GC
3 August : DOJI ON GOLD DAILY CHART see daily chart = yesterday doji show new + trend can start (if low not break)
yesterday gold after touch fibo61% go up and touch daily sma200 true?
now fore next hours , after little zigzag can go upper to 1850 or go downer to touch 1800(old break up trend line) then fly up to 1850 (even 1900)
for today we still predict + trend , so put buystop on high (SL=8.00$) and buylimit around 1800$ with sl=low is exclent orders (see AC (or stoch ) daily is red, this show gold can range or zigzag )
alert= if big news comes and gold break low 1790 ,can downer to 1775(buylimit 2 place) So 100% PUT SL IN LAST LOW ALWAYS ,NEVER REMOVE SL ,if you cant control yourself, (hide SL on chart) shot down and 24 hour go away,dont watch
note= if you are new trader go in demo,you must eat 1.000.000 SL to be normal for your emotion,eat SL not bad =exit from bad posation soon before margincall,,,,if you can eat 5 SL and 5 TP each week is very exclent , with practice try increase your TP(point) and wait time on in profit pos (exit loss pos soon when low break)
29 july : buy signal comes,looking for buy (until low break) AC daily turn green =up trend will start ..... sl = low (20-30 pip under yesterday low)
yesterday on news gold open my selstop in low and back to up , with SL i can exit ,my buystop now activated
if you have sells,why you dont put sl=margincall you must put sl on today high or hedge it(size=2*total sell) in next low frist close sells ,then on 1850 close buys
important = some very profesional traders use hedge stratgy ,dont have SL , these stratgies are exclent but very very hard,complex ,need very very high control mind,market , not for new traders, need many steps and min 10 year exprience and min 3 year demo only for stratgy ,never use stratgies witout SL (like scalp,martingle,grid) best,simple way is buy with low size and sl in low
if you cant put SL on high,low = you have big problem 100% will 0.00 account , stop trade on real ,witdrawal money ,back to demo , eat many sl until be normal for you
27 july= still AC daily is red ,mean seller will comes in 1794 we have support,if gold break it ,door will open to 1770
if you dont have open posation,wait for buy in 1770 ,dont inter buy soon
if you have sell , you must put SL in high 1813+ buystop and tp near 1770
if you have buy put sl , put hedge sellstop 1790 (size=0.5*total buy) , allow price go down and back to 1790 ,then close sell frist,then wait 10 day to 1850,close buys
good luck
note=my private gold stratgy from 1803 gived sell signal to 1770 (99% i dont pick sell signals always on gold looking buy ,but with very low size,sl in low ) ,near 1770 i will buy for hold until fibo 141% = 1880
longterm view=gold will see 2400 in next 8 month ,main trend on weekly chart will + up
26 july = sell near trendline 1805 posible 100% put sl above high i show on chart
wait time=3-4 day
dont close it soon ,wait to near 1770 trendline (other powerful buylimit place )
in signal like this
reach tp=50%
reach sl=50%
size=per 1000$ balance max 0.01 lot (or 10$)
alert=on daily chart we have 3angel pattern
26 july : look like gold want go down to 1770after watching eurusd, dollar index, us yield and gold futures ,look like gold want break low, go down to 1770 in next days
if you have buy ,strongly advice sl in friday low or put hedge sellstop(after sell open,dont close it,allow price go down,back to up,in open price close sell,then wait 7-8 day ,near 1850 close buy
lets see gold can break low or can break upper trend line , if you dont have open posation,dont inter sell,wait buy in near 1770(with sl)
GBPCAD Swing LongIf you like this idea, like and follow me for more.
Analysis done on the daily/4H timeframe. I've drawn out some key support and resistance (S&R) levels, key supply and demand (S&D) zones, as well as a trendline. Price is currently move in an uptrend, and due to recent GBP weakness, price has come down to a good area to buy from.
As you can see, i've entered lightly above my S&D zone. I got confirmation for my entry due to price action but i shall be setting some buy limits further down into my zone should price come down so far (risk will be managed since the amounts of pip being risked at the bottom of the zone will be a lot less than from the top).
The key S&R levels will be used as target points. My long-term aim is to swing GC back to the top, but i shall be taking profits along the way.
Updates to follow, follow me to see them.
AC daily and yield this week push gold down yield and dollar index give gold bad zigzag in last 5 day
lets see gold futures last candels,trends exactly
60%=AC in coming week will turn green , in up fibo 61% is buyee target
in opposite side
40%=if gold break friday low can go to 1760 then fly up to 1850 then 1920
advice = until gold break low, looking for buy to hold min 1850 (with low size and sl in low) and buystop on 1813 trend line , if it break 99% we will se 1850 too
if gold break low , dont pick sell (gold main trend is +) , wait to near 1760 trend,to inter buy and hold it 10 day (sl=15.00$)
again ask you use low levragev,low size (per 1000$ 0.01 lot) and put sl in low !!! if you dont put sl or remove it 100% you will loss best world analyzer in 100 analyse , eat min 40 sl ,if you dont put sl 100% will margincall
note=on gold dont use martingle or scalp ,specialy on sell side dont use , if gold 50$ go down,100$ will go up(80% on gold are buyer)
22 july: gold want break pinbar low on daily chart then it can crash to 1770 (yield push it down)
prnt.sc
dont inter sell , put buylimit near 1770 with sl=1760 then go to sleep !!!! in gold dax dow nasdaq crash ,sleep better than inter sell ( thir weekly chart trend is very + up , they love up move ,so sell on them is stupid,very dangrous)
in 1770 and 1755 we will buy (buylimit) sl= low 1745
analyse gold for 20 july still pro big trader target is fibo 61% 1850 then 1920
alert=if pinbar low break(need powerful news) gold can crash (mini crash)
advice=looking for buy with sl under pinbar ,break low mean downtrend will start (above pinbar dont pick sell signals)
if you have old sells, 100% put sl high 1833 (or put 2*total sell buystop) break it mean up trend start, can shoot gold to 1920-1960 (never close hedge posation frist)
can we put sell in fibo 61%= no it can break easily , if you want sell ,you must put SL=6.00$ ,but we dont advice any type of sell until 1920
lets analyse monthly chart ,to find long term targets like proif you draw fibo on last down leg (green left fibo) fibo 161% show up target ok?
if you draw fibo on last up leg (red right fibo) fibo 61% will show ,downer target !!!
secret=gold love pullback to fibo 61% and fibo 161% as target
now analyse = if gold break low in 1760,can crash to 1500
if gold can break last high on 1820,can fly up to 2400
secret= high,low is very very very important on gold ,silver(other trendy markets like forex) , break high mean + up trend will start (for this you must put sl for sells on last clear high ) understand ? many day traders use 1 hour chart high,low
note= in zigzag markets like dax,index high,low not very important , break high on dax not mean + trend start, it can crash after break high
secret on gold ,silver= on trendy markets ,scalp or martingle (step by step buy) inter reverse posations is stupid new traders work = margincall ... you must find way to inter trend !!!! for example buystop on last high (sl=last low) , one of best way to inter trend and wait 4-5 day until new high (of fibo 161% on last down leg as tp )
gold in coming days (you must read my captions without hurry)if you have old sells,you must close all sells in monday (hold your buys 10 day)
in coming days we predict + up pressure , so in green arrow you must buy (sl=8.00$ trailstop=8.00$) and hold 7-8 day to new high
note=after trailstop work,move your SL to open price,disable it,,give time to price go higher reach red arrow
let see daily chart too , we have candell pattern(sell) and daily SMA200 in high with AC green(show + buyer and + trend will comes)
in 4hour chart ,price touch 1hour sma200(light green) if it break and 1hour candel can close under it,for many traders is sell signal
advice= dont pick sell ,looking for buy only (until low =1760 break ,trend is + ,each second can fly up)
predict= 50% posible gold startrange , wide zigzag days (w shape) ,for this we advice looking for buy in deep
SECRET= never inter buy or sell instant , better way is go to lower time frame(15 min) and put buystop on last high (4-5 pip above high) or wait last trend line in 15 min break to up then buy
GOLD futures: If the History repeats, this is our trading plan Today we will take an in-depth look at the Gold Futures chart.
On the main chart, we can see the Daily timeframe, and before starting with the analysis, we want to share the Weekly view + The similarities we are observing with the previous bull run of 2009
Current Weekly Chart
Weekly Chart 2009
Daily Chart 2009
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
With all that clear, let's start with our analysis:
General View: We observe clear similarities to the conditions prior to a bull run using 2009 as a template. The main characteristics are:
-The price makes a New ATH after a year of Draw-Down.
-After the New ATH, a massive corrective pattern happens on the edge of the previous ATH
-The Bullish movement does not start after the breakout of that pattern. We have a smaller correction on edge, and the breakout of this last one represents the beginning of a new bull run.
Also, it is important to say that we use a statistical approach. What do we mean by that? If we are right with our view, we can reach a risk-reward ratio on this setup of at least 1: 5, which means that for every dollar we are risking, we are aiming to make 5. The key concept of this is that even after failing 3 times to catch the movement and succeeding on the 4th attempt, we keep having a positive expectancy on the trade. Remember that: Profitable trading is about positive expectancy, is not about crystal balls.
Ok, so what is our trading plan?
The main idea here is waiting for the correction to be finished. We think that the consolidation will keep moving on the current area at least for 70 days (currently 40 days). The specific pattern we are looking for is a double bottom inside the correction. Here you can check some examples of what we mean by that.
Suppose we observe this pattern (main characteristic: the 2nd movement that makes the double bottom MUST NOT SURPASS THE FIRST ONE). If that happens, we will set our bullish setup above the previous local high.
We will be risking 1% of our capital. THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT. We never risk more than 1 to 2% of our capital. By doing that, you take the chances of blowing your account almost to 0. And the chances keep improving in your favor if your style is Swing Trading.
Target? The main idea here is that when Gold starts trending is not a good idea to close the setup, is better to trail it using higher highs and higher lows as references. But as we explained before, our main idea is getting at least a 1:5 Ratio.
How long can this movement take? Let's assume we are right; the previous bull run lasted for 800 days almost.
And what if this setup fails? Two options here, Either we have a stop loss, or the setup is never executed. It would be logical to observe a bearish movement towards the next support zone.
Thanks for reading; we hope this can bring more clarity to your decision-making!
do you set your buystop sell stop ?US 10 year yield start + trend and going up , it push gold down , if gold can break high , in up we have daily sma200 and fibo 61%(many buyer target)
alert=after break big trend and high , dont pick sell(even in red arrow) ,looking for buy in low
tp=1886.00
if stop order open ,dont close it soon,give it min 3 day time (after 8$ profit ,move sl to open price) then let it goes
advice= in your trade platform ,hide downside box ,show open orders (pro trade never watch orders profit,loss, they inter,close posation only with chart signal,not by posation profit,loss)
you can on chart ,hide SL color too (in metatrader,right cklick on chart,in color menu,put SL color from red to no color) this help you eat sl witout emotion. help you dont remove sl
gold in box range let see stoch and AC on daily chart
they still show down trend can start
red dot line on chart =my predict about gold way (not for trade,only for info)
advice =buystop on big trend , sellstop in low (4-5 pip , little downer) , keep watching DXY and US10Y (despite dxy can go down, 10 year yield can go up , this mean gold can go down)
be patient, dont hurry up
ALERT= technical say gold can go down see trend line in 1740boys i dont say gold 100% will crash to 1740-1750 , but it can,may happend
why? becouse US yield have buy,will go up , this mean gold and naadaq can go down
in other side AC and stoch on daily chart turn red
be careful
in 1750 we will pick buy to hold 20-30 day
gold daily chart say :doji and red AC (accelator occilator) show us gold can go down (wave 2) to fill 1750 trend line
in comming days ,if gold can break high go to ichimoku cloud upper band
NOTE=i dont have any posation on gold for fair analyse , but near 1750 i want buy and hold 30 day
advice=,sellstop in low 1795 with sl=high ,,, buylimit on 1750 with sl=15$
gold futures GC1! open order by larg banks(broker) and fund money managers
prnt.sc
gold daily chart and DOJI AC and stoch now give sell signal , so gold must start down trend ,technical say this
if news comes and gold can break high and trend 1820 ,above scenario will cancell and buy signal will comes to fibo 61%
if you have buys on up , hedge them (size= 2*total buys)
buylimit on 1740 and 1705 is powwrful buy for hold long term