Gold Price Rally Continues: The Safe Haven InvestmentGold prices have been experiencing a consistent upward trend. This move has further solidified gold's position as a sought-after investment, particularly during economic uncertainty. As prices continue to hit new records, the yellow metal remains an attractive asset for investors seeking both security and potential returns.
The allure of gold as a safe-haven investment is well-established. In periods of market volatility or economic turmoil, investors often turn to gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Its physical nature, unlike stocks or bonds, provides a tangible asset that can be held onto during times of crisis. Additionally, gold's limited supply and increasing demand from emerging markets have contributed to its upward price trend.
Beyond its role as a haven, gold has also been gaining popularity as an investment asset. Many investors view gold as a long-term store of value, believing that its price will appreciate over time. While there are periods of volatility, the overall trend has been upward, particularly in recent years. Gold can also be a diversifier in an investment portfolio, helping reduce overall risk.
The continued rise in gold prices has also spurred interest in gold-backed investments. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the price of gold have become increasingly popular, offering investors a convenient and liquid way to invest in the precious metal. These ETFs can be bought and sold on stock exchanges, making them accessible to more investors.
However, it's important to note that investing in gold is not without its risks. While gold has historically been a good hedge against inflation, there are no guarantees of future price appreciation. Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and changes in investor sentiment can all impact the price of gold. Investors need to do their research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
In conclusion, gold continues to be a highly sought-after investment asset. Its reputation as a safe haven, coupled with recent price increases and the reduction in customs rates, has made it even more appealing to investors. Whether as a hedge against inflation, a long-term store of value, or a diversifier in an investment portfolio, gold offers a unique set of benefits. However, it's important to approach gold investing with a long-term perspective and a thorough understanding of the risks involved.
Goldprediction
Gold Retracement Opportunity: Targeting Key Fib Levels!Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential retracement towards the 0.5 FibCloud level after covering all the price imbalances. We have key targets mapped out with multiple take-profit (TP) levels as the price retraces. Technically, we are seeing a well-formed structure, with price rejection near the upper channel resistance, and the overall trend indicating a likely pullback to mitigate recent upward movement.
Key technical levels :
• TP1: 2,634
• TP2: 2,628
• TP3: 2,620
Risk Management:
This trade setup provides favorable risk-reward metrics, but it’s essential to maintain disciplined risk management. Stop loss (SL) is placed just above the upper boundary near recent highs to minimize downside exposure. It is advisable to take partials as the price hits respective TP levels, securing profits while reducing exposure. Be prepared to adjust stop losses to break-even or beyond as the trade moves in our favor, ensuring we protect capital and lock in gains.
Conclusion :
This trade offers a strategic entry for traders looking to capitalize on a potential gold retracement, given the technical alignment and FibCloud setup. As always, risk management is key in navigating market volatility, especially during news-sensitive periods.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSDHere is our overall progressive view on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As of now, XAUUSD is struggling to break 2650 . If we break above this level we could see higher highs and we will continue to the upside possibly to the ATH .
However ,
If we break below 2635 , we could see a downside move to 2624 . If that level is broken we can continue down to 2604 which we struggled to break last few days. A clear break below 2604 would result in deep pullbacks down to 2590 and below.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is struggling to break 2650.
- Break above 2650 would result in higher highs.
- Break below 2635 would confirm sells.
- Break below 2624 could result in revisiting 2604.
- Break below 2604 would result in a massive downside move.
- Break below PBA would result in deeper pullbacks.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis: Can the Rally Continue to New Highs?Gold (XAUUSD) has been on a remarkable rally, moving from the $1,870 level to its current price around **$2,640**. This upward momentum has caught the attention of traders and investors alike, prompting many to ask: **Can gold continue this upward trajectory and reach new highs?**
Key Technical Levels and Fibonacci Analysis
The current rally has seen gold surpass several key resistance levels. Using Fibonacci retracement and extension tools, there are some important levels to watch going forward:
- **$2,618**: This extension level, derived from the initial upward move from $1,870, could serve as the next potential resistance. If gold can maintain momentum above this level, the bullish case strengthens.
- **$3,160**: A longer-term Fibonacci extension based on the previous significant low ($1,870) suggests that **$3,160** could be a target in the event of sustained momentum and macroeconomic support.
In the short term, **support is expected around $2,500**, which coincides with prior consolidation areas. If this level holds, it could act as a base for the next leg higher.
Momentum and RSI Indicators
The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is currently in overbought territory, indicating that gold may face short-term resistance or consolidation before resuming its upward movement. However, in strong trending markets, assets can remain overbought for extended periods, suggesting that caution should be balanced with the broader trend.
Fundamental Drivers
The ongoing rally in gold is largely driven by global macroeconomic factors:
1. **Inflation and Monetary Policy**: Persistent inflationary pressures have kept central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, in a difficult position. While interest rates have been rising, gold continues to act as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty. The real interest rate (adjusted for inflation) remains historically low, providing further tailwinds for gold.
2. **Geopolitical Risks**: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainties surrounding global growth are also bolstering safe-haven demand for gold. Any further deterioration in global stability could lead to even higher demand.
3. **Weaker USD Outlook**: The U.S. dollar has shown signs of weakening, which historically supports gold prices. A dovish pivot from the Federal Reserve or prolonged economic uncertainty could add pressure to the dollar, making gold more attractive as an alternative asset.
Sentiment and Market Positioning
Investor sentiment remains overwhelmingly bullish, with large institutional players increasing their gold holdings. The **Commitments of Traders (COT)** report shows that speculators have significantly increased their net long positions in gold, reflecting widespread market confidence.
However, one must remain cautious of potential profit-taking at these levels, especially given the magnitude of the recent rally. A healthy pullback or consolidation phase could offer new opportunities to join the trend, but traders should watch key levels closely.
Conclusion: Outlook for Gold
Gold has seen an impressive move from $1,870 to its current price of $2,640, with fundamental and technical factors supporting the possibility of further gains. While some consolidation or a short-term correction is possible, the long-term uptrend remains intact, and a move toward **$3,160** is plausible under the right conditions.
Key areas to watch:
- **Resistance**: $2,640 (current level), $2,900, and $3,160.
- **Support**: $2,500 and $2,400.
Traders should monitor central bank policies, geopolitical events, and the U.S. dollar's performance closely, as these factors will likely dictate the next significant move in gold prices. Staying mindful of potential pullbacks, the outlook for gold remains bullish as long as the macroeconomic landscape continues to favor safe-haven assets.
Let’s see how the market unfolds!
The two-way rush of the US dollar and gold awaits PPI dataAfter 6 consecutive negative lines, the gold daily line rebounded near 2600 yesterday, and directly rose to 2630. At present, it has reached the 45-day level. Although the big positive line rose yesterday, it does not mean that the market has reversed. It is still operating in the channel range.
Gold has not formed a dead cross in the 4-hour period. It has not broken down now. If it breaks down, the downward space of gold can be opened. Short-term gold will start to fluctuate. The 2600 line below gold has not been broken three times. Today, gold can hold 2600 and go long first.
After the middle-yin line broke down, there was no strong continuation. Instead, the oscillation back and forth consumed the downward momentum. In the past few days, the support of 2600 line has been tested several times in a row, but it has not been successfully broken down. This shows that the support at this position is still relatively strong. It is difficult to make a decent adjustment without breaking 2600 in the short term. The upper side still needs to focus on the 2650 line pressure level. If it breaks through this position, then this round of callback will come to an end. Otherwise, gold will continue to fall.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
SEII: 2650 Target: 2630-2620
BUY: 2625 Target: 2650----2660
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal.
Technical Analysis
The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA.
The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
Did you buy at the high?From the intraday trend, there are signs of continued rebound. But it needs the promotion of news. Independent traders need to pay close attention to whether the pressure position of 2630-2634 above can be accurately broken through and stabilized. At present, the current price is around 2621. If you want to trade, there will be some profits in the short term.
If the gold price breaks through 2634 quickly and stabilizes, the rebound will continue. COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold has a bottom divergence, buy at the low todayThe US dollar continued to rise this week and has now risen to a two-month high. Gold also fell for the sixth consecutive trading day yesterday, and the lowest point of 2605 was tested many times, but it still did not fall below.
Therefore, from the current trend, it is not possible to continue to short, because the support of the 2605 line is very strong, and after the precipitation of the past few days, the short-selling force has also weakened a lot.
At the same time, it can be seen from the figure that the price trend is falling, but the MACD indicator is continuing to strengthen, which obviously forms a bottom divergence pattern, which is a bullish signal.
From the 1H chart, the upper suppression point is in the 2630-2640 area, and the lower support is 2605-2615.
So today's trading strategy is to buy in the support area and target the upper resistance area
Sell Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2638
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2616
2nd Support – 2605
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2660. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
10.10 Gold price under pressure for six consecutive days, pay atOn Wednesday (October 9), spot gold plunged nearly $15. After the latest minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released, the market's expectations that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged in November suddenly heated up, which stimulated the strength of the US dollar and hit gold prices.
Due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the weakening expectations of the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate cut in November, gold fell for the sixth consecutive trading day on Wednesday. Spot gold closed down $14.13, or 0.54%, at $2,607.71 per ounce on Wednesday. The price of gold fell to a low of $2,605.16 per ounce during the session.
Intraday data focus:
US September unadjusted CPI annual rate
US September seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate
US initial jobless claims for the week ending October 5 (10,000)
Technical analysis:
1. There may be more pullbacks in the Asian session, and the European session will rise.
2. Only when the 2,624 watershed is broken will it fluctuate. If it is suppressed, it will still be a weak correction.
3. Pay attention to the pullback in the US market.
Therefore, if the Asian market reaches 2611-2, go long, stop loss 04, and the target is 2624-6. Strong resistance is 2630-32.
The US market cycle is short, and it depends on the strength of the European market's pullback, but the rhythm of the cycle has not changed.
GOLD... At most expensive area, holds or not??#GOLD... market just reached at his most expensive area of the pattern in month and week chart.
That trend line will be most important trend line in current scnerio.
Keep close that line and area will be 2605 around.
That area can change the overall scnerio actually.
Don't short gold until market holds this trend line.
A big swing will start from here.
Keep close.
Good luck
Trade wisely
10.10 Analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (October 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $2,610.88 per ounce. Gold prices fell more than 1% during Tuesday's session, hitting a low of $2,604.68 per ounce, the lowest since September 20, and closed at $2,621.76 per ounce. Recent US employment data hit expectations of a larger rate cut, and as Hezbollah supported efforts to reach a ceasefire, market concerns about a possible all-out war in the Middle East cooled, also weakening gold's safe-haven buying.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
On the daily chart, gold prices are close to the trend line, and buyers are expected to intervene at this point, setting a risk range below the trend line, ready to push gold prices up and set new highs. Sellers hope to see gold prices break below the trend line to increase bearish bets and fall to new lows.
4-hour chart
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices fell below the recent low yesterday, then pulled back and continued to fall. Buyers want to see gold prices rise back above $2,625 to prepare to push prices higher and set new highs, while sellers may continue to target the trendline for now.
1-hour chart
On the 1-hour chart, the lower limit of today's daily range is near the trendline. If gold prices fall to the trendline today, the trendline should limit the decline. Tomorrow's US CPI report may determine whether gold prices continue to rise or fall further
The US CPI report and US unemployment claims data will be released. On Friday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index report will be released.
Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00
Pivot Point: 2631.00
The pivot at 2631.00 is a significant resistance level. The price remaining below this point indicates bearish sentiment in the market. If the price breaks above this level, it may signal a shift towards a bullish trend.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Initiate short positions below 2631.00.
Target Levels:
2605.00: This is the first target, representing a potential decline of 26 pips from the pivot. This level may attract some buying interest; however, strong bearish momentum could push through it.
2595.00: The next target indicates a further decline of 36 pips. If selling pressure continues, this level could be reached as a significant downside extension.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price moves above the pivot point at 2631.00, consider long positions.
Entry Point: If the price breaks and sustains above 2631.00, initiate long positions.
Target Levels:
2642.00: The first upside target, suggesting a potential rise of 11 pips from the pivot. This level could serve as initial resistance.
2653.00: The next target indicates a further upside move of 22 pips, suggesting potential for a stronger bullish trend if momentum builds.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is likely reflecting bearish momentum, suggesting further downside as the price remains below the pivot.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is expected to be below its signal line, confirming bearish sentiment.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term weakness and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Market Dynamics:
As long as the resistance at 2631.00 is not surpassed, the risk of breaking below 2605.00 remains high, potentially leading to further declines toward 2595.00.
A sustained break above 2631.00 may shift market sentiment, opening the path for a move toward the upside targets at 2642.00 and 2653.00.
Gold is poised for a potential decline as long as it remains below 2631.00, with targets set at 2605.00 and 2595.00 for further downside.
A breach above 2631.00 could indicate a shift to bullish momentum, targeting 2642.00 and 2653.00 for further upside.
Has gold seen bottom? Can we continue to be bearish?
Yesterday I clearly suggested shorting at 2648, and 2630 was not the short-term bottom. The final result was in line with expectations and unexpected, because the gold price plummeted by nearly $50, not only reaching our target of 2615, but also reaching the lowest point of 2604. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have made a lot of money. Congratulations!
Let's get back to the point. Because the market's bets on the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts have faded and most of the market's positions have chosen to take profits, gold fell sharply by nearly $50 during the US trading session yesterday, with the short-term low reaching 2604, and then the decline narrowed. As of now, it has remained around 2620 for consolidation.
From the gold daily chart, although the lowest point reached 2604, the final closing price was above 2620, just when the daily MA20 daily moving average position was held, and there was no effective break.
So since the lower support has not broken, we cannot directly choose to continue shorting today. Instead, we have to wait for the rebound power to be consumed before going short, and the upper suppression area will be a good choice.
From the 1H chart, the previous support of 2630 has now turned into resistance, and the same is true for the 2640 line. Therefore, today we need to observe the resistance situation in the 2630-2640 area. Once there is a sign of reversal here, I think it is an opportunity to short.
If there are any latest changes in transaction details, I will update you in time in the channel. If you are interested, you can enter below.
10.9 Gold bottoming out may not be over yetGold fell below the low point of the previous correction yesterday, and the daily line went out of the 5-day negative pattern. This is too much for the bull correction. The continuous negative time is too long, but from the price point of view, it is not, and the amplitude is not enough.
The price broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages, which means that the overall pattern has weakened. Especially after 5 consecutive negatives, there is still momentum for further retracement today.
For today, the probability of continuing the oscillation cycle is still very high.
1. The bottoming out and rebounding during the day, the European market rebounded.
2. The US market rushed down and continued to fall, but the European market rose, and the probability of breaking the bottom today is small. Just look at it as a shock.
3. The previous low point is supported at 2613-4.
In terms of data: EIA crude oil inventory in the United States as of October 4 (10,000 barrels)
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2608 target 2628---2635
SELL: 2635 target 2625----2620
GOLD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
GOLD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
Short gold near 2640 in the London marketShort gold at the opening of the market, waiting to verify the profit
2640 -2638 Sell
tp2630-2628
The transaction has been executed. Waiting for verification of profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Just personal operation. For reference only.
10,8 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAt the end of the Asian session on Tuesday (October 8), spot gold maintained its intraday decline, and the current gold price fell to around $2,627/ounce. Spot gold closed down 0.41% on Monday at $2,642.28/ounce.
There was no important data released from Monday to Wednesday to guide the market, but the speeches of several Fed officials need special attention, and then there is the September CPI data on Thursday, the initial jobless claims data for the week, and the minutes of the Fed meeting at 2 a.m.
From the daily level, a small negative column was recorded yesterday, and the price remained below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other cycles were arranged upward. The Bollinger overall intended to close, the MACD double-line dead cross probed downward, and the green kinetic energy column increased in volume, which was in line with the K-line trend. The primary pressure above was around $2,650, which was close to the previous high. Below this, the daily line still tended to be short.
$2,650 is the first resistance, and further resistance upwards is near 2,660 (three points above and below). If the intraday rebound does not break through and there is no geopolitical situation to increase risk aversion to support it, the technical retracement and repair demand will continue. Further support below is $2,630. After breaking through, it can extend to the $2,620-2,618 range. In other words, today's trend is expected to retrace first. If it can retrace to the expected range, you can participate in the bullish trend.