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GC1! (Gold Futures)

GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [July 22 - July 26]During the last weekend, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD decreased due to the strengthening of the US Dollar and profit-taking activities in the market. The gold market once again ended this week in a key price position, testing key support at the original price point of $2,400/ounce. Before that, the price of gold hit a record high this past week, largely due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. XAUUSD is now closely correlated with interest rate expectations, and gold's rise to a record high coincides with expectations that the Federal Reserve will launch its easing cycle in September. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a more than 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates increase the appeal of precious metals, especially Non-Yield Gold. yield. The only thing that could derail gold's fundamental uptrend is a surprise rise in inflation, which would make investors question the possibility of interest rate cuts. However, in reality, recent data along with comments from the Fed all show that the scenario of a sudden increase in inflation approaching the Fed's 2% target is very unlikely. Investors will have to wait until Friday for the release of the June Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index. Last month, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge showed inflation rising 2.6%. In addition to key inflation data, the market will first focus on US gross domestic product (GDP) data. In terms of central bank operations, the Bank of Canada will announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Economists believe weaker inflation data will create room for the central bank to cut interest rates. Economic data to watch next week Tuesday: Existing home sales Wednesday: Bank of Canada monetary policy decision, PMI preview, new home sales Thursday: GDP growth, durable goods orders, weekly unemployment claims Friday: Core PCE, personal income and expenses Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has corrected down for three consecutive sessions since its all-time high last week, and now closes weekly at a very important support point, the original price of $2,400. The level of 2,400USD is both the original price and the horizontal support and the bottom edge of the short-term trend price channel. Once gold continues to be sold below the original price of 2,400 USD, it will risk falling further with the target level then at the 21-day moving average (EMA21). However, with the closing position right at 2,400 USD, the short-term technical uptrend from the still undetermined price channel has been broken. Meanwhile, the long-term trend of gold is still completely tilted towards the possibility of price increase. In the near future, gold has conditions that lean towards an uptrend with main support from EMA21 and the price channel while the short-term trend and short-term support level is at 2,400USD. The recovery target in the near term will initially be noticed at $2,431. As long as gold remains above EMA21, price drops should only be considered corrective, profit-taking moves in the market without changing the main trend. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,400 – 2,397 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,431USD 📌The short-term trading plan for next week will first consider buying around 2350, selling around 2450.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → False breakdown before the bullrun... ↑ FX:XAUUSD reacts perfectly to the 2390-2400 area, forming a false breakdown with subsequent growth to 2420, but I am now confused by the extremely low volatility.... The calm before the storm.... Gold is bullish on D1, while the dollar index is showing signs that the price may continue its decline in the medium term. Today at 13:45 GMT it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI at 13:45 GMT and Hew Home Sales at 14:00. The data may revitalize the market, but we need to look at the actual numbers. Technically, gold has a bullish market on H1, but right now I am extremely confused by the very low volatility, which often leads to momentum to one side or the other. Based on the overall situation there is a chance to see a continuation of growth if the bulls hold their defenses above 2400-2405. Resistance levels: 2420, 2430, 2450 Support levels: 2405, 2400, 2392 The price is gradually updating the highs, forming clear support zones. A possible retest of the liquidity area before the subsequent bullrun to 2430-2450. It is not excluded that the price can break the structure and give a strong impulse down to 2370, but at the moment of market analysis there are no preconditions for it Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD recovers from $2,400, Powell continues to supportOANDA:XAUUSD recovered after correcting and testing support at the $2,400 base price point on Monday. At the time this article was completed, gold was trading at 2,430USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.31% of more than 7Dollar on the day. Gold price rose for a third straight week but fell short of its daily high as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell kept his promise and did not provide expected guidance. Gold opened slightly lower on Monday after Trump's assassination over the weekend increased his chances of winning the November election. This gave slight support to the US Dollar, although concerns have eased and gold continued its upward trend, pushing gold prices to a multi-week high of $2,439/ounce. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave a dovish signal on Monday. Powell said second-quarter economic data gives policymakers more confidence that inflation is falling toward the Fed's 2% target. The comments could pave the way for interest rate cuts in the near future. Powell said he will not wait until inflation reaches the 2% target to cut interest rates, because the impact of monetary policy has a lag, and keeping interest rates too high for too long will limit them too much. economic growth rate. He further explained that if we wait until inflation reaches the 2% target to cut interest rates, we may have to wait too long because the currently applied tightening monetary policy will still have an impact and can push up interest rates. Inflation is below 2%. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly declined to give guidance on when the Fed might cut interest rates, but acknowledged that significant progress had been made in controlling inflation. She noted growing confidence in getting closer to the 2% inflation target and said more information was needed before making a decision on interest rates. She noted that she had seen progress toward her goal, but had not yet achieved it. According to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 91.2% and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 8.8%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 0.0%, the probability of cutting interest rates for the first time is about 99.7%. Lower interest rates will be significantly beneficial for precious metals, especially non-yielding gold. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After gold adjusted and retested the original price area of ​​2,400 USD, which was the support that readers noticed in the publication last week, gold has recovered and currently maintains its price activity around 2,430 USD. by the time the article is completed. In terms of technical structure, there are not many changes compared to the previous issue sent to you with most of the technical conditions supporting the possibility of a price increase. The main trend of gold price is noticed by the price channel, as long as gold remains above EMA21, the technical outlook will still be bullish. Heading towards all-time highs, gold prices currently have no technical resistance ahead, and the nearest notable support levels remain around the $2,400 raw price. This means that, technically, very large fluctuations can continue to occur, but the upward price trend will not change. During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by the following price levels. Support: 2,418 – 2,400 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,449USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2401 - 2399 ⚰️SL: 2405 ⬆️TP1: 2394 ⬆️TP2: 2389 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2337 - 2339 ⚰️SL: 2333 ⬆️TP1: 2344 ⬆️TP2: 2349
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD continues to refresh all-time highs, with no resistance"Dovish" comments by Federal Reserve officials reinforced market expectations of a US interest rate cut in September. Investors flocked to gold, the safe-haven asset and Gold prices increased further and continuously reached new all-time records. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Monday that recent inflation data has reinforced policymakers' confidence that price pressures are on track to remain low, reassuring markets. market that a US interest rate cut will take place in September. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly also said "confidence is rising" and inflation is moving toward the U.S. central bank's 2% target. Lower US interest rates are putting pressure on the dollar and bond yields, increasing the appeal of non-yielding gold. Gold prices are up more than 19% this year after rising 13% in 2023. According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 93.3% and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 0.0%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 93.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 6, 7%. According to a recent report from ANZ Bank, it is worth noting that India's gold demand could help prolong the current bull run and push gold prices even higher. India is the world's second largest gold market. In the first 5 months of 2024, India's gold imports increased by 26% over the same period last year, with 230 tons of gold flowing into the country. This is despite prices reaching record highs. There are many reasons why gold has become the top choice at the present time, basically, readers can re-read recent publications via the link below to get more information. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has continued to make new all-time highs and looking ahead there is currently no technical resistance left, with all price structures still tilted strongly to the upside. Currently, the closest support is the all-time high broken yesterday, the $2,449 level is notable support which if gold corrects below this level it is likely to retest the $2,431 area or more 2,400USD but the uptrend is unchanged. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also operating around the overbought area, showing that there is not too much room for price increases. A good signal for the downward adjustment momentum is that the RSI is bent downward. from the 80% area. Overall, even though downward corrections may occur, the bullish structure and uptrend are unchanged, as long as gold remains within the price channel, and EMA21. However, we (short-term traders) will have to face a very volatile market, the only thing that can make trading better is to be patient and control the intensity/appropriate trading volume to adapt to the current market context. Gold's uptrend will be noticed by the following price levels. Support: 2,449 – 2,431USD Resistance: (No resistance level found) 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2501 - 2499 ⚰️SL: 2505 ⬆️TP1: 2494 ⬆️TP2: 2489 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2417 - 2419 ⚰️SL: 2413 ⬆️TP1: 2424 ⬆️TP2: 2429
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD No buy below the 4H MA50.Gold (XAUUSD) dipped on Friday below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but that doesn't affect the long-term trend (see chart below), which is still bullish within the 18-month Channel Up pattern: Even on the current 4H time-frame analysis, the price found support right at the bottom of the short-term Channel Up. However, short-term buys can only be confirmed when the price breaks above the 4H MA50 again. Technically though this remains buy territory as the 4H RSI almost hit the oversold barrier (30.00) and rebounded, which is similar to the June 26 Higher Low (bottom). The Bullish Leg that followed peaked on the 2.5 Fibonacci extension level, which on the new potential Bullish Leg is perfectly aligned with our long-term Target as well. That remains 2600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
EURUSD has broke back of interests for the weekEarlier this week, ECB President Christine Lagarde expressed confidence in the euro zone inflation being under control. In contrast, the recently released Fed minutes indicate a negative impact on the committee's confidence in achieving 2% inflation and suggest that it will take more time to recover. The minutes were recorded before the latest US CPI data, highlighting that a single positive print is not enough for the Fed to consider interest rate cuts seriously. EURUSD was expected to give up last week's gains as the FX market focused on higher yielding currencies like the US dollar, Pound Sterling, and the Kiwi dollar. Despite breaking out of an ascending channel, EURUSD traded slightly higher in the London AM session following improved European flash PMI data for May. German manufacturing data showed signs of improvement, moving closer to the neutral 50 mark, and there was a slight increase in sentiment in the services sector as well. Channel support, now resistance, serves as the nearest challenge to dollar strength heading into the end of the week. 1.0800 and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) present downside levels of interest.
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [July 15 - July 19]Latest data shows that it is impossible to cool down the gold market. Spot gold closed down about 4 dollars at 2,410 USD/oz, recovering quickly from the short-term selling pressure created when PPI data was released. US PPI rose slightly higher than expected in June as higher carrier margins more than offset falling commodity costs. On Friday (July 12), data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the producer price index (PPI) increased 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year. last year, higher than expected. However, Gold prices rose to their highest since May 22 on Thursday after a surprise drop in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). The data reinforced the view that the deflationary trend has continued and raised hopes of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. as early as September. With the Fed now wary of labor market weakness, financial markets are increasingly betting that the Fed will cut interest rates in September and are predicting a further fall in borrowing costs in December. As noted by readers in the brief comments when the data was released on the impact trend observation data, PPI data is typically not tracked as closely as CPI data so the impact of it for CPI data will be insignificant. In other words, if CPI and PPI are on the same trend, PPI will synergistically boost the impact of CPI. Otherwise, if PPI is not on the same trend, its impact will not be as great as CPI. As the market gradually approaches a low interest rate environment (assessing expectations based on macro data), inflation cools and dovish comments from the Fed increase expectations for interest rate cuts, these factors will be solid support for precious metals. Not taking into account other unexpected factors from geopolitical risks that can escalate at any time, in all cases when geopolitical conflicts occur, gold is always chosen as a safe haven. Notable economic data and events next week Monday: Empire State Manufacturing Survey, Powell speaks at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C. Tuesday: Retail sales in the US Wednesday: US housing construction figures and building permits Thursday: ECB monetary policy decision, weekly jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed survey Data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that for the week ending July 9, speculative net long positions in COMEX gold futures increased by 13,062 lots to 191,603 lots . Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After adjusting and retesting the support area noted by readers in the previous edition, the area around 2,400 - 2,390 USD gold recovered to close above the original price of 2,400 USD. In terms of weekly closing position, the weekly closing above 2,400 USD should be considered a positive signal because at this point the original price point of 2,400 USD has become the closest technical support point of gold price. The bullish technical structure remains unchanged with the price channel as the medium-term trend and the price channel as the short-term uptrend. The fact that gold keeps its price activity in the above two price channels provides conditions for price increases towards the levels of 2,425 - 2,449 USD in the near future, on the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not yet reached the overbought level, showing that there is an overbought level. The place to buy is still available. Looking ahead, technical conditions support a bullish case for gold prices on the daily chart, with notable technical levels listed below. Support: 2,400 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,425 – 2,449USD 📌The trading plan for next week will first be to buy if the price is around 2375, watch to sell around 2450, then wait to buy again at 2350, wait to sell at 2480.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → False breakdown. Will we return to the bullish trend?FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase after a false breakdown of trend resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar. Overall, the environment on D1 is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range. There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar, which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase (locally) Resistance levels: 2420, 2429, 2450 Support levels: trend, 2402, 2900 Technically, the price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
GOLD → Consolidation before rising to 2500...FX:XAUUSD after breaking through trend resistance is forming a consolidation, just like the dollar. Sellers start selling on indicators and MM may set a trap before further growth. Technically and fundamentally gold has a favorable environment. The price is in the buying zone and in the ATH zone. There is a lot of support (obstacles) from below, and there is emptiness from above and nothing prevents to go up. There is consolidation on H1 and all technical conditions are favorable for the continuation of growth. BUT! There is an interesting pattern forming on H1-M30, which can give a small correction as a trap for sellers before further growth. Now a lot of selling is forming on indicators (overbought, rsi, macd and so on), accordingly, MM may show a reversal. The whole emphasis is on 2461, If the price fixes below, the gold may be driven to the liquidity zone: 2450, 2440, 2430 before further growth. Resistance levels: 2475, 2484 Support levels: 2461, 2450 If the price consolidates below 2461, a retest of the support is possible before further growth. If a rebound is formed, consolidation above 2467-2475, we should wait for a retest of resistance with a breakout attempt. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
39
GOLD driven by CPI, next eye on PPI dataThe release of the US inflation report shows that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates. The US Dollar fell sharply and gold prices reached a 6-week high then corrected slightly in the Asian trading session today Friday (July 12). CPI data reinforces expectations of a Fed rate cut • US consumer prices unexpectedly fell in June, with the smallest annual increase in a year, reinforcing the view that disinflation is back on track and prompting the Federal Reserve to take action an important step in cutting interest rates. • The U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.1% month-over-month in June, the first decline since May 2020 US seasonally adjusted CPI rose 3.0% year-on-year in June, below market expectations of 3.1%, the lowest since June last year. • Additionally, the seasonally unadjusted core CPI in the US recorded an annual increase of 3.3% in June, below market expectations of 3.4% and the lowest level since April /2021. • The seasonally adjusted monthly core CPI rate in June was 0.1%, below market expectations of 0.2% and the lowest since August 2021. CME Group's (CME) Federal Reserve interest rate tracker shows that after the release of US CPI data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 92.6%, significantly higher than Wednesday's 70%. Since gold does not earn interest, falling interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold and increase the investment appeal of the precious metal. On the other hand, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has attended US Senate and House committee hearings over the past 2 days, and his testimony shows that the Fed is getting closer to a decision to cut interest rate. Today (Friday), investors will focus on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for June and the preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for July. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After reaching and breaking the original price level of 2,400 USD, the target increase noticed by readers in previous publications, gold is also making certain adjustments. And the $2,400 raw price point now becomes the closest support on the daily chart. The bullish technical structure of gold prices remains unchanged with all supporting factors from the trend price channel, support level at the original price point of 2,400 USD and maintaining price activity above the 21-day moving average (EMA21). In addition, the Relative Strength Index has not yet reached the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price increases in the near future. As long as gold remains within the trending price channel, the main technical outlook for gold prices remains bullish, with notable technical points listed below. Support: 2,400 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,424 – 2,449USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2441 - 2439 ⚰️SL: 2445 ⬆️TP1: 2434 ⬆️TP2: 2429 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2379 - 2381 ⚰️SL: 2375 ⬆️TP1: 2386 ⬆️TP2: 2391
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD increased about 1%, the third consecutive week of increaseWorld gold prices decreased but still maintained the 2,400 USD/oz mark in the trading session on Friday (July 12) and completed the third consecutive week of increase thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon interest rate cuts. Some experts predict that gold prices could re-establish an all-time record in the next few days. This week, world gold prices increased by about 1%, marking the third consecutive week of increase. On Thursday, gold prices reached their highest level in 6 weeks, thanks to motivation from a statistical report showing that the US consumer price index (CPI) in June unexpectedly decreased. The data reinforces the view that the downward trend in US inflation has resumed and increases the likelihood that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in September. A report from the US Department of Labor on Friday showed that PPI - a measure of wholesale inflation - increased 0.2% in June compared to the previous month, higher than the 0.1% increase forecast by economists. reported in a survey by Reuters news agency. In May, this index moved sideways compared to April. However, the above report basically did not change interest rate expectations. Data from CME's FedWatch Tool shows that traders still bet on a more than 93% chance of the Fed lowering interest rates in September. The world's largest gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) SPDR Gold Trust had its second consecutive week of net gold purchases this week, but the net purchase amount only reached 0.3 tons of gold. Data from the fund's website shows that at the end of Friday, this fund was holding approximately 835.1 tons of gold. The prospect of lower interest rates has put downward pressure on the USD this week, causing the Dollar Index to fall 0.34% on Friday, closing the week at 104.08 points - according to data from MarketWatch. For the whole week, this index decreased by 0.75%, bringing the total decrease in the past month to nearly 1.4%.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Resistance break-out and re-test confirm rally continuatiThis is a small Gold (XAUUSD) update on Monday's idea (see chart below) as we have a major Resistance break-out: As you can see, the price action is so far following our trading plan and following the Resistance break-out, we see it potentially moving a little higher and then pulling back to re-test the Resistance as a Support. That happened on the previous Bullish Leg break-out (March 06) and then after a successful Resistance re-test, Gold resumed the uptrend and rose by +22.40%, hitting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we will move our Target marginally higher at 2630, even though the 2.0 Fib extension is at 2690. The reason is the May 04 2023 High, which as priced on a +15.26% rise, the 'weakest' Bullish Leg since the September 2022 market bottom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop.... According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained. The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further. Resistance levels: 2440, 2450 Support levels: 2430, 2420 Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
This is why gold's breakout stopped dead in its tracks at an ATHThe combination of dovish Fed comments and a softer inflation report from Canada excited gold bulls enough to send spot prices convincingly to a record high on Tuesday. It was gold's best day in 4 months and closed near the high of the day. Yet it couldn't quite stretch to $2370. And here is why... The front-month adjusted futures contract for gold rallied in tandem with spot prices, yet failed to test its own record high set in May. And until it does, I remain suspicious of runaway gains for spot gold prices. in fact, it raises the odds of a pullback for gold. We're not looking to be bearish gold, as the breakout is solid, market positioning remains convincingly bullish without being a sentiment extreme and fundamentals support higher prices. But intraday traders should at least be aware of resistance on the futures contract, to manage their own expectations for spot gold prices if nothing else.
COMEX:GC1!
by CityIndex
Gold & Silver May Rally 65% to 120% Before End Of 2025This updated research video highlights why I believe Gold and Silver are about to launch higher over the next 90+ days - into the upper ranges of my BreakAway phase. This move would represent a 20~25% move for Gold and a 35~45% move for Silver. But the BIG MOVE won't happen till after November 2024. That's when I expect to see Gold make a large upward move targeting $3500~3750+ and Silver making a move targeting $40~55+. Why am I so confident metals will make this aggressive move higher? It comes down to two things. A. If the US economy continues to be the 900-lb Gorilla compared to other global economies, then metals will become the primary or secondary hedge asset for most of the world (the US dollar being the other). B. The turmoil related to a new US President (new policies, plans, foreign relationships) could present a very real tipping point for certain aspects of the global economy. And it does not matter if Trump or Biden wins. The reality is the world will be shifting quickly into a transition phase as we move closer to 2030. Part of the Generational Cycle process that many people fail to understand is human psychology paired with excessive central bank manipulation over the past 20+ years. This has led to a very interesting global central bank predatory mode, which is currently playing out quite aggressively related to global currencies. The primary hedge instruments are US-Dollar-based assets and metals. That will probably continue - but at a more significant demand rate. All of this plays out as an incredible opportunity for skilled traders. Go get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
2
XAUUSD Coming out of its consolidation and turning bullish.Gold (XAUUSD) is on a sustainable short-term rise above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is coming out of a consolidation pattern (blue) similar to December 2023 - February 2024. Both were supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and both are within the long-term 18-month Channel Up. This could technically be the start of the 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern. Our Target is a 'modest' 2600, which may be almost +15% from the bottom, but would still be the weakest Leg of the three. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
GOLD Begins Downtrend Amid Fed Rate Cut SpeculationsGold prices have initiated a downside movement during the early European session on Monday. Market participants appear convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates in September, which is seen as a potential tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Our analysis indicates that the price is currently within a supply area, showing a rebound on the daily timeframe. Commercial traders remain bearish on gold, while retail traders are holding bullish positions. Despite not having all the confirmations, we anticipate a possible drop in gold prices towards the previous demand area. The prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential for gold to continue its downward trajectory. Moreover, the markets are also factoring in the possibility that the Fed will lower borrowing costs again in December. This expectation is preventing the US Dollar (USD) from capitalizing on its modest recovery from a three-month low, adding another layer of support for the USD-denominated gold price. Typically, lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, thereby boosting its appeal. As the Fed's monetary policy outlook continues to evolve, the anticipation of rate cuts is likely to influence gold prices further. The interplay between commercial and retail traders' positions, along with broader market dynamics, will play a crucial role in shaping the future price movements of gold. In conclusion, with the early signs of a downtrend in gold prices and the market's conviction about impending Fed rate cuts, we are poised to see continued volatility. The current supply area and the bearish sentiment among commercial traders support the case for a potential decline towards the previous demand area. Investors should closely monitor these developments to make informed decisions in the gold market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by FOREXN1
4