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Goldsignals

XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal: Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless. Key Details: - Risk: 1% - RRR: 1:3 - Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone - TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance - Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
XAUUSD Still a great long-term buy opportunity targeting +$3000Gold (XAUUSD) has been following our Bull Cycle projection since 4 months back (August 05, see chart below) having risen an incredible +15%, from 2424 to almost 2800: As you can see by the chart we constructed back then, despite the recent correction in November, the yellow metal is still a buy opportunity as this was only a technical pull-back based on our Bear - Bull Cycle model. We have first come up with this technical pattern on April 04 2024 and the basis was the similarities (so far) of the July 2016 - August 2020 Bear-to-Bull Cycle with the Bear Cycle that followed the August 2020 Top and so far the current Bull Cycle. As you can see, once the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) turned to a Support at the end of the Bear Cycle, it held up until the Bull Cycle's Top and every pull-back was a buy opportunity. More specifically, the current November correction looks very similar to the COVID flash crash on March 2020 that touched the 1W MA50 and immediately rebounded. The key pattern here lies on the 1W RSI. As you see, once that broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, while Gold was on the Bull Cycle's Channel Up, it started to decline inside a Channel Down. That technical Bearish Divergence (RSI Channel Down against Gold's Channel Up) affected the price on the 3rd top (Lower High), which was the Cycle's peak. Right now it appears that the 1W RSI has (or is near) bottomed and is staring that final Bullish Leg to the Lower High that will form Gold's new Bull Cycle Top. Technically this should be after April 2025 and if it is formed again upon the completion of a +85.42% rally from the Bear Cycle's first bottom and at most the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, then we are still expecting a $3100 target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: I last week’s KOG Report we wanted the lower support level to hold 2710, give us the push up into the higher resistance level where we said watch 2720 and 2730 which needs to break above. It’s those higher levels, in particular 2750 we wanted to attempt that short trade back down into the lower levels. From the open, price resisted 2720, failed to break and gave us the red box trades down into the support levels. We then had to switch to level-to-level trading due to the ranging which worked well, but we only managed 5 out of 6 Gold targets out of a combined 16 targets completed across the other pairs. During the week we updated traders with the plans and managed guide them up from the lows to where we closed the week. It was another successful and consistent week; however, the market didn’t move completely how we wanted it to. The Election special chart however, still on track and working well with our view from the start of November. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Ok, it’s going to be another choppy week, trades are most likely going to be again level-to-level on the red boxes which we will share with the wider community as and when we can. We have the level of 2670 sticking out as resistance with the support level 2650-55 being the key level. With NFP on Friday we would expect most of the movement during the early part of the week before they then settle pre-event into a small range. The weekly key level here is 2620 which will need to break for price to go lower. We’ll start the week again looking for the higher levels 2662-5 and extension of the move into 2670, if held, an opportunity to short may be available into the lower support level 2650 and below that 2640. We need price to hold above the 2640 region in order to continue higher into the 2675 and above that 2678 price points, so please keep an eye on the support levels. On the flip, if we continue downside from the open, we will be looking at the 2640-5 region to hold, and if it does, an opportunity to long is on the horizon into the 2665 and above that 2675 region. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2640 with targets above 2655, 2665 and above that 2670 Bearish on break of 2640 with targets below 2635 and below that 2620-15 RED BOXES: Break above 2652 for 2660, 2665, 2670 and 2675 in extension of the move Break below 2640 for 2635, 2630 and 2617 in extension of the move As usual, we will update traders through the week with KOG’s bias of the day and the Red boxes which have proven to work extremely well on not only gold, but also any other pair you wish to apply them to together with our basket of indicators. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
Gold Becomes the Second Largest Central Bank Reserve AssetGold's importance as a reserve asset for central banks is on the rise According to Bank of America, gold has now overtaken the euro to become the second largest reserve asset, To be more precise, B of A should have specified that it is the eastern hemisphere Central Banks that are diversifying out of the U.S. dollar and the euro and buying gold and yuan. Currently, gold accounts for 16% of global bank reserves, while the dollar has dropped to about 58%, down from over 70% in 2002. Poland emerged as the largest buyer of gold in the second quarter of this year (though the specific amount purchased by China's PBoC remains undisclosed). Additionally, Poland is requiring that the gold it acquires be delivered directly to its Central Bank, rather than being stored by London banks. Turkey is another significant gold purchaser, and several African nations have also announced plans to increase Central Bank gold reserves. While it may not happen immediately, there’s potential for gold to surpass the dollar as the top reserve asset, especially if the BRIC nations and other Eastern hemisphere countries go forward with their rumored plans for a gold-backed trade currency. A BRICS Summit will be held in Kazan, Russia, from October 22nd to 24th, where discussions on a new trading currency may take place, though this has not been officially confirmed. On September 5th, Russia announced plans to ramp up its daily gold purchases from $13.5 million to $93 million (1.2 billion rubles to 8.2 billion rubles) for the next month, using surplus revenue from oil and gas. This information was reported by the Russian news agency, Interfax. This move seems to align with the potential development of a BRICS gold-backed trade settlement currency, or even a broader gold-backed currency system. I raise this point because the U.S. Federal Reserve is in a difficult position. It’s facing immense pressure from the market and Wall Street to reduce interest rates, but doing so could trigger a sharp decline in the value of the dollar. The chart referenced above shows a 5-year daily performance of the US dollar index, with the dollar currently testing the 100 level—a key technical support since early 2023. If the Federal Reserve begins cutting interest rates, it's highly likely the dollar will fall to 90, a level last seen in mid-2021. This decline would likely push gold prices toward $3,000 and silver toward $50. A weakening dollar presents several challenges. First, it could accelerate the reduction in the dollar's role as a reserve asset for global central banks. Even more concerning for the US, a depreciating dollar coupled with lower interest rates would make it harder to attract foreign investment to finance additional Treasury debt, a challenge that is already becoming evident. Additionally, the Fed is aware that inflation is running higher than what is reported by the CPI. Reducing rates will further drive real interest rates deeper into negative territory. While the official CPI suggests real rates are positive, using more comprehensive measures like the Shadow Stats Alternative CPI, real rates are currently at -3% using the 1990 CPI method and -6% based on the 1980 version. Negative real interest rates fuel price inflation, contributing to its persistence. Cutting rates further would likely intensify this inflationary pressure. This is one reason gold has been reaching new all time highs almost daily since the Fed cut rates earlier this month. Silver, similarly, is on the verge of breaking into the high $33 range. Precious metals markets are anticipating more than just optimistic Fed rhetoric about a strong economy and lower inflation; they are also predicting a potential return to money printing policies
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by moonypto
Gold will Go UP at least to PRZ!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise again after the conflict started in Syria as if the Middle East does not want to be calm (unfortunately). Every day is a new story. Gold started to rise again from the Support zone($2,644-$2,624) after the high point and is moving in an ascending channel . According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for it to rise again . I expect Gold to rise at least to the upper line of the Ascending Channel and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($2,675-$2,668) . ⚠️Note: We can expect more dumps if gold touches $2,647.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
5
Gold will go Down by Bearish Flag Pattern!!!GDP , Unemployment Claims , and Core PCE data were announced almost as expected . If the Unemployment Claims, GDP, and Core PCE data are released in line with expectations, their impact on the markets is usually limited because: 1-Priced-In Effect : Markets tend to adjust their pricing ahead of time based on forecasts. As a result, data matching expectations typically does not provoke major market reactions unless there are surprises in other economic indicators. 2-Market Stability : When key indicators align with predictions, investors often maintain their current strategies, leading to reduced volatility unless new risks or external shocks emerge. 3-Monetary Policy Implications : Data in line with expectations generally confirms the prevailing outlook for monetary policy. For example: But today's important news was the signing of the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel , which can reduce tensions in the Middle East and be a factor in preventing Gold from rising again . ------------------------------------------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) . From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold has succeeded in forming a Bearish Flag Pattern , we can confirm this pattern by breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 , and we should wait for main wave 5 . Based on the explanation above, I expect Gold to continue to decline to at least the Support zone($2,605-$2,584) . 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
XAUUSD Potential price correction from crossing of Resistance leGold (XAUUSD) has recently broken and closed above the $2,650 resistance zone, indicating strong bullish momentum. The market is now approaching the previous week's high at $2,686 and the psychological level at $2,700. Additionally, a global upward trendline, which has supported the price since the summer, lies above these levels. At these resistance points, there may be selling pressure, potentially causing the price to consolidate or move sideways. The market might also seek liquidity above the previous week's high before retracing. A break and retest scenario is possible, where the price tests these resistance levels and then pulls back. The target for this pullback is the support zone around $2,635. It's important to monitor price action near these key levels to confirm potential reversals or continuations. Traders should also consider external factors, such as economic data releases and geopolitical events, which can influence gold prices
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
XAUUSD Potential Up movement in the short-termThe XAU/USD market has demonstrated resilience at the 2,620 support level, with multiple tests resulting in rejections and the formation of long-tailed bars, indicating buyer intervention. This area functions as a swap zone where buying momentum has reasserted itself. On the daily chart, the price briefly dipped below the prior daily low, capturing liquidity before rebounding. Notably, the price remains within the previous week's range, oscillating between its upper and lower boundaries. The inability to breach the 2,620 support level suggests that buyers may aim to challenge the resistance zone near 2,679
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that yesterday, following the announcement of a potential ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, gold experienced a significant drop, correcting by over 800 pips down to $2,605. This sharp decline created a major liquidity gap, which I anticipate will likely be filled as prices recover soon. Additionally, today we have the critical CB Consumer Confidence data release, which could significantly impact the market and trigger high volatility. Be cautious with your trades and manage your risk effectively! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
99
Gold Continues to Fall!!!The announcement of a temporary ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon might lead to short-term downward pressure on Gold prices, as it alleviates immediate concerns about regional instability. However, any escalation in tensions or broader economic impacts could reverse this trend. Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall after the ascending channel broke with the help of the above news . Gold is trying to break the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) . According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold completed the corrective zigzag pattern , and we must wait for the next falling waves . After breaking the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) , I expect Gold to fall to at least the Next Support zone($2,605-$2,584) . 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
24