10.3 Gold short-term operation strategyAt present, gold continues to fluctuate. The hourly chart has formed a converging triangle. The short-term support is 2648, and the upper pressure is at 2670. From the daily chart, the "big positive front resistance line" pattern has been formed. Under the support of the big positive line of last week, after repeated short-term fluctuations, the market tends to choose to break down! ! !
Today's data:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of September 28 (10,000)
Intraday operations:
BUY: 2648 Stop loss: 2643 Target: 2655----2660
SELL: 2665 Stop loss: 2660 Target: 2630----2625
Goldprice
Huge border jam XAU 2625 - 2671! wait for ADP-NF⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during early European trading on Wednesday, giving back part of the previous day's 1% surge, which was driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Concerns of a wider conflict rose after Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel, increasing demand for the safe-haven asset. However, reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) limited further gains for gold.
At the same time, the US Dollar held onto its recent recovery, supported by a resilient labor market, which also weighed on gold. Despite this, XAU/USD remains close to last week's record high, with the overall outlook still favoring bulls. Traders now await the US ADP employment report for direction, ahead of Friday's key Nonfarm Payrolls data.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices rose sharply after yesterday's war news - but fell sharply afterwards - moving within a large range awaiting this week's ADP-NF and NF data
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2630
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2620 - $2622 SL $2615
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2645
TP3: $2660
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2681 - $2683 SL $2688
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10.2 Gold bottoms out and correction is made from high levelsGold daily line is still sideways at a high level, and the K line continues to deviate far from the moving average. This is an abnormal trend. The gold price will inevitably return to the moving average. This is inevitable. At the same time, there is an obvious double top pattern near 2670, and the upper shadow line continues to close.
Gold fell under pressure from the high level in 4 hours. Gold continued to have a double top structure in 4 hours. Gold rose to 2673 last night and fell under pressure. The resistance is obvious.
The tension in the Middle East is still an important factor affecting the gold price. This week will usher in non-agricultural data.
Intraday operation:
SELL: 2675 Target: 2660------2650
BUY: 2645 Target: 2665------2675
This week's gold trading strategyThis week's gold trading strategy, be able to understand and follow, there will be a 50% profit this week!
News: Everyone knows that the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates some time ago, which added a fire to the entire gold market. In addition, the global geopolitical conflict has ignited the entire gold market, causing the price of gold to reach 2700!For all of us traders, what we want to know most is which direction the market should go next.
First of all, the news is that the United States has cut interest rates, and the impact of geopolitical risks has been almost digested by the market, so it is a bit difficult for gold to hit the high point!
In addition, after the U.S. interest rate cut, it will definitely focus on economic development, so the U.S. economy will improve next, so the dollar index will rise, and the price of gold will also fluctuate and fall!
So I judge that in the next week or so, the gold market will fluctuate and fall!
Technical aspects: You can see that the candlestick chart of gold is currently in a downtrend channel. Although it has broken through the top of the uptrend channel, it is not a real technical breakthrough. It is caused by today's US data ‘ISM Manufacturing PMI for September'. Gold will return to the trend next, so it is best to go short at a high level, but go long at a low level in the trend!
News forecast: U.S. ADP employment in September (10,000 people)-bearish gold
U.S. non-farm payrolls after September quarter-adjusted (10,000 people)-bearish gold
This week's point strategy: 2670 short, 2675 increase position
2620 go long, 2615 increase position
If you want to see specific trading signal strategies, please consult in the comments area!
Gold eyes 2700 with potential bull-flag breakoutGold futures look set to have another crack at 2700 over the near-term, given the strong rebound from the 2650 area on Tuesday and the tight bull-flag pattern developing on the intraday chart. Whether it can simply break to a new high is likely down to whether tensions in the Middle East escalate further.
Gold BuyIn my previous anylisis i have seen that gold will touch its support level down there now as time passed it has gain its previous momentum back and moving towards its resistance level now as we can witness that gold has broke its Resistance which became support for now we have seen a retest now as being bullish we are moving towards it Ath resistance level so we are bullish to that level of resistance
XAU correction - market balance ! DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/30 - 10/04/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold dropped to a three-day low below $2,650 after the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that September inflation is moving closer to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) target. Despite expectations for more Fed rate cuts, gold struggled as traders likely took profits. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,657, down nearly 0.50%.
Earlier, the BEA announced that the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, showed progress toward the 2% goal in August. Core PCE also rose slightly compared to July’s data.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price completed 5 elliott waves, H4 frame uptrend. Waiting for gold correction chip to decrease in the near future
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2685, $2702
Support : $2643, $2628, 2571
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU | USD! sideway downtrend 10/1/24XAU / USD trend forecast October 1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds modest gains in early European trading on Tuesday but remains below last week's record high. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on Monday led investors to reduce expectations of aggressive rate cuts. This supported the US Dollar, which continues to recover from its lowest level since July 2023, creating a headwind for gold.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// BUY XAU : zone 2624-2626
SL: 2618
TP: 50 - 100 - 150 pips (2639)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold 4H Trend Continuation Setup Gold is currently trading under the FibCloud and touching the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour chart. While this setup favors a continuation of the downtrend, there’s also a possibility of a breakout at this stage. I expect a potential test of the 2,658 Sunday open area before the market shows its true direction. So far, Gold has been printing a well-controlled downtrend, but it’s important to stay alert for any changes in momentum.
Technical Analysis:
• Gold is trading below the FibCloud, signaling bearish momentum.
• The price is testing the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement, a key level that could either result in a trend continuation or a breakout.
• A retest of the 2,658 Sunday open area may occur before the market confirms its next move.
• I’m expecting a move towards the 2,600-2,620 price range if the downtrend continues.
At this point, the trade could go either way—continuing the downtrend or breaking out. The 2,658 area will be key in determining the next move. For now, Gold has maintained a structured downtrend, and I’m favoring a short position targeting the 2,600-2,620 range. As always, proper risk management is essential in these conditions.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAU bearish sideway - waiting for NF this week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION :
Gold prices (XAU/USD) ticked up slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a two-day decline and pausing the recent pullback from last week’s all-time high. However, the increase lacks strong momentum due to modest US Dollar strength, supported by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on Monday and optimism around China's stimulus efforts, both limiting gains for the safe-haven asset.
That said, significant declines in gold remain unlikely, given ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, expectations of further US rate cuts amid slowing inflation and hopes for China's stimulus to boost physical demand should continue to support XAU/USD. Traders are now awaiting US macroeconomic data and Fed commentary for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price clearly shows a downward adjustment trend in the H1 frame - sideway price range 2625 - 2648 waiting for NF this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2626 SL $2620
TP1: $2633
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2648
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2648 - $2650 SL $2655
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2633
TP3: $2625
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10.1 Analysis of gold short-term technical operations1. The daily line has adjusted for two days and just stepped back on the 10-day moving average. According to the bulls, this is a typical correction. The biggest step back in the strong trend is 10 days. Whether it can go up today is very critical.
2. The usual high-rise and fall in the morning, the European market is weak. For the continuous market, the European market is weak and the US market is difficult to increase.
3. Yesterday, the US market retreated twice, and the European market broke the bottom, and the US market was weak after the bottom.
It cannot continue the retracement. 2623 is the retracement of the rise to 382, which is very critical. It breaks the bottom and affects the bulls.
In addition, the daily line is weak, so the rise is affected.
And today, it is above the turning point of long and short.
The watershed in the morning is 2640. It is not considered whether the European market will go through a cyclic retracement for the time being.
Gold Market UpdateI’m watching gold closely as it approaches a key resistance cluster at $2649-$2652 📊. We're seeing a slight pullback now, but with rising tensions in the Middle East 🌍 and the fear of escalation, there's potential for an upward push to a new ATH 📈.
👉Key Takeaway: The overall gold trend is still bullish. Patience is the key!
Gold's short-term downturn has passed, go long at 30Gold is long near 2630.
Gold has gone out of the turning point, the decline is over, and it is about to start rising. Go long in the short term today, seize this opportunity to get a big wave.
Gold fell back to the moving average and closed with a hammer line, and the turning point signal is obvious. Go long near 2630. If we look at the moving average, it also meets the bullish trend, because every time the gold price falls back to the moving average, there will be a rebound. Can it rebound and break the historical high? Let's not consider it for now, grab the long orders near 2630, and let the market give us the rise we want.
Trading strategy:
Gold is long at 2630, stop loss at 2620, target 2650-------2655
Gold Bullish ContinuationGOLD price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish momentum. A potential new ALL TIME HIGH may form as the price action may form a credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
Trade Plan A (0.5 Fibonacci Entry) :
Entry @ 2617
Stop Loss @ 2537
TP1 @ 2697
TP2 @ 2777
No. of Trades: 2
Trade Plan B (0.618 Fibonacci Entry) :
Entry @ 2600
Stop Loss @ 2537
TP1 @ 2663
TP2 @ 2726
No. of Trades: 2
Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits (for both plans).
GOLD ! 9/30 ! down adjustmentXAU / USD trend forecast September 30, 2024
Israel escalated its conflict with Iran’s allies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon, launching airstrikes on Sunday and raising fears of a wider Middle East war. The Israeli Defense Forces reported targeting several locations, including power plants and a seaport in Yemen. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes killed Nabil Kaouk, the deputy head of Hezbollah's Central Council, marking the seventh Hezbollah leader killed in just over a week.
Based on M30, price adjustment h1 frame, XAU down
/// SELL XAU : zone 2664-2667
SL: 2672
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2637)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU cumulative adjustment process !! wait NF ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) started the week slightly lower but remain within a recent trading range, close to last Thursday's record high. Tensions rose as Israel escalated conflict at its Lebanon border, increasing geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Additionally, news of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba planning a general election on October 27, alongside US political uncertainties, provides support for the safe-haven asset.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve keep the US Dollar near its lowest point since July 2023, which may further support gold. However, a risk-on mood driven by new stimulus measures from China puts some pressure on XAU/USD. Despite this, the broader outlook favors potential dip-buying opportunities.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
According to the H1 frame, the gold price is in two adjustment and downtrend lines, waiting for NF news this week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2643 - $2641 SL $2636
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2662
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2663
TP2: $2657
TP3: $2650
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
9.30 If the short-term gold high is not broken, it will be a corTechnically, the 2670 level has become an important resistance level, which has not been broken through many times. The Bollinger Bands have begun to close. From all angles, gold will not rise in the short term.
With such a big thing happening in the Middle East, gold should have started a wave of $50 rise, but it didn't. That must be because gold digested the news in advance. If there is no positive news, gold will turn to a sharp drop.
Intraday operation:
SEII: 2665 Stop loss: 2672
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640
GBPUSD analysis week 40Fundamental Analysis
According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the market is currently pricing in a more than 75% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by another 50 basis points in November. In addition, weaker US macroeconomic data on Tuesday, coupled with the prevailing risk-on environment, further undermined the safe-haven dollar and confirmed the positive near-term outlook for GBP/USD.
Going forward, there is no market-relevant economic data due out of the UK on Wednesday. However, a scheduled speech by BoE MPC Member Megan Greene could influence GBP and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair. Later in the early North American session, US New Home Sales data could contribute to short-term trading opportunities.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD’s trading range has remained largely unchanged over the past week. With little technical movement we still see the pair in a solid range of 1.323 and 2.349. In the short term we can see that the immediate support zone has been raised after the price reacted strongly at 1.331 and the resistance level forming a triple top around 1.342 has been established. The GBPUSD direction could continue the correction early next week and reach the yearly record around 1.350 in the near term.
Trading signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.349-1.351 Stoploss 1.353
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.323-1.321 Stoploss 1.319
Gold closes higher and may fall back to peakThe gold hourly line has obviously reached the top. The K line rushed to around 2685, and then the big Yin line directly covered it and crushed it directly. It once fell by 30 US dollars. The top was obviously bearish engulfing. The moving average was directly bent and turned downward. Of course, the gold price deviated far from the moving average, and it was bound to return to the 50-day moving average. Detailed operations during the day: SELL: 2650------2645
Gold bulls are strong and aiming at 2700!At present, the support for the continuous rise of gold prices is still the strong demand of the Federal Reserve and other European countries for gradually loose monetary policies; coupled with the tension in Middle East relations, economic downturn and geopolitical relations, gold prices continue to rise. In terms of technical forms, the room for gold prices to retrace is limited, and the time for correction is also very short. The momentum of continuous rise is very strong, and the upward space is expected to continue to open up.
The Asian session is corrected by the conversion of the hourly Yin and Yang lines. The European session began to rise. Even if economic data is released, it does not affect the bullish trend. There is not much room for recent corrections, especially in the European session. There is basically no retracement, and it continues to rise after the middle cross K pattern. Based on the above situation, even if the retracement relies on the top of the previous hourly line Yang line 2675, it will continue to be bullish.
Resistance level: 2683 2690. Break to see 2700
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.