XAU/USD Chart Analysis and Analytical Gold Price ForecastXAU/USD Chart Analysis and Analytical Gold Price Forecast for 2025
With the holiday season underway, this week may be less volatile than the previous one, which was dominated by central bank decisions. This presents an opportunity to analyse the broader trends and outlook for gold prices in 2025.
The XAU/USD chart reveals that gold prices have been moving within an ascending channel, gaining approximately 27% since the start of 2024.
The short-term outlook appears bearish due to the following factors:
- Gold prices fell after last week’s Federal Reserve interest rate cut, signalling increased selling pressure.
- The $2,720 level remains a key resistance, having reversed the price downward in November and December.
- While a recent upward reversal (indicated by an arrow) shows renewed buying interest near the lower boundary of the ascending channel, persistent selling pressure could still lead to a bearish trend. This might result in a breakdown below the blue channel's lower boundary and the formation of a descending channel (outlined in red).
Despite short-term challenges, analysts remain optimistic about gold's prospects for 2025. Donald Trump's return to the White House may significantly change global trade, Western alliances, and geopolitical dynamics. These uncertainties may increase demand for gold as a so-called safe-haven asset.
A BullionVault survey of around 1,450 participants predicts that gold prices could reach $3,070 by the end of 2025, driven by concerns over geopolitics and mounting national debt.
In this context, even if the lower boundary of the blue channel is breached, bullish momentum could resume, possibly from one of the grey support levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Goldprice
Market Analysis: Gold Price Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: Gold Price Faces Hurdles
Gold price started a fresh decline below $2,665.
Important Takeaways for Gold Prices Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $2,665 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $2,632 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price recovered above the $2,650 resistance. The price even spiked above $2,665 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $2,665 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $2,650 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $2,620 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $2,580 zone. A low formed near $2,582 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,664 swing high to the $2,582 low.
However, the bears are active below $2,650. Immediate resistance is near $2,630 and a key bearish trend line at $2,632. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,664 swing high to the $2,582 low.
The next major resistance is near the $2,665 zone. The main resistance could be $2,675, above which the price could test the $2,700 resistance. The next major resistance is $2,720.
An upside break above the $2,720 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,750. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,770 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $2,605 level. The first major support is near the $2,580 level. If there is a downside break below the $2,580 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,550 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at Pullback 2,640 / 2,650 / 2,660
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2540.00 or Before
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GOLD WAS SUPPORTED LAST LATE 🥇 Gold was supported late last week by the release of Core PCE data from the US showing a slowdown in inflation. This eased concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for a longer period of time, supporting gold prices. However, the upside momentum was limited as the Fed earlier signaled a more cautious stance on rate cuts next year under President Trump.
Gold broke above its recent high around 2626 to extend its rally to 2632 late last week, but failed to hold above this level and is now falling.
Summary of 12.21 Golden WeekendThis week, gold experienced continuous shrinkage, but we also followed the trend and finally won a great victory. Our members also successfully completed the goals set at the beginning of the week.
Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend. Let us continue to complete our profit plan next week.
12.20 Gold short-term short-selling trend remains unchangedAgainst the backdrop of changes in the Fed's expectations for a rate cut in 2025, and the reduction in the number of rate cuts and the reduction in the magnitude, the gold market plunged sharply on Wednesday night. Although there was a rebound on Thursday, the price once reached 2626. However, it should be noted that this seemingly strong rebound is actually a bullish counterattack after the decline, and it is difficult to reverse the overall downward trend.
From the daily trend pattern, the closing line of the high-rise and fall leaves a long upper shadow, which means that the increase cannot be maintained and the strong pattern is difficult to return.
This rebound, on the one hand, vented the resistance of the bulls, and on the other hand, it confirmed the pullback of the previous bottom support and completed the top-bottom conversion. Once the key support level is broken, the bears will continue. In addition, after the short-term touches the whole hundred mark, there will be repeated situations. From the technical perspective, whether it is rising or falling in the short-term, after touching the whole hundred mark, there will be short-term repetitions. Therefore, after yesterday's decline and the price fell below 2600, it is normal for the price to rebound.
Although the current market has not started to fall, it is very difficult for the price to return to the original support level, and the downward trend has become a high probability event.
Today's trading strategy:
SELL: 2620 Target 2600 90 80
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish trade Idea over the breakout of 2604.02 leXAUUSD (Gold) Bullish trade idea over the breakout of 2604.02 level.
Gold fell on the recent 18 Dec 2024 FOMC, and on 19 Dec 2024 the unemployment data was strong for the US dollar, so now I am watching the buy-side trade idea over the breakout of the 2604.02 level with strong confirmations of price at this level.
The setup must meet the required momentum in the price. The sentiments also show the price will move as per the data revelled from various sites.
Setup;
Gold Buy at level: 2604.2-2605.2
Stop Loss: 2599.2 (50 pips) or the low of previous candle
Take Profit; 2623
*Note; If the valid breakout will be found then the setup also valid otherwised find more oppercunity.
12.20 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2645.2 in the morning, and then the market rose slightly. The daily line reached a high of 2652, and then the market was in a range. Before 3 am, the daily line reached a low of 2632.9, and then the market was in a range. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, the dot plot showed that the rate cuts next year would be reduced from 4 to 2, and the Fed Chairman later confirmed that the market broke through and fell sharply. The daily line reached a low of 2583.1, and then the market was in a range. The daily line finally closed After the line reached 2585.2, the daily line closed with a saturated large negative line with a slightly longer upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the rebound trend was destroyed. The market has a need to continue to fall back within a certain period of time. In terms of points, the short position at 2600 this morning was reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 2602. Today's market first rose to give a 2600 short conservative 2612 short stop loss of 2616. The lower targets are 2590 and 2583. If it falls below, it will focus on the 2572 and 2563-2554 support range.
Gold price analysis December 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply due to the impact of the Fed's less dovish outlook.
Fed Chairman Powell emphasized cautious policy in the context of ongoing high inflation risks.
The Fed forecasts inflation target to reach 2% in the next 1-2 years, indicating slow progress.
The latest dot chart shows few interest rate cuts until 2026, stabilizing the Fed funds rate at 3.4%.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices fell to the 2685 area and were accepted by buyers to push prices up around 2610 in the Asian session. If the European session fails to break 2613, Gold will continue to fall in the European session and the destination is relatively far away at 2585-2558. In case the resistance zone at 2613 is broken, the direction is towards 2633, which is the first corrective wave SELL zone and the second corrective wave SELL zone around 2663
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today?
From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.
Gold ahead of Fed Rate decisionFundamental analysis: My earlier Selling signal was confirmed on Hourly 4 chart under prolonged weakness and Price-action respecting the trendline guarding the downtrend (very Bearish formation) as Hourly 1 chart is already an aggressive Descending Channel (width opened on Williams) that should reach it’s next Lower High’s (currently Trading slightly below Triple Top's formation) and Oversold state near my take Profit of #2,627.80 Support in extension. If the bands are widened Traders may witness #2,622.80 pivot point test on the correction back down after current upside extension but not Lower. In any case I will update my Targets or levels of Profit taking if I decide to exit earlier than #2,622.80 Support in extension to be in accordance with the Daily chart’s period.
My position: #2,648.80 was excellent re-Sell point and regarding Fed Rate decision, I expect Rate to be Lowered and hawkish stance on the aftermath which can make Gold suffer even more.
The Secret Gann Code: Predict Intraday Highs and Lows with TIMEIn the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time.
The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success.
Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept:
Y-Axis → TIME
X-Axis → PRICE
In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets.
Key Insights:
1. TIME as the Guiding Factor:
- The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME.
- Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves.
2. Price Delivery Algorithm:
- Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME.
- Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers.
3.Intraday Gann Astro Example:
- With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted.
- Example from the chart:
- At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms.
- At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations.
4.What Gann Astro Does Differently:
- Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points.
- Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing.
- Predict highs/lows hours before they happen.
Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example on CAPITALCOM:US100 .
You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using the secret Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market.
And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods.
Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge:
1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME.
2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated.
3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive.
Here’s another LIVE trade executionon OANDA:XAUUSD I successfully completed this week, profiting $3,125 . The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. There is nothing else in the trading space that comes close to this level of precision and accuracy.
Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy.
The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market.
LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
What? Shocked? Clear your mind because this is the real way of trading, whether in swing or intraday. If you're not applying this, you're just gambling with no clue about what you're doing in the market. Those useless indicators and strategies that revolve solely around PRICE will only mislead you. The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market.
I don’t know if TradingView will recommend this idea to people, but honestly, it’s worth far more than the garbage that gets posted here—signals, scams, and all those misleading strategies that do nothing but trap people in a gambling mindset.
If you’re reading this, let yourself know that you’re in the right place. Save this, share this, and help boost it so that this idea can reach more people and guide them toward learning the real way of trading in the market.
If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to comment below. You can also reach out to me—links are below this post, in my bio, or via private message here on TradingView. Let’s trade smart, not gamble!
#GOLD NEXT TARGET?The Fed is set to cut interest rates for the third time in a row, by 25 basis points.
➡️➡️- Rate estimates in the Fed's "dot plot" from September forecast 100 basis points of cuts in 2025.
➡️➡️- Wall Street is predicting fewer cuts next year, for a total of 75 basis points. And some are predicting just 50 basis points, a level consistent with swap market pricing.
➡️➡️- Fewer cuts in 2025 are also consistent with the U.S. economy proving more resilient than officials expected just a few months ago. Recent data show inflation is falling more slowly than officials had expected and the labor market is not weakening as much as feared.
➡️➡️- The most important piece to watch is Fed Chairman Powell's remarks and press briefings.
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30
$: 55 62 68
XAUUSD TODAY CHART OUTLOOKBased on the analysis of this chart, the market demonstrates a cyclical trend of rising and falling movements. This pattern of fluctuations presents opportunities for significant earnings, as it allows investors to capitalize on both upward and downward trends. Understanding these market dynamics and strategically timing investments during these shifts can lead to substantial financial gains. By leveraging this predictable volatility, individuals or institutions can position themselves to maximize profits in both bullish and bearish market conditions.