Goldlong
The economy is looking to the FedThe Fed has started its two-day policy meeting and is expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points. However, the focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and dot plot, which provide guidance for interest rates in 2025.
While US Treasury yields and real yields both edged lower, the US dollar remained steady. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.379%, while the DXY index rose 0.07% to 107.01.
On the technical front, gold prices maintain their long-term uptrend but are under pressure in the short term. The key support level now is $2,600/ounce, which corresponds to the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). A break of this level could send prices lower to $2,531 – the August 20 high. Conversely, if the price breaks above $2,650, the next target will be $2,670 (50-day SMA), and then $2,700.
In addition to the Fed’s decision, investors are awaiting the release of the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, to gauge the future direction of policy. Signs that the incoming Trump administration may push for expansionary fiscal policy have raised expectations of a change in the Fed’s stance in the near term.
XAUUSD TODAY CHART OUTLOOKBased on the analysis of this chart, the market demonstrates a cyclical trend of rising and falling movements. This pattern of fluctuations presents opportunities for significant earnings, as it allows investors to capitalize on both upward and downward trends. Understanding these market dynamics and strategically timing investments during these shifts can lead to substantial financial gains. By leveraging this predictable volatility, individuals or institutions can position themselves to maximize profits in both bullish and bearish market conditions.
12.18 Gold shock revision BUYGold rebounded slightly yesterday, with a small cross positive line on the daily line.
1. After bottoming out and rebounding in the morning, it started to rise from 2650 in the afternoon.
2662-3 is the 382 position of the rebound from Friday's decline, and 2664 is the continued decline, so it is the key resistance level.
The two watersheds are very clear, one is the low point of 2643, and the other is the European session time point. Therefore, the 2650 line was chosen to bet on the rebound.
2. The 2662-4 line, the evening retracement, the formula emphasizes that the European session opened a decline in the morning, oscillated, especially the rebound from 6-8 o'clock, so in this process, the price did not break through from 8-10 o'clock, and it has been sideways, so the probability of a retracement in the US session is very high.
3. The 2650-1 line, yesterday's intraday rise and retracement to the 618 position, the standard 618 in the oscillation is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Although the 618 position was touched yesterday or sideways this morning, the strength of the pullback is not large, but it is still a sign of oscillation.
Today, it is quite controversial. The daily small cross positive line, according to the previous rhythm, the daily positive line is a continuous positive line, so we still need to see a rebound.
The cross K is also the transit point of the short-term decline, so the European session time is very important.
The watershed 2643 is also very important, which is the key to see whether it will continue to fall.
From the operation point of view, in the morning at 618, the 4-hour is still more, 2651-2 is more, if you don’t participate before 7-8 in the morning, you won’t participate in the second time.
Today, we really need to observe the strength and weakness of the day.
Look at the rhythm of the day’s operation and the layout of the US market.
1. Break 2643 during the day, the US market will pull back and empty, and the support level is 2630-32.
2. If it continues to rise during the day, the daily line is likely to go through a cycle of continuous positive rebound. Today, we will see a pullback of 618. If it is touched, you can short. You can’t double top short.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640, defense 30, target 55-60
12.17 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis SELLGold was still fluctuating and repairing yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still fluctuating with a short side. Rebounds are still opportunities to continue to short. Gold is still short at the current price of 2656 in the early trading!
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a death cross downward. The adjustment of gold has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660. It is still short at highs under pressure at 2665 in the Asian session. It can also be shorted near 2656 in the Asian session.
Gold is fluctuating and urgently needs to choose a direction. Of course, it is now a fluctuating relay of the decline, so it is still short at highs. The focus of this week is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision waiting to be launched, which is also the battle between the long and short positions of gold. Whether the gold bulls can turn the tide depends on the impact of the data.
Of course, if gold does not break a new low for a long time, it is not ruled out that gold has the possibility of short-term bottoming, so it is time to be flexible at any time.
Asian trading strategy:
Short gold at 2656, stop loss at 2666, target at 2640-2635
Gold: Bullish Move AheadThe gold market has been exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by an upward trendline. After reaching a recent low at approximately 2,611.93 USD, the price has shown signs of a rebound near key Fibonacci levels. The key support area around 2,610.00 USD (0.786 retracement level) is holding strong, and gold is now approaching the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,669.02 USD.
If the price manages to break above the 2,669.02 level, the next target would be near the 0.236 level around 2,699.16 USD. The bullish trend could accelerate further if gold surpasses the 2,726.10 USD resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Support: 2,611.93 USD
Resistance: 2,726.10 USD
Fibonacci Retracements: 2,655.54 (0.618) and 2,669.02 (0.50) act as significant levels for potential breakouts.
Forecasting the direction of gold for the rest of this yearAt the beginning of the trading session on December 16 (US time), world gold prices increased. The market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 17-18 (US time). Investors took advantage of buying gold to get ahead of the uptrend after the Fed's decision.
After a series of unusual developments in gold in recent times, experts are still cautious with the precious metal in the short term. Some investors are tending to sell to take profits in the last weeks of the year.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, said that the direction of gold depends on the Fed's decision. Gold is at risk of falling to the $2,600/ounce mark if the Fed signals a smaller reduction or stops cutting interest rates next year.
Forecasts that the US economy will likely be more stable and stronger next year. This means the Fed has little reason to lower interest rates, and gold prices may not receive as much support as this year.
Gold continued its downward trend at the beginning of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher after dipping to the $2,644-2,643 range during the Asian session, a one-week low. This pause in its recent pullback from last Thursday's one-month high is supported by a softer US Dollar, driven by a slight retreat in US Treasury yields. Geopolitical risks and uncertainties surrounding US President-elect Donald Trump's policies also bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to rate cuts next year, given stalled progress in reducing inflation toward the 2% target, could support US bond yields and limit further gains for gold. Investors are likely holding back on major moves ahead of the much-anticipated FOMC meeting outcome on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downtrend continues - Gold is under strong selling pressure before results of interest rate cuts
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2674 - $2676 SL $2679
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2632
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Going to the level of 2269$ GOLD Going to the level of 2269$
Gold-price may fall a bit and then bounce back to the $2690 level
Recently, the price started falling from the resistance line, breaking the $2690 level, and fell to $2535 points, breaking the $2605 level too.
Price then turned around and started rising inside a wedge where it broke the resistance line and soon reached the $2605 level.
The price exceeded this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then made a correction to the support level.
Then, the price traded for a while and then fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it made an upward momentum.
Gold went up to the wedge resistance line, violating the $2690 level, but it recently turned around and fell to the support line.
Now, I think gold may fall below the wedge support line a bit and then bounce to the $2690 level.
12.16 Gold Short-term Operation AnalysisThe gold market rose and fell last week. At the beginning of the week, the market opened high at 2645.1 due to the risk aversion factors on the weekend. The market first filled the gap and gave 2626.1. Then the market rose strongly. By Thursday morning, the highest point of this round of impact target 2726.2 was touched. After that, the market took profits and the negative fundamental factors suppressed the market to fall rapidly. The weekly line finally closed at 2648.6. The weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the weekly line has technical adjustment pressure, and the target of this round of testing is still the weekly level Bu Lin middle track support. In terms of points, if it rises first in the morning, give 2667 shorts and conservatively give 2670 shorts and stop losses at 2674. The lower targets are 2655 and 2645. If it falls below, this week's targets are 2640 and 2631 supports. If it still breaks, look at 2623 and 2612 near the extreme adjustment points of this round to exit and reverse trend long positions.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS ☄️Gold market analysis☄️
➡️Gold grew to 2720 and then had a market crash to 2645.
➡️We need the selling force to weaken past the candlestick signals in H1 and H4, then we will Buy, the 2 Buy zones I suggest for you next week: 2636 - 2614
➡️In the long run, gold still has the ability to grow to the $3,000 mark, but before there is strong growth, gold will tend to side ways in the H1 and H4 frames or decrease to create selling momentum and deceive the market. ..
Gold on the Rise: Is $2700 Within Reach?Hey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:XAUUSD Return to the $2700 Territory? Let’s Dive In...
In the H4 timeframe, Gold rebounded decisively above the 0.618 Golden Ratio Fibonacci level, marking the end of the minor correction within the broader bullish trend in the Daily timeframe. This move laid the foundation for a bullish flag pattern to emerge.
The breakout from the flag pattern was confirmed with the formation of two bullish Marubozu candlesticks. At the same time, the MACD indicator signaled a bullish crossover, adding further confidence to the case for continued upward momentum.
Given these strong technical signals, I foresee an upward movement toward the first target at 2715.097. Upon reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally gains traction again, pushing toward the second target at 2758.970.
However, this bullish outlook hinges on the price maintaining support above the critical stop-loss level at 2613.372.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold".
$GOLD analysis XAUUSD 4H
1. The price reacted to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 2674 and is attempting to break the downtrend line.
2. The next major resistance lies between 2745 and 2750.
3. If this resistance is broken, the potential target could be around 2800.
4. Key support is at 2635; losing this level may increase selling pressure.
5. The current structure indicates a potential breakout of the downtrend line and a move toward higher resistances.
Gold broke the down trend and retesting it (bullish)Prices is currently above the 200 MA, I also see the price broke the down trend and is retesting The price is currently above the 200 MA. I also noticed that it has broken the downtrend and is now retesting it. If the price breaks through the bearish order block (OB) and successfully retests it, I anticipate it will continue moving upwards and potentially reach the top.
What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments
XAUUSD: 12/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2675-50
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed and fell unilaterally in the volatile trading. The price of Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2726 mark, oscillating and falling. The second rebound in the European session was under pressure, and the 2720 line fell downward and showed a unilateral decline. It accelerated downward in the US session and broke through the 2700 integer mark to reach a weak closing near 2675. The overall gold price showed a suppression adjustment pattern above 2726 in the short term, but the daily level technical indicators did not completely turn empty.
From the 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the suppression of the opening drop 2725 line above, the short-term support of the 2675 line below, and the important support 2650 line below. In the short term, the gold price is expected to enter the long and short wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and sell low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2650near
BUY:2675near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Please use a small SL to test the signal.