Goldprediction
GOLD - a ATH placed? what's next??#GOLD.. market very well placed 2740 as per our video analysis.
now market just retest that area and keep in mind that if market hold it then its means market life high placed so far. and be ready for a drop.
don't buy until market hold your region that is mentioned on chart.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold Price Correction Incoming?⚡ Gold Price Correction Incoming? 📉
🟡 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential retracement from $2,730 levels! With resistance holding firm at $2,738, we could be looking at a dip toward key support levels at $2,670 or even down to $2,603.
🔎 Watch the market closely as momentum shifts bearish. Will Gold find support or break lower? ⚖️
GOLD Explodes Past All Targets – Massive Gains Achieved!The long trade on GOLD entered at 76195 has surged with incredible momentum, hitting all our profit targets. The current price stands at 78375, confirming the strength of this bullish run.
Key Levels
Entry: 76195 – Long entry made as the uptrend was confirmed.
Stop-Loss (SL): 76062 – Strategically placed to manage downside risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 76358 – Successfully reached, signaling the first leg of the rally.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 76622 – Continued bullish movement hit this target.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 76887 – Strong momentum allowed this target to be met.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 77050 – Final target achieved, capping off a solid bullish trade.
Trend Analysis
The price has maintained consistent support above the Risological dotted trendline, affirming a robust uptrend. The consistent climb from TP1 to TP4 highlights the power of this movement, with all targets now realized.
10.22 Gold intraday short-term operation guideYesterday, we entered the US market at 2715 and entered the long position, making a profit of 18K.
Yesterday, in the technical points, as long as you are bullish, you can follow.
1. Cyclic rise in the morning, this is the case in the extremely strong market. Everyone is bullish, and basically there is no retracement. If there is a retracement, it will not rise.
2. The second rise in the afternoon, the retracement position is slightly larger, but the morning rise in the strong market, the afternoon is expected to continue, one is not to break the morning low watershed, but to continue to break the European market.
3. Rapid bottoming and rebound before the US market, and 6-8 points of big sun.
10.22 intraday analysis:
1. Daily cross, the probability of this top cross is very small, and the continuous sun is still rising.
The price has reached the 2740 risk area, but the shape is not enough, and there should be another high point.
2. In the strong market, the cross is seen, this is not the top, and the probability of today's shock is relatively high. It is still cyclical rising in the morning, and it is still expected to rise in the afternoon today, and it will fluctuate at a high level.
3. If you feel that the price is high, you dare not buy more. In fact, the acceleration is not enough. At least you need to force out the short positions.
In terms of operation, it is expected to fluctuate today.
Relying on the 2713 watershed, short-term long positions are expected during the day. Looking at the situation of the European session, the upper resistance is 2732-4.
Gold out lookOANDA:XAUUSD the drop was a honey trap 🪤 gold is always in buy trend
when it dropped it has taken support on 1H 50 SMA and after that its moving above that i am expecting 2750++ today the reason expecting 2750 is fibonachi extension has 1.786 level over that price other confluence being Bullish is because its in bull trend from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 and lower TF's
Gold's Next Big Move: Analyzing the $2825 Strike and Insider ActLet me start with a disclaimer that I firmly believe in and adhere to: don’t flip the trend; leave that to those who are just here to play around and get their adrenaline fix while watching their accounts explode.
Now, let’s get down to business.
On August 5, 2024, when gold was languishing in a sideways market around $2400 on the CME, an insider option portfolio dubbed the "Call Butterfly" emerged, set to expire on February 25 of the following year. The central strike of this portfolio was chosen at $2825. Due to the nature of such an options portfolio, this specific price level will yield maximum profit at expiration.
To keep the readers engaged and prevent them from dozing off, let me add that the risk-reward ratio for this portfolio is already 1:4. The Insider can choose to close it, but they are under no obligation to do so and can comfortably watch the value of their portfolio rise as it approaches the $2825 mark based on the April futures—don’t confuse this with the spot price of XAU.
Clarifying the Price Dynamics
It's important to clarify that there is a difference between the spot market price, particularly XAU/USD, which forex traders are so accustomed to—thanks to its uninterrupted price movement due to the absence of futures expiration—and the futures price, which includes forward points. Currently, the price of Gold in April futures stands at $2784, just a hop away from the coveted insider portfolio price of $2825.
Why the Confidence in Insider Activity?
Several indicators suggest this is indeed an insider move:
Portfolio Volume: A whopping 9,000 contracts in a distant options series at a far-off strike can only be purchased by a major player, not any average retail trader.
Market Entry Timing : The entry point was during a sideways market, and the news backdrop was, to put it mildly, not in gold's favor.
Immediate Market Reaction: Almost immediately after entering the market, Gold began to climb, doing so with minimal pauses or significant corrections.
Why Bring This Up Now?
You might wonder why I’m highlighting actions that have already occurred, especially since the opportunity to profit from them has passed. The answer is clear: the insider knew when and in which direction to enter, and his exit will likely follow a predictable pattern, leaving traces in the CME reports. If the insider decides to exit, there will be justifiable reasons behind it, which we will only learn about long after the fact.
Starting today, I will actively monitor and analyze the daily reports on gold and specifically this portfolio. Practical experience and statistics suggest that this will provide excellent sentiment regarding the future of the precious metals market.
Good luck to everyone! Stay focused, stay disciplined, and stay committed to your goals.
#XAUUSD: $3000 Year End Target! Swing Buy Our recent analyses have yielded substantial gains, exceeding 5,000 pips in total. Given the current market conditions, with the price reaching the 2,740 level, we anticipate a potential bearish correction towards the 2,680 region. This area serves as a critical support level for swing buyers. Accordingly, we recommend exercising caution and awaiting a more favorable entry.
good luck and trade safe!
GOLD 1H & 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart hitting two bullish targets 2730 and 2739 and one remaining at 2747, which will be further confirmed with ema5 lock above 2739.
1H CHART ROUTE MAP
This 4H chart had ema5 lock above 2715 opening 2737, which was also hit perfectly completing this setup. A PIPTASTIC start to the week!!!
We will now look for ema5 lock above 2737 to confirm the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldturns for our reactional bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2737 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2715 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2760
POTENTIALLY 2779
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
POTENTIALLY 2814
BEARISH TARGETS
2715
2693
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2669
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2669 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
10.22 Gold hits new highs, near 2710, longOn Monday (October 21), gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive trading day to a record high, while silver prices hit their highest level in nearly 12 years, affected by factors such as uncertainty in the US election, continued tensions in the Middle East, and expectations of interest rate cuts by central banks.
Fundamental analysis: safe-haven demand supports gold prices
The current global instability, especially tensions in the Middle East, provides strong support for gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold usually attracts a lot of buying when uncertainty increases, especially when geopolitical conflicts continue to ferment.
On the other hand, the market lacks the release of heavyweight economic data, and investors will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed policymakers this week. These speeches may have a significant impact on market expectations, especially in terms of monetary policy. If the Fed expresses its inclination to continue to maintain a tight policy, it may put pressure on gold prices. Conversely, any signs of easing will further push gold prices up.
The situation in the Middle East continues to ferment
Tensions between Israel and Iran are one of the main drivers of this round of gold price increases. The latest military action has further escalated the market's risk aversion. The US investigation into leaked documents has also added uncertainty. Gold naturally becomes a safe haven for investors in such an environment. In the short term, as long as geopolitical risks are not resolved, gold prices may remain high and volatile.
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
With Fed policymakers about to speak, the market is closely watching their latest views on economic growth, inflation and monetary policy. Any hint of rate hikes or balance sheet reduction may change the market's expectations for future gold trends. Currently, gold prices remain high due to the interweaving of safe-haven demand and policy expectations.
Technical analysis: The risk of a correction is increasing
Gold bulls can break through the resistance level of $2,730, and gold prices are expected to test the psychological level of $2,750. $2,730 is currently a key watershed, and breaking through this level will greatly enhance gold's bullish sentiment and open up further room for growth.
BUY: 2,715 Target 2,730----40
Gold Prices Surge to New Heights
The weekend news cycle has once again ignited tension in the market, leading to gold prices hitting a historic high of $2732 at Monday's open, followed by a sustained increase of approximately 10 basis points. This trend aligns with my forecasts, and I anticipate that both the London and New York markets will continue to rise in the coming days.
Looking ahead, gold prices are expected to reach new dimensions this week. In terms of trading strategy, I recommend employing a buy-low, sell-high approach, with particular attention to the critical levels of 2725 and 2712. Members utilizing rapid trading strategies should remain vigilant, as new strategies will soon be announced.
XAUUSD: +1100 pips move in making! Let's catch the big move? Dear Traders,
We have possibly a great chance to buy Gold as it is currently in a correction mode. After evaluating how price behaved in last two days we think there is a gap that price needs to filled before it continue the bullish momentum. Also there are big talk of ceasefire in ongoing conflict, if that happens the gold will likely to drop further than what we have identified. Please if there is sudden drop and price does come to our area, do not just enter wait for 4 hours or 2 hours candle to close before taking any entries. Also this is not a guaranteed chart analysis and this is just our view, you can use this as educational purposes. Good luck and trade safe.
Gold (XAU/USD) Upward Channel with Potential Correctionhello guys!
let's analyze GOLD!
Rising Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, showing a continuous bullish trend over the medium term.
Resistance Zone: The price is nearing a significant resistance zone around $2,747, which could act as a cap on further bullish momentum.
Possible Double-Top Formation: The chart suggests the possibility of a double-top forming near the upper boundary of the channel, which may signal a short-term reversal.
Correction Expected: After testing the resistance, a pullback to the channel's lower trendline is expected. Previous support levels mark the initial downside targets, which are around $2,724 and $2,708.
Fibonacci Retracement: A deeper retracement could target the 0.618 Fibonacci level at approximately $2,691, where strong buying interest may re-emerge.
XAUUSD: Can be bullish, but beware of pullback riskGold prices have continued to rise this year, hitting new highs, even as the U.S. stock market hit a series of record highs.
Although the rise of safe-haven assets does not usually follow stocks, due to the demand of central banks and the decline in real interest rates, coupled with the constant geopolitical conflicts, gold has become the best way for investors to invest, which in turn continues to push up gold prices.
Judging from the current trend of gold prices, gold has no signs of peaking at all, and the bullish trend is very strong, but at the same time, this moment is the most dangerous.
The rise now seems to be completely abnormal. Once a certain opportunity appears, the decline will also be a waterfall.
From the 1H chart, we can see that gold does not give a big chance of callback now, which is completely different from the previous rise. This is nothing more than wanting you to keep chasing the rise at a high level.
But if you chase the rise like this, it will be very dangerous, and it is easy to chase the rise to the top of the mountain.
The 2720 position in the figure is today's opening price. If the gold price can stabilize above 2720-2725, then gold will undoubtedly continue to rise and further hit new highs. But if it falls below 2720 today, then be careful. The gold price may further test the 2700 integer mark. If 2700 falls below, it will be the beginning of a sharp correction.
So if you want to participate in the transaction today, you have to look at the situation in the 2720-2725 area. You can buy when the price stabilizes here. Otherwise, I do not recommend other trading positions.
10.21 Gold Asian session longs,Gold did not fall back too much after the Asian session opened, and continued to rise steadily. Then the downward correction of gold would not be too large. If the correction was too large, it would mean that the rise of gold had ended. If gold fell slightly in the early trading, you could continue to go long.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continued to diverge upward. Gold fell back to 2713 several times on Friday night and began to stop falling and rise. If gold fell back in the early trading, you could continue to go long first.
Gold bulls continue to be strong, so gold bulls have not ended yet. Without a rapid upward surge, gold bulls will not end. Gold falling means continuing to go long.
EURUSD Analysis Week 43🌐Fundamental Analysis
The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) as expected after its October policy meeting. In its policy statement, the ECB noted that it will continue to pursue a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine the appropriate level and duration of policy accommodation.
In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde acknowledged that economic activity in the Eurozone has been weaker than expected. On the inflation outlook, Lagarde said low confidence, geopolitical tensions and low investment pose downside risks to inflation. Lagarde's dovish tone kept the euro under pressure in the second half of Thursday.
The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data on Friday. Meanwhile, US stock index futures traded in positive territory during the European session.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD has recovered at the end of the week after consecutive bearish pullbacks. The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping as the bullish waves are still relatively weak. At least the pair must recover and close above the 1.095 area to be considered a broken downtrend. Watch the resistance zone when the price recovers around 1.095 and 1.103 for SELL signals. The extended pullback of the pair may extend to 1.072 before the bulls can jump in to prevent the pair from continuing to slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.07200-1.07000 Stoploss 1.06800
SELL EURUSD 1.09500-1.09700 Stoploss 1.09900
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2730 Goldturn resistance and 2719, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2730 and below at 2719 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2730
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2739
2747
BEARISH TARGETS
2719
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
BEARISH TARGET
2706
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2706 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2692 - 2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2673 - 2661
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Previously we analysed and highlighted our long range gap above at 2690, as we had ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2690. We also stated that the daily chart averages are lagging so sometimes gaps get filled before ema5 confirmation, in which case candle body close gaps are suffice and that this gap had both.
- 2690 was hit perfectly completing this target. We then had a candle body close above 2690, highlighted with a circle on the chart, opening 2725, as ema5 still lagging. We got the push up nicely but just short of the target, which now remains open for this week.
We will now look for a ema5 lock or candle body close above 2725 for a continuation above or a rejection here will see the lower Goldturns tested for support.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX