prepare to push prices higher and set new highs, while sellers may continue to target the trendline for now.
1-hour chart
On the 1-hour chart, the lower limit of today's daily range is near the trendline. If gold prices fall to the trendline today, the trendline should limit the decline. Tomorrow's US CPI report may determine whether gold prices continue to rise or fall further
The US CPI report and US unemployment claims data will be released. On Friday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index report will be released.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
We are seeing a repeat of yesterday with price finding support at the retracement range and giving multiple bounces on this weighted level allowing us to buy dips.
As stated yesterday; we will now look for support above here for e re-test at 2633 or a cross and lock below 2611 retracement range will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold on the Verge: Eyeing 2,602 for the Next Move!Gold is currently showing signs of weakness on the 30-minute chart, and I have entered a short position based on the technical structure. The market has seen a slight pullback, but the bearish momentum seems to be taking over as it continues to test lower levels.
Key Technical Insights:
• Entry Price Area: short trade was initiated around 2,621.22.
• Stop Loss: The SL is set above the retracement zone, close to 2,629.02 to avoid any sudden upside retracement.
• Take Profit (TP): The potential downside target looks like 2,612, though there could be room for price movement lower, towards 2,608 or even 2,6002 depending on momentum.
Risk Management:
Given the shorter timeframe of the trade, this is a quick trade opportunity with a moderate risk profile. Traders should monitor the trade closely and be prepared to exit if the price action suggests a reversal. As always, if you are in profit, consider taking partials to secure gains and manage risk effectively.
Let’s see how this short setup unfolds, and as always, remember to pay yourself when the trade starts moving in your favor!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00
Pivot Point: 2631.00
The pivot at 2631.00 is a significant resistance level. The price remaining below this point indicates bearish sentiment in the market. If the price breaks above this level, it may signal a shift towards a bullish trend.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Initiate short positions below 2631.00.
Target Levels:
2605.00: This is the first target, representing a potential decline of 26 pips from the pivot. This level may attract some buying interest; however, strong bearish momentum could push through it.
2595.00: The next target indicates a further decline of 36 pips. If selling pressure continues, this level could be reached as a significant downside extension.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price moves above the pivot point at 2631.00, consider long positions.
Entry Point: If the price breaks and sustains above 2631.00, initiate long positions.
Target Levels:
2642.00: The first upside target, suggesting a potential rise of 11 pips from the pivot. This level could serve as initial resistance.
2653.00: The next target indicates a further upside move of 22 pips, suggesting potential for a stronger bullish trend if momentum builds.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is likely reflecting bearish momentum, suggesting further downside as the price remains below the pivot.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is expected to be below its signal line, confirming bearish sentiment.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term weakness and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Market Dynamics:
As long as the resistance at 2631.00 is not surpassed, the risk of breaking below 2605.00 remains high, potentially leading to further declines toward 2595.00.
A sustained break above 2631.00 may shift market sentiment, opening the path for a move toward the upside targets at 2642.00 and 2653.00.
Gold is poised for a potential decline as long as it remains below 2631.00, with targets set at 2605.00 and 2595.00 for further downside.
A breach above 2631.00 could indicate a shift to bullish momentum, targeting 2642.00 and 2653.00 for further upside.
Has gold seen bottom? Can we continue to be bearish?
Yesterday I clearly suggested shorting at 2648, and 2630 was not the short-term bottom. The final result was in line with expectations and unexpected, because the gold price plummeted by nearly $50, not only reaching our target of 2615, but also reaching the lowest point of 2604. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have made a lot of money. Congratulations!
Let's get back to the point. Because the market's bets on the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts have faded and most of the market's positions have chosen to take profits, gold fell sharply by nearly $50 during the US trading session yesterday, with the short-term low reaching 2604, and then the decline narrowed. As of now, it has remained around 2620 for consolidation.
From the gold daily chart, although the lowest point reached 2604, the final closing price was above 2620, just when the daily MA20 daily moving average position was held, and there was no effective break.
So since the lower support has not broken, we cannot directly choose to continue shorting today. Instead, we have to wait for the rebound power to be consumed before going short, and the upper suppression area will be a good choice.
From the 1H chart, the previous support of 2630 has now turned into resistance, and the same is true for the 2640 line. Therefore, today we need to observe the resistance situation in the 2630-2640 area. Once there is a sign of reversal here, I think it is an opportunity to short.
If there are any latest changes in transaction details, I will update you in time in the channel. If you are interested, you can enter below.
10.9 Gold bottoming out may not be over yetGold fell below the low point of the previous correction yesterday, and the daily line went out of the 5-day negative pattern. This is too much for the bull correction. The continuous negative time is too long, but from the price point of view, it is not, and the amplitude is not enough.
The price broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages, which means that the overall pattern has weakened. Especially after 5 consecutive negatives, there is still momentum for further retracement today.
For today, the probability of continuing the oscillation cycle is still very high.
1. The bottoming out and rebounding during the day, the European market rebounded.
2. The US market rushed down and continued to fall, but the European market rose, and the probability of breaking the bottom today is small. Just look at it as a shock.
3. The previous low point is supported at 2613-4.
In terms of data: EIA crude oil inventory in the United States as of October 4 (10,000 barrels)
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2608 target 2628---2635
SELL: 2635 target 2625----2620
XAU/USD 09 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Wednesday Market Analysis and SignalsTechnical aspect
Technical aspect: the continuous decline of gold daily line broke the adjustment range of the past two weeks. After the daily New York closing price of ten weeks MA10 daily moving average, the current MA7/10 daily moving average opened downward to suppress the 2644/2647 line, the 5-day moving average is at the 2638 line, the RSI indicator callback is close to the central axis, the four-hour moving average dead cross opened downward, the price is running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band, the RSI indicator is running below the central axis 50 value, and the short-term moving average suppresses 2632/36.
Gold 4 hours continues to turn downward, and there is still room for gold shorts. Gold 4 hours has shown a multiple top structure, and then fell and broke. Gold has fallen below the previous low point. The previous gold transaction concentration area above 2632 has now formed a heavy pressure area; gold rebounds to 2632 and continues to short at highs.
Sell high and buy low in the 2600~2632 range
Tuesday Market Analysis and SignalsIn the early Asian session on Tuesday, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,641 per ounce. Gold prices fluctuated and fell 0.38% on Monday, rising to around $2,660 at the highest point during the session and hitting a low of $2,637. Federal Reserve officials said that it is not appropriate to relax monetary policy excessively. Recent employment data is good, and investors have lowered their expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sharply in November. The US dollar remains strong, and the US Treasury yield has risen above 4% for the first time in two months, which has also put pressure on gold prices!
The US dollar hovered at its highest level in seven weeks, making gold denominated in US dollars more expensive for investors holding other currencies. The US 10-year Treasury yield broke through 4% for the first time in more than two months on Monday, which means that the opportunity cost of holding gold has increased, reducing the attractiveness of gold. In the short term, gold prices are still facing the risk of further correction in the short term, but the prospect of further interest rate cuts by major central banks around the world and geopolitical tensions still attract bargain hunting and safe-haven buying to support gold prices. This will limit the correction space for gold prices.
On this trading day, we need to pay attention to the US trade account in August, continue to pay attention to the speeches of Fed officials and news related to the geopolitical situation, and pay attention to the impact of the performance of global stock markets on risk aversion.
Huang Jin continued to fluctuate and adjust in a wide range, consolidating around the triangle range of the hourly chart, and continue to pay attention to the intraday adjustment of the 2630/2670 range. The 4-hour moving average has already crossed, and it has not been able to break through the moving average after multiple upward surges. The 2652 line has become a barrier. There is also an important signal, that is, no news that is bullish on gold has pushed it up, and the gold price may turn down at any time!
Asian market trading strategy:
2630-2632 long, stop loss 2621, target 2650-2660;
2652-2654 short, stop loss 2663, target 2630-2620;
World gold costs dropped sharply withinside World gold prices dropped sharply in the context of the rising USD index. Recorded at 0:00 on October 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 102,340 points (up 0.04%).
World gold prices faced a wave of selling when a senior official of Hezbollah expressed support for Lebanese officials' efforts towards a ceasefire. Market participants are seeing the news as a easing of tensions in the Middle East.
Not only gold, news about Hezbollah has "sunk" the crude oil market - a commodity that is closely related to precious metals. Nymex crude oil price decreased by about 3.75 USD/barrel to 73.5 USD/barrel.
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: GOLD | XAUUSDGOLD | XAUUSD is in consolidation currently. I am waiting for it to touch down at the Weekly +FVG and move higher. I'm interested more in long setups versus shorts. Patience usually pays, so I wait and watch for valid setups to form this week.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
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I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today with our analysis playing out once again.
We got the Bullish target hit yesterday at 2655 and then no ema5 cross and lock above the level confirmed the rejection.
Today we got our Bearish target at 2633 hit, which also gave us the weighted level bounce inline with our plans to buy dips safely for 30 to 40 pips. Followed with a break below 2633 completing the retracement range at 2611 in true level to level fashion.
We will now look for support above here for e re-test at 2633 or a cross and lock below 2611 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
GOLD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
Short gold near 2640 in the London marketShort gold at the opening of the market, waiting to verify the profit
2640 -2638 Sell
tp2630-2628
The transaction has been executed. Waiting for verification of profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Just personal operation. For reference only.
10,8 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAt the end of the Asian session on Tuesday (October 8), spot gold maintained its intraday decline, and the current gold price fell to around $2,627/ounce. Spot gold closed down 0.41% on Monday at $2,642.28/ounce.
There was no important data released from Monday to Wednesday to guide the market, but the speeches of several Fed officials need special attention, and then there is the September CPI data on Thursday, the initial jobless claims data for the week, and the minutes of the Fed meeting at 2 a.m.
From the daily level, a small negative column was recorded yesterday, and the price remained below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other cycles were arranged upward. The Bollinger overall intended to close, the MACD double-line dead cross probed downward, and the green kinetic energy column increased in volume, which was in line with the K-line trend. The primary pressure above was around $2,650, which was close to the previous high. Below this, the daily line still tended to be short.
$2,650 is the first resistance, and further resistance upwards is near 2,660 (three points above and below). If the intraday rebound does not break through and there is no geopolitical situation to increase risk aversion to support it, the technical retracement and repair demand will continue. Further support below is $2,630. After breaking through, it can extend to the $2,620-2,618 range. In other words, today's trend is expected to retrace first. If it can retrace to the expected range, you can participate in the bullish trend.