Trump, Fed Speculation Drive Gold to New Heights Trump, Fed Speculation Drive Gold to New Heights
Gold price cleared the May 20 high of $2450 on Tuesday, as expectations intensify that the U.S. Federal Reserve will commence an easing cycle in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the Economic Club of Washington this week, noting the economy's solid performance and signaling potential rate cuts once inflation trends towards the 2% target.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates near-certain odds of a 25-basis point rate cut in September, with many forecasting a total of 50 basis points in cuts through 2024. But one has to question the accuracy of these optimistic predictions. The next FOMC meeting is in 14 days.
Adding to the upward momentum on gold is the potential election of former President Donald Trump in November. Trump's proposed policies, including tariff hikes and tax cuts, are anticipated to increase the U.S. budget deficit and spur inflationary pressures.
Bullish momentum in gold appears intact, supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart. Although it is trending higher and approaching typical overbought conditions.
Goldtrader
XAUUSD 3 options for monday! have a look happy sunday gold fans! hope you're well and enjoying your weekend awaiting football!
Id like to see a move down to the zone i wanted friday to buy but with whats gone on with trump this weekend, id like to think it may just shoot up for the all time high.
For me to sell id like to see some price forming bearish structure in the daily engulfing first
Im under no illusion that all time high may not happen so im prepared either way, this is why im a scalper so i can react to price as it happens and happy to take buys and sells
daily trend is still broken to the upside for now so lets see if we continue higher at open, but to be honest, im probably gonna be a bit pissed by then lol
catch you in london!!
tommy
XAUUSD All time high tomorrow?!gold ganggggg what a great day again catching the sells down after cpi!! amazin catch planned and executed to perfection.
We have big friday and PPI news tomorrow which could catapult us to all time high once again
before that id love to see a retrace back to the origin of the news move today and buy up
its gonna be a crazy day!!! lets strap in
follow me if you're not .. dont miss out
catch you in london
tommy
XAUUSD CPI day! lets deep dive ... good evening gold gang! hope you're all well and had a great day! .. i would have loved the buys up but i just couldnt get an entry so the sells had to do from the top zone down to the newly formed liquidity .. lovely
price currently still respecting 4h trend to the upside. I have an important daily level where the trend meets to take buys from in london, only problem is the no wick candle below it which can be a liquidity target
no sells confirmation until all trend is broken below .. im still bullish so im predicting a bullish CPI .. i may change my mind as price unfolds in asia and london
lets do what we always do, turn up in session and take highly probable trades
follow, boost and like if you want more of this content from me
catch you in london
Tommy boi
COME ON ENGLAND!!!!!
btcusdas i predict 2 weeks a go, price reached to imbalance and drop beautifuly. as we see it been respected on support level 53.800. support become ressistance and if we looking for further drop then we wait for a pull back level is 58.600, 59.300 on weekly frame. let me know your thoughts, ask me what pair you like to know.
XAUUSD the range of death!!!good morning gold gang ill be very brief here!
price is stuck in the range awaiting NFP with baited breath. I want to wait for a break out of either side before taking trades unless with get a clear opportunity
4h closures outside would be ideal! wait for the pull back and go ... need to see!
T
XAUUSD Closed above 4h trend to BUY !Good evening gold gang hope you are and made some money in an overall rangey day. We took the sells from the 4h zone for 100+ pips in the NY session and that was enough for me. Buys were also good from the bottom of the zone but one and done is enough.
We have closed on the 4h above the trend and showing bullish intension to buy up to the top zone! ill have to re asses in london to determine how im getting in but would prefer the 4h zone at 2339 to be broken first. Lots of clean traffic above which should provide very fast movement up.
sells need 4 hr closure below 2320 in order to confirm inline with the daily trend.
other than that lets have a good session tomorrow as we did today!
follow for updates!
tommy
XAUUSD Critical level!! must read good evening gold gang!! its that time once again its sunday night ready for the open!!
New month new quarter and half the year done!! it goes so quick
gold right now is on the verge of breaking to the upside to attack the highs once again .. but it needs to break above and close where it is now
im BEARISH on the daily time frame so ill be looking for good selling opportunities below the zone tomorrow .. if asian presents us with bullish PA then i will be buying .. its all dependant on closures above or below this level of 2321
stay tuned during the day for updates ... if you're not following me then you are MISSING OUT!! hit the button now
catch you in london
big T
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Structure Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for next week.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2277 - 2298 area
Resistance 1: 2360 - 2368 area
Resistance 2: 2375 - 2387 area
Resistance 3: 2426 - 2450 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD last day of month/quarter. Expect fireworks Good evening gold gang!!!! hope you're well and ready to rumble once again
today we saw a huge expansion to the upside breaking all down structure, im happy to say we got in at the bottom to buy up!! i personally took 50 pips as i needed to leave the screen but the group took a lot more, congrats you lot
I am looking for buys now the price has shown us the change of trend so a pull back in asian would be fantastic for me
incase of catastrophic sells, expect the major algo to hit .. i predict its gonna be a mad one tomorrow!!!!!
lets lock in last day of the month!
see you in london
tommy
XAUUSD congrats sellers!! whats next?! good evening gold gang! wow another great day price following the analysis perfectly!! .. we caught the sells in the group but i was stopped at break even before the big drop once again but many in the group stayed in so congrats you lot!
the HTF trend is broken but the fundamentals are still bullish so keep an eye on the major news announcements this week. I would like to see a pull back in asia to sell down in london again to the major algo 2279. Id like it to spike there to take buys back up to follow news but will need to see at the time
no buys for me at the minute until the level at 2312 is cleared and closed above ..
lets have another good day! follow this page and like if you want me to keep posting on here again after a break ,, im enjoying it!
catch you in london
Tommy
XAUUSD Analysis was great, execution was not .. heres why Good evening gold gang!! another lovely bit of short term analysis playing out with a little twist ... price broke structure in asian as expected before shooting up in london pre ny! This had us fooled as it looked like it was coming up but it was actually tapping the zone from yesterday before dropping all the way through in the intended position.
The sells i had eyed up from the top .. but they were outside of my trading hours pre NY so i followed my rules and didnt take them
The current area were in now is dangerous as its sandwiched between 2 HTF zones and we need a break out. Price is respecting the current trend being bullish .. but its very close on its 4th touch of the trend! so it could collapse in asia. Lets wait for a clear break of the zone before entering
catch me in the DMS if you have questions ... its nice to be back posting on here after so long and reconnecting with you all!
have a great rest of your day
big T
XAUUSD 2 options for tomorrow, lets discuss Good evening gold gang! a great day today catching 2 buy positions as planned last night. Well done to those who got in.
Price is still making bullish structure so i need to see a break of this and retest before selling currently. Buyers be aware we have a solid section of price at 2338 that will create a reaction .. ideally id like this cleared by london. Scalp sells can be available there but will need confirmation.
Geopolitical news of war etc is still bullish for gold and im expecting it to continue to rise as long as the HTF remains in trend.
the trend is your friend until the end as they say
have a great rest of your day and ill catch you in london
Tommy
Gold's Next Chapter: Technical Insights and Market TrendsGOLD (SPOT) – technical overview
The 2019 breakout above the 2016 high at 1375 was a significant development, opening the door for fresh record highs and this next major upside extension into the 2500-3000 area. Setbacks should now be well supported above 2000 on a monthly close basis.
R2 2451 – 20 May Record high – Strong
R1 2388 –7 June high – Medium
S1 2277 – 3 May low – Strong
S2 2223– 21 March high – Strong
GOLD (SPOT) – fundamental overview
The yellow metal has pushed record highs in 2024 with solid demand from medium and longer-term accounts. These players are more concerned about inflation, geopolitical risk and a less upbeat global growth outlook. All of this should keep the commodity well supported, with many market participants also fleeing to the hard asset as the grand dichotomy of record high equities and record low yields comes to an end.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
XAUUSD im still bullish on gold!! heres why whats up guys im back after a little while posting on here .. hope you're all well
Price to be failed to break swing lows on the daily and is respecting current 4h trend so i am still bullish! .. geopolitical factors too with the war keep me thinking price can come up
looking for confirmation to buy down here at the bottom during london session tomorrow but need to keep in mind the obstacles in my way like the 4h zone 2338 .. price is likely to bounce there
other than that lets see price play out in london and make informed decisions from there
have a great week!
tommy
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2277 - 2303 area
Resistance 1: 2360 - 2368 area
Resistance 2: 2378 - 2388 area
Resistance 3: 2426 - 2450 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Bearish Pattern
I spotted a strong bearish pattern on Gold on an hourly time frame.
After a strong bearish rally that initiated on Friday last week,
the market started a correctional movement within a rising channel - a bearish flag pattern.
A breakout of the support of the flag is a reliable bearish signal.
Probabilities are high that Gold will drop at least to 2295
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
key levels to focus on and trade on Gold.
Support 1: 2322 - 2328 area
Support 2: 2303 - 2308 area
Support 3: 2266 - 2286 area
Resistance 1: 2361 - 2364 area
Resistance 2: 2426 - 2450 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold ( XAUUSD ) analysis www.tradingview.com
On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD has developed a head and shoulders pattern, indicative of a classic reversal trend. The price is currently hovering around a pivotal support level, with the moving averages suggesting a potential for further downward movement.
A selling opportunity for XAUUSD may arise if the price breaks below the support at 2330, potentially leading to a further drop towards 2285.