XAUUSD - Gold Short Near Major Resistance of Trend Line here is my idea about short trade, I'm looking for a short entry expecting downside movement if the price continues to struggle below these levels.
Gold struggle to break trend line Resistance which is indicating me good idea for short
Entry Type: Short/Sale
Entry Price: 2565.556
Take Profit: 2556.176
Stop lose: 2574.973
Good Luck!
Goldsell
Xauusd Gold preserves its bullish momentum and trades near $2,580 after setting a new record-high slightly above this level. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 3.7% as markets reassess the odds of a large Fed rate cut, helping XAU/USD push higher.
Gold now sell 2577
Support 2550
Resistance 2587
9.13 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, hitting a record high of $2,559.98 per ounce and closing at $2,558.54 per ounce, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the European Central Bank's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices. Considering the possibility of profit-taking on Friday, we will patiently pay attention to the strength of profit-taking in gold today.
Market expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting. The probability of a 25 basis point cut is 73%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. This expectation has driven gold's rise because the low interest rate environment makes gold more attractive as a non-yielding asset.
The European Central Bank announced another rate cut on Thursday, lowering the deposit rate to 3.50%. This decision is closely related to the background of weak economic growth and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The ECB's rate cut reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, further enhancing its attractiveness.
In addition to economic data, geopolitical tensions also have an important impact on gold prices. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow may restrict exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against Western countries. The statement has raised market concerns about the global supply chain, further boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
Gold Market Analysis NFP weekGold Market Prediction point of view:
The gold market recently closed both its monthly and weekly candles, showing strong bullish momentum.
On a monthly timeframe, gold remains bullish, especially if it stays above the 2400-2500 level. The key question now is when the market will correct this move. A retracement is expected, which typically happens gradually.
On a weekly timeframe, the market structure remains bullish. However, there is an imbalance between the 2350 and 2465 levels, suggesting that prices could move downward slightly to fill this gap before continuing upward.
On a daily timeframe, gold has broken through its previous resistance levels, filling its daily imbalance at 2470. Key levels to watch are 2475-2485 for further bullish movement, with potential downside targets around 2415 if a correction occurs.
On a 4-hour timeframe, the market is currently moving sideways, and key levels to monitor are around 2530 for potential breakouts or retracements. The price could test higher levels like 2550-2560 if it breaks 2530, but if it fails, it might retrace to lower levels.
Fundamental factors: Upcoming data releases, such as ISM Manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, and NFP, could significantly influence market movements.
Gold important levels and areas are marked on chart so trade accordingly dont be trapped.
In summary, the gold market is currently in a strong bullish trend, but careful attention should be paid to key levels and upcoming economic data that could impact its movement.
9.13Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast night, inflation data fell beyond expectations, while the core inflation monthly rate rebounded slightly to 0.3%. Gold plummeted to around $2,500 after the $2,529 data in the Asia-Europe session.
This week's market, as long as you follow it after seeing it, you will basically be slapped in the face. On Monday, I saw the decline from $2,500 to $2,485 before I rebounded and went short. Then on Tuesday, I saw the decline from 2,507 to 2,500 in the early trading and rebounded and went short. On Wednesday, I saw the Asia-Europe session continue to rise to $2,529 and started to sing a new high. All of these were "counter-killed".
Yesterday, I clearly said that we must prevent fake falls and the sudden counterattack of shorts. Not only will the August CPI be announced, but the price will be close to $2,530. There is no need to do any callback here. Unless it is a rapid plunge, the cost performance is too poor.
From the non-agricultural data to now, both long and short positions have been accurately stepped on, without exception. The non-agricultural data clearly stated that no matter whether the data is good or bad, the rise is an illusion, and the fall is the purpose. On Monday, the market opened directly at 2500 US dollars and shorted. After the decline, it stopped chasing shorts. After the decline, it fell to 2485 US dollars and rebounded to break through 2500. It decisively went long at 2500-01 and left the market at 2515. On Wednesday, the price was near 2505 and emphasized that it was also 2520 to go long at 2500 first. Yesterday, it was directly short at 2523, without considering chasing long near the historical high, and arranged long after the plunge.
Today, I think a large number of people have begun to stand on the side of the shorts, which is just the opposite of yesterday. The plunge in gold prices from 2530 to 2500 after the CPI data and the current rebound are in line with the logic of shorts.
However, I think if it is a continuation of the short position, there will not be such a large rebound. The continuous rebound of 2500, the higher the price seems to be, the greater the probability of digging a pit, especially the rebound from 2510 in the morning as support. Unless it returns to below this position, I will not short today.
Soon, gold will go unilaterally. It has closed the cross K line for three consecutive weeks. The daily BOLL closed at a high level. Now it is waiting for a suitable opportunity to directly break the range, and I am optimistic about the upward breakthrough. The bulls will soon challenge $2,600 this time.
At present, the gold price is constantly rising from the lows of $2472, $2485, and $2500. The first rebound target is $2522-23, followed by $2528-30, and then $2538-40. The recent market should be prepared to get on the bus and wait for the market to start at any time.
Today, gold uses $2,500 as the dividing point and $2,510 as the support area. Go long after the pullback, that is, change from yesterday's short thinking to low long. The rebound after the plunge is too big. This rebound is often not an opportunity to go short, but a slow rise to force shorts.
9.12 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the 4-hour period, the stochastic indicator is a dead cross downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the BOLL interval is obvious, forming an interval that has never been broken; in addition, the support bands of 2500-2490-2480-2470 have not all fallen through;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator is in a state of blunt top divergence; bearish signal; the indicator is in a state of bluntness at a high level, waiting for stimulation; in terms of form, the market is resistant to falling, sideways, and since the high break, it is the second wave of rising break; it is expected that there will be a third wave of BOLL upward break upward trend later;
Comprehensive Get up: In terms of thinking, priority is given to the trend thinking; in terms of support, the middle axis support position is near 2495, the lower axis track support is near 2445; the transition support position is near 2470; sideways support, then consider sideways; sideways support position is near 2508 and 2490 in the small range;
War risk aversion is still continuing; therefore, short positions cannot be arranged at present; in terms of form, 2530 is not the peak high point of the form, so it is not recommended to arrange; breakout is handled according to the breakout of 2530/32
Today's focus: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 7 (10,000 people)
Gold, what is next, up or down, does anyone know?)After my last post on GOLD the price nearly hit my target at the all-time high (ATH), but now we're in a tricky situation:
1. We’ve got equal lows (EQL) and equal highs (EQH) forming on GOLD.
2. The price grabbed liquidity from the previous week's high (PWH), then nuked and closed below both the daily open and weekly open (WO) levels.
3. On the lower timeframes (5-15m), we've got market structure shifts (MS) and break of structure (BOS).
Given all these factors, I see three possible scenarios—two bearish and one bullish—all depending on how Monday and Tuesday’s price action (PA) plays out:
1. **Most likely**: A pump to the 15m order block (OB) in the golden pocket before moving downward toward the EQL.
2. **Bearish scenario**: The price drops from the market open straight down to EQL without testing any higher zones.
3. **Bullish scenario**: The price surges higher, closes above the 15m OB, and continues pushing toward the ATH.
Once either EQL or EQH is hit, we’ll need to watch for a reaction. Follow me if you don’t want to miss more insights like this!
Analysis of 9.12 Gold Short-term Operation StrategySpot gold is currently trading around $25,118.46/oz, with a narrow range of fluctuations on Thursday (September 12). Gold prices rose and fell on Wednesday, supported by safe-haven buying. Gold prices rose to around $2,529 earlier in the session on Wednesday, approaching historical highs, but after the U.S. CPI data, gold prices gave up gains and fell to around the 2,500 mark, closing at $2,511.33/oz, as U.S. inflation data prompted investors to scale back expectations for the Fed's super-large rate cut next week, and the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields strengthened.
First: Data, wash; before large data, gold prices have no external stimulation and it is difficult to form range fluctuations; what is large data, such as the mid-month interest rate meeting, such as the U.S. election in October, such as the Middle East war, the risk aversion of the Russian-Ukrainian war; therefore, these small data, like "ants shaking a big tree", are difficult to change the trend of the market; but they will form a wash trend;
Second: On the market, the overall market is consolidating in the large range of 2470-2530; and it is controlled by bulls; this is the core; after several weeks of trend, the market is resistant to decline and it is difficult to form a sharp drop; without the emergence of strong negative fundamentals, it is not enough to change this high-range consolidation and high-range resistance to decline trend;
In terms of data, small data are mainly for washing; on the market, it is high-range consolidation and high-range oscillation; understand this, at least it will not be very wrong; grasp the market trend, it will be relatively easy to do
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Gold rebounds to 2522 short, defend 2530, target 2510-2500
Gold falls back to 2480 to go long, defend 2472, target 2490-2500
9.12 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold has been going up and down, but it still hasn't broken through the historical high. Gold is under pressure from the historical high resistance, so short at high, if it breaks through, follow up and go long, gold rebounds first under pressure
Gold's 4-hour moving average is still dead cross short arrangement, gold's 4-hour high point long structure, gold rebound high pressure historical high resistance, so continue to short, gold rebounded 2525 in the morning, continue to short, if it breaks through the new high, follow up and go long, the market is looking at the present, the market is also looking at what kind of operation is corresponding, gold has not broken through the new high in one fell swoop, the high point is reasonable, so it is reasonable to continue to short at high
Today's focus:
The main refinancing interest of the European Central Bank in the euro zone to September 12
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7
The annual rate of the US PPI in August
The monthly rate of the US PPI in August
Xauusd sell Gold touches the top of its range and then falls back down to $2,500 after the release of US inflation data on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rebounds on stronger-than-forecast monthly core CPI print and drags XAU/USD lower.
Gold now sell 2514
Support 2495
Resistance 2525
Xauusd sell Gold touches the top of its range and then falls back down to $2,500 after the release of US inflation data on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rebounds on stronger-than-forecast monthly core CPI print and drags XAU/USD lower.
Gold now sell 2514
Support 2495
Resistance 2525
A sharp reaction to the news A sharp reaction to the news
The XAU/USD market is driven by several macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and overall risk sentiment in global financial markets. To understand how the price of XAU/USD might behave in the near term, let's examine the key factors at play:
1. Current Market Environment:
Global Inflation: Persistently high inflation typically supports gold prices as gold is considered a hedge against inflation. If inflation remains elevated, investors might continue to seek gold as a store of value.
US Dollar Strength: Gold prices are inversely related to the US dollar. A strong dollar can push gold prices lower as gold becomes more expensive for buyers in other currencies. Conversely, if the dollar weakens, gold prices can rise.
Interest Rates: Central bank policies, particularly the US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, play a significant role. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest), potentially leading to lower demand. On the other hand, a dovish stance or rate cuts support gold prices.
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold fell as expected and we entered the market to short sell 4 times, earning a total of 24,000U
When gold rebounded, we insisted that the high position would not break the historical high, so we would short sell. Gold was directly shorted at 2523, and the gold article also directly publicly suggested shorting at 2525. Gold fell sharply as expected and continued to build a top structure at a high level. It continued to short sell when it rebounded.
Gold did not break through the new high many times in 4 hours, and there were multiple top structures at high levels. It can be seen that gold has heavy resistance at high levels and may fall back under pressure at any time. Gold rebounded in the US market and continued to short sell.
Going against the trend, if you don’t advance, you will retreat. Gold has risen and fallen many times, and there is nothing special. It should be difficult for gold to directly set a new high in a short time. Gold rebounds and short sells.
US trading operation ideas:
Gold 2515 short, stop loss 2525, target 2505--2500
Are you ready to short gold?Gold rose to 2520 as expected, even higher than I expected, and once reached around 2529. However, the highlight of the gold market today is the CPI data.
To be honest, for the current gold market, I don't recommend chasing gold any further. Even if gold rises to the 2530-2535 area, I don't recommend chasing gold any further. Because the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates this month, but there are still differences on whether to cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Once the market expects a 25 basis point cut, gold will continue to fall; even if the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, I think it will be difficult for gold to rise sharply based on CPI data alone, because if gold rises sharply based on a single CPI data, it will compress the room for growth of the interest rate decision on September 19, so even if the CPI data is bullish for gold, the room for gold to rise will be compressed, and gold is likely to rise first and then fall.
So in terms of trading, I don't recommend chasing gold for the time being. On the contrary, if gold approaches the 2530-2535 area, I think you can start to short gold boldly!
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Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyOn Tuesday, the US dollar index fluctuated above the 101 mark and finally closed up 0.03% at 101.67. US Treasury yields continued to fall, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 3.650%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.607%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.23%, the S&P 500 rose 0.45%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.84%. Major European stock indices closed down across the board, with the German DAX30 index closing down 0.96%; the British FTSE 100 index closed down 0.78%; and the European Stoxx 50 index closed down 0.66%.
Risk Warning on Wednesday
☆At 14:00, the UK will release the monthly GDP rate for the three months of July, the monthly rate of manufacturing output in July, the seasonally adjusted commodity trade account in July, and the monthly rate of industrial output in July;
☆At 20:30 Beijing time, the United States will release the August CPI data. The market expects its annual rate to fall from the previous value of 2.9% to 2.6%, and the monthly rate will remain unchanged at 0.2%; in terms of core CPI, the market expects the annual rate to be 3.2% and the monthly rate to be 0.2%, both consistent with the previous value;
☆At 22:30, the United States will release the EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6, and the market expects an increase of 764,000 barrels of crude oil;
☆At 1:00 the next day, the United States will hold a 10-year Treasury auction until September 11.
The US CPI in August will rise by 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, lower than 2.9% in July. If confirmed, this data is likely to strengthen market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting.
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed at next week's meeting is 67%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 33%. Although market expectations for rate cuts are divided, overall, investors generally believe that the Fed will make at least one super-large rate cut this year.
Traders in the U.S. interest rate options market are still betting that the Fed will make at least one super-large rate cut this year, although it may not be before the presidential election on November 5. Recent options activity related to the secured overnight financing rate shows that traders are increasingly positioning for a 150 basis point rate cut by the Fed before the January 29 policy decision.
Geopolitical factors have also had an important impact on the gold market. Recently, Ukraine launched drone attacks on several regions of Russia, and the Russian Federal Investigative Committee has initiated a criminal case. The escalation of this situation may lead to increased market concerns about the global economy, thereby driving demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
In addition, tensions between Israel and Hamas continue to develop. Israel proposed that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar leave Gaza safely in exchange for the organization releasing hostages. This change in the situation may have an impact on the stability of the Middle East, thereby causing fluctuations in global market sentiment.
Gold prices continued to rise on Tuesday, rising for two consecutive trading days. Currently, U.S. Treasury yields continue to weaken, hitting a 15-month low, providing momentum for gold prices to rise; the geopolitical situation remains tense, which also attracts safe-haven buying to support gold prices. Today's short-term focus is on the support area of the 1-hour rising trend line below, and go long on gold after the correction stabilizes. At the same time, investors need to pay close attention to the impact of the upcoming CPI data on the trend of gold.
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyCPI is coming, gold will break today
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2517.96/ounce, maintaining overnight gains. Gold prices continued to rise on Tuesday, closing at $2516.53/ounce, up about 0.42%, rising for two consecutive trading days. U.S. Treasury yields continued to weaken, hitting a 15-month low, providing momentum for gold prices to rise; the geopolitical situation remains tense, which also attracts safe-haven buying to support gold prices.
At present, market participants are preparing for the release of U.S. inflation data to find further clues to the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut next week.
Gold is still within the range we talked about yesterday. Short-term indicators are basically flat. In the short term, there is still no significant change. It is expected that the evening CPI data will be needed to break the range. The current range has been compressed to run in the small range of 2500-2520, and the space is getting smaller and smaller. In fact, the smaller the space fluctuation, the closer the time to open the situation later.
From the 4-hour chart, the gold price is in a high-level box oscillation. I prefer a downward breakthrough in the general direction. At present, gold has reached the top of the mountain. Going long is equivalent to chasing at the top of the mountain. The profit and risk are not proportional. Focus on the support position of 2500-2498 during the day. Yesterday, the lowest retracement reached 2499, so this can be used as the dividing point for today.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold rebounds at 2525, defend at 2533, target 2515-2500
Go long gold at 2480, defend at 2472, target 2490-2500
Gold may hit around 2520 again before CPIToday's gold market seems a bit boring. Most of the time, it fluctuates in the 2502-2506 area. There is basically no trading space. Just now, gold stopped below 2510 during the rebound process, and the rise did not continue; and gold failed to fall below the 2500 mark during multiple declines, and the bullish potential still exists.
Just now, gold rebounded to around 2510, but I was not in a hurry to short gold. Because gold has rebounded since 2485, it has built a "W" bottom structure at the technical level to support the rebound of gold; and today, gold has tested the 2500 mark many times but has not fallen below it, proving that the "W" bottom structure support is effective, and gold may still continue to rise, and may even hit the area around 2520 again. This is also the reason why I am not in a hurry to short gold near 2510!
At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations. On the other hand, it may also be waiting for the guidance of CPI data. Gold may try to hit the 2520 area again before the CPI is released; if gold tries to hit the 2520 area before the CPI data is released, then we will boldly short gold in the 2520 area!
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GOLD H1 Timeframe Analysis - Bullish Or Bearish Pair Name = Gold
Timeframe =H1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Support Levels = 2514, 2508, 2504
Resistance Level =2523, 2529, 2445
Explanation : -
Gold Moving As predicted Yesterday. Still getting Good Volume and On the way To Our main Target 2550. But always Secret of the market is buy the dips and sell tops. So if you are sure market is bullish or bearish, the main and important thing in the life the trader is perfect entry with proper Risk Management. One more thing I wanna discuss before the details explanation about the GOLD today Move. Maximum traders fails because they don't use Risk Management formula in trading.
Here I wanna Explain the Gold Next Move. Gold Dips can Touch The Price levels 2514, 2508, 2504 .These are the key points for the bearish move. In bullish Move Key Levels are 2523, 2529, 2445
In bullish Move Gold Will Target These Points. Now Currently Price is above the EMA 50 that indicates the bullish trend. But bullish trend will be confirm If price will cross EMA5.
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold, if it rebounds to 2520, go short directly. Don't wait until you see a decline before chasing it. It is easy to be buried at the low point. The top and bottom conversion pressure is at 2500-2505 US dollars.
The continuity of the short position is as bad as ever. It took less than two hours to end the battle from 2500 US dollars to 2485 US dollars yesterday.
After that, all rebounds are to lure shorts. As long as there is no participation in shorts in the Asian session, there will be no chance in the European and American sessions. It finally rose to 2507 US dollars, an increase of 20 US dollars.
Every decline that seems to be unfavorable factors quickly recovered the lost ground, including the panic selling on Tuesday last month after the non-agricultural data.
Gold is brewing a huge market. The volatility in the past few days is just confusing behavior. It won't be long before the unilateral market will come, especially the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on September 19 and the US CPI inflation data for August on Wednesday.
The Federal Reserve is now in a "silent period". Behind the seemingly calm, as long as someone shouts: Fire. Then the whole market sentiment will be ignited instantly. Don't be too attached to the current range-oscillating market. Generally, it's good to hold 15-20 US dollars.
Now, the gold price is in a high-level box oscillation. I prefer an upward breakthrough in the general direction. The position of 2530 US dollars is not the top. Once it is broken, it will go straight to 2600 US dollars. However, the ideal position to participate is the area close to the lower track of 2480 oscillation, rather than chasing on the top of the mountain.
Today's focus is the annual rate of the US unadjusted CPI in August and the US EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6.
Today, first pay attention to the support position of 2500-2498. Last night, the US market tested the support of 2493, so this can be used as the dividing point for today's day, and then participate in the short-term rebound upward and pay attention to 2515-2518,
Xauusd The daily chart for XAU/USD offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, with the pair still meeting intraday buyers around a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA). Technical indicators, in the meantime, lack directional strength, with the Momentum indicator stuck around its 100 line and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator consolidating at around 58. Finally, the 100 and 200 SMAs keep grinding higher, far below the current level, limiting the bearish potential in the wider perspectiv
Gold now sell 2516
Support 2500
Resistance 2525
9.10 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategiesIsrael airstrikes Syria, gold price regains 2500 mark: gold price may consolidate in the short term
On Monday (September 9), spot gold rebounded sharply after falling to $2485/oz, and finally closed above 2500, closing at $2506.04/oz. ,, Gold prices soared above $2500/oz on Monday as traders prepared for the release of the US August inflation report and looked for hints that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points. Gold traders ignored the overall strength of the US dollar. The US dollar index, which measures the performance of the US dollar against six currencies, rose by more than 0.30%.
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 73%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%.
At the end of the Asian market on Monday, spot gold fell to $2485.48/oz, hitting an intraday low. Gold prices then continued to rebound. As of the close of Monday, spot gold climbed $8.84, or 0.35%, to $2,506.09 per ounce.
The situation in the Middle East remains tense, which provides momentum for gold prices to rebound.
Israel's air strikes on central Syria on September 8 local time killed at least 14 people. The Iranian Foreign Ministry spoke out on September 9 local time, condemning the Israeli army for launching a "criminal attack" and calling on Israel's supporters to stop arming it.
According to the Israeli Times, citing Syrian media reports, Israel launched a series of attacks on several areas in central Syria on the night of August 8 local time, killing at least 14 people and injuring 43 people
This may become a trigger for the gold trend!
How to trade gold?
Gold prices resumed their upward trend and broke through $2,500 per ounce, but gold prices are still below $2,510 per ounce, and buyers seem to have failed to accumulate momentum.
Momentum remains bullish, but gold may consolidate in the short term before resuming its upward trend or turning downward. The relative strength index (RSI) is almost flat, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers are in control of the situation.
If gold climbs above its year-to-date high of $2,531/oz, it could push it to challenge $2,550/oz. If it breaks through the latter, the next target will be the psychological level of $2,600/oz.
If gold falls below $2,500/oz, the next support level will be the August 22 low of $2,470/oz.
If gold falls below $2,470/oz, the next support area will be the confluence of the May 20 high (which has turned into support) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), between $2,450-2,440/oz
9.10 Gold short-term operation strategyWhen will the range oscillation stop? Gold is still expected to fall back
At the beginning of the Asian session on Tuesday (September 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2506.22 per ounce. Gold prices rebounded slightly on Monday, rising above the 2500 mark and closing at 2506, with a small positive on the daily line. The rebound of US Treasury yields was blocked and hovered around the 15 lows, providing gold prices with a rebound opportunity, but the rebound of the US dollar index limited the rise in gold prices. Investors are waiting for the US inflation report to provide further clues to the possible scale of the Fed's interest rate cut.
The recent trend of gold is quite subtle. From mid-August to now, for almost a month, the price has been maintained in the large range of 2470-2530. It fell when it touched the top and rebounded when it touched the bottom. The range has never been broken. Last Friday's non-agricultural data only rebounded slightly and fell around 2530. The focus of this week is the CPI data on Wednesday, which is an important factor that may break the deadlock in the range. Therefore, the CPI data at the beginning of this week currently maintains the idea of range oscillation.
In the current volatile market, although there was a slight rebound yesterday, the rebound strength is limited. The focus of the day is the double top pressure level 2515 formed in the short term of the daily line. Today's short orders will be participated in this position, and the second is around 2530. When it reaches this position, it will be bold to participate. Focus on the support of 2480 below. If the pressure level of 2530 above has not been broken this week, the market may turn downward.
Tuesday Risk Warning
☆ Today, OPEC will release the monthly crude oil market report;
☆ At 14:00, Germany will release the final value of the August CPI monthly rate;
☆ At 14:00, the UK will release the three-month ILO unemployment rate in July, the unemployment rate in August and the number of unemployment benefit applicants in August;
☆ At 18:00, the United States will release the August NFIB Small Business Confidence Index;
☆ At 0:00 the next day, EIA will release the monthly short-term energy outlook report;
☆ At 4:30 the next day, the United States will release the API crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Gold 2515SL, defense 2523, target 2500-2490
Gold 2480BY, defense 2472, target 2490-2500