XAUUSD 1:2 RR Trade SetupLooking to go long on XauUsd around $2442.00.
Stops Under $2370.00
Targets: $2514.00 & $2584.00
Gold looks poised for further gains so its seems quite probable the next swing up is going to be coming sooner if the setup continues to retain its validity. Price closing under $2370 invalidates the trade setup.
Goldlong
Gold prices will once again fall to a new bottomGold prices are about to hit a new low, if you are buying you need to delay
The position of 2370-2365 as a buying point can make some profits. As I said before, the pressure on the short-term upside is too great. Today in New York time, gold prices failed to rise several times. The first attempt was to break through 2398. The second attempt was to break through 2403. Both were suppressed by the short trend. And there is no more news to push the gold price to continue to rise. So the operation is still mainly short-selling. If the price reaches my expected position, you can make a super short-term rebound. TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold vs. Yen Carry Trade: A Shifting Paradigm
For years, the yen carry trade has been a cornerstone of many investment portfolios. This strategy involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen to invest in higher-yielding assets, such as US Treasuries. However, a confluence of factors is making gold, represented by the XAU/USD pair, an increasingly attractive alternative.
The Yen Carry Trade Under Pressure
The yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, fueled by Japan's ultra-low interest rate environment. However, recent developments have cast a shadow over its allure.
• Rising Interest Rates: Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have embarked on a tightening cycle to combat inflation. This has narrowed the interest rate differential between the US and Japan, reducing the potential profit from the carry trade.
• Yen Strength: The Japanese yen has shown unexpected resilience, countering the traditional trend of yen weakness. This is partly due to safe-haven flows as investors seek refuge from global economic uncertainties.
• Geopolitical Risks: Increased geopolitical tensions can disrupt carry trades. A sudden shift in risk appetite can lead to rapid yen appreciation, erasing potential gains and incurring significant losses.
The Allure of Gold
In contrast, gold has emerged as a compelling investment option.
• Safe-Haven Asset: Gold is often perceived as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical risks. As global economic conditions become increasingly volatile, investors may seek the security of gold.
• Inflation Hedge: With inflation concerns persisting, gold has historically been seen as an effective inflation hedge. As the price of goods and services rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive store of value.
• Diversification Benefits: Gold can help diversify an investment portfolio. Its low correlation with traditional asset classes can reduce overall portfolio risk.
• Central Bank Demand: Central banks have been net buyers of gold in recent years, supporting its price. This ongoing demand can provide a bullish undercurrent for the gold market.
XAU/USD: A Closer Look
The XAU/USD pair, representing the price of gold in US dollars, offers investors exposure to the gold market.
• Dollar Dynamics: While gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, the US dollar can also appreciate in times of uncertainty. Therefore, the performance of XAU/USD depends on the interplay between gold and the dollar.
• Interest Rate Sensitivity: Gold is generally inversely correlated with interest rates. Rising interest rates can put downward pressure on gold prices, as investors may prefer higher-yielding bonds. However, this relationship is not always straightforward, and other factors can influence gold's price.
Conclusion
The decision to invest in gold or continue with the yen carry trade is a complex one, influenced by individual risk tolerance, investment horizon, and market outlook. While the yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, the changing interest rate environment and geopolitical risks have increased its challenges. Gold, with its safe-haven appeal and inflation-hedging properties, offers a compelling alternative. Investors should carefully consider the potential benefits and risks of both options before making a decision.
It's important to note that this article provides general information and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Short first and then buy. This is the next trading plan.The gold price in the London market did not break through the 2317 position.
It just maintained fluctuations for several hours. The operating space is very small, but going long is still profitable.
The New York market is about to open. See if the gold price will pull back to around 2400 points.
If it is, you can start buying. Maintain the position around 2400. Aggressive players can rely on the position above 2410 to sell and get some small profits first.
The reasonable buying point is around 2400-2404. When the shorting reaches the expected level, the position can be closed. Then wait for the opportunity to buy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Can gold fall below 2400 next week? Why will gold suffer a sharpYesterday Friday, for yesterday, we must be how to operate how to make money, the morning 2450 wave is not to talk about, although then short meet stop losses, but I have said in the blog that 2467 can enter, this wave, before the data must be able to stabilize the victory, and non-agricultural gold since 2455 rose 2477, I also said, Not optimistic about gold break 2500, on the contrary is optimistic about 2480-2486 do not break batch short top, and I also said, any upside break, can hang reverse empty single defense, that is to say, yesterday's high, we can hang 2458-2448-2438 reverse empty single sit and wait for profit, especially yesterday gold also broke 2420 as scheduled, This point, although not as I expected to further impact 2400, but the difference is not big, after all, since the non-agricultural large profit, gold as scheduled to crash, this point, I can only hope that you did not do more, after all yesterday's market, do more is dead, but I believe that as long as you have read my blog carefully, will not be stupid to enter, if there is, Then all I can say is you deserve it. I will not say much, directly to next week's market analysis, you can read the following reference to understand.
-- Gold Friday market review --
Friday, the morning, gold opened 2446 line, open up 2447 line ushered in a shock fall near 2443, after a long and short saw-and-see encounter broke 2450, but the highest to 2452 line ushered in a halt reversal, gold is therefore directly hit the disc flash collapse of 2440, the lowest fell to near 2435 to usher in a stop, And then, gold is also ushered in a rapid climb to break down, has risen to 2459 line to usher in a stop, but good times are not long, gold fell back a wave of 2451 after ushered in a further break, near the eve of the European plate, gold is also the highest to a wave of 2468 line to usher in a stop. During the European session, the gold shock fell back a wave of 2459 to stop, long and short is therefore Mired in the 2465-2459 range of oscillations, until the eve of the United States, gold was further lower a wave near 2456. The United States market, non-agricultural hand in hand with the unemployment rate two-way announcement, gold is therefore directly from 2455 ushered in a surge to break 2460-2470, the highest to 2477 line to usher in a wave of stop flash collapse near 2455, and then rebound again after 2473 line ushered in a short outbreak, Gold is therefore below 2450-2440-2430-2420, the lowest fell to around 2411 to usher in a stop rally, and after recovering a wave of 2438, gold is also lower again a wave of 2423, and then further rose 2442, and finally, gold is therefore closed near 2441.
-- Can gold fall below 2,400 next week? Why will gold suffer a sharp fall in non-agricultural profits? -
So for Friday, presumably you are also very surprised, within the day, gold opened up 2452 crash fell 2435 stop, then in the white market performance caution, gold not only did not fall into the shock saw, but broke through to 2468 line, and non-agricultural, gold is directly from 2455 up 2477, At this point, presumably yesterday's bullish market retail friends have also increased, after all, as far as I estimate, yesterday's nearly 70% of people think that non-agricultural will be bearish, but these people also believe that once non-agricultural profits, then gold to break 2500, as for the remaining 30% of people, of which 20% are directly bullish, bullish gold broke 2500, Maybe only 10% of people with me in the bear, and the fact is to prove that the truth is in the hands of a few people, this point, just hope that you yesterday's bullish friends are still safely built in is, but it is estimated that yesterday's day gold rose, especially after non-agricultural profits, whether there is no chasing more, are extremely excited, In particular, after 2477 was blocked and 2455 stopped, gold gave the market a reason to chase more gold, after all, the United States labor downturn, excessive growth in unemployment, but also stable the possibility of interest rate cuts in September, this, do not blame you, after all, the information spread by the market is too obvious, in this case, let alone the market retail investors, even many analysts are easy to be misled by the market. So it's not that you can't do it, it's just the market. However, this also verifies one point, that is, your understanding of the market is not deep enough, especially in the face of this kind of news that informs the market in advance, your consideration is too single, if you have measures to deal with accidents, there is no possibility of major losses, this, you also need to introspect.
So for Friday, non-farm gains, why will gold suffer a reversal of the plunge? In fact, if you have carefully read my blog on Friday, you can understand, not to mention that I did not say in detail, after all, I was writing all night, long articles have been detailed analysis of the data, and also made a judgment on the fluctuations after the data, if this is that the analysis is not accurate, I have no words. So on Friday, I made it clear that regardless of whether non-farm profits are large or not, gold will encounter a sharp fall, but that if non-farm and unemployment rate are both bearish, it will increase the space and strength of gold's decline. For no other reason, the current data and news are affected by the progress of interest rate cuts, if it is said that the Federal Reserve interest rate minutes after the release of non-agricultural data, then the market may take into account the possibility of radical stimulus to the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, in this case, gold may suffer a surge on the break, but the fact is that the fastest rate cut will not fall until September, and now, No matter how strong the market expectations are, even if the rate cut in September has been nailed, there is still a month's buffer period from now, you say, how can this rise? A month in a row? Is that possible? And I said that gold is now too high, and once the interest rate cut falls, it also means that the market will be used to interest rate cuts, in this case, the impact of interest rate cuts on gold will gradually be reduced, because the market itself is now higher, including the Fed's efforts to cut interest rates and digest in advance, for example, You are looking forward to a certain kind of food or food, but after experiencing it once, the amazing feeling of treating things or food will also disappear, what's more, this interest rate cut is consistent, that is, you would like to eat this cake, but you can not carry it every day, so the current situation, if there is no accident, we will officially usher in a historic peak. And soon, we will usher in the possibility of the short return to 2000 or even lower, at most half a year, this, you can look forward to it.
So, on Friday, after suffering a sharp fall, why did gold stop at 2410 and close above 2440? Or, for next week, can gold bulls usher in further outbreaks? In fact, I still remain bearish, first of all, gold closed higher on Friday, in fact, more than the market is betting on the geopolitical risk may break out, leading to the emergence of early digestion of this information, in this case, even if the outbreak of geopolitical risk in the weekend, will not stimulate the possibility of excessive gold Monday, after all, the market has digested in advance. This is also the precautionary layout of the market. Moreover, for the moment, the US dollar has stopped falling, and the US dollar is also facing the possibility of stopping and recovering. After all, although the US labor market performance is sluggish and other factors have affected the strong performance of the US economy, the US dollar's performance is still relatively strong in the current international market, and in the case of the US dollar at a low level, it will also hope to pour in buying. That helped the dollar and hurt gold. Then secondly, that is, gold is currently too high, especially after the non-agricultural profits suffered a crash, in this case, the market buying will also begin to doubt life, thus hitting the buying heat, and after this wave of sharp falls, the market also understands the current situation of gold, in this case, gold is currently double top shape, any rebound, It will also relatively stimulate the influx of market selling, this point, for next week, only if there is no geopolitical risk to further stimulate the outbreak, gold must be able to fall below the 2400 mark, and this wave of break, short or will point to 2330 or even 2300, after all, the market believes that interest rate cuts will be more, It also leads to gold in the process of falling will attract the favor of the market, which also provides institutions with more opportunities to wash, in this regard, for next week, next week, I will think that the reverse collapse of gold will break one after another, of course, it is not that there is no bottom-diving opportunity, but for this opportunity, more may appear in the 2280-2260 area. Of course, this is only my guess, specific, you need to adapt to the line.
So for next week's operation, relatively simple, on Monday, if there is a low open, then you will be concerned about 2430 can directly fall below, do not break the short line to wait for a rebound near 2440 directly open short positions, of course, due to the market is not calm, do not rule out gold will further break 2440 higher possible, this, You continue to hold 2444-2450 do not break batch short. If there is a high open, then you are concerned about whether 2450 can be broken to stabilize higher, if the broken level is stabilized, directly hang a wave of 2450 under the anti-reverse short order and then wait for 2460-2466 region to be short in batches. If the market performance is calm, gold opens near 2440, directly open short positions in 2440, such as the rebound continues in 2450 not to break short, and for the below, you can hang 2430-2420 below the break short single defensive pursuit, you focus on 2405-2400 near support not to break again to consider the short term. Do not pay attention to the 2410 low mark, for the current market inertia, gold really want to fall, 2410 will definitely encounter virtual break, you are concerned about 2400 gains and losses, but note that 2400 can be chased after the break, but need to hang a wave of 2400 above the reverse multiple single to defend, after all, there is a wash in the market, coupled with the stimulation of geopolitical risk, Do not rule out the possibility of gold sudden reversal pull up, this, you remember to pay attention to. Of course, the analysis is only analysis, the specific operational details, I will be updated on Monday, you remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss basis.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a day on the markets!
Yesterday we said we would want to see price push up into the higher resistance levels for the long trades and if we got a RIP there an opportunity to short would be available to traders. What an opportunity that was! We update trades during the London sessions stating that there was no clear sign of the move stopping or a reversal in play, and for that reason to hold runners until we find support to long. We had the 2360 level in mind, and once attacked said if it didn't break the bounce should take us back up into the 2390-95 region initially.
Now we have that flip again making the 2420 price point the resistance to be attempted and broken in order to complete and correct the move back upside to create a new ATH. Our issue here as mentioned earlier is that price is looking like it will want to retest that low, so if you're in long it might be an idea to protect and take partials. Levels are to be tested with a risk model in place, if you're uncomfortable and less experienced, let the chop end before entering these markets.
If we do struggle above, they will want to clear the BE traders before then attempting to move it again, which will now likely be tomorrow. So, resistance 2320 key level, needs to hold to then retest. If we can break above, bar the extreme stretch, we should get the move we wanted.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bullish Setup for GOLD**Technical Analysis: Bullish Outlook for GOLD**
Gold has completed a healthy retracement with high volumes. The presence of no-supply candles on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes indicates a potential upside movement. There is a chance of testing the current zone again before a clear upward movement.
What is the secret to continuous profit in gold trading?
Gold will continue to fall in the short term. If you are long, be cautious. If you are short, remember to set a stop profit.
In New York time period, gold continued to fluctuate at a high level. It continued to fluctuate in the range of 2403-2410. There was almost no news on Monday. But the price of gold did fall from 2460 to 2360 and then bottomed out and rebounded above 2400.
Judging from the data last week, the pressure on the bears is very high. In addition, almost all the news this month has been landed last week. Combined with the current market, there is no major news for gold to further break through the highs. The only possibility is the momentum brought by the news of the war, but for the time being, this is unlikely to happen.
So in terms of operation, it is still mainly selling at high levels. The short-term target below is below 2390.
What is the secret to continuous profit in gold trading?
That is to follow my steps. Follow the guidance. Trade with accurate signals.
So far, members who follow the transaction have almost never failed. Investors with large funds make big profits. Investors with small funds make small profits. After all, it is still difficult to lose money in such a market. The amplitude is large enough. There are enough opportunities for operation. As long as you don’t trade blindly, it’s just a matter of how much money you make. Of course, if your current account is still in a state of continuous loss, remember to follow me. It is only a matter of time before you turn losses into profits.
GOLD: Gold price will continue to fallToday, I perfectly realized the story of going from a loss of 45k to a profit of 65k.
The latest channel has a detailed process.
This rebound. Everything is within my expectations.
The gold market is currently quoted at 2406. But this position will not stabilize. I think gold will continue to fall.
If your order is still losing money, or the profit is not big. Or you don’t know how to trade yet.
Stay tuned. I will guide you how to turn losses into profits. COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Gold prices are bound to reboundLast week I said that the price of gold will continue to rise this week. After the opening, the price of gold rebounded to around 2460.
On Monday, the London market predicted that the price of gold would fall again. Then the short position made a profit again. At the same time, it was said that if the price of gold fell to a low level in the New York market, it could continue to be bought. Sure enough, the New York market continued to create new lows for the price of gold. And it reminded investors with large funds to continue to buy.
The price of gold finally stabilized at 2366 and rebounded sharply by 30+ US dollars.
Today's profit once again set a new intraday high.
If you are a buying investor. The current order is in a loss state. Don't panic.
Just follow my precise signals for precise trading. You don't need to have a good trading mentality. No matter how aggressive you are. Or you are a steady player.
Just strictly follow my precise instructions. You can simply expand profits or recover losses. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
gold buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GOLD - Long active !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I expect bullish price action as price rejected from trendline + LZ + FIBO 0.618 level.
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Gold.The rebound is about to begin. Follow me to buy.It’s now. The time to buy has arrived. As I said last week, there are still a lot of trading opportunities this week.
The rebound range is around the first target position near 2420
A large number of buy orders continue to pour into the market. Don’t hesitate.
The position near 2398-2404 is a good buying opportunity. TVC:GOLD COINBASE:BTCUSD COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD – Gold looking to soar to new highs … the week of 05 Aug If you expect that every trade will be a winner, please move on. Don’t even bother to read this analysis.
Moving on ..
Gold has been a great performer this year, it was very recent that it made an ATH of 2483.68. It then pulled back (profit taking ??) but very quickly the bulls are back and attacking that level again. Gold looks strong especially since the Fed has signaled a rate cut in Sep.
Another pullback looks likely to me and I expect price will find support either at the uptrend line or the 21 EMA. IMO we will break above the ATH and look for higher round numbers like 2500 and then 2600.
If price moves higher without retracing, I will wait for the next small retracement to take a long. If price breaks below the trendline and continues to move in a bearish manner, that will negate my analysis.
Overall, I am extremely bullish on this commodity and will not be surprised if we end up being in a long trade for an extended period of time.
This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros