THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT 4H – LAST ONE OF THE YEAR!
In last week’s KOG report we said we would be looking for price to find support on the open into path illustration and then attempt the move upside into the 2630-35 range which we suggested would be a reasonable target for any long trades. It’s at this level we wanted to take out our longs and attempt the short trade sticking with the bias of the week which was the 2660 bearish below level.
It was a ranging week with minimal movement considering recent weeks, however, we managed to get the resistance level and then the move down on the red boxes where we suggested traders take partials and then leave runners at BE into the close.
Another decent week on the markets in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Well, we again have that order region of 2630-35 which we ideally would like to see visited one more time, however, there is a key level of resistance sitting at the 2625-7 region which we would price to attempt during the early session before settling again. Ideally, we would like to see one of these levels reject giving a further move downside into the lower support levels which are active on the red boxes. The first level being 2610 and below that 2600-4 which will need to break for us to go lower into the new year!
It’s a really important week with the yearly candle close above the 2655 level to confirm further movement upside.
The key levels for the end of year, support 2596, needs to break and close below in order to form the structure to go lower and break the range. Resistance 2640 needs to break upside and hold in order to see more gains on this precious metal.
Simple one this week as we’re still on our festive break and spending limited time on the charts. We’ll update and post the analysis for the wider community as we go through the week. Otherwise, wishing you the best of success in your trading journey for the New Year and thank you for being with us.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2640 with targets below 2610, 2604, 2596 and below that 2580
Bullish on break of 2640 with targets above 2655 and above that 2665
RED BOXES:
Break above 2625 for 2630, 2635 and 2638 in extension of the move
Break below 2613 for 2604, 2597, 2592 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldindicator
THE KOG REPORT - FOMC THE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this FOMC we have the following key levels which need to be monitored and can be used for potential spikes. 2630-25 support, which is too close to target from here could give us that push upside into the higher levels of 2650-55 and above that 2660-65. It’s that higher region we will want to be watching closely for a potential RIP and opportunity to then short back down as shown on the chart. Immediate levels are no good to us here if there is exaggerated volume in the markets on the release, or the press conference 30mins after.
On the flip, if we continue the move downside breaking through the 2630 level we will be looking lower, 2610 as the point of interest but the extension of the move into the 2590-95 region is where we will want to be to waiting for the RIP and potential opportunities to then long back up.
Simple one this time, if we don’t get the levels, we want we’ll stay out of it and come back tomorrow to look for a decent set up.
Our bias target at 2667 still remains so please play caution.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2650, 2660 and above that 2668
Break below 2625 for 2610, 2596
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week's KOG report we said to expect choppy price action, but we did not expect it to last the whole week! What a week however, the range allowing traders to trade within it up and down making the most of the levels on the boxes and Excalibur. We gave the weekly key level as 2620 which we said will need to break to go lower, otherwise, opportunities from that level were available and worked well.
On Friday we published the NFP report, again giving the key level for the push up 2625, this also worked well for traders, with the bonus of the short to end the week. A fantastic week for traders with us completing a phenomenal 37 targets across the markets!
We had that higher region of 2670 which however was not visited, so is it still available? Let’s dive in.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
This week we would expect this price action to continue, the range getting a little larger but the up and down movement making it difficult to hold position, at least for the first part of the week. We have that key level of resistance above again at 2650 with that level of 2670 still active on our books. For that reason, we feel this decline isn’t ready just yet, but the lower levels are available for consideration. Support below 2620 and below that the 2610 level are opportunities if we can continue this slow decline downside. We have the extension of the move at 2590 as key level support, so we feel that’s the ideal long trade for the swing up, if attacked.
Looking at the chart in more detail, and applying the red boxes, we can see we have defence above at 2635-40, which if held, can continue this move down into the red box 2625 as the immediate level for the range. A break of that level will take us further into breaker move 2610 and 2590 before any exhaustion.
As we close in to the festive period, we can expect volume to be thin over the coming weeks as well as sudden burst of profit taking, so please trade carefully for the remainder of the month, reduce your lot sizes and make sure you have a sensible risk model in place.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2665 with targets below 2620 and below that 2610
Bullish on break of 2665 with targets above 2670 and above that 2685
RED BOXES:
Break above 2639 for 2650, 2660, 2663 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2627 for 2620, 2610 and 2595 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - Election update:Continuing with this chart we've managed to navigate the move from the all time high into the lower region which we had marked with a circle for Camelot as a potential RIP zone. There was a slight stretch on the move however, we did get the bounce giving us a fantastic long trade.
On this particular chart we would like to see where price closes on the weekly to make a further assessment. For now, if you followed, it moved well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted price to reject the high and give us the short into the red box defence during the early session levels 2730-35. We did get that move but it was achieved via the gap on open giving traders a couple of opportunities to take the long trade from the level following the path. We're yet to complete the first bullish target but we're on our way so we'll stick with the plan!
Based on the structure and range at the moment we're not discounting another dip into the low but will look for pull backs into the 2735 region to hold to continue the move upside.
Support 2735, resistance 2750 could give a reaction for the short scalp. Keep an eye on the red boxes, pinned below, they're working really well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD H4 / NEW TRADING IDEA ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GOLD H4. I see a good opportunity for a SHORT TRADE from the OB.
As a take profit, I see the price of 2015.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
____________________________________
Follow, like, and comment to see my content:
www.tradingview.com
XAUUSD Trade Idea 2/10/23 pullback?Good evening gold gang! its that time again .. market open ready for a new week .. a new month and a new quarter! Lets go
Price has hit a strong daily reaction zone to the tee! .. so i would now expect price to move up to the next selling zone marked in white.
Everything is still ultra bearish .. so it will take a bullish daily close for me to change my mind .. so lets see
We have some nice bits of news tomorrow that can very well send gold down further if dollar positive .. so lets stay frosty and take those small 10-20 pip moves and be happy
I hope you enjoyed the educational post i did earlier .. if you missed it .. look back on my page to find it
follow along if you're not already .. i provide lots of value and im a real person!! not a bot or fake female profile hah
catch you in london .. hit the like button!!
tommyXAU